The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turfway Park
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.46 $6.46 -1.54
TP-2   Win (4/6/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.62 $7.62 -2.38
TP-3   Win (4/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $14.16 $14.16 6.16
TP-4   Win (11/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 1 $3.34 $3.34 -2.66
TP-5   Win (3/9/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $7.70 -8.00
TP-6   Win (8/12/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $12.52 $12.52 4.52
TP-7   Win (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.94 $3.94 -4.06
TP-8   Win (6/5/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $15.62 -8.00
TP-9   Win (1/5/12/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $26.00 $26.00 16.00

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:144 1:272   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S NOTICE 3 5 6 6 11 16 111¼ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.23 W
SAVE THE BEES 7 6 5 54 3 26 211¼ (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 4.06  
ROSE DARLING 2 8 8 86 65 47 312 (humphries thomas)CEDILLO ABEL 119 4.00 6% 15.70 5.28 S
VALERIE BLUE 4 2 43 2 21 36 414 (engler)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 4.50 6.65  
ANGEL ON FIRE 5 3 2nk 33 54 611 521 (hancock ja)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00 31.08  
MOTEL MISCHIEF 8 7 7 7 43 5621½ (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 16.35  
GOLDEN LAKE 1 1 3 44 8 714½ 729¼ (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 4.16  
SEAU N'TAP 6 4 1nk 1 76 817½ 838 (caramori caio)PAULY SUMMER 109 5.00 14% 6.20 6.50  
SCR  MARVELING               (acevedo israel)MOJICA O 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-2   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAMA CRITIC 4 6 6 6   2½ 1¼ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.00 56% 0.80 2.81 W
ENJOYMENT 1 9 7 2   1½ 2¼ (gorostiet)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 4.69  
BRENTSPENCE 6 8 10 7   32 3(langemeier joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.50 9% 9.90 6.74 S
MR. CUNNINGHAM 2 7 32 42   445 (meredith char)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.84  
10  KICK ROCKS KID 10 1 5 5   655 (adams nanc)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 13.20 10.51  
COG 7 4 9 9   96(short j)PAULY SUMMER 110 5.00 3.31  
WHITE PIGEON 8 2 4 3   576 (sanchez j)FIGUEROA JOVAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.77  
DON'T CROSS JACK 3 10 85 8   88(tooley jennifer)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 13.82  
INVASIVE 5 5 22 10   10911¼ (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 20.44  
OUTSLEWTHEM 9 3 12 1   71016¾ (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 20.00 27.04  
 
TP-3   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:152 1:28   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE EXCHANGE 7 8 8 8 65 43 11 (west m)CEDILLO ABEL 121 5.00 9% 9.70 6.08 W
NIGHTTIME JUSTICE 3 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 21 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00 28% 2.50 3.95 P
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS 1 7 7 7 5 32 3(simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 24% 3.20 1.49 S
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 5 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 4(acevedo isr)CORREA L 121 6.00 5.85  
10  I LIKEM 8 4 6 6 8 65 5(shetron phyllis)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 10.54  
FASHION DIVA 6 9 9 9 9 75 6(greenhill jeff)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 20.92  
FORGLO 4 6 5 42 31 54 7(nocero carmino)FELIX E 121 8.00 16.76  
11  HERO OF THE BEST 9 3 32 52 7 97 8(helmbrecht will)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 52.54  
POLYESTER BRIDE 2 5 42 3 43 8910 (poole jam)DE CRUZ 111 12.00 8% 11.20 7.64  
SCR  GO STORMIN GIRL               (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
SCR  JILL BABE               (poole c)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00    
 
TP-4   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LEMON BOMB 9 3 2½ 2   1½ 1(kenneally eddie)ROCCO S 118 3.00 69% 0.40 0.67 W
CANDY KICK 4 7 7 5   34 2(thompson erin)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.31 P
LADY LIVERMORE 5 6 1½ 1   2½ 3(armstrong steve )PAULY SUMMER 110 3.50 7% 13.60 3.75 S
MYGALJUSTICE 2 11 11 810½   64(sanchez j)MORALES JOSHUA 120 15.00 26.42  
MISS SOVELIA 7 9 6 67   46 5(quezada inocen)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 61.71  
DALTON'S LOVE 6 8 95 911½   8610¾ (greenhill)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 11.83  
12  AWESOME VALOR 10 1 3 4   7710¾ (forston roy)CORREA L 120 12.00 10.73  
TIZ BIZ 3 5 4 3   56 811 (brafford c)FELIX E 120 20.00 72.35  
KAIYAS SONG 1 10 8 1013   1010¾ 914¼ (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00 58.02  
10  SLENDER BETSY 8 2 53 79   91015¼ (raines lindsey)ALENCAR WALBER 120 20.00 ######  
13  MAXIMUM JOY 11 4 10 1113¼   1112¾ 1117¾ (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 72.30  
SCR  ABSTRACT MOMENT               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 2.50    
SCR  ZERO CLICK               (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
 
TP-5   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:222 :463 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GREAT RICHIE M 9 8 7 42   1nk 1¼ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 2.85  
PRINCE COLTON 6 10 10 7   32¼ (elliott m)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 11.76  
FEAR AND LOATHING 5 7 8 8   53(toye kara )RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00 16.87  
MONEY MEMOLO 3 11 11 10   84(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00 38% 1.60 2.67  
13  STONE'S THROW 11 1 3 3   64 5(estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 8.33  
14  MASTER SWITCH 12 2 9 9   96 6(contreras c)CORREA L 119 20.00 44.86  
WEDNESDAY AT SHADY 8 4 11 1nk   2nk 7(west w)CEDILLO ABEL 119 8.00 21% 3.80 6.99  
WHERE IS LISA 2 12 12 11   108(antonuik jerry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 44.08  
KYKEON 7 5 21 2nk   4910¼ (garcia genaro)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 15.00 23.78  
BIBI BOSS 4 6 6 53   71011¼ (guevara gustavo)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 14.96  
11  WOODFORD HOLLER 10 3 5 6   111115¼ (drury thoma)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 18% 4.70 10.85  
THISISRIDICULOUS 1 9 4 1210¼   1210¾ 1219½ (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00 11.07  
SCR  MIDNIGHT AMBITION               (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
SCR  RIVER RANSOM               (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00    
 
TP-6   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MAGIC BEAUTY 8 1 1½ 1   11(klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.26 W
SECOND EXCHANGE 4 8 85 8   35 2(fosdick s)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 7.65  
PRINCESSTAPITURE 2 7 7 65   23(andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 16.23  
11  SHE DAZZLE 7 3 31 3   54(danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 2.79  
CACTUS FLOWER 3 5 5 53   45(matthews randy)FUENTES ERICK 110 12.00 5% 19.00 5.63  
CALTHA 6 2 63 7   67 6(esquivel je)CORREA L 120 10.00 17.82  
RAMBERT 5 4 4 42   7713½ (stidham michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 67% 0.50 2.62  
RENAISSANCE (IRE) 1 6 2½ 2   89 816¾ (danner doug)PAULY SUMMER 110 10.00 5% 19.00 6.35  
SCR  BACKYARD HEN               (alessi jam)MARTINEZ A 118 20.00    
SCR  BAREBACK FUN               (urieta joh)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  DONYA KNOW IT               (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
SCR  LADY IN HEELS               (brooks e)STANLEY O 120 8.00    
 
TP-7   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:142 1:264   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESIDER 3 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 12 1(caramori )DE CRUZ 121 2.00 24% 3.10 0.97 W
POLYGLOT 4 2 43 42 4 22 2(estvanko richard)CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00 12.33 P
SPEED INSTITUTE 6 8 53 5 2nk 33 3(miller jerome)PETERSON FERRIN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 4.70 S
SATURDAY LONG LEGS 7 4 3 32 5 43 4(frazier matt)MCKEE J 121 5.00 6% 14.60 10.56  
MAGISTRATE 5 3 6 6 6 55(delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 43% 1.30 3.24  
PERFECT UPSTART 1 6 75 7 7 76(barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00 55.82  
TEXAS TOAST 9 5 1½ 1½ 3½ 64 711½ (bicknell wh)CORREA L 124 20.00 55.62  
FRENCH BREAD 2 7 86 8 8 8813¾ (bicknell whit)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 12.11  
ON THE CUFF 8 9 9 9 9 912 922½ (jones e)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00 46.78  
 
TP-8   12/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TWO ITEM SAVER 9 7 73 52   22 1½ (correas ignacio)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 6.81  
BLACK FOREST 1 4 1½ 1½   12 2½ (gutierrez faustio)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 12.26  
TAP DANCING LADY 3 10 8 8   43 3¾ (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00 27.30  
NAVY GOAT 8 3 62 73   74(devaux cherie)CARROLL DECLAN 118 15.00 6.02  
TOERIS 5 5 52 42   32 5(casse mar)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 30% 2.30 5.90  
LILY POO 7 6 4 6   56(mccarthy mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 1.84  
11  MORE THAN VOWS 10 2 2½ 2½   67(davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 10.52  
ALEXA LOU 4 8 10 116   98(pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 26.88  
TROUBLE MAKING 6 11 11 95   109(meah anna )RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 61.12  
BULSARA 2 9 9 10   1110(girten tim)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
12  SASSY AND BOLD 11 1 31 31   81113¼ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 14% 6.10 6.79  
SCR  MRS. GREEN               (casse mark)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
TP-9   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK WITH YOU 8 2 1nk 1nk   12 1(rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 8.00 12% 7.50 12.00 W
SPANISH DOUBLOON 1 12 11 10   82(casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 31% 2.20 1.16 P
CENTAURO 3 9 6 7   434 (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 124 20.00 42.08  
STEP ON IT 6 10 10 9   65 44 (west w)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 11.53  
10  SECESSION 10 8 5 32   35(drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 12.46  
SHOCKWAVE 5 5 7 5   55 6(davis chri)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 15% 5.50 6.73  
12  RUN FOR REAGAN 12 7 2nk 2nk   22 76 (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 120 4.00 13% 6.50 4.34  
SHANNONRUN 9 11 9 6   98 8(perez car)CRUZ JUAN 124 12.00 47.96  
SILVER BULL 2 4 8 1110¼   1099 (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00 7% 12.40 11.35  
11  AWFUL BUT LAWFUL 11 6 4 8   1110½ 1011¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 122 10.00 34.62  
BALAMOR 4 3 3½ 4   76 1112¾ (waltz brian)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00 28.35  
HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY 7 1 126 1211¾   1212½ 1213¾ (young r)FELIX E 122 20.00 63.22  
SCR  JUL QUIST               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE               (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.