The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
PEN-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $8.00 -4.00
PEN-3   Win (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
PEN-4   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $8.80 -4.00
PEN-5   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 6.00
PEN-6   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
PEN-7   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.00 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANJO 3 2 21 2nk   12 13 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 1.40 64% 0.60 0.30 W
SYLVIA I AM 4 4 4 36   35 23 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 29.10  
HE AROSE 2 5 513½ 58   48 38 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 121 15.00 29.60  
ON THE CHILL 5 1 11 1nk   22 4(crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 1.80 16% 5.20 1.90  
TYRANT REGIME 1 3 3 4   512 518¾ (pessanha ne)VARGAS L 123 10.00 15.50  
SCR  BOOK RUNNER               (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00    
 
PEN-2   12/07/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123 1:391   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE METHOD 4 4 3 3 3 2½ 1¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 3.00  
SECRETARY AT WAR 5 3 2 2½ 1 1½ 2¼ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 43% 1.30 2.50 P
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 3 1 1 1½ 2 33(graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 21% 3.70 5.50 S
WICKED MAD 1 2 44 43 4 4410 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 1.60  
DEVOTED KITTEN 2 5 56 5 5 511½ 515 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 6.00 5.30  
SCR  COAST TO COAST               (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
 
PEN-3   12/07/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:122 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNONYM 4 3 1½ 1 13 14 14 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.60 W
MOON WARRIOR 1 8 510 6 45 24 24 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 3.50 11% 7.90 2.10 P
MERCURY TEN 8 5 43 3 23 33(shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 9.90  
LAWLESSNESS 6 1 715½ 712½ 7 4412¾ (lake a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 12.70  
BLUEBERRY MASH 3 4 816½ 814½ 8 611 517¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 9% 10.30 2.00  
JACK SLYE 7 6 3 43 35 510½ 618½ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 6.20  
EL POLICIA 2 7 610½ 57 6 712 719 (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00 52.70  
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 5 2 2½ 2 5 813½ 824¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 58% 0.70 11.20  
SCR  ONEHANDSOMEDUDE               (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN LAURA RUN 5 1 2 2½   2½ 1¾ (king lawrence)INIRIO J 124 1.80 3.40  
SERENE WARRIOR 3 2 1 1½   1½ 2¾ (rideout ronald)CORA D 124 3.50 2.70  
KATY THE CAT 2 3 3 3   32 3(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00 26% 2.80 1.30 S
HALLIGIRL 1 4 46 4   43 4(rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 12.00 34.20  
DAILY BRIEFING 4 5 58 5   56 5(maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 32% 2.10 2.70  
SCR  BRYCE'S PHILLY               (martinez)SMITH DANIEL 119 20.00    
 
PEN-5   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :441 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK 2 2 44 4   3½ 12 (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 7% 14.40 5.00 W
JUMPMASTER 5 4 3 2   2nk 22 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 30% 2.30 2.70 P
LOST IN NEWYORK 6 1 12 1   1nk 33 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 1.50  
YES IT'S ROO 1 5 55 3   44(rideout ronal)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 11.20  
MORNING THOUGHTS 3 3 22 5   55 57 (sullivan elliott)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 38% 1.70 5.40  
REDEEM EDDIE 4 6 610 613½   69 6(simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 5.80  
 
PEN-6   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:273     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIALLY AWKWARD 1 2 12 13 1nk 12 1(beattie tod)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 48% 1.10 0.50 W
LOVE SHAQ 6 5 4 3 32 22 2(brion keri)CARRASCO R 122 6.00 3.80  
MAX BARLEY 5 1 5 5 5 47 3(zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 17.60  
KAZ CREED 3 3 34 4 2nk 35 48 (synnefias d)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 3.80  
EAST AURORA 2 6 6 610½ 6 58 5(stites w)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
MISSILEER 4 4 22 23 4 615 624¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.50 27% 2.60 15.30  
SCR  JOSH               (lawrence l)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE CANNONBALL 6 1 1nk 11   1nk 1½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 2.00  
CHARGING LION 3 4 31 31   2nk 2½ (mcclellan c)CORA D 124 2.00 26% 2.80 4.00 P
SPINNING MUSICIAN 2 3 42 4   32 3(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 26% 2.90 3.60 S
AGAINST THE ODDS 4 5 5 52   44(zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 12% 7.40 3.60  
DROSSELMOON 1 2 2nk 21   55(rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 4.20  
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 5 6 6 64   669 (borges israel)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00 17.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.