Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-6   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $10.22 $6.22 156%
CD-7   DD (7/3)-(8/5/9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-9 $24.47 $16.47 206%
CD-9   TRI (6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-4-8 $19.72 $7.72 64%
    SFT (6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-4-8-7 $11.54 $9.14 381%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/19/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ENCLOSURE   (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 2.77  
  (by ARROGATE out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
1  VANISHED   (pletcher)SANTANA JR 121 1.80 51% 1.00 3.58 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  SHIRL'S DELIGHT   (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 13.19  
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  MEDAGLIA FOREVER   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.20 19% 4.30 0.60  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FOREVER UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  RAGGITY SAND   (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 28.40  
  (by UNION RAGS out of ISLAND SAND by TABASCO CAT)
 
CD-2   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($32K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DON'T WAIT UP   (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5.08  
7  SOLIDIFY   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 14% 5.90 8.64 P
1  IMPLEMENTATION   (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 22% 3.50 1.75 S
4  NIFTY   (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 15.37  
6  PRISONER   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 37% 1.70 1.13  
8  GROUP EIGHTEEN   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 18.03  
SCR  TEE BURNS   (hartman ch)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00    
SCR  VULCAN   (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00    
 
CD-3   11/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STONE HARBOR   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 3.77  
4  BRILLIANT MAN   (reed r)MCKEE J 119 10.00 12.89  
6  ACTION HERO   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 33% 2.00 0.69 S
3  QUEBRANCHO   (gutierre)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 33% 2.00 2.89  
7  MOR JAZZ   (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 10.73  
SCR  B WAYNE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60    
SCR  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS   (hamilton )HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PRINCESS SAYS   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 2.06  
7  RUBY FOO   (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 20% 4.00 4.14 P
6  ROYAL BLOOD   (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 8.89  
3  BELPERRON   (manley steve)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 22% 3.60 2.37  
4  CODE FOR SUCCESS   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 2.39  
SCR  JENNIFER MY LOVE   (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50    
SCR  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50    
 
CD-5   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  POUNCE   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 5.45  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BOUNCY by TWIRLING CANDY)
1  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA   (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 25% 3.00 3.50 P
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of MISS GUIDED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  MISS JEOPARDY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 2.26  
  (by ENTICED out of WORD ASSOCIATION by BENCHMARK)
3  PAM PAM   (moquett )SANTANA JR 119 5.00 39% 1.60 5.72  
  (by ARMY MULE out of J LA TACHE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  SYBARITE   (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 12.77  
  (by TAPITURE out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
11  SPLASH MASTER   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
  (by MASTERY out of SEA ROAD by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  SHEZTHEFACTOR   (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00 8% 12.20 9.72  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
7  EVOCATION   (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 53.76  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MY SUGAR by CONGRATS)
9  MISCHIEF JAC   (morey e)FELIX E 119 8.00 7% 12.60 15.85  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of JACALLY by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
6  MAHJONG GIRL   (wismer s)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 17.30  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  RYBAKINA   (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
SCR  SAFECRACKER SUE   (adams nanc)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UPPER BRASS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  THE BIG CALHOUNA   (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of NUTMEG by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
CD-6   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FAITHFUL KING   (watkins m)MCKEE J 120 6.00 73% 0.40 4.11 W
2  COX CANYON   (o'connor robe)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 20.61  
3  LIAM THE BRAVE   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.99 S
4  YONO   (hiles jeff)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 1.41  
1  CARMICHAEL   (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 4.59  
5  SCHMOOZIN   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 6.84  
SCR  MOHAAFETH   (dorochenko)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  TREATY   (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 2.50    
 
CD-7   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CARBONE   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 17% 4.80 2.56 W
  (by MITOLE out of TREASURE IN HEAVEN by STREET SENSE)
7  GOLDBRICK   (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 9.12  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of VOUSSOIR by ARCH)
2  MOONLIGHT ROAD   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.36 S
  (by MALIBU MOON out of EARLYBIRD ROAD by CHEROKEE RUN)
5  MIYAGI   (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 21% 3.80 1.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE   (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 53.95  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BONITA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  DECATUR STREET   (mott will)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 12.35  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CARAMEL SNAP by SMART STRIKE)
4  SHAKIN LOOSE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 ★ 24.35  
  (by MUNNINGS out of NEW SHAKER by BERNSTEIN)
3  DANNER   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 12.00 25.92  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PIONEER QUEEN by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
1  HIGH HEADED   (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 24.28  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MERCY ANN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  YO BANANA BOY   (heath g)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 40% 1.50 6.84  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZSOMETHINGROYAL by TIZWAY)
 
CD-8   11/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HAPPY AM I   (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 5.26  
7  DEVINE CHARGER   (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.72 P
9  RARIFY   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 33% 2.00 2.59 S
14  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 12% 7.60 3.36  
12  LITTLE BLAZE   (vaccarezza ca)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 19.15  
13  RUTHLESS RUA   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5.18  
1  YOLANDA WHO   (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 33.86  
6  FIRING BULLETS   (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 11.38  
11  LITTLE MOMBO   (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.50 30% 2.40 5.58  
SCR  JUST A CARE (IRE)   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE)   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  MORNIN' BOSS   (hernandez)CORREA L 118 20.00    
SCR  NUMERO SEIS   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  PROUD MARY   (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
 
CD-9   11/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 ALL PT- 4:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CASH ONLY   (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 46% 1.20 0.71 W
4  CATHY'S BOY   (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 6% 17.20 7.00 P
8  RUNNIN MUNNIN   (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 12% 7.40 14.72 S
7  JACKED   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 14% 5.90 3.57  
2  MANFREDI   (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 16.20  
9  COASTAL BRINK   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 13.38  
1  KARLWITHANARL   (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 16.62  
10  MIDNIGHT MAESTRO   (stewart da)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 26.44  
SCR  KNOW WHO YOU ARE   (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00    
SCR  TIS CHARMING   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.