Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(1/3/4)-(1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/7/3)-(7/5/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(7/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(7/5/8)-(6/4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/8)-(7/5/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/8)-(7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/8)-(6/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8)-(6/4/5/7)-(5/6/11/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/1/7)-(6/4/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/5/7)-(5/6/11/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/7)-(5/6/11/8/10)-(6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/6/11/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/11/8/10)-(5/6/11/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/11/8/10)-(5/6/11/8/10)-(5/6/11/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/11/8/10)-(6/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/11/8/10)-(6/1/5)-(3/5/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/9)-(6/1/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/5/7)-(1/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-8   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-9   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABARET FLEUR Dec11 Nov07 Oct21 Aug16 Aug03 (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 6.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of SHINE A SPOTLIGHT by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun19 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.50 ★    
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
3  GEMSHINE Nov22         (urieta johann)BRACHO A 125 1.20 42% 1.40    
  (by SNAG out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
4  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Nov22 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Sep19 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
SCR  BOLD NICKY Dec11 Nov22 Oct21 Oct04 Jun19 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 8.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
6  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA         (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
 
MVR-2   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPPLY CHAIN Nov02 Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 Jul18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  SHELL FIRE Dec06 Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 Sep13 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 2.00 ★    
3  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Dec07 Nov17 Oct09 Aug02 Jun23 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 19% 4.40    
4  IT'S FATE Nov20 Oct13 Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
5  DISTORTED LIMITS Dec05 Nov15 Oct06 Sep18 Aug28 (galloway k)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 6.00    
6  CUMBER Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Aug15 Aug01 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 12.00    
7  ADIOS BOBBY Nov20 Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
SCR  POLITICAL Dec04 Nov21 Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GIRL Nov28 Nov09 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
2  I'M JAC'D Nov20 Nov08 Oct25 Oct12 Sep14 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 ★    
3  WEEKENDING Nov28 Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 Jun05 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 9% 10.40    
4  TITEBLUEJEANS Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Oct06 Aug31 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
5  C MORE PRIDE Nov13 Oct23 Oct06 Sep21 Aug29 (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00    
6  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Oct23 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 (tumblin an)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
7  ONE RICH KITTEN Nov28 Nov06 Oct21 Oct04 Aug29 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
MVR-4   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HONORABLE ONE Sep30 May22 Apr19 Feb28 Feb09 (engler jeff)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50    
2  DISCLOSURE Dec05 Nov14 Nov01 Oct25 Oct02 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
3  INDIAN EMPIRE Nov08 Oct25 Oct02 Sep21 Sep05 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 124 15.00 ★    
4  ORO DE MORO MORO Dec04 Mar10 Feb24 Jan06 Dec11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
5  CUGINE Nov29 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug17 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FRANCO (MEX) Dec06 Nov29 Oct31 Oct02 Aug31 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
7  CONFESSOR Nov06 Oct15 Oct01 May20 Apr16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
8  APPRAISAL Dec12 Nov27 Oct31 Oct10 Oct01 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 12.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  GITA'S LAD Dec01 Oct19 Sep04 Jul26 Jun01 (young r)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER THE HILLS Dec06 Nov20 Oct24 Oct10 Sep17 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 ★    
2  MAKING ME CRAZY Nov30 Nov13 Nov01 Oct21 Sep28 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50    
3  PATIO PARTY Nov21 Nov06 Oct24 Sep26 Sep05 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
4  OUT OF CENTS Nov15 Oct18 Oct01 Sep09 Aug16 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  FREEDOM RIDER Dec06 Nov05 Oct02 Sep17 Aug25 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
6  KOZY'S WILDCAT Nov15 Nov05 Sep26 Sep03 Jul30 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  DOCTOR WU Dec06 Oct24 Sep17 Aug16 Jul25 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Nov29 Nov06 Sep03 Aug27 Jul15 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
9  STATESBORO Dec06 Nov02 Sep26 Aug28 Aug15 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Nov13 Oct23 Sep26 Sep14 Aug15 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
2  BODE'S ROSE Nov13 Nov02 Sep28 Mar02 Jan03 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME Nov30 Nov15 Sep28 Sep13 Jul24 (bates l)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
4  ROCKY CHANNEL Dec20 Nov12 Oct26 Oct05 Sep08 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
5  MIZZEN THE POINT Nov28 Nov09 Oct10 Sep07 Aug29 (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 41% 1.50    
6  YOU NAME IT Nov28 Nov13 Oct23 Sep22 Jul22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
7  WAR MOON Nov30 Nov08 Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 (langley jo)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
8  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Nov13 Oct23 Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 9% 10.70    
9  MY PINK BABY BIRD Nov15 Oct24 Oct04 Aug30 Aug09 (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
10  SWEET OUTLOOK Dec12 Nov28 Nov13 Oct31 Oct04 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  TRULY INCLUSIVE Nov13 Oct25 May06 Apr10 Mar21 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
MVR-7   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLISHED GEM Dec05 Nov13 Oct10 Sep19 May02 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  SWEEPINJUSTICE Nov27 Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 Jun14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00    
3  AWILDAS TREASURE Nov16 Oct28 Oct16 Sep25 Sep12 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
SCR  MAMITA LINDA Nov07 Oct07 Aug30 Aug12 Aug01 (rodriquez reg)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
5  SHE IS ROYALTY Dec03 Nov19 Oct09 Sep27 May26 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 11% 8.00    
6  IZZY'S MONSTER Nov13 Oct10 Sep21 Aug02 Jul09 (villa francis)BRACHO A 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  GRAN CHEMIN Dec02 Nov08 Sep30 Sep21 Sep02 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.00    
8  FLAXEN Nov06 Oct16 Sep14 Mar23 Mar07 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
9  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE May22 Apr27 Feb20 Jan24 Dec01 (flick julia)RIVERA R 124 20.00 ★    
SCR  BIG AMBITION Dec12 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep20 (ortiz-r)BRAVO MISAEL 118 20.00    
 
MVR-8   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R CARDINAL PRINCE Oct30 Oct13 Oct05 Sep26 Sep18 (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 123 8.00    
2  CREDIT RIVER Dec04 Jul25 Jul10 May10 Apr15 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
3  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Dec04 Aug18 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60 56% 0.80    
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM Dec04 Nov20 Nov01 Oct02 Aug16 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 2.50    
5  CENTSOFWANDER Nov27 Oct30 Oct13 Sep18 Aug28 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 126 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  GOING IN STYLE Dec04 Nov21 Nov01 Oct24 Oct06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 3.50 ★    
7  STAR ENTERTAINER Nov08 Oct25 Aug29 Aug03 Jul05 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-9   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUTH Oct18 Oct01 Sep17 Aug20 Aug05 (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
2  STIRDATPOT Oct23 Jul22 Jul06 Apr29 Jun19 (londono genevi)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
3  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Nov07 Sep17 Dec16 Oct19 Sep01 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
4  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Nov21 Oct13 Sep18 Dec05 Nov10 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI Nov27 Oct10 Sep11 Aug08 Jul25 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  STOP THE SPREAD Oct17 Sep20 Aug04 Jul20 Jun10 (caramori)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
SCR  HIPPODROME Dec09 Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 Oct15 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.