Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $8.80  
PEN-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $4.60  
PEN-3   Win (9/10/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $34.60 $34.60 24.60
PEN-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $8.80  
PEN-5   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
PEN-6   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
PEN-7   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:132 1:401   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICK PAPAGIORGIO 5 1 31 42 4 32 1 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 3.40  
ROMP (ARG) 1 5 4 3 1½ 11 2 (mancilla carlos )CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 2.40  
SOUPER ROYAL MOON 4 2 1½ 1½ 3½ 21 33 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5.40  
YOUNGEST OF FIVE 3 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 4 4 (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 42% 1.40 1.80  
SUPER DUDE 2 3 5 5 57 5 5 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 18% 4.50 4.50  
SCR  P JS SILVER DUKE               (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT               (harigeorgio)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
 
PEN-2   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:13 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER AND THUNDER 3 3 1½ 1 14 14 17 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 1.30  
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 2 4 44 43 24 24 27 (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 2.40  
HIBACHI 4 1 2½ 3 45 38 310¼ (perez flores )VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 8.00 16% 5.30 4.80 S
ADY'S MUNNY 5 2 3 2 34 411½ 426 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 35% 1.90 3.60  
RECONVENE 1 5 59 511 517 526½ 547 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 9.30  
SCR  MUSICAL HEART               (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00    
 
PEN-3   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL IN BLUE 6 6 3 1½   1 1 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 6% 15.40 16.30 W
SOCIALLY AWKWARD 2 3 1nk 2½   2 2 (beattie tod)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 2.20  
BELLS RUN 5 10 1011¾ 1014   913¾ 3 (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 8.00 7.60  
11  EAST AURORA 10 9 9 712   612 412½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00 6% 15.40 19.80  
MISSILEER 8 1 2nk 3½   3 512½ (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 3.50 36% 1.80 7.60  
THAT'S JUST GREAT 7 8 8 812½   712¼ 615¾ (agnew naoise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 7% 13.20 12.10  
PENTATONIC 1 7 44 4   511½ 717 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 20.00  
10  HOLD MY BEER BRO 9 2 5 610½   812¼ 821 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 13% 6.70 2.80  
WELL TIMED (GER) 3 5 68 913   1014¼ 922¼ (zook w)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 20.00 67.10  
AURORA KUMA 4 4 7 59   411½ 1023¾ (arnold pamela)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 5.10  
SCR  OMAR COMIN               (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
 
PEN-4   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122 1:391   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP FOR THE WIN 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 3.40  
THUNDERIAN 1 4 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 55% 0.80 0.40 P
STEADY JOHN 5 5 5 43 3 31 3 (bentley fenn)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 3.50 8.60  
GOOSE HUNTER 3 2 42 57 5 55 4 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.50 20% 3.90 17.50  
CAJUN OCCASION 4 1 3 3 4 44 5 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 5.70  
SCR  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY               (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50    
 
PEN-5   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
1:41         1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEANETTEO 6 1 12 1 1 111 114½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 49% 1.00 0.90 W
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 1 4 33 3 2 211 214½ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 24% 3.20 1.60 P
RAINBOW TROUT 4 5 43 54 410 315 315 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 8.40  
CANOOCHEE 3 6 6 6 610¼ 517 417¾ (ramirez silvino)TORRES JOMAR 113 10.00 22.00  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 3 5 4 39 415 518 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 5.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 2 2 22 2 510 621½ 633½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 10.80  
 
PEN-6   11/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROSSELMOON 3 4 5 31   1 1 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 22% 3.60 2.20 W
NAUTICAL NATURE 5 3 4 5   33 2 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 5.60  
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY 2 6 6 67   5 33 (pessanha ne)VARGAS L 124 15.00 57.30  
REFUND RIGLER 7 1 2nk 1nk   2 4 (guerrero mele)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00 6.50  
ZIGGY MON 1 5 32 42   4 56 (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 55% 0.80 2.20  
MANAHAWKIN 4 7 714¾ 714   710 69 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
JIMMY THE KID 6 2 1nk 2nk   6 712 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 5.00 10.10  
 
PEN-7   11/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:152 1:43   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANASQUAN 4 3 3 2nk 13 15 15 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 37% 1.70 0.70 W
MAKE A SPLASH 1 1 4 5 34 25 25 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 13% 6.60 4.40 P
DUSTED 2 2 5 4 23 38 317¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 2.10  
MISS MIA LIA 5 6 6 6 610½ 414 421 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00 34.30  
FAIRVIEW 3 4 1nk 1nk 4 519 539½ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 12.80  
MADISON COUNTY 6 5 2nk 31 510½ 628 656¼ (harigeorgiou konsta)BAKER J 123 20.00 45.60  
SCR  DIXIE MUSIC               (arnold pamela)CORA D 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.