The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - November 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
PEN-2   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
PEN-3   Win (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $6.80 -4.00
PEN-4   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $43.80 -6.00
PEN-5   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -1.00
PEN-6   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -1.80
PEN-7   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.40 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:22 :45 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 4 2 3 32   1nk 1(kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 61% 0.60 0.30 W
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 3 54 4   42 2(moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 6.00 15.70  
PICTOR 5 4 11 11   2nk 3(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 12% 7.60 5.10 S
EAGLES CRY 1 5 4 5   546 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5.80  
LOST IN NEWYORK 3 1 21 21   3½ 5(rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 10.50  
SCR  JEAN VALJEAN               (merryman elizabe)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50    
 
PEN-2   11/17/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:14 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD VINE 3 1 11 11 12 1nk 1(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 49% 1.00 1.30 W
KEEN LOOKIN 4 5 55 5 22 2nk 2(caiazzo corby)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00 3.60 P
JUMPING RAINBOWS 1 4 3 4 4 4311¾ (caiazzo cor)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 23% 3.40 2.20 S
BRADY 6 2 4 21 3 3412¼ (rodriguez franklin)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 11.70  
CHANNEL Z 2 6 610 612½ 615 519 523½ (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 5.40  
SALVO TRIGGER 5 3 21 3 514½ 629 643½ (meister willi)INIRIO J 123 15.00 51.40  
 
PEN-3   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:133 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPESTUOUS 1 8 6 6 4 1nk 1¾ (salvaggio mark )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 2.40  
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 8 2 1 1 1 2nk 2¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 75% 0.30 5.50 P
MERCURY TEN 4 5 2 3 2 33(shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 3.80 S
LAWLESSNESS 5 4 4 4 5 44(lake a)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 5.60  
MONEYONTHELINE 6 3 5 5 3 5510½ (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 6.00 7.80  
LONG TOM 2 6 78 7 710 610½ 614 (salinas )SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00 72.80  
SWEEPIN HARD 3 9 816 820¼ 825 822½ 719¼ (jacklin theodor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 22.80  
LARZ 7 1 3 2 6 718½ 821 (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 119 6.00 6.30  
MR BOLDACIOUS 9 7 917 925¼ 930 929½ 926½ (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
 
PEN-4   11/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 6 4 5 2nk   1nk 1¾ (meister willi)INIRIO J 120 12.00 20.90  
KAZ MUSIC 5 1 21 1nk   2nk 2¾ (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 60% 0.70 3.90 P
LOVELY LIZA 1 3 3 5   53(farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 11% 8.50 1.00 S
ARROGANTE 4 6 6 4   42 4(moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
PEACE OUT 2 5 4 32   35(meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 10.00  
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD 3 2 11 6   610¼ 616 (gorham michael )ROJAS MARTINA 114 3.00 2.00  
 
PEN-5   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:151 1:274   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMITE KARMA 4 1 31 3½ 1nk 1½ 1¾ (fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 18% 4.50 0.50 W
CAERUS 5 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 2½ 2¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00 2.80  
PATTY'S BOY 3 3 56 56 4 33(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 12.00  
PUTTHEGLASSDOWN 2 5 43 42 3 4417 (moreno tito)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 14.30  
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 1 4 2½ 2nk 56 510½ 519½ (graci kimberl)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 36% 1.80 4.90  
SCR  LAKE NAKURU               (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 15.00    
 
PEN-6   11/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:231 :473 :594     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS TANGIE 5 1 2½ 1   14 1(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 1.80 48% 1.10 0.10 W
SHORT OF DINERO 4 5 3 2   24 2(deiter l)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 10.00 29.00  
BOUNTY KILLAH 1 3 1½ 32   35 310 (siculietano dan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 116 8.00 12.80  
PELOSI 3 2 54 44   47 411¼ (martin jr)AGUILAR M 123 10.00 11.00  
UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL 2 4 43 57   510 515½ (stowers )SMITH DANIEL 118 4.00 18% 4.50 5.20  
SCR  SOULFUL TARA               (pino michae)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60    
 
PEN-7   11/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TO DREAMS 7 2 2½ 11   1½ 1¼ (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 119 4.00 4.20  
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 3 5 56 4   3½ 2¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 55% 0.80 1.30 P
BULLET ON TAP 2 7 7 65   532 (ramirez silv)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 6.00 3.80  
MASKED HEROINE 6 1 3 21   2½ 4(martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 13% 6.90 6.80  
SCOREBOARD LILY 5 4 4 3   45(kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
SWEET FACTOR 4 3 1½ 54   611½ 619¾ (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 3.00 6.90  
HOP TO A DECISION 1 6 68 713   723½ 731¾ (harigeorgiou )INIRIO J 119 50.00 50.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.