Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-3   WIN (4/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $14.16 $6.16 77%
    EXA (4/2/9/3)-(4/2/9/3/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-4 $92.98 $60.98 191%
    TRI (4/2/9/3)-(4/2/9/3/10)-(4/2/9/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-4-2 $69.50 $45.50 190%
    DD (4/6/10/8/2)-(4/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-9 $22.12 $2.12 11%
    PK3 (3/6/2/7)-(4/6/10/8/2)-(4/2/9/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  3-4-9 $66.04 $26.04 65%
TP-4   SFT (11/6/5)-(11/6/5/12/2)-(11/6/5/12/2)-(11/6/5/12/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  11-5-6-2 $13.64 $6.44 89%
    DD (4/2/9/3)-(11/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-11 $20.38 $8.38 70%
    PK3 (4/6/10/8/2)-(4/2/9/3)-(11/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-9-11 $33.90 $3.90 13%
TP-6   WIN (8/12/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $12.52 $4.52 57%
TP-7   TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6/4)-(5/3/7/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-4-6 $27.18 $3.18 13%
    SFT (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6/4)-(5/3/7/6/4)-(5/3/7/6/4) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-4-6-7 $20.65 $11.05 115%
TP-9   WIN (1/5/12/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $26.00 $16.00 160%
    EXA (1/5/12/8/2)-(1/5/12/8/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-1 $92.62 $52.62 132%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:144 1:272   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S NOTICE 3 5 6 6 11 16 111¼ (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.23 W
SAVE THE BEES 7 6 5 54 3 26 211¼ (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 4.06  
ROSE DARLING 2 8 8 86 65 47 312 (humphries thom)CEDILLO ABEL 119 4.00 6% 15.70 5.28 S
VALERIE BLUE 4 2 43 2 21 36 414 (engl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 4.50 6.65  
ANGEL ON FIRE 5 3 2nk 33 54 611 521 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00 31.08  
MOTEL MISCHIEF 8 7 7 7 43 5 621½ (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 16.35  
GOLDEN LAKE 1 1 3 44 8 714½ 729¼ (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 6.00 4.16  
SEAU N'TAP 6 4 1nk 1 76 817½ 838 (caramori caio)PAULY SUMMER 109 5.00 14% 6.20 6.50  
SCR  MARVELING               (acevedo israel)MOJICA O 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-2   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAMA CRITIC 4 6 6 6   2½ 1¼ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.00 56% 0.80 2.81 W
ENJOYMENT 1 9 7 2   1½ 2¼ (gorosti)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 4.69  
BRENTSPENCE 6 8 10 7   32 3 (langemeier j)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.50 9% 9.90 6.74 S
MR. CUNNINGHAM 2 7 32 42   4 45 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.84  
10  KICK ROCKS KID 10 1 5 5   6 55 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 13.20 10.51  
COG 7 4 9 9   9 6 (short j)PAULY SUMMER 110 5.00 3.31  
WHITE PIGEON 8 2 4 3   5 76 (sanchez emma)FIGUEROA JOVAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.77  
DON'T CROSS JACK 3 10 85 8   8 8 (tooley jennife)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 13.82  
INVASIVE 5 5 22 10   10 911¼ (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 20.44  
OUTSLEWTHEM 9 3 12 1   7 1016¾ (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 20.00 27.04  
 
TP-3   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:152 1:28   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE EXCHANGE 7 8 8 8 65 43 11 (west m)CEDILLO ABEL 121 5.00 9% 9.70 6.08 W
NIGHTTIME JUSTICE 3 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 21 (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00 28% 2.50 3.95 P
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS 1 7 7 7 5 32 3 (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 24% 3.20 1.49 S
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 5 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 4 (acevedo i)CORREA L 121 6.00 5.85  
10  I LIKEM 8 4 6 6 8 65 5 (shetron phylli)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 10.54  
FASHION DIVA 6 9 9 9 9 75 6 (greenhill je)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 20.92  
FORGLO 4 6 5 42 31 54 7 (nocero carmino)FELIX E 121 8.00 16.76  
11  HERO OF THE BEST 9 3 32 52 7 97 8 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 52.54  
POLYESTER BRIDE 2 5 42 3 43 8 910 (poole j)DE CRUZ 111 12.00 8% 11.20 7.64  
SCR  GO STORMIN GIRL               (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
SCR  JILL BABE               (poole c)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00    
 
TP-4   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LEMON BOMB 9 3 2½ 2   1½ 1 (kenneally eddi)ROCCO S 118 3.00 69% 0.40 0.67 W
CANDY KICK 4 7 7 5   34 2 (thompson eri)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.31 P
LADY LIVERMORE 5 6 1½ 1   2½ 3 (armstrong stev)PAULY SUMMER 110 3.50 7% 13.60 3.75 S
MYGALJUSTICE 2 11 11 810½   6 4 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 120 15.00 26.42  
MISS SOVELIA 7 9 6 67   46 5 (quezada inoc)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 61.71  
DALTON'S LOVE 6 8 95 911½   8 610¾ (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 11.83  
12  AWESOME VALOR 10 1 3 4   7 710¾ (forston r)CORREA L 120 12.00 10.73  
TIZ BIZ 3 5 4 3   56 811 (brafford michelle)FELIX E 120 20.00 72.35  
KAIYAS SONG 1 10 8 1013   1010¾ 914¼ (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00 58.02  
10  SLENDER BETSY 8 2 53 79   9 1015¼ (raines linds)ALENCAR WALBER 120 20.00 ######  
13  MAXIMUM JOY 11 4 10 1113¼   1112¾ 1117¾ (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 72.30  
SCR  ABSTRACT MOMENT               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 2.50    
SCR  ZERO CLICK               (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
 
TP-5   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:222 :463 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GREAT RICHIE M 9 8 7 42   1nk 1¼ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 2.85  
PRINCE COLTON 6 10 10 7   3 2¼ (elliott)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 11.76  
FEAR AND LOATHING 5 7 8 8   5 3 (toye kar)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00 16.87  
MONEY MEMOLO 3 11 11 10   8 4 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00 38% 1.60 2.67  
13  STONE'S THROW 11 1 3 3   64 5 (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 8.33  
14  MASTER SWITCH 12 2 9 9   96 6 (contreras)CORREA L 119 20.00 44.86  
WEDNESDAY AT SHADY 8 4 11 1nk   2nk 7 (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 119 8.00 21% 3.80 6.99  
WHERE IS LISA 2 12 12 11   10 8 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 44.08  
KYKEON 7 5 21 2nk   4 910¼ (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 15.00 23.78  
BIBI BOSS 4 6 6 53   7 1011¼ (guevara gustav)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 14.96  
11  WOODFORD HOLLER 10 3 5 6   11 1115¼ (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 18% 4.70 10.85  
THISISRIDICULOUS 1 9 4 1210¼   1210¾ 1219½ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00 11.07  
SCR  MIDNIGHT AMBITION               (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
SCR  RIVER RANSOM               (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00    
 
TP-6   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MAGIC BEAUTY 8 1 1½ 1   1 1 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.26 W
SECOND EXCHANGE 4 8 85 8   35 2 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 7.65  
PRINCESSTAPITURE 2 7 7 65   2 3 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 16.23  
11  SHE DAZZLE 7 3 31 3   5 4 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 2.79  
CACTUS FLOWER 3 5 5 53   4 5 (matthews rand)FUENTES ERICK 110 12.00 5% 19.00 5.63  
CALTHA 6 2 63 7   67 6 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 10.00 17.82  
RAMBERT 5 4 4 42   7 713½ (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 67% 0.50 2.62  
RENAISSANCE (IRE) 1 6 2½ 2   89 816¾ (danner doug)PAULY SUMMER 110 10.00 5% 19.00 6.35  
SCR  BACKYARD HEN               (alessi j)MARTINEZ A 118 20.00    
SCR  BAREBACK FUN               (urieta j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  DONYA KNOW IT               (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
SCR  LADY IN HEELS               (brooks e)STANLEY O 120 8.00    
 
TP-7   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:142 1:264   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESIDER 3 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 12 1 (caramor)DE CRUZ 121 2.00 24% 3.10 0.97 W
  (by CONNECT out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
POLYGLOT 4 2 43 42 4 22 2 (estvanko richa)CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00 12.33 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MULTILINGUAL by DANSILI (GB))
SPEED INSTITUTE 6 8 53 5 2nk 33 3 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 4.70 S
  (by FROSTED out of HONOR INDY by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
SATURDAY LONG LEGS 7 4 3 32 5 43 4 (frazier matt)MCKEE J 121 5.00 6% 14.60 10.56  
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
MAGISTRATE 5 3 6 6 6 5 5 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 43% 1.30 3.24  
  (by TAPWRIT out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PERFECT UPSTART 1 6 75 7 7 7 6 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00 55.82  
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
TEXAS TOAST 9 5 1½ 1½ 3½ 64 711½ (bicknell )CORREA L 124 20.00 55.62  
  (by TEXAS RED out of CREDENTIAL by VALID APPEAL)
FRENCH BREAD 2 7 86 8 8 8 813¾ (bicknell wh)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 12.11  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ON THE CUFF 8 9 9 9 9 912 922½ (jones e)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00 46.78  
  (by FUNTASTIC out of OUR MATILDA by WOODMAN)
 
TP-8   12/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TWO ITEM SAVER 9 7 73 52   22 1½ (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 6.81  
BLACK FOREST 1 4 1½ 1½   12 2½ (gutierrez faust)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 12.26  
TAP DANCING LADY 3 10 8 8   43 3¾ (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00 27.30  
NAVY GOAT 8 3 62 73   7 4 (devaux cheri)CARROLL DECLAN 118 15.00 6.02  
TOERIS 5 5 52 42   32 5 (casse m)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 30% 2.30 5.90  
LILY POO 7 6 4 6   5 6 (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 1.84  
11  MORE THAN VOWS 10 2 2½ 2½   6 7 (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 10.52  
ALEXA LOU 4 8 10 116   9 8 (pitts hel)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 26.88  
TROUBLE MAKING 6 11 11 95   10 9 (meah ann)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 61.12  
BULSARA 2 9 9 10   11 10 (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
12  SASSY AND BOLD 11 1 31 31   8 1113¼ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 14% 6.10 6.79  
SCR  MRS. GREEN               (casse mark)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
TP-9   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK WITH YOU 8 2 1nk 1nk   12 1 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 8.00 12% 7.50 12.00 W
SPANISH DOUBLOON 1 12 11 10   8 2 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 31% 2.20 1.16 P
CENTAURO 3 9 6 7   4 34 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 124 20.00 42.08  
STEP ON IT 6 10 10 9   65 44 (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 11.53  
10  SECESSION 10 8 5 32   3 5 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 12.46  
SHOCKWAVE 5 5 7 5   55 6 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 15% 5.50 6.73  
12  RUN FOR REAGAN 12 7 2nk 2nk   22 76 (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 120 4.00 13% 6.50 4.34  
SHANNONRUN 9 11 9 6   98 8 (perez c)CRUZ JUAN 124 12.00 47.96  
SILVER BULL 2 4 8 1110¼   10 99 (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00 7% 12.40 11.35  
11  AWFUL BUT LAWFUL 11 6 4 8   1110½ 1011¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 122 10.00 34.62  
BALAMOR 4 3 3½ 4   76 1112¾ (waltz brian)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00 28.35  
HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY 7 1 126 1211¾   1212½ 1213¾ (young r)FELIX E 122 20.00 63.22  
SCR  JUL QUIST               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE               (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.