Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turfway Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (2/3/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TP-2   Win (3/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TP-3   Win (11/1/6/13/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TP-4   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TP-5   Win (10/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TP-6   Win (8/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TP-7   Win (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TP-8   Win (6/4/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TP-9   Win (1/9/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TP-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE PHILLIPS Dec02 Oct28 Oct07 Sep06 Aug24 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SENOR JOBIM Dec07 Nov17 Nov03 Sep29 Sep04 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
RANDELLO Nov03 Sep27 Sep02 Jun23 May27 (garcia genaro)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 3.50 12% 7.20    
CONQUERED Nov09 Oct24 Aug30 Jul19 Jun15 (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
CELTIC MISCHIEF Aug02 Jul13 Jun09 Oct11 Sep30 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00    
THIS ILL DEFEND Oct07 Sep23 Sep07 Aug15 Jul13 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
GUARD Nov01 Oct04 Sep20 May16 Jan15 (thompson erin)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 30.00    
CLEARING WAIVERS Nov17 Nov08 Sep26 Sep05 Aug17 (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00    
SCR  GRAB THE MUNNY Nov13 Oct31 Sep26 Jul25 Jul05 (bright derrick)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
10  ALPINE GHOST Dec06 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 May09 (watkins m)FELIX E 123 8.00    
11  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Nov15 Oct17 Sep28 Sep11 Aug16 (radosevich j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 7% 13.20    
 
TP-2   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORDIC LIGHT Nov10 Oct20 Sep27 Aug16 Jul22 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00    
GUN RUSH Aug06 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May14 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
AUTHORITARIAN Nov07 Oct04 Sep20 Sep13 Aug23 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
FAITHFUL KING Nov19 Nov02 Oct05 Sep23 Sep09 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00    
COUNT FROST Dec08 Nov20 Oct23 Oct06 Sep11 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00    
ENGLISH CHALLENGE Oct25 Oct03 Aug29 Aug05 Jun17 (estvanko richard)CEDILLO ABEL 121 12.00    
CALL ME GUSTO Oct20 Sep20 Jul19 Jun17 May22 (huffman pat)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
WIND TWIST Nov10 Oct07 Apr19 Mar15 Feb01 (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
NICHOLAS JONES Oct25 Oct03 Aug31 Aug05 Jul06 (brownfield cla)RAMOS D 121 3.50 8% 11.80    
 
TP-3   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CHEEKS Oct03 Sep23 Jul13 May31   (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00 15% 5.60    
NIGHT CHANT Nov18 Oct27 Oct18 Sep18 Aug29 (brownfield claud)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00    
SCR  LOLAS BEAU Nov01 Sep23 Aug18 Jul21 Jun21 (guerrero sal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE Nov29 Aug12 Jul13 Jun24 Mar11 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
CACTUS KEVIN Oct12 Sep11 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 (shryock colleen)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
AMERICAN RAIDER Nov10 Oct12 Sep14 Jan07 Nov18 (castillo richa)RAMOS D 121 5.00 12% 7.20    
COTE D'IVOIRE Jun09 May26 Feb23 Jan19 Dec26 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00    
WINGER Nov11 Jun04 Jan14 Nov26   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
SCR  PAIGE PERFECT Dec07 Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 Sep19 (wisner trac)BERMUDEZ E 124 5.00    
10  EXEMPLIFIED Oct25 Oct15 Sep28 Aug28   (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 12.00    
11  GABBYSONHOLIDAY Nov29 Nov03 Jun04     (morey william)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 49% 1.10    
12  NEAP TIDE Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Jun09 May25 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
13  MY BROTHER KEITH Sep20 Aug20 Dec21     (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE THUNDERER Nov24 Sep23 Aug20 Jun18 May07 (carroll josi)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.60    
 
TP-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY IMAGE Nov10 Sep20 Jul18 Jul08 Jun17 (luce nichole)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
CLEAR THE AIR Dec01 Nov05 May14 Apr08 Mar04 (walden william)CEDILLO ABEL 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
BERN N ASH Sep20 Aug30 Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 (dunn d)MOJICA O 120 10.00 17% 4.80    
SHERIFF RONNIE Nov18 Oct21 Oct05 Sep09 Aug18 (caramori )DE CRUZ 118 4.50    
OUR DREAM RYE'D Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 May14 Apr21 (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00    
LIBERTANGO Nov18 Aug30 Jun20 Apr26 Apr08 (fletcher kevin)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
GAMER Nov10 Oct19 Jul28 Jun24 Jun01 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Nov18 Oct14 Sep20 Sep06 Mar10 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
 
TP-5   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 7:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SPLENDID Nov17 Sep07       (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
CALADIUM Nov18         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
FROLICKING LADY Nov17 Aug19       (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00    
ROUTE SIXTY SIX Nov24 Nov05       (engler jeff)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
TICKET TO FLY Sep06 Jul20       (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHIQUITA REINA Nov24 Oct26 Sep20     (castanon g)CEDILLO ABEL 119 5.00    
UNMATCHED Nov24 Oct19 Sep03 Jun30 May19 (delong ben)CORREA L 119 4.00    
TAMBARELLA         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00 15% 5.70    
SELES Nov07 Oct04       (beckman whit)RAMOS D 119 8.00 10% 8.70    
10  FONDRE Oct20 Sep08 Aug11     (delacour arnaud)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
11  GOLDEN LAKE Nov05         (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
12  MADAM LEOTA Oct13         (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 8.00    
SCR  BOYNE VALLEY Dec06 Nov11       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00    
SCR  PARLAY CHARLIE Nov29 Oct16 Aug30 Aug12 Aug01 (livers charlie)MONCADA IRVING 109 15.00    
 
TP-6   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHOTO OP         (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
REAL NAUGHTY Sep16 Aug31 May06 Apr13   (hiles jeff )HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
COACH PETRO Nov14 Oct09 Jul05 May14 Apr14 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
KID MARVELOUS Sep24 Sep08 Jul30 Jul21 Jun24 (ennis john)CEDILLO ABEL 124 10.00    
TIZ WICKED STRONG Nov16 Sep28 Aug05 Jul07 May14 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50    
AS ONE DOES Nov08 Oct25 Sep10 Nov12 Oct18 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 6% 17.10    
HARBOUR BRIDGE Oct26 Sep28 Jun25 Jun02 May06 (wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00 8% 11.10    
ELEGANT TRIP Nov22 Sep30 Sep02 Aug12   (arnold ge)DE CRUZ 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
COLLIER'S TIME Nov24 Oct26 Apr08 Dec31 Nov19 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
TP-7   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prairie Bayou Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE THE KING Nov18 Oct08 Aug24 Jul16 Jun18 (casse mar)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 6% 15.10    
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Nov05 Oct13 Aug31 Aug05 Jun10 (maker j)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00    
SCR  TEMPLE Sep09 Jan28 Nov26 Oct14 Sep10 (maker michael)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
TIZ THE BOMB Nov05 Oct13 Aug05 Jun17 May20 (mcpeek kenneth )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
HUSH OF A STORM Nov30 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 Jul25 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY STORM Oct28 Sep09 Aug03 Jun16 May11 (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST Nov05 Oct07 Aug31 Jun04 May06 (thomas jonathan)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 67% 0.50    
KITODAN Nov11 Oct13 Sep09 Aug31 Aug06 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
CELLIST Nov11 Oct13 Sep23 Aug06 Dec17 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAR BOMBER (IRE) Nov05 Oct08 Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 (mcknight norman)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
SCR  PACKS A WAHLOP Nov04 Sep30 Sep02 Jan08 Nov04 (morey e)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
12  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Nov08 Oct25 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
SCR  FAIR DINKUM Nov02 Sep07 Aug05 Jan29 Dec16 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 30.00    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT Sep23 Aug20 Jul15 May11 Oct23 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00    
 
TP-8   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J. P. RACE Nov26 Jun03 Apr13 Mar22   (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 20.00    
BROKEN RIB Dec02 Nov05 Sep29 Aug04 Jul01 (hiles ric)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
GASLIGHT DANCER Nov09 Sep30 Sep02 Aug13 May13 (maker michael )RAMOS D 118 4.00    
TALKIN' CASH Nov18 Oct15 Mar11     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GOODASIWONSWAS Nov10 Oct20 Sep27 Sep01 Oct20 (warpool shane)CEDILLO ABEL 120 30.00    
BOURBON HEIST Nov23 Oct23 Sep29 Jul21 Jun22 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Aug26 Aug06 Jul27 Jul15 Jun18 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 50.00    
SCR  HOCUS (GB) Nov10 Oct20 Aug11 Jun17 May21 (thompson mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
CITY FEVER Nov17 Oct22 Oct06 Aug13 Jul15 (trombetta mi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
10  STORM DADDY Sep19 Jul21 Jul08 May28 May15 (gonzale)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 30.00    
11  LOYAL COMPANY Oct21 Sep23 Aug13 Jul08 Jun03 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 11% 8.50    
12  EMBRACE (IRE) Nov23 Oct25 Jun01 May06 Apr16 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
 
TP-9   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 9:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTERN SUNRISE Dec01 Oct12 Sep11     (davis chri)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
BELLA SKYE Dec01 Nov05 Oct06     (radosevich)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
ROCK N STROLL Dec01         (west w)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50    
CRUISIN LUCY Dec02 Oct27 Sep10     (foster eric)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
SCR  SEAU N'TAP Dec02 Nov16 Oct10 Aug28 Jun10 (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 4.00    
SILVERY MOON Dec01 Nov02 Oct06     (corrigan ji)CORREA L 119 12.00    
SCR  LADY ON THE GO Oct22         (bogle fergus)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 15.00    
GREEN CHILE Dec01 Nov07 Oct23 Sep28 May19 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00    
RICHIE'S GAL Dec01 Jul09       (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
10  MISS CLAUDETTE Nov24 Nov01 Sep16     (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00    
11  CACHACEIRA         (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00 10% 9.40    
12  YOU PROOF Nov26         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S NOTICE Nov17         (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.