Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $19.40 $7.40 62%
MVR-3   WIN (9/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $16.00 $8.00 100%
    DD (2/5)-(9/4/5/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00  5-5 $41.00 $25.00 156%
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(2/5)-(9/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-5 $30.50 $18.50 154%
MVR-4   PK3 (2/5)-(9/4/5/8)-(3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-5-3 $18.70 $6.70 56%
MVR-5   EXA (4/7/9/6/3)-(4/7/9/6/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-3 $109.00 $69.00 173%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:022     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MAS CERVEZA 1 6 68½ 67½   42½ 1½ (smith larry)BRACHO A 125 3.50 47% 1.10 0.90 W
2  LEWIS AND CLARK 2 5 53½ 43   2½ 2½ (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.50 16% 5.20 5.70 P
5  R CLIFFHANGER 5 2 1nk 12   1½ 31 (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 6.00 15.40  
3  PAYMASTER GENERAL 3 4 31½ 22   31 45¾ (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 4.50 4.90  
6  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 6 1 42½ 53½   52½ 58¾ (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 126 5.00 9% 10.50 5.50  
4  FORMYBOYS 4 3 2nk 32½   63½ 615 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 125 3.00 4.70  
 
MVR-2   12/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:222 :461       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 3 4 31 2nk   11 12½ (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 126 1.80 26% 2.80 1.20 W
7  CHACO SPIRIT 4 1 48 48¼   45 22½ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 4.70  
2  LIMIT UP 1 2 2nk 1nk   21 32¾ (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 126 2.50 44% 1.30 0.80 S
4  THE COOKIE MAN 2 3 1nk 3.2   35 411¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00 12.40  
SCR  CUGINE               (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO               (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
SCR  MON CAMO               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   12/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:144 1:283   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHEWEARSMYRING 5 2 64¼ 55 51¾ 2nk 11 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 6.00 18% 4.70 7.00 W
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  ISLANDINTHESTREAM 2 3 2nk 2½ 11 1nk 21 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 125 4.00 6.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of COLORFUL CHARADES by DISCREET CAT)
4  ECHOLITE 4 9 42½ 43½ 31 31½ 33¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 5.00 24% 3.20 1.10 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
7  TRAMA QUEEN 7 5 31½ 32½ 41¼ 44 410½ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 125 15.00 40.40  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TRICIA'S TRAMA by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
6  LADY CAIRO 6 1 1nk 1½ 21 59 523¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 12.00 43.10  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of POSITIVELY ROYAL by BERNARDINI)
9  WAR VOW 9 7 74¾ 87 63¾ 610½ 626 (powell a)BRACHO A 125 3.00 25% 3.00 2.70  
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
8  ZIPSY ROSE LEE 8 6 85¾ 77 78¾ 712 726¼ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00 8% 10.80 39.40  
  (by SKY MESA out of ZIPSO FACTO by CITY ZIP)
3  QUICKSTYLE 3 4 96¼ 97¼ 914¾ 915¾ 829¾ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 10.00 7.90  
  (by LEA out of SIMPLISTIC by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
1  BROADWAY CHARM 1 8 52¾ 66 810¾ 815½ 931¾ (cook brian)REYES FRANK 125 3.50 20.60  
  (by STREET SENSE out of DEJA BLU by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
MVR-4   12/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:15 1:28   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CASUAL ATTIRE 3 3 33½ 21½ 31 11½ 12¾ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 1.20 24% 3.20 0.30 W
2  TEAM LEYENDECKER 2 4 22 31½ 2½ 21½ 22¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 6.80  
6  KNOCK WOOD 6 5 45 45 43 45½ 35¾ (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 23% 3.30 5.80 S
1  HIDDEN ACCESS 1 7 12 11½ 1½ 33 46 (hamm t)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 19% 4.30 13.20  
4  VENTURE ON 4 2 55½ 56 54 57 512¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 13.40  
5  MONSTER HUNTER 5 6 77 79 76½ 79½ 612½ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 15.00 50.90  
7  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 7 1 65½ 67 64½ 68 712¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 35.60  
 
MVR-5   12/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :48       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIGHT UP MY LIFE 7 2 1nk 1½   11 13 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 125 4.50 19% 4.20 2.20 W
3  FALL CAMPAIGN 3 5 73 72¾   42½ 23 (sondej amy)VELEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.90 P
10  JUMP INTO SANITY 9 1 62 41½   32½ 34 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 123 20.00 70.80  
5  DULCE VICTORIA 5 4 2nk 2½   21 44¼ (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 6.00  
1  IRON BERTIE 1 8 4¼ 52   62¾ 55¾ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 8.90  
2  BIG BANG BLUE 2 9 104 83¾   74¼ 66¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 4.10  
4  LORI'S EYES 4 6 51¾ 62¼   52¾ 77½ (pappada)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 39% 1.60 6.00  
11  MOON PARTY 10 10 84 94¾   106¼ 89½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 37.50  
6  VAVITE 6 7 94 105¼   95¾ 99½ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
9  CREATIVE CADENCE 8 3 3.2 3½   85¼ 1011¾ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 12% 7.20 7.50  
SCR  GET A GRIP MARILYN               (morzan e)YARANGA Y 123 5.00    
 
MVR-6   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CORNER KICK 6 7 43 3½   2nk 11¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 3.20  
6  LADY LOTTIE 5 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 21¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 57% 0.80 0.40 P
5  FOREST B 4 3 31½ 2nk   32 36½ (powell a)BRACHO A 124 3.50 17% 4.80 12.00 S
3  OAXACA 2 4 53¼ 43½   45½ 48¼ (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 7.00  
8  GO STELLAIRE 7 5 711¼ 710¾   611 513¼ (vickers)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 35.20  
4  CAUSE OF LOVE 3 8 69¼ 69¾   510½ 614½ (haehn r)DIAZ R 124 30.00 83.90  
2  FABULOUS CLOWN 1 6 813¼ 816¾   713 716 (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 38.40  
9  SHEZ SHACKED UP 8 2 2nk 59½   825 846¾ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 50.40  
SCR  MOBIL MEISTER               (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ZAKARIA 2 2 11½ 1½   11½ 11½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 51.40  
1  OKLAHOMA JOE 1 6 21½ 2½   21½ 21½ (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 125 6.00 15% 5.60 1.90 P
5  MALIBU CLASSIC 5 3 33 33½   34½ 32½ (tre)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 14% 6.00 21.00 S
6  EXCITEMENT 6 5 53¼ 45   45½ 45¼ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 48% 1.10 0.70  
3  EL ROSILLO 3 7 64¾ 69   57½ 56¼ (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
4  HOPPY GILMORE 4 4 43 59   68 610 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 4.00 14.30  
8  EL MARRO 7 1 85¾ 811   79½ 713 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 39.70  
9  WILLIE WANDO 8 8 74¾ 710½   819½ 833¾ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 10.00 21.30  
SCR  POSEIDON'S SON               (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
 
MVR-8   12/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:023     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COMMISSIONER D 2 8 63½ 72¼   53¼ 11¼ (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 1.80  
  (by MOBIL out of ANGEL FALLS by KINGMAMBO)
6  HISTORYINTHEMAKING 5 5 31½ 2½   2nk 21¼ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 ★ 4.40 P
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MAKING HISTORY by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  MY DANIELA 6 2 42½ 41   3½ 32¼ (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 122 4.00 8% 11.90 8.20 S
  (by ONE SIDED out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
10  B SASSI 9 1 73¾ 31   4¾ 43¼ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00 65% 0.50 1.50  
  (by BIONDETTI out of PELEADORA FUERTE by STRONG CONTENDER)
5  WINGS OF HEAVEN 4 6 2nk 1½   1nk 53¼ (tumblin andr)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 12.00 17.90  
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
8  COWGIRLS HUMOR 7 3 87¾ 85¼   68¼ 618¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 69.10  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
1  HOT PRINCESS (GB) 1 9 1nk 52   78¼ 722½ (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
3  LATE BLOOMBOPPER 3 7 911¼ 917¼   917¼ 823¾ (barker scot)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00 83.40  
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
9  BOLD RUBY 8 4 53 62¼   811¼ 928½ (lopez jacinto)VELEZ J 122 15.00 28.70  
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN               (szczepansk)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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