The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $20.10 -8.00
CD-2   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -1.10
CD-3   Win (6/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $11.48 $11.48 3.48
CD-4   Win (1/7/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $8.34 -10.00
CD-5   Win (5/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
CD-6   Win (6/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.64 $7.64 -0.36
CD-7   Win (6/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $14.46 -8.00
CD-8   Win (9/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $17.42 -6.00
CD-9   Win (14/2/13/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $15.30 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECT A LIL 2 5 42 32   21¾ (davis chri)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00 9.05  
VALIANT PRAISE 1 6 75 6   43 2¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 11% 8.20 3.35 P
DAISY JONES 4 1 1½ 1½   13(stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 44% 1.30 2.14 S
LIL TOWN SIS 6 7 64 7   542 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 124 4.00 5.37  
SQUASH BLOSSOM 5 8 87 8   66 57 (ward dean)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 37.36  
MAMBA OUT 3 3 2½ 2½   36(moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 14% 5.90 3.40  
SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX 7 2 5 54   79 717 (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 18.97  
WILLADEAN 8 4 31 4   811 823 (phillips terry)MOJICA O 122 6.00 9% 9.90 8.55  
 
CD-2   11/22/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR COMBAT 5 4 3½ 2½   12 1(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 73% 0.40 0.45 W
TRIGGER HAPPY 6 1 41 4   33 2(garcia genaro)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 8.00 6.89  
EL FRANCO 1 2 6 6   66 3(combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 29.88  
G T FIVE HUNDRED 3 6 52 5   45 4(engler jef)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 6.89  
FIRE BRYAN 2 3 2nk 1½   22 5(delacruz mej)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.97  
CATIPARI 4 5 1nk 3½   56 611½ (navarrete a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 25.63  
SCR  HASTINGS SUNRISE               (west m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50    
SCR  TAKE THE CHARGE               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00    
 
CD-3   11/22/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:134 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR KRINGLE 9 9 5 53 41 2nk 1nk (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00 6% 15.20 4.74 W
EMPIRE'S BEST 6 4 3 3 1½ 1nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 31% 2.20 5.05 P
VIGANO 7 6 42 42 52 33(zito p)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 13.81  
MY SANCTUARY 8 7 7 74 63 43 4(wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 23.20  
BEAUMONT RED 4 2 6 64 8 55 5(desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 9.48  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 2 5 85 96 98 89 612¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00 31% 2.20 2.83  
WE WILL CONQUER 3 1 21 21 2½ 66 717½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 8% 11.30 7.65  
AWAY FROM HOME 1 3 11 11 3½ 7820¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 2.96  
EGYPTIAN KING 5 8 96 8 7 910 926¼ (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 23.77  
SCR  CAFE RACER               (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
 
CD-4   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCHIE THE GIZA 6 7 75 6 43 211 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 3.17  
CROSSING 7 6 21 21 11 121 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 5% 19.00 40.77 P
MOHEGAN 4 10 10 1011¼ 7 44 33 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 10.27  
12  MAIN LINE CIPHER 10 8 43 4 3 32 4(walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5.47  
ELEGANT TRIP 5 4 5 5 6 55 5(arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 18% 4.60 4.18  
10  ATHENS MOON 8 5 11 11 21 65 612¾ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 12% 7.60 5.72  
BEL AMI 1 1 31 33 53 78 715¼ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 121 5.00 42% 1.40 5.08  
11  STONKS 9 9 9 8 88 8815¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 9.11  
FUNSTRUCK 3 3 8 7 99 910 917 (olivo k)MCKEE J 121 30.00 7% 13.10 28.87  
BE THERE 2 2 64 9 1011 1012½ 1023½ (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 13.92  
SCR  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK               (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00    
SCR  QUALITY WEST               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00    
SCR  REMARKABLE MO               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
 
CD-5   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSTRIKER 4 2 1nk 13   11¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 25% 3.00 3.20 W
PALACE KITTEN 5 6 6 4   22¼ (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 2.85  
SPEIGHT AND MALICE 7 3 5 56   53(caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 110 15.00 10.47  
WELLMAN 3 7 7 7   67 48 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 6.00 25% 3.00 15.21  
MACHO ROCCO 8 1 3 33   35(diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 20% 4.00 3.41  
RISK PROFILE 2 8 810¼ 8   86(asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 3.50 5.44  
DEVOTED TO YOU 1 4 2nk 23   4711¼ (vance thomas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 39.60  
STEINBECK 6 5 42 6   7811¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00 5.26  
SCR  DROP IT               (edwards william)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/22/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANDOUTSENSATION 1 3 11 11 11 11(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 32% 2.20 2.82 W
11  BROUGHTY FERRY 9 7 8 9 910 62(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 16.83  
10  SAVANNAMARIE 8 6 7 64 6 434 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 10% 8.80 6.67 S
12  CORKAGE FEE 10 1 42 42 32 24(mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 7.46  
BUSINESS AS USUAL 5 4 21 21 21 35(brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 32% 2.20 3.26  
VINO FROM ERNIES 2 8 63 5 5 56 6(colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 23.44  
AVALON GIRL 7 9 10 10 87 910 710¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6.77  
MONEY WORKS 6 10 9 7 7 7811 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 8.37  
MOTHER FREEDOM 4 5 52 3 44 8915½ (hamilton sa)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 56.52  
SHOW ME THE CANDY 3 2 3 8 1022 1030 1057¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.46  
SCR  MY FAVORITE GIRL               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S A SAINT               (dunn stephe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
 
CD-7   11/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:101     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN FLAWLESS 2 2 1½ 11   11(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6.23  
CHANCE 3 6 7 5   34 2(drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.82 P
AIRBORNE ELITE 7 7 5 7   534 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 10.00 16.33  
SUPREMELY 1 5 6 3   24(cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 12.82  
ATTACHE 5 1 3½ 21   45 511½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.07  
OLLIEMEISTER 8 3 41 4   69 617½ (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 22% 3.60 2.93  
DR. PERRY 6 8 8 8   710 724¼ (joseph a)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12% 7.10 16.79  
ROCKING ROCKET 4 4 2½ 6   816½ 835½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 13.84  
SCR  PASS LINE               (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
 
CD-8   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPA CANDY 1 7 7 76   511 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 7.71  
AUNT BECCA 3 6 1½ 3½   1½ 21 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00 4.36 P
WILLOW BEND 5 3 4 4   3½ 3(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6.33  
JOKE SISI (CHI) 8 5 6 5   74(correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 69% 0.50 1.93  
MORE THAN VOWS 4 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 5(lynch a)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 8.28  
ZAWISH 6 1 52 64   66(pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.61  
LET'S BE CLEAR 2 8 86 8   87(contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50 10.24  
UNSOLVED MYSTERY 7 2 3 1nk   4¾ 86 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 8.43  
SCR  NAUGHTY LOTTIE               (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  TAKE A STAND               (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:213 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS 4 5 1nk 3½   2½ 1¼ (englehart j)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 6.65  
14  RUN JALEN RUN 11 8 6 6   42 2¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.41 P
13  BEAR RIVER 10 1 5 2nk   1½ 3½ (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 12% 7.00 10.38 S
MOHAWK RIVER 2 6 10 96   74(baker james)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 13% 6.90 6.78  
10  SALMING 8 2 4 52   65(caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 9% 10.30 6.20  
MACKVILLE 7 3 2nk 1nk   31 6(lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
ADRIFT 5 7 7 85   87(wojczy)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 49.16  
11  RUNAWAY JOKE 9 4 31 4   58(heitzman er)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 22.05  
DEBT PAID 1 11 9 7   99(lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 41.53  
COUNTY JUDGE 3 12 1212¾ 1212½   1010½ 1010½ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 11.32  
15  MOR ZIP 12 10 1111¼ 1110   1111½ 1112½ (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 39.79  
STRADIVARIAN 6 9 8 10   1216½ 1227½ (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 80.04  
SCR  FEAR AND LOATHING               (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
SCR  GAGLIARDI               (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  YAQUI VALLEY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.