Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/4)-(9/10/8/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(9/10/8/7/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(9/10/8/7/11)-(2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/10/8/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/7/11)-(9/10/8/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/7/11)-(9/10/8/7/11)-(9/10/8/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/8/7/11)-(2/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/7/11)-(2/4)-(6/1/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/1/5)-(1/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(1/3/4)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMP (ARG) Oct18 Sep07 Aug02 Jul15 May18 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 (harigeorg)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
SCR  P JS SILVER DUKE Oct27 Sep14 Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
4  SUPER DUDE Nov01 Oct03 Sep22 Sep13 Aug30 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
5  YOUNGEST OF FIVE Aug20 Jul20 Jul02 Jun11 May06 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Sep10 Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 Apr21 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
7  NICK PAPAGIORGIO Oct14 Sep15 Aug23 Jul10 Feb22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50    
 
PEN-2   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECONVENE Oct27 Sep21 Aug19 Aug04 Jul29 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Oct28 Oct12 Jul27 Jun18 May05 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
3  OVER AND THUNDER Oct06 Aug09 Jul07 Apr26 Mar15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
4  HIBACHI Oct19 Sep22 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 (perez flo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  MUSICAL HEART Oct25 Aug02 Jul19 Jun16 Jun03 (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00    
6  ADY'S MUNNY Aug08 Jul14 Jun09 May17 Apr19 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-3   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENTATONIC Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 Aug25   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
2  SOCIALLY AWKWARD         (beattie t)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of BLUEGRASS SMILE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  WELL TIMED (GER) Oct24 Sep10       (zook w)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 20.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of SAHARA MOMENT by SAHARA HEAT)
4  AURORA KUMA Aug25 Aug05       (arnold pamela)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RUMBAUA by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  OMAR COMIN Oct26         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of GREAT START by JUMP START)
6  BELLS RUN         (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DEANIES DANCER by LION HEARTED)
7  COOL IN BLUE         (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 6% 15.40    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of GLACKEN'S GIFT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  THAT'S JUST GREAT Oct24         (agnew naoi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 7% 13.20    
  (by CAL NATION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  MISSILEER Oct26         (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by AIROFORCE out of NOT PAID FOR by MR. GOLDUST)
10  HOLD MY BEER BRO Oct24 Sep15       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by AIROFORCE out of QUALITY SILVER by EUROSILVER)
11  EAST AURORA         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00 6% 15.40    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
 
PEN-4   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Nov01 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30   (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50    
2  THUNDERIAN Oct28 Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 Aug25 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 55% 0.80    
3  JUMP FOR THE WIN Sep21 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 Jun02 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
4  GOOSE HUNTER Oct23 Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.50 20% 3.90    
5  CAJUN OCCASION Sep15 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00    
6  STEADY JOHN Oct19 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
 
PEN-5   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May07 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
2  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Oct26 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 Jun16 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
3  CANOOCHEE Oct30 Oct11 Sep27 Sep09 Aug18 (ramirez silvino)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00    
4  RAINBOW TROUT Oct06 Aug25 Jul16 Jun02 Mar27 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
5  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 Aug08 Jul26 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  JEANETTEO Oct27 Oct09 Feb22 Jan27 Dec28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-6   11/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIGGY MON Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul15 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
2  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Oct21 Oct13 Sep29 Jun28 May31 (pessanha )VARGAS L 124 15.00    
3  DROSSELMOON Jun09 May12 Apr28 Mar29 Mar09 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  MANAHAWKIN Oct26 Sep26 Sep11 Aug23 Jul19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  NAUTICAL NATURE Oct26 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jul05 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00    
6  JIMMY THE KID Oct26 Oct11 Sep15 Aug16 Jul20 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 5.00    
7  REFUND RIGLER Oct25 Oct09 Sep25 Sep07 Aug16 (guerrero me)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00    
 
PEN-7   11/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE A SPLASH Oct26 Sep06 Aug23 Mar10   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
2  DUSTED Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep15 Aug18 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 2.50    
SCR  DIXIE MUSIC Sep13         (arnold pamela)CORA D 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  FAIRVIEW Oct27 Sep22 May24 May11 Apr26 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00    
5  NANASQUAN Oct26 Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 May28 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  MISS MIA LIA Oct26 Sep22 Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
7  MADISON COUNTY Oct27 Oct04 Sep22 Sep06 Jul13 (harigeorgiou kons)BAKER J 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.