Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (6/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $11.48 $3.48 44%
    EXA (6/2/3/9)-(6/2/3/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-6 $74.74 $50.74 211%
    DD (5/2)-(6/2/3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-9 $13.69 $5.69 71%
CD-6   DD (5/4/9/1)-(6/2/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-2 $19.01 $3.01 19%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COLLECT A LIL 2 5 42 32   21½ 1¾ (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00 9.05  
1  VALIANT PRAISE 1 6 75 65½   43 2¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 11% 8.20 3.35 P
4  DAISY JONES 4 1 1½ 1½   11½ 31½ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 44% 1.30 2.14 S
6  LIL TOWN SIS 6 7 64 75½   53½ 42 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 124 4.00 5.37  
5  SQUASH BLOSSOM 5 8 87 87½   66 57 (ward dean)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 37.36  
3  MAMBA OUT 3 3 2½ 2½   32½ 69¾ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 14% 5.90 3.40  
7  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX 7 2 52½ 54   79 717 (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 18.97  
8  WILLADEAN 8 4 31 43½   811 823 (phillips terry)MOJICA O 122 6.00 9% 9.90 8.55  
 
CD-2   11/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AIR COMBAT 5 4 3½ 2½   12 11¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 73% 0.40 0.45 W
8  TRIGGER HAPPY 6 1 41 41½   33 21¼ (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 8.00 6.89  
1  EL FRANCO 1 2 64½ 65½   66 33¼ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 29.88  
3  G T FIVE HUNDRED 3 6 52 52½   45 44¾ (engler j)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 ★ 6.89  
2  FIRE BRYAN 2 3 2nk 1½   22 57¼ (delacruz m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.97  
4  CATIPARI 4 5 1nk 3½   56 611½ (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 25.63  
SCR  HASTINGS SUNRISE               (west m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50    
SCR  TAKE THE CHARGE               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00    
 
CD-3   11/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:134 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DR KRINGLE 9 9 53½ 53 41 2nk 1nk (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00 6% 15.20 4.74 W
6  EMPIRE'S BEST 6 4 31½ 31½ 1½ 1nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 31% 2.20 5.05 P
7  VIGANO 7 6 42 42 52 32½ 33¼ (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 13.81  
8  MY SANCTUARY 8 7 74½ 74 63 43 45¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 23.20  
4  BEAUMONT RED 4 2 63½ 64 85½ 55 58¾ (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 9.48  
2  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 2 5 85 96 98 89 612¾ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00 31% 2.20 2.83  
3  WE WILL CONQUER 3 1 21 21 2½ 66 717½ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 8% 11.30 7.65  
1  AWAY FROM HOME 1 3 11 11 3½ 77½ 820¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 2.96  
5  EGYPTIAN KING 5 8 96 84½ 73½ 910 926¼ (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 23.77  
SCR  CAFE RACER               (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
 
CD-4   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ARCHIE THE GIZA 6 7 75 66½ 43 21½ 11 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 3.17  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
9  CROSSING 7 6 21 21 11 11½ 21 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 5% 19.00 40.77 P
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
5  MOHEGAN 4 10 109¾ 1011¼ 76½ 44 33 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 10.27  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
12  MAIN LINE CIPHER 10 8 43 44½ 31½ 32 44¾ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5.47  
  (by HONOR CODE out of MY PHILLY GIRL by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  ELEGANT TRIP 5 4 53½ 54½ 65½ 55 55¾ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 18% 4.60 4.18  
  (by TOURIST out of NATIVE TALENT by A.P. INDY)
10  ATHENS MOON 8 5 11 11 21 65 612¾ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 12% 7.60 5.72  
  (by NYQUIST out of GASP by TINAJERO)
1  BEL AMI 1 1 31 33 53 78 715¼ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 5.00 42% 1.40 5.08  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALMINA by MACHO UNO)
11  STONKS 9 9 95¾ 88¼ 88 88½ 815¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 9.11  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOW UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  FUNSTRUCK 3 3 85¼ 76¾ 99 910 917 (olivo k)MCKEE J 121 30.00 7% 13.10 28.87  
  (by UNIFIED out of HI SUGAR by JUMP START)
3  BE THERE 2 2 64 98¾ 1011 1012½ 1023½ (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 13.92  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TIN TYPE GAL by TAPIT)
SCR  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK               (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
SCR  QUALITY WEST               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CARA MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  REMARKABLE MO               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of REMARKABLE MOON by LEMON DROP KID)
 
CD-5   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UPSTRIKER 4 2 1nk 13   12½ 1¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 25% 3.00 3.20 W
6  PALACE KITTEN 5 6 64¾ 43½   22½ 2¼ (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 2.85  
8  SPEIGHT AND MALICE 7 3 52¼ 56   55½ 35¼ (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 110 15.00 10.47  
4  WELLMAN 3 7 79¾ 78¾   67 48 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 6.00 25% 3.00 15.21  
9  MACHO ROCCO 8 1 31½ 33   34½ 58¼ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 120 8.00 20% 4.00 3.41  
3  RISK PROFILE 2 8 810¼ 88¾   87¾ 69¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 3.50 5.44  
1  DEVOTED TO YOU 1 4 2nk 23   45½ 711¼ (vance thom)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 39.60  
7  STEINBECK 6 5 42 66¼   77½ 811¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00 5.26  
SCR  DROP IT               (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STANDOUTSENSATION 1 3 11 11 11 12½ 13¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 32% 2.20 2.82 W
11  BROUGHTY FERRY 9 7 84½ 96½ 910 66½ 23¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 16.83  
10  SAVANNAMARIE 8 6 73½ 64 64½ 44½ 34 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 10% 8.80 6.67 S
12  CORKAGE FEE 10 1 42 42 32 22½ 45¼ (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 7.46  
6  BUSINESS AS USUAL 5 4 21 21 21 32½ 57¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 32% 2.20 3.26  
3  VINO FROM ERNIES 2 8 63 53½ 54½ 56 67¼ (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 23.44  
8  AVALON GIRL 7 9 106½ 107½ 87 910 710¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6.77  
7  MONEY WORKS 6 10 95½ 75½ 76½ 78½ 811 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 ★ 8.37  
5  MOTHER FREEDOM 4 5 52 31½ 44 89½ 915½ (hamilton )HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 56.52  
4  SHOW ME THE CANDY 3 2 31½ 85½ 1022 1030 1057¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.46  
SCR  MY FAVORITE GIRL               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S A SAINT               (dunn step)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
 
CD-7   11/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:101     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BORN FLAWLESS 2 2 1½ 11   12½ 12¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6.23  
4  CHANCE 3 6 73¾ 53½   34 22¼ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.82 P
8  AIRBORNE ELITE 7 7 51¼ 75¼   56½ 34 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 10.00 16.33  
2  SUPREMELY 1 5 62¼ 31½   22½ 45½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 12.82  
6  ATTACHE 5 1 3½ 21   45 511½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.07  
9  OLLIEMEISTER 8 3 41 43½   69 617½ (shirer m)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 22% 3.60 2.93  
7  DR. PERRY 6 8 86¼ 87¼   710 724¼ (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12% 7.10 16.79  
5  ROCKING ROCKET 4 4 2½ 63¾   816½ 835½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 13.84  
SCR  PASS LINE               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
 
CD-8   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPA CANDY 1 7 73½ 76   52¼ 11 (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 7.71  
3  AUNT BECCA 3 6 1½ 3½   1½ 21 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00 4.36 P
6  WILLOW BEND 5 3 41½ 41½   3½ 31½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6.33  
9  JOKE SISI (CHI) 8 5 62½ 52½   72¾ 43¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 69% 0.50 1.93  
5  MORE THAN VOWS 4 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 54¾ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 8.28  
7  ZAWISH 6 1 52 64   62¾ 65½ (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.61  
2  LET'S BE CLEAR 2 8 86 86½   84¼ 75½ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50 ★ 10.24  
8  UNSOLVED MYSTERY 7 2 31½ 1nk   4¾ 86 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 8.43  
SCR  NAUGHTY LOTTIE               (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  TAKE A STAND               (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:213 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS 4 5 1nk 3½   2½ 1¼ (englehart)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 6.65  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
14  RUN JALEN RUN 11 8 64¼ 62½   42 2¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.41 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANALYZE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
13  BEAR RIVER 10 1 51¾ 2nk   1½ 3½ (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 12% 7.00 10.38 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SIXTYFIVENORTH by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  MOHAWK RIVER 2 6 107¼ 96   73½ 41½ (baker james)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 13% 6.90 6.78  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of REMEDY by CREATIVE CAUSE)
10  SALMING 8 2 41½ 52   62½ 52¼ (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 9% 10.30 6.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of READY TO TANGO by MORE THAN READY)
9  MACKVILLE 7 3 2nk 1nk   31 62½ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DYNAMIC JUSTICE by LANTANA MOB)
6  ADRIFT 5 7 74¼ 85   85½ 73¾ (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 49.16  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BERNADETTA by BERNARDINI)
11  RUNAWAY JOKE 9 4 31 41½   52½ 84¼ (heitzman )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 22.05  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of QUIVERY by VIOLENCE)
1  DEBT PAID 1 11 96¼ 74½   97½ 97½ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 41.53  
  (by COLLECTED out of PRISONER'S DILEMMA by BLAME)
3  COUNTY JUDGE 3 12 1212¾ 1212½   1010½ 1010½ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 11.32  
  (by MITOLE out of THREE D FLAG by SUPER SAVER)
15  MOR ZIP 12 10 1111¼ 1110   1111½ 1112½ (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 39.79  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of ZIPPY SPEED by CITY ZIP)
7  STRADIVARIAN 6 9 85¾ 109½   1216½ 1227½ (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 80.04  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
SCR  FEAR AND LOATHING               (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SALLY POLLOCK HIGH by SENOR SWINGER)
SCR  GAGLIARDI               (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LISTEN A. P. by A.P. INDY)
SCR  YAQUI VALLEY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of OBREGON by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.