Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $33.20 $21.20 177%
    DD (4/5)-(3/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $23.40 $11.40 95%
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/5)-(3/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  4/5/7-2/5-3 $25.00 $19.00 317%
MVR-6   WIN (2/8/12/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $26.60 $16.60 166%
    DD (8/5/6)-(2/8/12/5/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00  8-7 $140.40 $110.40 368%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPUNKY ONE 4 2 42½ 32   2½ 12 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 48% 1.10 0.80 W
  (by ONE SIDED out of LIL COUNTRY GRAD by MAGNA GRADUATE)
6  IT'S E Z 5 1 11½ 11½   1½ 22 (fad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 6.00 5.30  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
1  WINGS OF HEAVEN 1 4 32 21½   31½ 35¼ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.50 ★ 2.40 S
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
3  HOT PRINCESS (GB) 3 3 21½ 42   45½ 412 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00 22.30  
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
2  WINDY DANCER 2 5 532½ 537   545½ 571 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 3.50 28% 2.60 4.00  
  (by INDY WIND out of OLD CENTRE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  MY DANIELA               (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50    
  (by ONE SIDED out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  PITY PURCHASE               (langley josh)TAPARA BRANDON 122 10.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MILWAUKEE QUEEN by MILWAUKEE BREW)
 
MVR-2   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HISTORYINTHEMAKING 4 3 42½ 2nk   1nk 11 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 1.60 33% 2.00 0.90 W
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MAKING HISTORY by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  LIGHTENING LOTTIE 3 1 21 1nk   2nk 21 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 1.80 33% 2.00 1.80 P
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
1  COWGIRLS HUMOR 1 4 31 44½   46¼ 312 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 21.40  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
7  RIVER HUSTLER 5 2 58½ 58½   57¾ 413½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 122 3.00 ★ 3.60  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
3  SOMETHING LUCKY 2 5 11 31½   36 513¾ (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 15.00 9.70  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  BOLD RUBY               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 12.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  PRADA MANDALA               (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of PRAY FOR GRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
MVR-3   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YOU BET A FORTUNE 2 3 11 1½   13½ 13 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 36% 1.80 4.70 W
6  POKER PARTNER 5 1 21 2½   23½ 23 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 2.50 24% 3.30 0.60 P
8  LUCKY COUGAR 6 2 32½ 33½   36½ 38 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 117 4.00 4.50  
1  EL BAMBINO 1 6 54 47   47 410 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 6.00 11% 8.10 4.60  
4  ROYALLY FLUSHED 3 4 68 69½   511 514¾ (short travis )BRACHO A 120 15.00 20.50  
5  MOONLIGHT JOKER 4 5 42½ 58   612½ 615¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 19.00  
SCR  M EIGHTY               (reed r)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
SCR  MON GATEAU               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 5.00    
 
MVR-4   12/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :461       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEACH FRONT 4 2 31½ 2½   2nk 1½ (haehn r)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 8.60  
4  WOODLAND WALK 3 1 2½ 1½   1nk 2½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 1.80 56% 0.80 0.10 P
1  GILLIGAN 1 3 1½ 3½   35 36¼ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 ★ 21.60 S
3  SAVVY LAYLA 2 5 41½ 41   45¼ 49 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 14% 6.10 6.80  
9  LOST IN MANHATTAN 5 4 55½ 59   512¾ 517 (rom)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 20.60  
SCR  INSIDE STUNT               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
SCR  PERFECT WAGER               (zawitz joel)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL MAHOGANY               (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN               (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-5   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:163 1:302   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GOOD MUSIC 7 5 53¼ 45½ 2½ 11 11¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.00 26% 2.90 2.10 W
1  WHISKEY HELPS 1 7 712¾ 713 63 32 21¾ (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 4.00 8.70  
2  NO MAS CERVEZA 2 3 2nk 23½ 31 21 32¼ (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 4.50 ★ 8.90 S
6  HARSH TRUTH 5 4 43 58 53 42 45¼ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 17% 4.90 3.90  
5  BUCKEYE CHARLIE 4 1 31½ 35 42½ 52¼ 58½ (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 6.00 23% 3.40 1.30  
3  SWEET JILL'S JACK 3 2 1nk 13½ 1½ 63¾ 610¼ (campbell anthon)VEGA L 124 8.00 22.70  
7  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 6 6 68¾ 612 76 78¼ 719½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 15.00 36.80  
SCR  NOSEY POWER               (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IRON BERTIE 7 3 11 1½   11½ 13 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.30 W
6  FALL CAMPAIGN 6 4 21 32½   21½ 23 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 8.60  
11  BIG BANG BLUE 11 5 41¼ 2½   32½ 34½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 10.70  
9  ENCHANTED MELODY 9 6 72¾ 65   77¼ 48½ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 10.00 4.40  
12  DULCE VICTORIA 12 7 83 53½   54½ 58½ (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 6% 16.00 9.60  
2  ROSE KNOWS 2 12 105½ 85¼   87¾ 69½ (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 2.50 47% 1.10 1.60  
3  PURDY PUMKIN 3 10 94 75¼   44½ 710 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 5.40  
5  POLITICAL ASTRAY 5 11 128½ 128½   99¾ 812 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 6% 16.70 55.60  
4  VAVITE 4 8 51¾ 42½   67 914 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 25.70  
10  MYRA FLEENER 10 1 116 117   1011¼ 1015¾ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 76.60  
8  LORI'S EYES 8 2 31 105½   1215¾ 1123 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 21% 3.90 14.70  
1  MOON PARTY 1 9 61¾ 95½   1113¼ 1223¼ (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 72.00  
 
MVR-7   12/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123 1:394   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HUNTER SCOTT 8 1 22½ 22 3½ 11 11 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 7.30  
1  STAR HAWK 1 2 33 54½ 4¾ 31 21 (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 3.00 14% 6.40 2.30 P
6  ZERO GRAVITY 5 8 813½ 811½ 64¾ 42 31¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 4.50 7.10  
2  BIG TRUCK 2 3 54 43 2nk 21 41½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10% 9.20 7.30  
8  STRIKE APPEAL 7 5 66 67 76¼ 64¼ 59½ (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
5  COME SEE ABOUT IT 4 6 43½ 32½ 54¾ 74¼ 611 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 52% 0.90 2.00  
7  DISCLOSURE 6 7 711 711 89¾ 87¾ 712 (bailey ricard)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 23.60  
4  GOING IN STYLE 3 4 12½ 12 1nk 54 818 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 17.80  
SCR  THRU THE VINE               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
1:123         1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE PINK Z 4 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 ★ 6.00  
1  OUR BUCKWHEAT 1 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00 4.40  
2  TEAM LEYENDECKER 2 6 43½ 3.2   3½ 3.15 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 26% 2.90 2.30 S
9  HITE 7 2 55 53¾   42½ 43¼ (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 15.40  
8  KNOCK WOOD 6 7 66 64¼   63¼ 54¾ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 37% 1.70 2.20  
6  WETZEL 5 3 31½ 41¾   52¾ 67 (cline robert)HALDAR J 123 10.00 6% 14.50 4.50  
3  DASH OF FIRE 3 5 76½ 74¾   73¾ 78½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 20.90  
SCR  ELLIOT THE DRAGON               (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
SCR  PAINT THE TOWN               (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 3.00    
 
MVR-9   12/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  G T THREE FIFTY 5 6 2nk 1½   12½ 13 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 4.00 1.70  
6  C V JERSEY BEE 6 3 31 2½   22½ 23 (salcedo ramon)LEON A 123 12.00 11.40  
10  YIPPEE KI YAY 8 1 42 32   46 310½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 12.00 14% 6.30 6.10 S
3  CONSTITUTION COAL 3 7 53 42   35 410¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 15.70  
7  HOTROD BOBBY 7 2 74¼ 64   57 512¾ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 11.90  
4  RAY'S EMPIRE 4 4 84¾ 78   69½ 617¾ (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 6% 14.70 39.30  
2  FAST CLIP 2 5 1nk 53   710 724¾ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 22% 3.50 3.00  
1  I STRONG 1 8 64 89½   814 827 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00 34% 2.00 3.40  
SCR  I'M HIM               (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 3.00    
SCR  LOTSA MATCHA               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00    
SCR  WILDCAT PRIDE               (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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