Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turfway Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-2   WIN (3/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $11.70 $3.70 46%
TP-3   DD (3/2/9/8)-(11/1/6/13/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-13 $31.75 $11.75 59%
TP-4   PK3 (3/2/9/8)-(11/1/6/13/12)-(2/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-13-2 $33.48 $3.48 12%
TP-5   PK4 (3/2/9/8)-(11/1/6/13/12)-(2/7/3)-(10/8/9/5) 240 $0.50 $120  2-13-2/8-10/13/14 $160.38 $40.38 34%
TP-6   DD (10/8/9/5)-(8/9/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-9 $20.54 $4.54 28%
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(10/8/9/5)-(8/9/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-10-9 $26.35 $2.35 10%
TP-7   EXA (7/1/9)-(7/1/9/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-9 $27.42 $9.42 52%
    PK3 (10/8/9/5)-(8/9/7/6)-(7/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-9-7 $35.31 $11.31 47%
TP-8   WIN (6/4/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.66 $1.66 21%
    DD (7/1/9)-(6/4/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $21.91 $9.91 83%
    PK3 (8/9/7/6)-(7/1/9)-(6/4/9/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-7-6 $43.02 $19.02 79%
TP-9   DD (6/4/9/11)-(1/9/11/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-1 $31.38 $15.38 96%
    PK3 (7/1/9)-(6/4/9/11)-(1/9/11/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-6-1 $41.00 $17.00 71%
    PK4 (8/9/7/6)-(7/1/9)-(6/4/9/11)-(1/9/11/12) 192 $0.50 $96.00  9-3/6/7/10/11/13/14-6-1/5/7/13 $183.94 $87.94 92%
    PK5 (10/8/9/5)-(8/9/7/6)-(7/1/9)-(6/4/9/11)-(1/9/11/12) 768 $0.50 $384  10-9-7-6-1 $457.66 $73.66 19%
Simulator Race results
 
TP-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CONQUERED 4 3 2nk 21½   11 1¼ (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 13.74  
2  SENOR JOBIM 2 9 73¾ 64   51¼ 2¼ (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 54% 0.80 0.92 P
8  CLEARING WAIVERS 8 8 51¾ 32   41¼ 32½ (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 ★ 4.15 S
6  THIS ILL DEFEND 6 7 95¼ 75   61½ 42¾ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 8.00 49.13  
3  RANDELLO 3 6 41¼ 53   73 54 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 3.50 12% 7.20 7.74  
1  JOE PHILLIPS 1 5 31 42½   21 64¾ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 6.89  
10  ALPINE GHOST 9 1 1nk 11½   31 75¾ (watkins m)FELIX E 123 8.00 25.37  
7  GUARD 7 4 62¾ 86½   85 89 (thompson eri)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 30.00 66.41  
11  CAPTAIN MAD JACK 10 2 84¾ 109   106½ 911 (radosevich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 7% 13.20 12.19  
5  CELTIC MISCHIEF 5 10 106¾ 97½   95 1011¼ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 23.37  
SCR  GRAB THE MUNNY               (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
 
TP-2   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:13 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GUN RUSH 2 1 11½ 11½ 11½ 11½ 11¾ (watkins m)FELIX E 121 3.00 33% 2.00 4.85 W
1  NORDIC LIGHT 1 2 31½ 31½ 21½ 21½ 21¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00 2.15  
5  COUNT FROST 5 4 74¼ 64½ 55½ 45½ 36¼ (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00 50.68  
9  NICHOLAS JONES 9 8 64 86¼ 76 68 47¼ (brownfield c)RAMOS D 121 3.50 8% 11.80 3.05  
6  ENGLISH CHALLENGE 6 9 95¾ 76 86¼ 56½ 57¾ (estvanko richa)CEDILLO ABEL 121 12.00 8.91  
7  CALL ME GUSTO 7 5 42 42½ 33 34 68¼ (huffman pa)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 13.49  
8  WIND TWIST 8 7 85¾ 98¼ 98¾ 910½ 712½ (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.31  
4  FAITHFUL KING 4 6 53 54 65½ 810½ 815¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 ★ 9.39  
3  AUTHORITARIAN 3 3 21½ 21½ 44½ 710 916¼ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.00 33% 2.00 7.16  
 
TP-3   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:133 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  MY BROTHER KEITH 11 11 117¼ 116¾ 63 2nk 1nk (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50 5% 19.00 4.14 W
10  EXEMPLIFIED 8 8 53½ 42 32 1nk 2nk (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 12.00 8.81  
6  AMERICAN RAIDER 5 5 107¼ 106¾ 96 53¼ 36¼ (castillo ric)RAMOS D 121 5.00 12% 7.20 6.45 S
7  COTE D'IVOIRE 6 4 85¾ 84¾ 74½ 64¾ 47¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 21.50  
1  RED CHEEKS 1 1 11½ 11 11½ 32 59 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00 15% 5.60 9.21  
5  CACTUS KEVIN 4 6 74¾ 63¼ 42½ 43 611½ (shryock collee)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 14.29  
8  WINGER 7 7 33 52¼ 53 77¼ 713 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 3.33  
11  GABBYSONHOLIDAY 9 9 64½ 74¼ 85 99¾ 818½ (morey willi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 49% 1.10 3.98  
4  YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 3 3 21½ 21 21½ 88¾ 922½ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 14.63  
12  NEAP TIDE 10 10 96¼ 95¾ 118¼ 1015¼ 1031¼ (watkins m)FELIX E 121 20.00 5% 19.00 64.17  
2  NIGHT CHANT 2 2 43 32 108 1125¼ 1161¾ (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 14.79  
SCR  LOLAS BEAU               (guerrero sa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
SCR  PAIGE PERFECT               (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 124 5.00    
SCR  THE THUNDERER               (carroll jo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.60    
 
TP-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLEAR THE AIR 2 4 11½ 12   14 18½ (walden william)CEDILLO ABEL 118 2.00 25% 3.00 1.22 W
1  COWBOY IMAGE 1 5 21½ 32½   24 28½ (luce nichole)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 25.32  
5  OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 7 63¾ 54   35½ 39 (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 4.63  
3  BERN N ASH 3 6 52¾ 64   47 49½ (dunn d)MOJICA O 120 10.00 17% 4.80 10.67  
7  GAMER 7 1 74¼ 75½   68½ 512½ (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 18% 4.70 4.30  
4  SHERIFF RONNIE 4 3 31½ 22   58½ 616¾ (caramor)DE CRUZ 118 4.50 ★ 4.59  
6  LIBERTANGO 6 2 42½ 43   711 723¼ (fletcher kevi)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 9.53  
SCR  TALKSCHEAP               (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
 
TP-5   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:221 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FONDRE 10 1 51¼ 1½   12½ 13¼ (delacour arna)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 52% 0.90 2.85 W
1  SHE'S SPLENDID 1 9 84¾ 63¾   34 23¼ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8.18  
8  TAMBARELLA 8 8 4¾ 32   22½ 34¾ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00 15% 5.70 31.56 S
2  CALADIUM 2 7 73¼ 74¾   54½ 45 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 6.71  
6  CHIQUITA REINA 6 11 105 106¾   95½ 55¼ (castanon jose )CEDILLO ABEL 119 5.00 ★ 5.57  
12  MADAM LEOTA 12 4 94¾ 96¾   85¼ 65½ (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 8.00 3.39  
11  GOLDEN LAKE 11 3 62¾ 52¼   74¾ 75½ (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 10.00 25.71  
7  UNMATCHED 7 10 116½ 85¼   64¾ 87½ (delong be)CORREA L 119 4.00 11.03  
5  TICKET TO FLY 5 12 1216½ 1212¼   119½ 98 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.87  
3  FROLICKING LADY 3 5 1½ 2½   44½ 109 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 61.34  
9  SELES 9 2 3½ 42   107 1110¾ (beckman wh)RAMOS D 119 8.00 10% 8.70 12.16  
4  ROUTE SIXTY SIX 4 6 2½ 119¼   1217½ 1223½ (engler jeff)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 20.25  
SCR  BOYNE VALLEY               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00    
SCR  PARLAY CHARLIE               (livers charl)MONCADA IRVING 109 15.00    
 
TP-6   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:121 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  COLLIER'S TIME 9 9 76½ 73¾ 4¾ 12½ 15 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.50 26% 2.80 2.68 W
  (by KLIMT out of KIANA'S DREAM by SKY MESA)
5  TIZ WICKED STRONG 5 8 65½ 63¼ 62¼ 22½ 25 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50 ★ 3.74 P
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
8  ELEGANT TRIP 8 7 54½ 32½ 3½ 44 311¼ (arnold )DE CRUZ 121 4.00 29% 2.40 4.45 S
  (by TOURIST out of NATIVE TALENT by A.P. INDY)
1  PHOTO OP 1 2 99 910¼ 86½ 75¾ 411¼ (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 12.35  
  (by FAST ANNA out of LIKE A QUEEN by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
3  COACH PETRO 3 3 88 88¾ 76¼ 65¾ 511¾ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 12.00 17.27  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
4  KID MARVELOUS 4 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 32½ 612½ (ennis john)CEDILLO ABEL 124 10.00 11.74  
  (by ASTERN out of NUTMEG by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
2  REAL NAUGHTY 2 1 43½ 52¾ 52¼ 55½ 716 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 7.36  
  (by CONGRATS out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)
6  AS ONE DOES 6 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 87¾ 818 (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 6% 17.10 6.17  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MOUNT KELLETT by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  HARBOUR BRIDGE 7 6 33 42½ 98 910¼ 924¾ (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00 8% 11.10 11.53  
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
 
TP-7   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prairie Bayou Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:104 1:363   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST 5 3 11½ 11½ 12 13 1nk (thomas jonatha)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 67% 0.50 0.99 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
9  CELLIST 7 8 66½ 65 44 33½ 2nk (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.49 P
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of CELLO by STROLLING ALONG)
5  HUSH OF A STORM 4 5 44 42½ 22 23 34¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 4.21  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
1  LIKE THE KING 1 1 32½ 32½ 54½ 46½ 49½ (casse m)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 6% 15.10 14.80  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LIKE A QUEEN by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
8  KITODAN 6 7 88½ 87½ 88 710½ 511½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00 21.31  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of DIVINE PRESENCE by A.P. INDY)
4  TIZ THE BOMB 3 4 77½ 77 77 58½ 611¾ (mcpeek kennet)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 8.98  
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
12  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN 8 6 55 54½ 66 69 712¾ (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 120 30.00 29.34  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CONSIGN by DYNAFORMER)
2  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 2 2 21½ 21½ 33 815½ 830 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 ★ 4.26  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TARE GREEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  FAIR DINKUM               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 30.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SECRET SONG by DUNKIRK)
SCR  PACKS A WAHLOP               (morey william )CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CITY BY THE BAY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  RUNAWAY STORM               (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of RUNAWAY BETTY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
SCR  TEMPLE               (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DESANT by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT               (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MOLLY MORGAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  WAR BOMBER (IRE)               (mcknight norman)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SUN SHOWER by THUNDER GULCH)
 
TP-8   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:213 :442 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOURBON HEIST 5 8 99¼ 98½   63½ 1¾ (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 26% 2.90 3.83 W
12  EMBRACE (IRE) 9 5 77¼ 75½   53 2¾ (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 13.62  
2  BROKEN RIB 2 9 88¼ 87   73¾ 32 (hiles r)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 14.32  
1  J. P. RACE 1 7 44 42½   32 43¼ (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 20.00 56.89  
4  TALKIN' CASH 4 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 54¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 24% 3.20 1.51  
10  STORM DADDY 7 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 65½ (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 30.00 55.94  
9  CITY FEVER 6 2 31½ 31   43 78 (trombetta )CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 14% 6.30 5.77  
11  LOYAL COMPANY 8 4 64¾ 53   85¼ 89½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 11% 8.50 4.38  
3  GASLIGHT DANCER 3 6 54¼ 64½   97¾ 914¾ (maker michae)RAMOS D 118 4.00 ★ 8.47  
SCR  GOODASIWONSWAS               (warpool shane)CEDILLO ABEL 120 30.00    
SCR  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY               (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 50.00    
SCR  HOCUS (GB)               (thompson )HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
 
TP-9   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:151 1:282   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTERN SUNRISE 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 11½ 12½ (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.78 W
4  CRUISIN LUCY 4 8 51¾ 41½ 51½ 21½ 22½ (foster eric)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00 18.63  
6  SILVERY MOON 5 4 2½ 52 3½ 31½ 34½ (corrigan )CORREA L 119 12.00 ★ 6.21 S
8  GREEN CHILE 6 3 3½ 2nk 2nk 42 45¾ (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00 10.83  
9  RICHIE'S GAL 7 7 74¼ 88¼ 63 54 55¾ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 28% 2.50 5.73  
2  BELLA SKYE 2 2 85¾ 73¼ 73½ 67 611 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 23.21  
3  ROCK N STROLL 3 9 97¼ 98¾ 96 88¼ 713½ (west w)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 4.90  
10  MISS CLAUDETTE 8 6 4¾ 3½ 41 78 817¼ (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 8.52  
11  CACHACEIRA 9 10 108¼ 1023¾ 1018 1015¼ 921¾ (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00 10% 9.40 20.37  
12  YOU PROOF 10 5 63¼ 63 85 913¾ 1028¼ (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.13  
SCR  LADY ON THE GO               (bogle fergu)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 15.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S NOTICE               (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
SCR  SEAU N'TAP               (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.