Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $20.40 $14.40 240%
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-2 $63.20 $45.20 251%
MVR-3   EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-2 $22.00 $4.00 22%
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-2-3 $32.40 $23.40 260%
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-1 $31.80 $13.80 77%
MVR-4   PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/7/3)-(7/5/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1-1-7 $25.70 $12.20 90%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE 2 2 12 11   12½ 15½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.50 ★ 2.30  
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
1  CABARET FLEUR 1 1 22 21   22½ 25½ (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 6.00 6.50  
  (by MIXMASTER out of SHINE A SPOTLIGHT by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
6  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 5 5 59 55   46 38¾ (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 3.00 35% 1.80 2.60 S
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
4  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 4 4 46 43½   35½ 411 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 15.00 9.70  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
3  GEMSHINE 3 3 33 33   58 515¾ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 125 1.20 42% 1.40 1.30  
  (by SNAG out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
SCR  BOLD NICKY               (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 8.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
 
MVR-2   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:242 :47 1:114 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPPLY CHAIN 1 4 33½ 21½ 2nk 13 13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 33% 2.00 9.20 W
2  SHELL FIRE 2 1 610¼ 48½ 46 43¼ 23 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 2.00 ★ 3.00 P
5  DISTORTED LIMITS 5 5 47½ 59 56½ 33 33¼ (galloway k)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 6.00 2.80  
3  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 3 3 23½ 32 32 23 47½ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 19% 4.40 2.20  
6  CUMBER 6 2 13½ 11½ 1nk 53¼ 58½ (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 12.00 9.70  
4  IT'S FATE 4 7 710¼ 710 69½ 610¼ 617¾ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 16% 5.40 11.00  
7  ADIOS BOBBY 7 6 57¾ 610 712½ 718¼ 736¼ (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 7.00  
SCR  POLITICAL               (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GIRL 1 1 11 11½   11 12 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.60 37% 1.70 0.20 W
2  I'M JAC'D 2 3 31½ 21½   21 22 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 ★ 24.80 P
3  WEEKENDING 3 2 21 32   34½ 38¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 9% 10.40 19.10 S
5  C MORE PRIDE 5 7 78 66   45 49 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 12.00 22.10  
6  TV TIZ GORGEOUS 6 6 68 76½   56½ 510¾ (tumblin an)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 25.90  
4  TITEBLUEJEANS 4 4 42½ 45   66½ 610¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 10.00 52.70  
7  ONE RICH KITTEN 7 5 54 55½   78½ 714¾ (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 34% 2.00 3.50  
 
MVR-4   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:252 :484 1:132 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CONFESSOR 6 3 31 41 31½ 1½ 13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 26% 2.80 2.20 W
4  ORO DE MORO MORO 4 2 2½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 23 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 7.50  
8  APPRAISAL 7 7 41 2½ 2nk 3½ 33¼ (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 12.00 17% 5.00 9.20 S
5  CUGINE 5 6 73¼ 51½ 42 45½ 46¾ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 22% 3.50 6.40  
2  DISCLOSURE 2 4 63 62 65½ 55¾ 57 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 6.90  
1  THE HONORABLE ONE 1 5 51½ 72¼ 76 66¾ 67½ (engler jeff)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 1.60  
3  INDIAN EMPIRE 3 1 1½ 31 55 77¼ 712½ (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 124 15.00 ★ 14.70  
SCR  FRANCO (MEX)               (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
SCR  GITA'S LAD               (young r)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER THE HILLS 1 5 12 12   12½ 12 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 ★ 3.90  
4  OUT OF CENTS 4 1 32 33   22½ 22 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 21% 3.70 3.70 P
5  FREEDOM RIDER 5 7 65 55½   34½ 33½ (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 12% 7.50 11.30 S
8  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 8 3 54½ 43½   45 44¾ (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 7.90  
7  DOCTOR WU 7 8 77½ 78   67 55½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
9  STATESBORO 9 6 89 89½   87½ 65½ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 4.50  
3  PATIO PARTY 3 4 42½ 66   56½ 78¾ (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 15.00 28.60  
6  KOZY'S WILDCAT 6 2 22 22   77½ 810½ (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 3.50 44% 1.30 2.70  
2  MAKING ME CRAZY 2 9 913 915½   912½ 914¼ (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 13.50  
 
MVR-6   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TRULY INCLUSIVE 10 1 62¾ 42   2nk 13¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 3.00 14% 6.20 1.80 W
2  BODE'S ROSE 2 7 2nk 1½   1nk 23¼ (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 8.00 4.70  
5  MIZZEN THE POINT 4 10 73¼ 54   43½ 38 (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 41% 1.50 3.20 S
10  SWEET OUTLOOK 9 6 41¼ 2½   32½ 48 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
4  ROCKY CHANNEL 3 8 98¾ 910   76½ 59¾ (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 6.00 26.30  
6  YOU NAME IT 5 5 31 64½   54 610½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 17% 5.00 2.90  
1  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 1 9 1010¾ 1012   89½ 711¾ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 98.40  
9  MY PINK BABY BIRD 8 3 88¼ 810   99¾ 812¼ (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 20.00 73.30  
8  TWENTY FOUR KARAT 7 2 1nk 31½   66 914¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 9% 10.70 13.40  
7  WAR MOON 6 4 52¾ 77   1010¼ 1014½ (langley jo)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 60.00  
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME               (bates l)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:141 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IZZY'S MONSTER 4 2 3½ 1½ 12½ 15 113¾ (villa francis)BRACHO A 123 3.50 40% 1.50 1.80 W
8  FLAXEN 6 6 65 53½ 67½ 37 213¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 8.30  
3  AWILDAS TREASURE 2 1 1nk 3½ 22½ 25 314¾ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 8.70  
9  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 7 3 42½ 42 32½ 47 418¼ (flick julia)RIVERA R 124 20.00 ★ 11.80  
7  GRAN CHEMIN 5 7 54½ 63¾ 55½ 59½ 518½ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 6.90  
5  SHE IS ROYALTY 3 5 77½ 78¾ 713½ 714 623½ (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 11% 8.00 6.60  
1  POLISHED GEM 1 4 2nk 2½ 45 611½ 726½ (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 6.00 22% 3.50 2.00  
SCR  BIG AMBITION               (ortiz-r)BRAVO MISAEL 118 20.00    
SCR  MAMITA LINDA               (rodriquez reg)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
SCR  SWEEPINJUSTICE               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:124 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CREDIT RIVER 2 2 1nk 1nk 1½ 12 13¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 25.30  
3  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 3 4 2nk 2nk 2½ 22 23¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60 56% 0.80 1.50 P
1  R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 3 52½ 51¾ 42 33½ 34½ (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 123 8.00 1.20  
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM 4 5 41½ 41¼ 53½ 46½ 44½ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 2.50 11.70  
6  GOING IN STYLE 6 7 31 31 32 58½ 511¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 3.50 ★ 8.60  
5  CENTSOFWANDER 5 1 63 63¼ 63¾ 69 611½ (huffman canda)BRACHO A 126 6.00 18% 4.60 7.40  
7  STAR ENTERTAINER 7 6 73¼ 73¼ 76¾ 79½ 712¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
 
MVR-9   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:123 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 3 6 69 67 62¼ 11½ 12 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 4.10  
1  COUTH 1 1 43 42 41¾ 21½ 22 (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 59% 0.70 1.40 P
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI 5 3 54 52 3.2 31½ 33¾ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00 3.70 S
4  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 4 2 21½ 31 52¼ 56½ 47½ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 4.50 13% 6.90 9.30  
6  STOP THE SPREAD 6 5 32½ 2½ 1nk 44½ 59¾ (caramori)DAVIS A 124 6.00 9.20  
2  STIRDATPOT 2 4 11½ 1½ 2nk 69½ 615 (londono genevi)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 3.50  
SCR  HIPPODROME               (ginter j)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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