Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turfway Park
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-3   DD (3/10/14/11/7)-(1/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00  10-2 $11.99 $1.99 20%
TP-4   TRI (1/8/2/9)-(1/8/2/9)-(1/8/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-8-9 $41.27 $29.27 244%
    DD (1/2)-(1/8/2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-1 $8.59 $0.59 7%
TP-8   EXA (1/2/12/5/6)-(1/2/12/5/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  12-2 $43.84 $3.84 10%
TP-9   WIN (12/10/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $13.52 $5.52 69%
    EXA (12/10/7/6)-(12/10/7/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  10-12 $52.24 $20.24 63%
    TRI (12/10/7/6)-(12/10/7/6/5)-(12/10/7/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-12-6 $139.39 $115.39 481%
    DD (1/2/12/5/6)-(12/10/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  12-10 $29.33 $9.33 47%
    PK3 (5/10/6/1/2)-(1/2/12/5/6)-(12/10/7/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00  5-12-10 $51.42 $1.42 3%
Simulator Race results
 
TP-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :471 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SURE ENOUGH 6 7 41¾ 2nk   1nk 12¾ (van th)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 1.80 48% 1.10 0.93 W
5  LITURGIA 5 3 53¼ 72¾   41¾ 22¾ (howard j)MARTINEZ A 118 4.50 16% 5.20 2.26 P
4  MYGALJUSTICE 4 8 88¼ 84¾   63¾ 34¼ (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 120 5.00 8.66  
1  ZERO CLICK 1 4 31½ 3½   51¾ 44¾ (norris mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 8% 12.00 7.99  
2  DESDEMONA KAY 2 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 55 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 15.00 28.03  
8  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 8 2 64¼ 62¼   31½ 65¾ (nihei michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 118 4.00 13.63  
7  FLATTER ME ZEN 7 1 74¾ 51¼   74¾ 712¼ (barrett roddi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 28.70  
3  TIZ BIZ 3 6 2nk 4¾   86¼ 812¾ (brafford michelle)FELIX E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 24.88  
 
TP-2   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:134 1:262   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HOT HEELS 7 2 11 11½ 12½ 15 18 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 24% 3.10 3.50 W
9  SILVER SEA 6 9 75½ 75¾ 54½ 45½ 28 (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00 5.42  
6  C F V TU BRUTUS 4 5 53½ 63¾ 43½ 25 39¼ (gonzalez lil)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 10.00 18.92  
11  FREDERICIA 8 7 95¾ 85¾ 97¾ 67½ 49¼ (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 8.00 6% 14.60 2.21  
7  LIEUTENANT KITTY 5 8 85¾ 108¼ 76½ 57 59¼ (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 121 8.00 5% 19.00 18.23  
12  SWIFT TEMPLE 9 10 107¾ 97¼ 86¾ 78 611¾ (wisner )DE CRUZ 121 12.00 18.76  
4  LUCKY SHORE 3 1 21 21½ 32½ 35½ 714 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 10.66  
3  BLUE NEITH 2 4 64 53½ 66 99½ 815¼ (watkins m)FELIX E 121 4.00 30% 2.40 8.45  
2  SPICY SOMMELIER 1 3 42 32 22½ 89 921 (esquivel )CORREA L 121 30.00 28.85  
14  COMMANDERS PALACE 10 6 32 42 107¾ 1012½ 1025 (alessi james)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 10% 9.20 5.89  
SCR  COLUMN               (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 108 30.00    
SCR  KIT CAN RUN               (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.00    
SCR  PINK PARTY PANTS               (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 118 12.00    
SCR  RECOGNIZE ME               (blair jordan)CARROLL DECLAN 118 4.50    
 
TP-3   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CASPER JUSTICE 2 5 41¼ 3.2   1nk 11½ (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.50 36% 1.80 0.86 W
1  HASKELLED 1 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 21½ (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 36% 1.80 1.29 P
5  KOBE BEACH 4 4 54¼ 55¾   55½ 36 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 120 20.00 11.19  
10  HINDOSTAIN FALLS 5 1 2nk 2nk   32½ 47½ (woodbury judy)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 10.00 9.21  
4  SUNSIGN 3 2 31 42¾   43½ 57¾ (cook brian)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 ★ 15.50  
SCR  AZTECA STAR               (paque)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 4.50    
SCR  FIRST CROWNED               (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 120 3.50    
SCR  GOT THE BOB               (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 8.00    
SCR  ONE FOR MY BROTHER               (vosler s)ORM CORY 118 15.00    
SCR  PETTY THIEF               (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
 
TP-4   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :444 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPHIC DETAIL 1 6 54 33½   31 1½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 41% 1.40 2.26 W
8  SHEFFLIN 6 3 32 22½   21 2½ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 26% 2.80 2.34 P
9  INSOLITO 7 1 11½ 12½   11 32¼ (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.57 S
7  DOUBLE CLUTCH 5 4 43½ 55½   43½ 46¾ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 120 2.50 2.76  
10  COYOTE ROAD 8 2 67 711½   78 58¼ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 20.00 20.75  
6  MENDEL'S SECRET 4 7 77 67½   66 68¼ (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 10.00 7.73  
5  MEADOW VALUE 3 5 21½ 44   54 711¼ (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 30.00 40.92  
2  STITZY 2 8 87½ 816½   816 825¼ (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 11% 7.80 23.29  
SCR  CLEAR THE AIR               (walden william)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00    
SCR  WELLMAN               (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
 
TP-5   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  J BIRD TIME 10 9 73¾ 52¼ 41½ 31½ 1¼ (romans dale)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 10.00 10.43  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RUNAWAY RENEE by MUNNINGS)
2  ALLIED VICTORY 2 2 21 31½ 31½ 2½ 2¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 14% 5.90 3.09 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of TARALENA by ARCH)
5  FORT THOMAS 5 6 42½ 63¼ 53 43 3½ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 ★ 5.64 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of BYE BYE BABY by GALILEO)
12  ANTHEM KING 11 10 31 2nk 1½ 1½ 4¾ (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 7.52  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of VALENTINE ROSIE by CURLIN)
4  SWEET FREEDOM 4 11 117¾ 118¾ 85¼ 54 53 (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.89  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ALL AMERICAN GAL by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
6  HOLD THE PHONE 6 4 95¼ 85¼ 95¾ 64 65¼ (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 82.76  
  (by DIVISIDERO out of WISH I UNDERSTOOD by CONCORD POINT)
14  BRILLIANT MAN 12 12 128 129¼ 129¾ 107¾ 76¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00 25% 3.00 26.61  
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of RUBYWOOD by WOODMAN)
3  SO SMOOTH 3 3 106¼ 107¼ 117¾ 96¼ 88¾ (walsh brendan )CEDILLO ABEL 119 10.00 6.87  
  (by CURLIN out of SPANISH HARLEM by MORE THAN READY)
8  FINN MCSORLEY 8 7 84¾ 95¾ 106¾ 86 98¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 37% 1.70 9.35  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  BRITISH SEA 7 5 52¾ 42 64 128¼ 109¾ (maker michae)RAMOS D 119 10.00 16.82  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
10  WARP NINE 9 8 62¾ 73¼ 75 118¼ 1110¼ (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 4.92  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
1  MANFREDI 1 1 11 1nk 2½ 75 1212 (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 16.53  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LEMON SUGAR by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  BAYTOWN BRUISER               (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHES TRICKEY by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  DECATUR STREET               (harty eoin)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CARAMEL SNAP by SMART STRIKE)
 
TP-6   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:143 1:274   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GENERATION (GB) 6 9 84½ 83 62¾ 3.2 13¼ (orantes r)MCKEE J 121 2.50 23% 3.30 1.42 W
2  TEXCOCO 2 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 23¼ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00 5.33  
7  NORBERT 7 3 51¾ 5¾ 31 41¼ 33¾ (delacruz me)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.50 22% 3.50 3.13 S
8  LEAD ACTOR 8 8 41¼ 3.2 2nk 1nk 46¼ (quezada inocen)PAULY SUMMER 114 4.00 ★ 6.17  
3  RISKY CHOICE 3 5 2nk 4¼ 41½ 52¾ 57 (spicer james )LEAHEY HANNAH 121 10.00 12.69  
1  ELEGGUA 1 1 72 72 85¾ 64¼ 69 (ginter ra)CORREA L 124 12.00 10% 8.60 24.08  
4  SERPA 4 7 94½ 95 97¾ 76¼ 713 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00 21.45  
5  MATLOCK (IRE) 5 6 31 2nk 74¼ 86¼ 813½ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 8.00 14% 6.30 13.00  
9  MUD PUDDLE 9 4 61¾ 61 52½ 97¼ 914¾ (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 124 20.00 29.58  
 
TP-7   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUTADORE 5 1 11 11   11½ 1hd (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 2.50 52% 0.90 3.64 W
6  NIGHT TIME 6 5 21 21   21½ 2hd (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 1.41 P
9  SURLY FURIOUS 9 4 83¾ 64½   63¼ 3¼ (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00 7.32  
11  LET MY PEOPLE GO 10 3 41½ 32   42 41¾ (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 6.07  
2  LONG LANCE 2 10 94¾ 54½   52¼ 53¼ (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00 20.84  
3  OCEANIC 3 9 105 85¾   75¼ 64 (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 6.94  
1  LATIGO 1 6 53 43   32 74½ (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.34  
7  VOODOO ZIP 7 7 73¼ 107¾   98¼ 812 (barrett r)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 79.11  
4  KOOLHAUS 4 8 63¼ 97¾   108¾ 913¼ (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 23.32  
8  ZOOMBIE 8 2 31 75½   88¼ 1019½ (shryock collee)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 36.45  
SCR  PURPLE DREAM               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
TP-8   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:141 1:264   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  EFFICACIOUS 12 5 21 21 2nk 11½ 1hd (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.50 6% 16.30 2.89 W
2  JENNY LIND 2 3 31 32 41 21½ 2hd (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 8% 12.10 4.66 P
8  FORTUNE BOUND 8 7 105½ 106¼ 103¼ 43 33 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 4.30  
10  PSYCHEDELIC 10 12 116½ 117¾ 114¾ 75½ 46½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 15.53  
5  TALL GIRL 5 2 82¾ 84¼ 3½ 33 57¾ (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 12.00 5% 18.00 16.55  
4  FIRST HILL 4 1 41½ 63¼ 72½ 53½ 68½ (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 6.40  
3  I GOTTA BOLT 3 6 93 95¼ 82¾ 86 79¼ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00 57.10  
7  AZURA 7 8 126½ 128 125¼ 107½ 810½ (maker michae)RAMOS D 121 10.00 12.31  
6  HAMMER AND JAMMER 6 4 11 11 1nk 64½ 914 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 36.64  
1  FEARLESS KRISTIE 1 9 72¾ 73¼ 62 96½ 1015 (pino v)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.50 57% 0.80 13.25  
9  ECONOMIC HANGOVER 9 10 51¾ 42 51½ 1110 1121¾ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 8.00 7.46  
11  RED JAG 11 11 62¼ 53 92¾ 1211½ 1222 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 31.63  
SCR  VOGELSANG               (reed r)MCKEE J 118 10.00    
 
TP-9   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KINGMAKING (GB) 9 3 12 12½   11½ 11½ (baez sergio)OUZTS W 122 4.00 32% 2.10 5.76 W
12  GOTHAM GRAY 11 2 43 22½   21½ 21½ (delacour arnau)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.00 32% 2.10 2.56 P
6  CASINO ANNIE 5 9 88¾ 810   57 35¼ (parker r)MCKEE J 122 30.00 5% 19.00 16.83 S
9  CHANEL POINT 8 5 54 54½   33½ 45¾ (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 8.00 3.95  
7  HONEYTOWN 6 6 33 44   45 56¼ (anderso)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 15% 5.80 4.41  
4  CANCERFREE KIDS 3 7 76¾ 79½   67½ 68¾ (hester h)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00 18.54  
2  PINK ROBE 2 8 99¾ 912   710 79¼ (short ricky)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00 29.32  
5  TOP HAT TIGRESS 4 12 1011¾ 1014½   812 812¾ (adams l)HESS SARA 112 15.00 ★ 32.35  
1  KAYS HEAVENLY STAR 1 10 1214¼ 1218½   1114½ 918 (sanchez emma)FIGUEROA JOVAN 122 20.00 48.19  
8  CANGUA 7 4 64¼ 68   1013½ 1021¾ (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 122 30.00 60.19  
11  TEXAS PRINCESS 10 11 1113¼ 1116½   1214¾ 1123 (cristel j)PAULY SUMMER 112 8.00 10.09  
13  PROUD PERFORMER 12 1 22 32½   913½ 1225¾ (king barry )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 20.00 9.00  
SCR  ARAYA               (caramori eduar)PAULY SUMMER 112 20.00    
SCR  JANIE LEE               (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 112 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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