The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.24 $5.24 -0.76
CD-2   Win (11/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 11 1 1 $4.22 $4.22 0.22
CD-3   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.74 $4.74 0.74
CD-4   Win (9/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $45.18 -8.00
CD-5   Win (2/6/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $5.52 -8.00
CD-6   Win (9/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $24.14 -6.00
CD-7   Win (8/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.52 $4.52 -3.48
CD-8   Win (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $3.92 $3.92 -0.08
CD-9   Win (10/2/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $9.24 $9.24 -0.76
CD-10   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $14.68 -6.00
CD-11   Win (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $2.30 $2.30 -3.70
CD-12   Win (12/10/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $10.46 -8.00
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/23/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT-11:30
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:134 1:393   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MENA 5 3 21½ 21 2½ 11 13 (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 20% 4.00 1.62 W
2  TIZZY INDY 2 1 32½ 42 32½ 33 23 (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 5.92  
3  LET'S GO MARK 3 2 11½ 11 1½ 21 35 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 3.41  
4  SMOOTHDINI 4 6 65 53½ 55 46 47¼ (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00 15.48  
1  I'M YOUR MAN 1 5 54 63¾ 65½ 56½ 57¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 56% 0.80 2.47  
6  AMERICUS 6 4 43 32 44½ 69 612½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 7.88  
 
CD-2   11/23/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:58
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:112 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  RED RIVER MAGIC 7 4 2nk 11 12 14½ 111 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00 70% 0.40 1.11 W
8  DEFAULT 4 9 63¼ 42½ 32½ 24½ 211 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 10.89  
13  TAKE SHAPE 9 10 84¼ 63 22 36 315¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 ★ 5.65 S
7  CRIMALDI 3 2 1nk 21 44 49½ 419¾ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 21.67  
16  VIOLET FLAME 10 8 96¾ 96¾ 810½ 712 521¾ (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00 71.97  
12  BAG LADY 8 6 51¾ 84¼ 67 611 621¾ (catalano wayn)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 24.83  
4  WARWOMAN 2 3 41¼ 32 57 510½ 722¾ (torres conce)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
10  TIDAL TACTICS 6 7 107¼ 1010¼ 1013¼ 1016 827½ (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 ★ 29.94  
9  UPSWELL 5 5 73¼ 74 910¾ 914½ 928 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 ★ 3.84  
2  CAUSE I'M WILD 1 1 31 52½ 78½ 812½ 1030½ (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 10.61  
SCR  BLUE TOPAZ               (flenner and)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  EYES OF GOLD               (demeritte larry)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  MILIEU               (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
SCR  MUCHO MACHO CHICK               (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
SCR  SOUL HEIR               (fields christoph)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00    
SCR  STAGFLATION               (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
CD-3   11/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT-12:26
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:104     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PACHANGA LOCA 2 1 13 12½   13 14¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 36% 1.80 1.37 W
7  THERESASILVERLININ 4 3 33 22½   23 24¼ (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 33% 2.10 1.72 P
6  LOST BIKINI 3 2 23 38   37½ 37¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 120 10.00 6.21  
4  SHELL SHOCK 1 4 413 413   410 48½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 2.51  
SCR  JACKIE'S LOVE               (butche)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00    
SCR  STEEL RACER               (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50    
SCR  TENACIOUS LADY               (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
 
CD-4   11/23/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-12:54
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:14 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUENCIO 2 1 11 11 11 14 112¼ (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 21.59  
1  TITLE CONTENDER 1 8 52 41½ 21 24 212¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00 25% 2.90 2.24 P
4  TRACK LIGHT 4 2 96 97¾ 85¾ 48 313 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 7% 13.90 1.82 S
5  MASTER OF THE NITE 5 9 85½ 85¾ 65¼ 58 413 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 37.21  
3  PATCH O'BRIEN 3 7 62½ 73¼ 33 36 513¼ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 16.47  
7  EAST FROM WEST 7 4 73 63¼ 43 68½ 617¾ (vance thomas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 25.94  
8  STING MUSIC 8 6 31½ 53 97¾ 813 725¼ (gowan william)COURT K 119 6.00 5.13  
9  ULTIMATE STRIKE 9 5 41½ 21 75¾ 712 826 (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 40% 1.50 10.57  
6  DIFFERENT FLAME 6 3 21 31 53¼ 915½ 941¼ (hartman chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 6% 17.10 6.38  
 
CD-5   11/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STORY HOUR 5 3 2nk 2½   2nk 1½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 1.76  
1  ST. BENEDICTS PREP 1 8 74¾ 64¾   55 2½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 7.31  
4  GHOSTLY NIGHT 4 2 32 32   32½ 32 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 21.79  
6  FILLY CRYSTAL 6 4 1nk 1½   1nk 42½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 26% 2.90 7.29  
7  LUNA MOTH 7 5 85¼ 96¾   77 52½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 14.59  
8  LITTLE SISTER SUE 8 9 96¾ 75¼   44 64¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.13  
2  PILLBOX 2 7 52¾ 52¼   66½ 78 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 34% 1.90 2.09  
9  SISTER KISSES 9 6 63¾ 86¼   912½ 818 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 15% 5.80 10.42  
3  BALL GOWN 3 1 42¼ 42   811½ 918¾ (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 25.32  
 
CD-6   11/23/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124 1:38   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MUSICAL MISCHIEF 3 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 13½ 111½ (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 11.07  
10  ROSIE'S ALIBI 7 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 23½ 211½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 4.16  
2  LITTLE DIXIE 1 7 64 53½ 53¾ 36 312 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 12.23  
9  WINGS LIKE EAGLES 6 5 42½ 42½ 41¾ 58½ 417¾ (mott i)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00 36% 1.80 2.22  
8  SULTRY LASS 5 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 46½ 518¾ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 13% 6.90 5.13  
3  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 2 6 75½ 76 65¾ 610½ 620 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 27% 2.70 1.85  
7  YARBOROUGH 4 3 53½ 64½ 79¼ 715½ 727¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 121 15.00 26.51  
SCR  CHA CHA TAP               (milosevic m)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SCR  EXCELLENT QUESTION               (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  HOLA GATA               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  THESTRAL               (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
 
CD-7   11/23/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  REDDINGTON 6 3 11 11 1½ 12½ 14½ (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 66% 0.50 1.26 W
11  BUCKTOWN 9 6 66 73½ 75¼ 44 24½ (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 20.80  
6  DAVID'S TUITION 4 1 21 31½ 51¾ 32½ 35¾ (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 28.03  
7  DUAL MONARCHY 5 2 43 42 2½ 22½ 47¼ (engler jef)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 7% 12.60 10.56  
5  JEWELSTOWN 3 10 98¼ 95¾ 85¾ 76 57¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 5% 19.00 2.87  
9  PLATINUM GHOST 7 4 31½ 21 41½ 54½ 67¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 7.93  
3  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 2 5 1016¼ 1014¾ 1012¾ 1010¾ 79½ (glyshaw tim)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00 24.93  
12  CARNIVORE 10 7 54 53 63¼ 65½ 89¾ (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 ★ 6.69  
2  INSIGNIS 1 8 88 85½ 96¾ 98¼ 913¾ (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 31.17  
10  AMERICAN ICON 8 9 76 63½ 31½ 86¼ 1017 (vasquez german )CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 28.83  
SCR  MAN'S CHOICE               (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
SCR  PUNCTUALITY               (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   11/23/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:094 1:221   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BEST ACTOR 5 5 1½ 11½ 1½ 12 12¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 61% 0.60 0.96 W
3  INJUNCTION 2 1 2½ 21½ 2½ 22 22¼ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 4.80  
4  PRO OXIDANT 3 2 53 53¾ 54½ 45½ 38¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 9.85 S
1  O BESOS 1 3 42½ 41¾ 3½ 33½ 49¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 2.77  
6  PIONEER OF MEDINA 4 4 31 31½ 44 58 521 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 4.74  
SCR  BUCK MOON               (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
SCR  GO EMI               (gonzalez lilia)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT BLUE               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
 
CD-9   11/23/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ANGKOR 9 4 2½ 2½   11½ 11½ (bauer a)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 44% 1.30 3.62 W
3  BOURBON HEIST 3 6 63½ 65   44 21½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.95 P
2  DUCALE 2 5 53½ 42½   54 34¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 17% 5.00 5.90 S
6  AWESOME AARON 5 2 31 31½   32 45¼ (green troy)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 41.89  
7  INVULNERABLE 6 3 1½ 1½   21½ 56½ (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 3.15  
8  W W CANDY 7 1 95¾ 97¼   67½ 67¼ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 6% 16.50 12.39  
1  EMBRACE (IRE) 1 10 107¼ 109¼   88½ 77¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 34.56  
5  MR BOB 4 7 85¼ 87   78 811 (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 7.01  
9  STRAVA 8 9 75 75   910 923½ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 11% 7.80 4.42  
12  BLUE LIGHT 10 8 43 53   1012 1024 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 9.90  
SCR  CYCLONE MISCHIEF               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
SCR  GREENER PASTURES               (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 30.00    
 
CD-10   11/23/2023 5940ft TURF GOOD Cardinal Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:14 1:384   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STAR FORTRESS (IRE) 2 5 63½ 65½ 63½ 1½ 110 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 6.34  
7  SAFFRON MOON 6 4 31 32 31 2½ 210 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 1.98  
3  LOVELY PRINCESS 3 6 52½ 53½ 52½ 54 310¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 33% 2.00 4.26 S
6  JUNCTURE (GB) 5 2 41½ 43 41½ 43½ 412¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 30% 2.30 2.23  
4  WALKATHON 4 1 1nk 11½ 11 31 512¾ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 4.00 4.38  
1  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 1 3 2nk 21½ 21 611 637¾ (pitts helen)MOJICA O 121 8.00 7% 12.90 16.68  
SCR  TAKE A STAND               (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
 
CD-11   11/23/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Falls City Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:132 1:374   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  XIGERA 7 3 32½ 32½ 3½ 13 16½ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 120 0.60 64% 0.60 0.15 W
7  MUSIC STREET 6 1 21½ 22 2½ 23 26½ (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 49.07  
5  JAG WARRIOR 4 2 11½ 12 1½ 33 36½ (romans dale)HERNANDEZ J 121 30.00 52.34  
4  MISTY VEIL 3 7 53 63½ 52½ 45 46¾ (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 19.47  
3  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 2 4 42½ 42½ 62¾ 57 58 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00 30.10  
2  SKRATCH KAT 1 8 86¾ 87 87¾ 78¾ 68 (bauer phili)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 20.36  
9  BELLAMORE 8 6 63¼ 53 41 67¼ 79¾ (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 ★ 7.26  
6  DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE 5 5 74¾ 75 76¾ 810¼ 816¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 11% 8.10 15.61  
SCR  HIDDEN CONNECTION               (calhoun william )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00    
 
CD-12   11/23/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LEGADEMA 5 2 1½ 1nk   13½ 12¼ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 4.23  
9  OUTSPOKEN 7 1 42½ 42¼   23½ 22¼ (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★ 10.15 P
4  UNO LE 4 3 63 64¼   44 32¾ (galindo-tor)CORREA L 119 20.00 68.19  
3  TAPPIN INTO GENIUS 3 4 97 98½   77½ 48¾ (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 47.53  
10  MISCHIEVOUS MIND 8 11 53 52¼   66 59½ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 32% 2.10 7.48  
12  LADY MOSCATO 10 7 31 3.2   33½ 69¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 33% 2.00 2.56  
1  MO ATTITUDE 1 10 118¾ 1010½   910½ 710½ (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 119 15.00 37.91  
2  PARADE DOWN BROAD 2 5 75 75¾   88 810¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5.86  
11  TALE OF LA BEE 9 6 2½ 2nk   55½ 914 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 12% 7.30 2.83  
8  MIRANDA 6 8 85½ 86   1010¾ 1018¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 20.52  
13  LADLE 11 9 107¼ 1110½   1116¾ 1128¾ (miller jerome)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 50.23  
SCR  KERLO'S CAUSE               (short thomas)GARCIA F 119 20.00    
SCR  NO BODY LOVES ME               (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
SCR  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE               (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.