The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $6.60 -4.00
MVR-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $20.40 $20.40 14.40
MVR-3   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
MVR-4   Win (7/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
MVR-5   Win (6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $9.80 -8.00
MVR-6   Win (5/6/11/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -4.40
MVR-7   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
MVR-8   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $52.60 -6.00
MVR-9   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.20 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAMONOS PIACENTE 2 2 12 11   11(casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.50 2.30  
CABARET FLEUR 1 1 22 21   22(overholt g)DIAZ R 126 6.00 6.50  
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 5 5 59 55   46 3(lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 3.00 35% 1.80 2.60 S
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 4 4 46 4   3411 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 15.00 9.70  
GEMSHINE 3 3 33 33   58 515¾ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 125 1.20 42% 1.40 1.30  
SCR  BOLD NICKY               (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:242 :47 1:114 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPPLY CHAIN 1 4 3 2 2nk 13 13 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 33% 2.00 9.20 W
SHELL FIRE 2 1 610¼ 4 46 423 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 126 2.00 3.00 P
DISTORTED LIMITS 5 5 4 59 5 33 3(galloway kha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 6.00 2.80  
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 3 3 2 32 32 23 4(mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 19% 4.40 2.20  
CUMBER 6 2 1 1 1nk 55(urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 12.00 9.70  
IT'S FATE 4 7 710¼ 710 6 610¼ 617¾ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 16% 5.40 11.00  
ADIOS BOBBY 7 6 5 610 712½ 718¼ 736¼ (pappada julie )KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 7.00  
SCR  POLITICAL               (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO GIRL 1 1 11 1   11 12 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.60 37% 1.70 0.20 W
I'M JAC'D 2 3 3 2   21 22 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 24.80 P
WEEKENDING 3 2 21 32   33(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 9% 10.40 19.10 S
C MORE PRIDE 5 7 78 66   45 49 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 12.00 22.10  
TV TIZ GORGEOUS 6 6 68 7   5510¾ (tumblin andr)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 25.90  
TITEBLUEJEANS 4 4 4 45   6610¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 10.00 52.70  
ONE RICH KITTEN 7 5 54 5   7714¾ (sweeting craig)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 34% 2.00 3.50  
 
MVR-4   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:252 :484 1:132 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFESSOR 6 3 31 41 3 1½ 13 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 26% 2.80 2.20 W
ORO DE MORO MORO 4 2 2½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 23 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 7.50  
APPRAISAL 7 7 41 2½ 2nk 3½ 3(treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 12.00 17% 5.00 9.20 S
CUGINE 5 6 7 5 42 44(casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 22% 3.50 6.40  
DISCLOSURE 2 4 63 62 6 557 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 6.90  
THE HONORABLE ONE 1 5 5 7 76 66(engler jeff)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 1.60  
INDIAN EMPIRE 3 1 1½ 31 55 7712½ (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 124 15.00 14.70  
SCR  FRANCO (MEX)               (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
SCR  GITA'S LAD               (young r)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER THE HILLS 1 5 12 12   112 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 3.90  
OUT OF CENTS 4 1 32 33   222 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 21% 3.70 3.70 P
FREEDOM RIDER 5 7 65 5   33(bernardini ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 12% 7.50 11.30 S
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 8 3 5 4   45 4(skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 7.90  
DOCTOR WU 7 8 7 78   67 5(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
STATESBORO 9 6 89 8   86(londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 4.50  
PATIO PARTY 3 4 4 66   57(galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 124 15.00 28.60  
KOZY'S WILDCAT 6 2 22 22   7810½ (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 3.50 44% 1.30 2.70  
MAKING ME CRAZY 2 9 913 915½   912½ 914¼ (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 13.50  
 
MVR-6   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TRULY INCLUSIVE 10 1 6 42   2nk 1(rone mike)RIVERA R 124 3.00 14% 6.20 1.80 W
BODE'S ROSE 2 7 2nk 1½   1nk 2(anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 8.00 4.70  
MIZZEN THE POINT 4 10 7 54   438 (maker j)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 41% 1.50 3.20 S
10  SWEET OUTLOOK 9 6 4 2½   348 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
ROCKY CHANNEL 3 8 9 910   75(cline c)HALDAR J 124 6.00 26.30  
YOU NAME IT 5 5 31 6   54 610½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 17% 5.00 2.90  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 1 9 1010¾ 1012   8711¾ (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 98.40  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 8 3 8 810   9812¼ (vickers richard )DIAZ I 124 20.00 73.30  
TWENTY FOUR KARAT 7 2 1nk 3   66 914¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 9% 10.70 13.40  
WAR MOON 6 4 5 77   1010¼ 1014½ (langley josh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 60.00  
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME               (bates l)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:141 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY'S MONSTER 4 2 3½ 1½ 1 15 113¾ (villa francisco)BRACHO A 123 3.50 40% 1.50 1.80 W
FLAXEN 6 6 65 5 6 37 213¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 8.30  
AWILDAS TREASURE 2 1 1nk 3½ 2 25 314¾ (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 8.70  
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 7 3 4 42 3 47 418¼ (flick julia)RIVERA R 124 20.00 11.80  
GRAN CHEMIN 5 7 5 6 5 5518½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 6.90  
SHE IS ROYALTY 3 5 7 7 713½ 714 623½ (cordero-lopez alexi)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 11% 8.00 6.60  
POLISHED GEM 1 4 2nk 2½ 45 611½ 726½ (bernardini p)DIAZ I 124 6.00 22% 3.50 2.00  
SCR  BIG AMBITION               (ortiz-rui)BRAVO MISAEL 118 20.00    
SCR  MAMITA LINDA               (rodriquez regul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
SCR  SWEEPINJUSTICE               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:124 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREDIT RIVER 2 2 1nk 1nk 1½ 12 1(cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 25.30  
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 3 4 2nk 2nk 2½ 22 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60 56% 0.80 1.50 P
R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 3 5 5 42 33(vecchio cary)COLINA ALEJANDRO 123 8.00 1.20  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 4 5 4 4 5 44(skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 123 2.50 11.70  
GOING IN STYLE 6 7 31 31 32 5511¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 3.50 8.60  
CENTSOFWANDER 5 1 63 6 6 69 611½ (huffman candace)BRACHO A 126 6.00 18% 4.60 7.40  
STAR ENTERTAINER 7 6 7 7 7 7712¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
 
MVR-9   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:123 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 3 6 69 67 6 112 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 4.10  
COUTH 1 1 43 42 4 222 (stephen anthony)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 59% 0.70 1.40 P
ERNIE'S MARTINI 5 3 54 52 3.2 33(buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00 3.70 S
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 4 2 2 31 5 54(skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 124 4.50 13% 6.90 9.30  
STOP THE SPREAD 6 5 3 2½ 1nk 45(caramori e)DAVIS A 124 6.00 9.20  
STIRDATPOT 2 4 1 1½ 2nk 6615 (londono geneviev)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 3.50  
SCR  HIPPODROME               (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.