The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mountaineer Park
Monday - November 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MNR-1   Win (8/4/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $33.00 -8.00
MNR-2   Win (2/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
MNR-3   Win (6/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $6.80 -8.00
MNR-5   Win (3/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $16.60 $16.60 8.60
MNR-6   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
MNR-7   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 6.60
MNR-8   Win (7/5/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMES MISTER 6 9 9 6   45 1nk (spiess m)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 15.50  
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 3 6 6 7   32nk (robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 1.80 P
SO COURAGEOUS 7 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 3(patterson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 4.00  
10  KAPHAVATA 9 4 3 2nk   2½ 4(spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
BORN FOR VICTORY 4 3 4 32   65(cordero-lop)HERNANDEZ H 123 10.00 26% 2.90 27.60 DH
KAZTHAROS 8 7 53 4   56 5(inman robert )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 3.30 DH
RADCLIFFE 2 8 8 911¼   814½ 76 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 15.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
SMUDGE THE CAT 5 5 7 5   710½ 8(radosevich just)BRACHO A 120 6.00 7.20  
GENIUS 1 2 2½ 8   919½ 918½ (viands gregory)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00 27.80  
SCR  MENTIROSA               (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
 
MNR-2   11/20/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:221 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFEND 6 1 11 1½   1nk 1(clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 3.00 13% 6.70 1.10 W
10  MATERS N TATERS 8 5 4 45   43 2(godsey marshall)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 5.60  
AW ITE 7 3 21 2½   2nk 33 (inman ro)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 17% 5.00 10.70 S
MY MAE DAY 5 7 5 55   54(spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 15.00 6% 15.20 22.90  
MONOLITO 2 2 33 3   32 58 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 40% 1.50 6.40  
CATES SWOOSH 1 8 88 815   713 610¾ (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 3.00  
UNION BROTHER 4 6 76 611   612½ 710¾ (reed larr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 14.60  
GIANT TRICK 3 4 6 713   819 818 (rhoden carlton)MAILHOT P 123 12.00 79.30  
SCR  MASKED               (spiess shane )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 30.00    
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50    
 
MNR-3   11/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:161     1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN BEAVER 6 1 12 12 1 12 1(langley c)YARANGA Y 118 3.50 2.40  
ELEGGUA 1 3 32 22 2 22 2(ginter jr)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 18% 4.50 2.10 P
SENSE OF GOLDEN 3 4 716¾ 714 4 44 3(barbaran horaci)BARBARAN ERIK 123 30.00 13.60  
NORTHERN RUNNER 4 6 610¾ 59 3 33 4(herrington a)CCAMAQUE M 118 12.00 15.00  
TRUST FUND ROBBER 2 7 510½ 612 6 59 5(lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 8% 11.10 6.40  
GALLAZO 7 5 4 3 59 617 625¼ (stanoszek sara)JURADO EDDIE 118 30.00 49.40  
PAINTSVILLE 5 2 22 45 710½ 719 726 (melancon )BRAVO MISAEL 116 1.20 49% 1.10 2.10  
SCR  EAST BY WEST               (londono )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-5   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIMI'S HOLIDAY 8 4 8 5   41nk (robillard josh)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.50 11% 8.00 7.30 W
DONNA LIRICA 4 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 2nk (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 2.50 6% 17.10 1.40 P
KAIYAS SONG 7 3 5 4   32 3¼ (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 6.00 10.50  
BEA BEA KAZ 2 7 1nk 1nk   1½ 4¾ (inman rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 1.80  
FOREST ACCLAMATION 5 6 4 3   55(fearon johnatho)NELSON TYRONE 118 20.00 82.90  
ZIPPITY DAY 3 8 6 6   66(robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 51% 1.00 6.90  
ARTISTIC ALIBI 6 5 7 8   7710½ (mcdonald r)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 11.70  
DON'T LOOK UP 1 1 3.2 7   89 813 (sipp k)MAILHOT P 118 10.00 5% 19.00 45.50  
 
MNR-6   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMESTOWN ROAD 5 4 4 1nk   12 15 (jones mic)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 15% 5.60 1.50 W
CHURCH KEY 6 5 3 2nk   22 25 (harrison)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 15% 5.70 2.90 P
ULTRA DIVA 3 3 54 3   32 311¼ (ewell sr)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00 16.90  
SMOKIN LADY 4 1 2 5   59 413¼ (brown w)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 2.50  
VACATION SECRET 2 2 1 4   47 517¼ (kocijan marcu)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.00 31% 2.20 3.80  
PAINTED ROCKET 1 6 615 618¾   617 620¼ (kocijan angel)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00 49.10  
SCR  SISTER JOANN               (hess g)VEGA L 120 6.00    
 
MNR-7   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOSHER COWBOY 2 1 11 13   12 1hd (godsey marshall)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 9% 10.70 5.30 W
LIBERATE 4 2 3 23   22 2hd (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90 P
BAYTOWN BEAR 5 4 4 4   38 3(mcentee paul)BRACHO A 120 20.00 8.30  
WILLISTON WAY 1 3 21 36   48 46 (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40 67% 0.50 0.20  
JUSTWAVEANDSMILE 3 5 5 514½   517 515¾ (viands gregory)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 32.90  
SCR  ALEXIS S               (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
SCR  ALPHA CHI RHO               (farrior )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00    
SCR  TALK TO TOKEY               (viands greg)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 50.00    
 
MNR-8   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGSTON TIME 6 7 6 31   32 1¾ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 36% 1.80 1.70 W
HIDDEN IDENTITY 4 5 54 21   22¾ (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 22% 3.60 0.70 P
CLAIRE'S DARLING 2 1 13 11   13(demczyk virgi)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 3.50 5.40  
CAPTAIN ANNE 3 3 4 43   43 4(cox g)SIMPSON JASON 123 10.00 11% 8.30 18.50  
CYBERBURG 7 8 7 5   510 512½ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 123 20.00 ######  
SMOOKIE 5 4 8 810½   610½ 612½ (knowles lucinda)NELSON TYRONE 123 30.00 97.80  
BIRDIE BLUE 1 6 3 710   710½ 716 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 20.00 39.10  
10  SOUTHERNPERFECTION 8 2 23 6   811 816¼ (meals lo)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 30.00 8% 11.30 57.40  
SCR  BEE WINGS               (noland ro)BRAVO MISAEL 116 30.00    
SCR  DE PURA SANGRE               (poole c)RAMGEET R 123 20.00    
SCR  ISLAND WINTER               (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
SCR  SUGAR BRITCHES               (witherow j)CCAMAQUE M 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.