Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (6/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $11.48 $3.48 44%
    EXA (6/2/3/9)-(6/2/3/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-6 $74.74 $50.74 211%
    DD (5/2)-(6/2/3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-9 $13.69 $5.69 71%
CD-6   DD (5/4/9/1)-(6/2/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-2 $19.01 $3.01 19%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COLLECT A LIL   (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00 9.05  
1  VALIANT PRAISE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 11% 8.20 3.35 P
4  DAISY JONES   (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 44% 1.30 2.14 S
6  LIL TOWN SIS   (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 124 4.00 5.37  
5  SQUASH BLOSSOM   (ward dean)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 37.36  
3  MAMBA OUT   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 14% 5.90 3.40  
7  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX   (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 18.97  
8  WILLADEAN   (phillips terry)MOJICA O 122 6.00 9% 9.90 8.55  
 
CD-2   11/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AIR COMBAT   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 73% 0.40 0.45 W
8  TRIGGER HAPPY   (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 8.00 6.89  
1  EL FRANCO   (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 29.88  
3  G T FIVE HUNDRED   (engler j)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 ★ 6.89  
2  FIRE BRYAN   (delacruz m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.97  
4  CATIPARI   (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 25.63  
SCR  HASTINGS SUNRISE   (west m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50    
SCR  TAKE THE CHARGE   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00    
 
CD-3   11/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DR KRINGLE   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00 6% 15.20 4.74 W
6  EMPIRE'S BEST   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 31% 2.20 5.05 P
7  VIGANO   (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 13.81  
8  MY SANCTUARY   (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 23.20  
4  BEAUMONT RED   (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 9.48  
2  ACTIVE DUTY (FR)   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00 31% 2.20 2.83  
3  WE WILL CONQUER   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 8% 11.30 7.65  
1  AWAY FROM HOME   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 2.96  
5  EGYPTIAN KING   (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 23.77  
SCR  CAFE RACER   (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
 
CD-4   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ARCHIE THE GIZA   (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 3.17  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
9  CROSSING   (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 5% 19.00 40.77 P
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
5  MOHEGAN   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 10.27  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
12  MAIN LINE CIPHER   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5.47  
  (by HONOR CODE out of MY PHILLY GIRL by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  ELEGANT TRIP   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 18% 4.60 4.18  
  (by TOURIST out of NATIVE TALENT by A.P. INDY)
10  ATHENS MOON   (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 12% 7.60 5.72  
  (by NYQUIST out of GASP by TINAJERO)
1  BEL AMI   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 5.00 42% 1.40 5.08  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALMINA by MACHO UNO)
11  STONKS   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 9.11  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOW UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  FUNSTRUCK   (olivo k)MCKEE J 121 30.00 7% 13.10 28.87  
  (by UNIFIED out of HI SUGAR by JUMP START)
3  BE THERE   (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 13.92  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TIN TYPE GAL by TAPIT)
SCR  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK   (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
SCR  QUALITY WEST   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CARA MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  REMARKABLE MO   (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of REMARKABLE MOON by LEMON DROP KID)
 
CD-5   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UPSTRIKER   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 25% 3.00 3.20 W
6  PALACE KITTEN   (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 2.85  
8  SPEIGHT AND MALICE   (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 110 15.00 10.47  
4  WELLMAN   (reed r)MCKEE J 120 6.00 25% 3.00 15.21  
9  MACHO ROCCO   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 120 8.00 20% 4.00 3.41  
3  RISK PROFILE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 3.50 5.44  
1  DEVOTED TO YOU   (vance thom)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 39.60  
7  STEINBECK   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00 5.26  
SCR  DROP IT   (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STANDOUTSENSATION   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 32% 2.20 2.82 W
11  BROUGHTY FERRY   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 16.83  
10  SAVANNAMARIE   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 10% 8.80 6.67 S
12  CORKAGE FEE   (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 7.46  
6  BUSINESS AS USUAL   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 32% 2.20 3.26  
3  VINO FROM ERNIES   (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 23.44  
8  AVALON GIRL   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6.77  
7  MONEY WORKS   (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 ★ 8.37  
5  MOTHER FREEDOM   (hamilton )HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 56.52  
4  SHOW ME THE CANDY   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.46  
SCR  MY FAVORITE GIRL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S A SAINT   (dunn step)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
 
CD-7   11/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BORN FLAWLESS   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6.23  
4  CHANCE   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.82 P
8  AIRBORNE ELITE   (reed r)MCKEE J 118 10.00 16.33  
2  SUPREMELY   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 12.82  
6  ATTACHE   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.07  
9  OLLIEMEISTER   (shirer m)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 22% 3.60 2.93  
7  DR. PERRY   (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12% 7.10 16.79  
5  ROCKING ROCKET   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 13.84  
SCR  PASS LINE   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
 
CD-8   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPA CANDY   (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 7.71  
3  AUNT BECCA   (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00 4.36 P
6  WILLOW BEND   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6.33  
9  JOKE SISI (CHI)   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 69% 0.50 1.93  
5  MORE THAN VOWS   (lynch a)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 8.28  
7  ZAWISH   (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.61  
2  LET'S BE CLEAR   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50 ★ 10.24  
8  UNSOLVED MYSTERY   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 8.43  
SCR  NAUGHTY LOTTIE   (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  TAKE A STAND   (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS   (englehart)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 6.65  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
14  RUN JALEN RUN   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.41 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANALYZE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
13  BEAR RIVER   (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 12% 7.00 10.38 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SIXTYFIVENORTH by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  MOHAWK RIVER   (baker james)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 13% 6.90 6.78  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of REMEDY by CREATIVE CAUSE)
10  SALMING   (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 9% 10.30 6.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of READY TO TANGO by MORE THAN READY)
9  MACKVILLE   (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DYNAMIC JUSTICE by LANTANA MOB)
6  ADRIFT   (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 49.16  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BERNADETTA by BERNARDINI)
11  RUNAWAY JOKE   (heitzman )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 22.05  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of QUIVERY by VIOLENCE)
1  DEBT PAID   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 41.53  
  (by COLLECTED out of PRISONER'S DILEMMA by BLAME)
3  COUNTY JUDGE   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 11.32  
  (by MITOLE out of THREE D FLAG by SUPER SAVER)
15  MOR ZIP   (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 39.79  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of ZIPPY SPEED by CITY ZIP)
7  STRADIVARIAN   (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 80.04  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
SCR  FEAR AND LOATHING   (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SALLY POLLOCK HIGH by SENOR SWINGER)
SCR  GAGLIARDI   (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LISTEN A. P. by A.P. INDY)
SCR  YAQUI VALLEY   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of OBREGON by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.