The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turfway Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (2/3/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $29.48 -8.00
TP-2   Win (3/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.70 $11.70 3.70
TP-3   Win (11/1/6/13/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 1 $10.28 $10.28 0.28
TP-4   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.44 $4.44 -1.56
TP-5   Win (10/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 -0.30
TP-6   Win (8/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.36 $7.36 -0.64
TP-7   Win (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.98 $3.98 -2.02
TP-8   Win (6/4/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $9.66 $9.66 1.66
TP-9   Win (1/9/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.56 $7.56 -0.44

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONQUERED 4 3 2nk 2   11 1¼ (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 13.74  
SENOR JOBIM 2 9 7 64   52¼ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 54% 0.80 0.92 P
CLEARING WAIVERS 8 8 5 32   43(west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 4.15 S
THIS ILL DEFEND 6 7 9 75   64(estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 8.00 49.13  
RANDELLO 3 6 4 53   73 54 (garcia genaro)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 3.50 12% 7.20 7.74  
JOE PHILLIPS 1 5 31 4   21 6(toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 6.89  
10  ALPINE GHOST 9 1 1nk 1   31 7(watkins m)FELIX E 123 8.00 25.37  
GUARD 7 4 6 8   85 89 (thompson erin)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 30.00 66.41  
11  CAPTAIN MAD JACK 10 2 8 109   10911 (radosevich j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 7% 13.20 12.19  
CELTIC MISCHIEF 5 10 10 9   95 1011¼ (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 23.37  
SCR  GRAB THE MUNNY               (bright derrick)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
 
TP-2   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:13 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN RUSH 2 1 1 1 1 11(watkins m)FELIX E 121 3.00 33% 2.00 4.85 W
NORDIC LIGHT 1 2 3 3 2 22(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00 2.15  
COUNT FROST 5 4 7 6 5 43(caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00 50.68  
NICHOLAS JONES 9 8 64 8 76 68 4(brownfield cla)RAMOS D 121 3.50 8% 11.80 3.05  
ENGLISH CHALLENGE 6 9 9 76 8 55(estvanko richard)CEDILLO ABEL 121 12.00 8.91  
CALL ME GUSTO 7 5 42 4 33 34 6(huffman pat)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 13.49  
WIND TWIST 8 7 8 9 9 910½ 712½ (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.31  
FAITHFUL KING 4 6 53 54 6 810½ 815¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 9.39  
AUTHORITARIAN 3 3 2 2 4 710 916¼ (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.00 33% 2.00 7.16  
 
TP-3   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:133 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  MY BROTHER KEITH 11 11 11 11 63 2nk 1nk (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50 5% 19.00 4.14 W
10  EXEMPLIFIED 8 8 5 42 32 1nk 2nk (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 12.00 8.81  
AMERICAN RAIDER 5 5 10 10 96 53(castillo richa)RAMOS D 121 5.00 12% 7.20 6.45 S
COTE D'IVOIRE 6 4 8 8 7 64(andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 21.50  
RED CHEEKS 1 1 1 11 1 32 59 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00 15% 5.60 9.21  
CACTUS KEVIN 4 6 7 6 4 43 611½ (shryock colleen)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 14.29  
WINGER 7 7 33 5 53 7713 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 3.33  
11  GABBYSONHOLIDAY 9 9 6 7 85 9818½ (morey william)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 49% 1.10 3.98  
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 3 3 2 21 2 8922½ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 14.63  
12  NEAP TIDE 10 10 9 9 11 1015¼ 1031¼ (watkins m)FELIX E 121 20.00 5% 19.00 64.17  
NIGHT CHANT 2 2 43 32 108 1125¼ 1161¾ (brownfield claud)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 14.79  
SCR  LOLAS BEAU               (guerrero sal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
SCR  PAIGE PERFECT               (wisner trac)BERMUDEZ E 124 5.00    
SCR  THE THUNDERER               (carroll josi)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.60    
 
TP-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR THE AIR 2 4 1 12   14 1(walden william)CEDILLO ABEL 118 2.00 25% 3.00 1.22 W
COWBOY IMAGE 1 5 2 3   24 2(luce nichole)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 25.32  
OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 7 6 54   339 (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 4.63  
BERN N ASH 3 6 5 64   47 4(dunn d)MOJICA O 120 10.00 17% 4.80 10.67  
GAMER 7 1 7 7   6512½ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 18% 4.70 4.30  
SHERIFF RONNIE 4 3 3 22   5616¾ (caramori )DE CRUZ 118 4.50 4.59  
LIBERTANGO 6 2 4 43   711 723¼ (fletcher kevin)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 9.53  
SCR  TALKSCHEAP               (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
 
TP-5   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:221 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FONDRE 10 1 5 1½   11(delacour arnaud)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 52% 0.90 2.85 W
SHE'S SPLENDID 1 9 8 6   34 2(tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8.18  
TAMBARELLA 8 8 4¾ 32   23(hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00 15% 5.70 31.56 S
CALADIUM 2 7 7 7   545 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 6.71  
CHIQUITA REINA 6 11 105 10   95(castanon g)CEDILLO ABEL 119 5.00 5.57  
12  MADAM LEOTA 12 4 9 9   86(gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 8.00 3.39  
11  GOLDEN LAKE 11 3 6 5   77(garcia ge)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 25.71  
UNMATCHED 7 10 11 8   68(delong ben)CORREA L 119 4.00 11.03  
TICKET TO FLY 5 12 1216½ 1212¼   1198 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.87  
FROLICKING LADY 3 5 1½ 2½   4109 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 61.34  
SELES 9 2 3½ 42   107 1110¾ (beckman whit)RAMOS D 119 8.00 10% 8.70 12.16  
ROUTE SIXTY SIX 4 6 2½ 11   1217½ 1223½ (engler jeff)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 20.25  
SCR  BOYNE VALLEY               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00    
SCR  PARLAY CHARLIE               (livers charlie)MONCADA IRVING 109 15.00    
 
TP-6   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:121 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLIER'S TIME 9 9 7 7 4¾ 115 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.50 26% 2.80 2.68 W
TIZ WICKED STRONG 5 8 6 6 6 225 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50 3.74 P
ELEGANT TRIP 8 7 5 3 3½ 44 311¼ (arnold ge)DE CRUZ 121 4.00 29% 2.40 4.45 S
PHOTO OP 1 2 99 910¼ 8 7411¼ (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 12.35  
COACH PETRO 3 3 88 8 7 6511¾ (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 12.00 17.27  
KID MARVELOUS 4 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 3612½ (ennis john)CEDILLO ABEL 124 10.00 11.74  
REAL NAUGHTY 2 1 4 5 5 5716 (hiles jeff )HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 7.36  
AS ONE DOES 6 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 8818 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 6% 17.10 6.17  
HARBOUR BRIDGE 7 6 33 4 98 910¼ 924¾ (wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00 8% 11.10 11.53  
 
TP-7   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Prairie Bayou Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:104 1:363   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST 5 3 1 1 12 13 1nk (thomas jonathan)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 67% 0.50 0.99 W
CELLIST 7 8 6 65 44 32nk (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.49 P
HUSH OF A STORM 4 5 44 4 22 23 3(morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 4.21  
LIKE THE KING 1 1 3 3 5 44(casse mar)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 6% 15.10 14.80  
KITODAN 6 7 8 8 88 710½ 511½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00 21.31  
TIZ THE BOMB 3 4 7 77 77 5611¾ (mcpeek kenneth )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 8.98  
12  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN 8 6 55 5 66 69 712¾ (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 120 30.00 29.34  
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 2 2 2 2 33 815½ 830 (maker j)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 4.26  
SCR  FAIR DINKUM               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 30.00    
SCR  PACKS A WAHLOP               (morey e)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY STORM               (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
SCR  TEMPLE               (maker michael)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00    
SCR  WAR BOMBER (IRE)               (mcknight norman)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
 
TP-8   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:213 :442 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON HEIST 5 8 9 9   61¾ (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 26% 2.90 3.83 W
12  EMBRACE (IRE) 9 5 7 7   53 2¾ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 13.62  
BROKEN RIB 2 9 8 87   732 (hiles ric)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 14.32  
J. P. RACE 1 7 44 4   32 4(gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 20.00 56.89  
TALKIN' CASH 4 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 5(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 24% 3.20 1.51  
10  STORM DADDY 7 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 6(gonzale)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 30.00 55.94  
CITY FEVER 6 2 3 31   43 78 (trombetta mi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 14% 6.30 5.77  
11  LOYAL COMPANY 8 4 6 53   88(walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 11% 8.50 4.38  
GASLIGHT DANCER 3 6 5 6   9914¾ (maker michael )RAMOS D 118 4.00 8.47  
SCR  GOODASIWONSWAS               (warpool shane)CEDILLO ABEL 120 30.00    
SCR  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY               (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 50.00    
SCR  HOCUS (GB)               (thompson mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
 
TP-9   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:151 1:282   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTERN SUNRISE 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 11(davis chri)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.78 W
CRUISIN LUCY 4 8 5 4 5 22(foster eric)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00 18.63  
SILVERY MOON 5 4 2½ 52 3½ 33(corrigan ji)CORREA L 119 12.00 6.21 S
GREEN CHILE 6 3 3½ 2nk 2nk 42 4(hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00 10.83  
RICHIE'S GAL 7 7 7 8 63 54 5(rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 28% 2.50 5.73  
BELLA SKYE 2 2 8 7 7 67 611 (radosevich)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 23.21  
ROCK N STROLL 3 9 9 9 96 8713½ (west w)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 4.90  
10  MISS CLAUDETTE 8 6 4¾ 3½ 41 78 817¼ (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 8.52  
11  CACHACEIRA 9 10 10 1023¾ 1018 1015¼ 921¾ (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00 10% 9.40 20.37  
12  YOU PROOF 10 5 6 63 85 913¾ 1028¼ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.13  
SCR  LADY ON THE GO               (bogle fergus)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 15.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S NOTICE               (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
SCR  SEAU N'TAP               (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.