Handicappers' Race Results

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Turfway Park
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.86 $3.86  
TP-2   Win (3/10/14/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $9.00 $9.00  
TP-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.72 $3.72  
TP-4   Win (1/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.52 $6.52  
TP-5   Win (8/14/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $22.86  
TP-6   Win (6/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.84 $4.84  
TP-7   Win (5/10/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $9.28 $9.28  
TP-8   Win (1/2/12/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $7.78 $7.78  
TP-9   Win (12/10/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $13.52 $13.52 5.52

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :471 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURE ENOUGH 6 7 4 2nk   1nk 1 (van thom)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 1.80 48% 1.10 0.93 W
LITURGIA 5 3 5 7   4 2 (howard joh)MARTINEZ A 118 4.50 16% 5.20 2.26 P
MYGALJUSTICE 4 8 8 8   6 3 (sanchez j)MORALES JOSHUA 120 5.00 8.66  
ZERO CLICK 1 4 3 3½   5 4 (norris mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 8% 12.00 7.99  
DESDEMONA KAY 2 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 55 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 15.00 28.03  
XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 8 2 6 6   3 6 (nihei michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 118 4.00 13.63  
FLATTER ME ZEN 7 1 7 5   7 712¼ (barrett roddina)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 28.70  
TIZ BIZ 3 6 2nk 4¾   8 812¾ (brafford c)FELIX E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 24.88  
 
TP-2   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:134 1:262   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HOT HEELS 7 2 11 1 1 15 18 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 24% 3.10 3.50 W
SILVER SEA 6 9 7 7 5 4 28 (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00 5.42  
C F V TU BRUTUS 4 5 5 6 4 25 3 (gonzalez lilia)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 10.00 18.92  
11  FREDERICIA 8 7 9 8 9 6 4 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 8.00 6% 14.60 2.21  
LIEUTENANT KITTY 5 8 8 10 7 57 5 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 121 8.00 5% 19.00 18.23  
12  SWIFT TEMPLE 9 10 10 9 8 78 611¾ (wisner tr)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 18.76  
LUCKY SHORE 3 1 21 2 3 3 714 (sturgeon robe)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 10.66  
BLUE NEITH 2 4 64 5 66 9 815¼ (watkins m)FELIX E 121 4.00 30% 2.40 8.45  
SPICY SOMMELIER 1 3 42 32 2 89 921 (esquivel je)CORREA L 121 30.00 28.85  
14  COMMANDERS PALACE 10 6 32 42 10 1012½ 1025 (alessi james)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 10% 9.20 5.89  
SCR  COLUMN               (meah m)VILLARREAL OSCAR 108 30.00    
SCR  KIT CAN RUN               (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.00    
SCR  PINK PARTY PANTS               (sanchez j)MORALES JOSHUA 118 12.00    
SCR  RECOGNIZE ME               (blair jordan)CARROLL DECLAN 118 4.50    
 
TP-3   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASPER JUSTICE 2 5 4 3.2   1nk 1 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.50 36% 1.80 0.86 W
HASKELLED 1 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 36% 1.80 1.29 P
KOBE BEACH 4 4 5 5   5 36 (rodriquez reg)JIMENEZ J 120 20.00 11.19  
10  HINDOSTAIN FALLS 5 1 2nk 2nk   3 4 (woodbury judy)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 10.00 9.21  
SUNSIGN 3 2 31 4   4 5 (cook brian)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 15.50  
SCR  AZTECA STAR               (paquett)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 4.50    
SCR  FIRST CROWNED               (sanchez j)MORALES JOSHUA 120 3.50    
SCR  GOT THE BOB               (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 8.00    
SCR  ONE FOR MY BROTHER               (vosler s)ORM CORY 118 15.00    
SCR  PETTY THIEF               (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
 
TP-4   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :444 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAPHIC DETAIL 1 6 54 3   31 1½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 41% 1.40 2.26 W
SHEFFLIN 6 3 32 2   21 2½ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 26% 2.80 2.34 P
INSOLITO 7 1 1 1   11 3 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.57 S
DOUBLE CLUTCH 5 4 4 5   4 4 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 2.50 2.76  
10  COYOTE ROAD 8 2 67 711½   78 5 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 20.00 20.75  
MENDEL'S SECRET 4 7 77 6   66 6 (maker michael)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 10.00 7.73  
MEADOW VALUE 3 5 2 44   54 711¼ (elliott mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 30.00 40.92  
STITZY 2 8 8 816½   816 825¼ (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 11% 7.80 23.29  
SCR  CLEAR THE AIR               (walden william)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00    
SCR  WELLMAN               (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
 
TP-5   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  J BIRD TIME 10 9 7 5 4 3 1¼ (romans dale)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 10.00 10.43  
ALLIED VICTORY 2 2 21 3 3 2½ 2¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 14% 5.90 3.09 P
FORT THOMAS 5 6 4 6 53 43 3½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 5.64 S
12  ANTHEM KING 11 10 31 2nk 1½ 1½ 4¾ (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 7.52  
SWEET FREEDOM 4 11 11 11 8 54 53 (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.89  
HOLD THE PHONE 6 4 9 8 9 64 6 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 82.76  
14  BRILLIANT MAN 12 12 128 12 12 10 7 (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00 25% 3.00 26.61  
SO SMOOTH 3 3 10 10 11 9 8 (walsh p)CEDILLO ABEL 119 10.00 6.87  
FINN MCSORLEY 8 7 8 9 10 86 9 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 37% 1.70 9.35  
BRITISH SEA 7 5 5 42 64 12 10 (maker michael )RAMOS D 119 10.00 16.82  
10  WARP NINE 9 8 6 7 75 11 1110¼ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 4.92  
MANFREDI 1 1 11 1nk 2½ 75 1212 (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 16.53  
SCR  BAYTOWN BRUISER               (wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
SCR  DECATUR STREET               (harty eoin)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
 
TP-6   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:143 1:274   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERATION (GB) 6 9 8 83 6 3.2 1 (orantes r)MCKEE J 121 2.50 23% 3.30 1.42 W
TEXCOCO 2 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 2 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00 5.33  
NORBERT 7 3 5 5¾ 31 4 3 (delacruz meji)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.50 22% 3.50 3.13 S
LEAD ACTOR 8 8 4 3.2 2nk 1nk 4 (quezada inocenci)PAULY SUMMER 114 4.00 6.17  
RISKY CHOICE 3 5 2nk 4¼ 4 5 57 (spicer t)LEAHEY HANNAH 121 10.00 12.69  
ELEGGUA 1 1 72 72 8 6 69 (ginter raym)CORREA L 124 12.00 10% 8.60 24.08  
SERPA 4 7 9 95 9 7 713 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00 21.45  
MATLOCK (IRE) 5 6 31 2nk 7 8 813½ (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 8.00 14% 6.30 13.00  
MUD PUDDLE 9 4 6 61 5 9 914¾ (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 124 20.00 29.58  
 
TP-7   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTADORE 5 1 11 11   1 1hd (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 2.50 52% 0.90 3.64 W
NIGHT TIME 6 5 21 21   2 2hd (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 1.41 P
SURLY FURIOUS 9 4 8 6   6 3¼ (wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00 7.32  
11  LET MY PEOPLE GO 10 3 4 32   42 4 (oliver victoria)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 6.07  
LONG LANCE 2 10 9 5   5 5 (stidham micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00 20.84  
OCEANIC 3 9 105 8   7 64 (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 6.94  
LATIGO 1 6 53 43   32 7 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.34  
VOODOO ZIP 7 7 7 10   9 812 (barrett rod)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 79.11  
KOOLHAUS 4 8 6 9   10 913¼ (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 23.32  
ZOOMBIE 8 2 31 7   8 1019½ (shryock colleen)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 36.45  
SCR  PURPLE DREAM               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
TP-8   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:141 1:264   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  EFFICACIOUS 12 5 21 21 2nk 1 1hd (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.50 6% 16.30 2.89 W
JENNY LIND 2 3 31 32 41 2 2hd (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 8% 12.10 4.66 P
FORTUNE BOUND 8 7 10 10 10 43 33 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 4.30  
10  PSYCHEDELIC 10 12 11 11 11 7 4 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 15.53  
TALL GIRL 5 2 8 8 3½ 33 5 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 12.00 5% 18.00 16.55  
FIRST HILL 4 1 4 6 7 5 6 (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 6.40  
I GOTTA BOLT 3 6 93 9 8 86 7 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00 57.10  
AZURA 7 8 12 128 12 10 810½ (maker michael )RAMOS D 121 10.00 12.31  
HAMMER AND JAMMER 6 4 11 11 1nk 6 914 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 36.64  
FEARLESS KRISTIE 1 9 7 7 62 9 1015 (pino v)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.50 57% 0.80 13.25  
ECONOMIC HANGOVER 9 10 5 42 5 1110 1121¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 8.00 7.46  
11  RED JAG 11 11 6 53 9 1211½ 1222 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 31.63  
SCR  VOGELSANG               (reed r)MCKEE J 118 10.00    
 
TP-9   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KINGMAKING (GB) 9 3 12 1   1 1 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 122 4.00 32% 2.10 5.76 W
12  GOTHAM GRAY 11 2 43 2   2 2 (delacour arnaud)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.00 32% 2.10 2.56 P
CASINO ANNIE 5 9 8 810   57 3 (parker r)MCKEE J 122 30.00 5% 19.00 16.83 S
CHANEL POINT 8 5 54 5   3 4 (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 8.00 3.95  
HONEYTOWN 6 6 33 44   45 5 (anderson )DE CRUZ 124 3.50 15% 5.80 4.41  
CANCERFREE KIDS 3 7 7 7   6 6 (hester hal)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00 18.54  
PINK ROBE 2 8 9 912   710 7 (short j)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00 29.32  
TOP HAT TIGRESS 4 12 1011¾ 1014½   812 812¾ (adams l)HESS SARA 112 15.00 32.35  
KAYS HEAVENLY STAR 1 10 1214¼ 1218½   1114½ 918 (sanchez j)FIGUEROA JOVAN 122 20.00 48.19  
CANGUA 7 4 6 68   1013½ 1021¾ (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 122 30.00 60.19  
11  TEXAS PRINCESS 10 11 1113¼ 1116½   1214¾ 1123 (cristel j)PAULY SUMMER 112 8.00 10.09  
13  PROUD PERFORMER 12 1 22 3   913½ 1225¾ (king l)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 20.00 9.00  
SCR  ARAYA               (caramori eduardo)PAULY SUMMER 112 20.00    
SCR  JANIE LEE               (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 112 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.