Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7/4)-(3/6/2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7)-(4/6/10/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/7)-(4/6/10/8/2)-(4/2/9/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-2   WIN (4/6/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/10/8/2)-(4/6/10/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/10/8/2)-(4/6/10/8/2)-(4/6/10/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/10/8/2)-(4/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/10/8/2)-(4/2/9/3)-(11/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (4/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/3)-(4/2/9/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/3)-(4/2/9/3/10)-(4/2/9/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/9/3)-(11/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/3)-(11/6/5)-(3/9/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-4   WIN (11/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/6/5)-(11/6/5/12/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/6/5)-(11/6/5/12/2)-(11/6/5/12/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/6/5)-(3/9/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/6/5)-(3/9/11/2)-(8/12/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-5   WIN (3/9/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/11/2)-(3/9/11/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/11/2)-(3/9/11/2/10)-(3/9/11/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/11/2)-(8/12/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/11/2)-(8/12/4/2)-(5/3/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-6   WIN (8/12/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/12/4/2)-(8/12/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/12/4/2)-(8/12/4/2)-(8/12/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/12/4/2)-(5/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/12/4/2)-(5/3/7/6)-(6/5/12/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-7   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6/4)-(5/3/7/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/7/6)-(6/5/12/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/6)-(6/5/12/2)-(1/5/12/8/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-8   WIN (6/5/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/12/2)-(6/5/12/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/12/2)-(6/5/12/8/2)-(6/5/12/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/12/2)-(1/5/12/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-9   WIN (1/5/12/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/12/8/2)-(1/5/12/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/12/8/2)-(1/5/12/8/2)-(1/5/12/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN LAKE Dec16 Nov05       (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
2  ROSE DARLING Dec02 Oct27 Sep20 Aug12   (humphries thom)CEDILLO ABEL 119 4.00 6% 15.70    
3  QUEEN'S NOTICE Nov17         (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
4  VALERIE BLUE Oct27 Sep23 Jul06     (engl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 4.50 ★    
5  ANGEL ON FIRE Nov24 Nov07 Oct16 Sep25   (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
6  SEAU N'TAP Dec02 Nov16 Oct10 Aug28 Jun10 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  MARVELING         (acevedo israel)MOJICA O 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAVE THE BEES Nov18 Oct28       (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00    
9  MOTEL MISCHIEF Nov24 Oct19 Sep14 Aug08   (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 119 12.00    
 
TP-2   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENJOYMENT Nov15 Oct20 Dec16 Oct27 Oct05 (gorosti)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
2  MR. CUNNINGHAM Dec06 Sep02 Jun15 May08 Apr27 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DON'T CROSS JACK Dec06 Nov01 Sep19 Aug30 Aug06 (tooley jennife)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
4  DRAMA CRITIC Nov17 Oct03 Aug29 Jul31 Jun21 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.00 56% 0.80    
5  INVASIVE Dec06 Nov01 Jun15 Apr29 Apr16 (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
6  BRENTSPENCE Dec06 Nov17 Oct25 Sep28 Sep09 (langemeier j)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
7  COG Dec06 Nov17 Oct25 Sep20 Aug28 (short j)PAULY SUMMER 110 5.00    
8  WHITE PIGEON Nov02 May30 May08 Apr27 Jan28 (sanchez emma)FIGUEROA JOVAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  OUTSLEWTHEM Nov15 Nov01 Sep27 Sep16 Sep06 (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 20.00    
10  KICK ROCKS KID Sep02 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 13.20    
 
TP-3   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO STORMIN GIRL Oct23 Sep26 Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
2  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Nov30 Nov07 Sep08 Aug30 Jul15 (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  POLYESTER BRIDE Nov29 Nov16 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 (poole c)PAULY SUMMER 111 12.00 8% 11.20    
4  NIGHTTIME JUSTICE Nov15 Oct17 Aug08 Jul12 Jun24 (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00 28% 2.50    
5  FORGLO Nov13 Sep23 Aug05 Jul08 Jun22 (nocero carmino)FELIX E 121 8.00    
SCR  JILL BABE Nov26 Nov06 Jul16 Jun21 Jun01 (poole c)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00    
7  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Oct25 Sep20 Sep02 Aug05 Jul23 (acevedo israel)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
8  FASHION DIVA Nov30 Nov15 Aug05 Jul19 Jun27 (greenhill j)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
9  DIVINE EXCHANGE Nov30 Nov13 Sep17 Sep09 Jun25 (west m)CEDILLO ABEL 121 5.00 9% 9.70    
10  I LIKEM Sep23 Aug16 Jul27 Mar11 Feb10 (shetron phylli)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 ★    
11  HERO OF THE BEST Aug23 Jun21 Jun03 May24 May05 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00    
 
TP-4   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAIYAS SONG Nov20 Oct06 Jun03 May17 Mar11 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
2  MYGALJUSTICE Dec15 Nov16 Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  ABSTRACT MOMENT Nov03 Sep08 Aug03 Jul08 Jun17 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 2.50    
4  TIZ BIZ Dec15 Sep29 Aug12 Aug01 Jun17 (brafford michelle)FELIX E 120 20.00    
5  CANDY KICK Oct16 Sep20 Aug03 Dec30 Oct29 (thompson eri)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LADY LIVERMORE Nov29 Jun08 May19 Apr29 Mar16 (armstrong stev)PAULY SUMMER 110 3.50 7% 13.60    
7  DALTON'S LOVE Nov10 Sep20 Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  ZERO CLICK Dec15 Nov17 Oct31 Oct06 Sep08 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
9  MISS SOVELIA Dec09 Oct07 Sep29 Jun14 May31 (quezada inoc)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00    
10  SLENDER BETSY Dec09 Nov29 Sep08 Aug31 Aug11 (raines linds)ALENCAR WALBER 120 20.00    
11  LEMON BOMB Nov04 Oct11 Sep09 Jul31 Jun24 (kenneally eddi)ROCCO S 118 3.00 69% 0.40    
12  AWESOME VALOR Dec09 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Aug19 (forston r)CORREA L 120 12.00 ★    
13  MAXIMUM JOY Sep21 Sep07 Aug18 Jun22 Jun10 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00    
 
TP-5   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISISRIDICULOUS Dec01 Nov07 Oct11     (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00    
2  WHERE IS LISA         (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MONEY MEMOLO         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  BIBI BOSS Oct29         (guevara gustav)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00    
5  FEAR AND LOATHING Dec01 Oct24       (toye kar)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
SCR  RIVER RANSOM Oct21 Sep29       (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00    
7  PRINCE COLTON Jun22 Jun10 May22     (elliott)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
8  KYKEON Dec01 Sep11       (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 15.00    
9  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY         (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
10  GREAT RICHIE M Nov18 Oct11       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 ★    
11  WOODFORD HOLLER Nov14 Sep11       (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  MIDNIGHT AMBITION Nov11         (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
13  STONE'S THROW Dec08         (estvanko richa)CEDILLO ABEL 119 15.00    
14  MASTER SWITCH Dec09 Nov01 Sep17 Aug11 Jul15 (contreras)CORREA L 119 20.00    
 
TP-6   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BACKYARD HEN Dec06 Oct07 Sep27 Aug05 Jul08 (alessi j)MARTINEZ A 118 20.00    
2  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 Aug01 Jul07 (danner doug)PAULY SUMMER 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRINCESSTAPITURE Sep16 Aug12 Jul14 May11 Apr13 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
4  CACTUS FLOWER Nov26 Oct17 Aug31 Aug02 Jul05 (matthews rand)FUENTES ERICK 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SECOND EXCHANGE Dec02 Nov10 Oct18 Oct02 Sep18 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
SCR  BAREBACK FUN Dec06 Oct02 Sep06 Aug17 Jul04 (urieta j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  DONYA KNOW IT Nov26 Oct20 Sep15 Jul07 Jun16 (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
8  RAMBERT Oct12 Sep02 Jul22 Jun15 Oct08 (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 67% 0.50    
9  CALTHA Dec06 Oct20 Sep16 Aug16 Jul27 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 10.00    
SCR  LADY IN HEELS Nov24 Nov02 Sep27 Aug12 Jul21 (brooks e)STANLEY O 120 8.00    
11  SHE DAZZLE Nov26 Nov15 Oct13 Sep15 Aug12 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00    
12  MAGIC BEAUTY Nov09 Oct23 Sep19 Jul20 May16 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT UPSTART Dec09 Nov17 Oct21 Sep23 May11 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  FRENCH BREAD Dec09         (bicknell a)MOJICA O 124 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  PRESIDER Dec02 Nov08 Oct12 Apr21 Mar04 (caramor)DE CRUZ 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by CONNECT out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
4  POLYGLOT Nov29 Nov14 Sep25 Aug26 Jul12 (estvanko richa)CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MULTILINGUAL by DANSILI (GB))
5  MAGISTRATE Dec02 Oct26       (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  SPEED INSTITUTE Dec02 Nov01 Sep24 Aug27 Aug05 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of HONOR INDY by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
7  SATURDAY LONG LEGS Dec02 Nov14 Oct12 Sep29 Sep01 (frazier matt)MCKEE J 121 5.00 6% 14.60    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
8  ON THE CUFF         (jones e)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of OUR MATILDA by WOODMAN)
9  TEXAS TOAST Nov14 Oct25 Jul14 Jun18   (bicknell a)ORM CORY 124 20.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of CREDENTIAL by VALID APPEAL)
 
TP-8   12/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK FOREST Nov01 Oct12 Aug13 Jun29 Jun01 (gutierrez faust)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
2  BULSARA May20 Mar04 Feb04 Dec14 Nov27 (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAP DANCING LADY Dec09 Sep10 Aug28 Jul19 May18 (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00    
4  ALEXA LOU Nov24 Oct27 Sep23 Aug26 Nov12 (pitts hel)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
5  TOERIS Dec02 Nov02 Sep17 Jul29 Jun17 (casse m)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MRS. GREEN Dec02 Nov09 Oct21 Sep30 Aug12 (casse mark)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
7  TROUBLE MAKING Nov30 Sep02 Aug10 Jun29 May24 (meah ann)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
8  LILY POO Nov30 Oct21 Aug25 Aug06 Jul08 (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 ★    
9  NAVY GOAT Nov03 Sep17 Mar11 Jan07 Nov19 (devaux cheri)CARROLL DECLAN 118 15.00    
10  TWO ITEM SAVER Nov24 Oct06 Aug05 Sep25   (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
11  MORE THAN VOWS Nov22 Oct28 Sep16 Nov13 Sep23 (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
12  SASSY AND BOLD Dec09 Oct06 Jul29     (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
TP-9   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH DOUBLOON Nov24 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  SILVER BULL Nov18 Oct05 Jul07 Jun15 Mar04 (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
3  CENTAURO Dec07 Nov10 Oct18 Oct05 Sep18 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 124 20.00    
4  BALAMOR Nov17         (waltz brian)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00    
5  SHOCKWAVE Dec07 Oct21 Sep25 Sep09 Mar25 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  STEP ON IT Oct09 Sep20 Aug29 Jun10 May20 (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00    
7  HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY Nov17 Oct31 Oct05 Sep03   (young r)FELIX E 122 20.00    
8  ROCK WITH YOU Dec07 Nov02 Oct01 Sep01 Feb20 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 8.00 12% 7.50    
9  SHANNONRUN Aug28 Aug02 Jul10 Jun04 May06 (perez c)CRUZ JUAN 124 12.00    
10  SECESSION Sep22         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00    
11  AWFUL BUT LAWFUL Oct23         (reed r)MCKEE J 122 10.00    
12  RUN FOR REAGAN May18 Apr28 Apr13 Apr01   (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  JUL QUIST Dec08 Nov11 Oct15 Aug21   (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE Dec09 Mar25 Feb24 Feb01 Jan20 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.