The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $8.80 -4.00
PEN-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $4.60 -4.00
PEN-3   Win (9/10/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $34.60 $34.60 24.60
PEN-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $8.80 -4.00
PEN-5   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
PEN-6   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
PEN-7   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:243 :491 1:132 1:401   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NICK PAPAGIORGIO 5 1 31 42 43½ 32 11¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 3.40  
1  ROMP (ARG) 1 5 41½ 31½ 1½ 11 21¾ (mancilla carlos )CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 2.40  
6  SOUPER ROYAL MOON 4 2 1½ 1½ 3½ 21 33 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5.40  
5  YOUNGEST OF FIVE 3 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 42½ 44¾ (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 42% 1.40 1.80  
4  SUPER DUDE 2 3 52½ 53½ 57 56½ 57¼ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 18% 4.50 4.50  
SCR  P JS SILVER DUKE               (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT               (harigeorgio)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
 
PEN-2   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:231 :473 1:13 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OVER AND THUNDER 3 3 1½ 11½ 14 14 17 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 1.30  
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 2 4 44 43 24 24 27 (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 2.40  
4  HIBACHI 4 1 2½ 31½ 45 38 310¼ (perez flores )VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 8.00 16% 5.30 4.80 S
6  ADY'S MUNNY 5 2 32½ 21½ 34 411½ 426 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 35% 1.90 3.60  
1  RECONVENE 1 5 59 511 517 526½ 547 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 9.30  
SCR  MUSICAL HEART               (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00    
 
PEN-3   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
:221 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COOL IN BLUE 6 6 33½ 1½   14½ 14¼ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 6% 15.40 16.30 W
2  SOCIALLY AWKWARD 2 3 1nk 2½   24½ 24¼ (beattie tod)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 2.20  
6  BELLS RUN 5 10 1011¾ 1014   913¾ 39¾ (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 8.00 7.60  
11  EAST AURORA 10 9 99¾ 712   612 412½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00 6% 15.40 19.80  
9  MISSILEER 8 1 2nk 3½   36½ 512½ (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 3.50 36% 1.80 7.60  
8  THAT'S JUST GREAT 7 8 88¾ 812½   712¼ 615¾ (agnew naoise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 7% 13.20 12.10  
1  PENTATONIC 1 7 44 48½   511½ 717 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 20.00  
10  HOLD MY BEER BRO 9 2 54½ 610½   812¼ 821 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 13% 6.70 2.80  
3  WELL TIMED (GER) 3 5 68 913   1014¼ 922¼ (zook w)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 20.00 67.10  
4  AURORA KUMA 4 4 78½ 59   411½ 1023¾ (arnold pamela)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 5.10  
SCR  OMAR COMIN               (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
 
PEN-4   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:234 :472 1:122 1:391   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUMP FOR THE WIN 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 3.40  
2  THUNDERIAN 1 4 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 55% 0.80 0.40 P
6  STEADY JOHN 5 5 53½ 43 31½ 31 31½ (bentley fenn)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 3.50 8.60  
4  GOOSE HUNTER 3 2 42 57 55¾ 55 43½ (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.50 20% 3.90 17.50  
5  CAJUN OCCASION 4 1 31½ 32½ 41¾ 44 55½ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 5.70  
SCR  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY               (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50    
 
PEN-5   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
1:41         1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JEANETTEO 6 1 12 12½ 15½ 111 114½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 49% 1.00 0.90 W
1  HAPPY TAPPY TIM 1 4 33 32½ 25½ 211 214½ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 24% 3.20 1.60 P
4  RAINBOW TROUT 4 5 43 54 410 315 315 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 8.40  
3  CANOOCHEE 3 6 65¼ 64½ 610¼ 517 417¾ (ramirez silvino)TORRES JOMAR 113 10.00 22.00  
5  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 3 53¼ 43½ 39 415 518 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 5.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
2  FLOWER'S FORTUNE 2 2 22 22½ 510 621½ 633½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 10.80  
 
PEN-6   11/10/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:223 :464 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DROSSELMOON 3 4 52¾ 31   11½ 12¾ (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 22% 3.60 2.20 W
5  NAUTICAL NATURE 5 3 42½ 52½   33 22¾ (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 5.60  
2  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY 2 6 67¾ 67   55½ 33 (pessanha ne)VARGAS L 124 15.00 57.30  
7  REFUND RIGLER 7 1 2nk 1nk   21½ 45½ (guerrero mele)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00 6.50  
1  ZIGGY MON 1 5 32 42   44½ 56 (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 55% 0.80 2.20  
4  MANAHAWKIN 4 7 714¾ 714   710 69 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
6  JIMMY THE KID 6 2 1nk 2nk   65½ 712 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 5.00 10.10  
 
PEN-7   11/10/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:244 :493 1:152 1:43   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NANASQUAN 4 3 31½ 2nk 13 15 15 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 37% 1.70 0.70 W
1  MAKE A SPLASH 1 1 41¾ 51¼ 34 25 25 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 13% 6.60 4.40 P
2  DUSTED 2 2 52¼ 41¼ 23 38 317¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 2.10  
6  MISS MIA LIA 5 6 67¼ 67¼ 610½ 414 421 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00 34.30  
4  FAIRVIEW 3 4 1nk 1nk 45½ 519 539½ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 12.80  
7  MADISON COUNTY 6 5 2nk 31 510½ 628 656¼ (harigeorgiou konsta)BAKER J 123 20.00 45.60  
SCR  DIXIE MUSIC               (arnold pamela)CORA D 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.