Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-3   Win (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYRANT REGIME Aug22 Aug09 Jul11     (pessanha ne)VARGAS L 123 10.00    
HE AROSE Jun28 May26 May11     (shea lydee)INIRIO J 121 15.00    
SCR  BOOK RUNNER Nov24 Nov03 Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00    
BANJO Oct27 Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 Jul13 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 1.40 64% 0.60    
SYLVIA I AM Nov08 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jun28 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
ON THE CHILL Oct27 Sep15 Jul28 Oct07   (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 1.80 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-2   12/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED MAD Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 Jun25 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50    
DEVOTED KITTEN Nov02 Sep21 Aug24 Aug02 Jul07 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
SCR  COAST TO COAST Nov29 Nov01 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Nov17 Oct09 Aug02 Jun23 Jun09 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
THE METHOD Nov16 Nov02 Sep30 Sep13 Jul28 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00    
SECRETARY AT WAR Nov15 Oct11 Aug25 Jul15 Jun04 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-3   12/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON WARRIOR Nov15 Jul06 Jun20 May17 May04 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 3.50 11% 7.90    
EL POLICIA Nov15 Nov03 Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
SCR  ONEHANDSOMEDUDE Nov24 Nov09 Oct27 Sep29 Jul07 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
BLUEBERRY MASH Nov15 Oct27 Sep15 Jul06 Jun15 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
SYNONYM Nov15 Oct25 Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Nov17 Oct25 Sep30 Jul06 Jun21 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 58% 0.70    
LAWLESSNESS Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 (lake a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00    
JACK SLYE Nov03 Sep21 Aug10 Jul13 Jun20 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
MERCURY TEN Nov17 Sep15 Aug30 Aug09 Jul06 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALLIGIRL Nov09 Sep08 Aug30 Aug04 Jul05 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
KATY THE CAT Nov15 Oct27 Oct06 Aug17 Jul27 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
SERENE WARRIOR Nov24 Sep14 Aug30 Aug18 Jun28 (rideout ronald)CORA D 124 3.50    
DAILY BRIEFING Nov09 Oct27 Sep20 Aug19 Aug05 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
RUN LAURA RUN Nov09 Sep08 Aug04 May31 May05 (king lawrence)INIRIO J 124 1.80    
SCR  BRYCE'S PHILLY Nov01 Oct17 Oct09 Apr08 Mar23 (martinez)SMITH DANIEL 119 20.00    
 
PEN-5   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES IT'S ROO Nov16 Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 Jul27 (rideout ronal)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
KAZ SUGAR BANK Nov08 Aug10 Jul12 Jun01 May11 (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 7% 14.40    
MORNING THOUGHTS Nov16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug25 Aug13 (sullivan elliott)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
REDEEM EDDIE Nov04 Aug31 Aug04 May31 May05 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00    
JUMPMASTER Nov03 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
LOST IN NEWYORK Nov17 Jul06 Jun17 May13 Mar02 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
 
PEN-6   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOSH         (lawrence l)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
SOCIALLY AWKWARD Nov10         (beattie tod)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 48% 1.10    
EAST AURORA Nov24 Nov10       (stites w)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
KAZ CREED         (synnefias d)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
MISSILEER Nov10 Oct26       (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.50 27% 2.60    
MAX BARLEY Nov24         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
LOVE SHAQ Nov08 Oct11 Sep20     (brion keri)CARRASCO R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROSSELMOON Nov10 Jun09 May12 Apr28 Mar29 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
SPINNING MUSICIAN Nov09 Oct27 Oct09 Sep15 Aug24 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
CHARGING LION Nov24 Oct25 Sep01 Aug16 Jul14 (mcclellan c)CORA D 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
AGAINST THE ODDS Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 Jul15 (borges israel)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
DIXIE CANNONBALL Nov15 Oct25 Jul20 Jun30 Jun16 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.