Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-3   Win (9/10/8/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMP (ARG) Oct18 Sep07 Aug02 Jul15 May18 (mancilla carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 (harigeorgio)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
SCR  P JS SILVER DUKE Oct27 Sep14 Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
SUPER DUDE Nov01 Oct03 Sep22 Sep13 Aug30 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
YOUNGEST OF FIVE Aug20 Jul20 Jul02 Jun11 May06 (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 42% 1.40    
SOUPER ROYAL MOON Sep10 Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 Apr21 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
NICK PAPAGIORGIO Oct14 Sep15 Aug23 Jul10 Feb22 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50    
 
PEN-2   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECONVENE Oct27 Sep21 Aug19 Aug04 Jul29 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Oct28 Oct12 Jul27 Jun18 May05 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
OVER AND THUNDER Oct06 Aug09 Jul07 Apr26 Mar15 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
HIBACHI Oct19 Sep22 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 (perez flore)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  MUSICAL HEART Oct25 Aug02 Jul19 Jun16 Jun03 (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00    
ADY'S MUNNY Aug08 Jul14 Jun09 May17 Apr19 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-3   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENTATONIC Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 Aug25   (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00    
SOCIALLY AWKWARD         (beattie tod)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
WELL TIMED (GER) Oct24 Sep10       (zook w)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 20.00    
AURORA KUMA Aug25 Aug05       (arnold pamela)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00    
SCR  OMAR COMIN Oct26         (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
BELLS RUN         (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 8.00    
COOL IN BLUE         (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 6% 15.40    
THAT'S JUST GREAT Oct24         (agnew naoise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 7% 13.20    
MISSILEER Oct26         (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
10  HOLD MY BEER BRO Oct24 Sep15       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 13% 6.70    
11  EAST AURORA         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00 6% 15.40    
 
PEN-4   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Nov01 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30   (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50    
THUNDERIAN Oct28 Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 Aug25 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 55% 0.80    
JUMP FOR THE WIN Sep21 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 Jun02 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
GOOSE HUNTER Oct23 Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.50 20% 3.90    
CAJUN OCCASION Sep15 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00    
STEADY JOHN Oct19 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 (bentley fenneka)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
 
PEN-5   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY TAPPY TIM Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May07 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
FLOWER'S FORTUNE Oct26 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 Jun16 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
CANOOCHEE Oct30 Oct11 Sep27 Sep09 Aug18 (ramirez silvino)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00    
RAINBOW TROUT Oct06 Aug25 Jul16 Jun02 Mar27 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 Aug08 Jul26 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
JEANETTEO Oct27 Oct09 Feb22 Jan27 Dec28 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-6   11/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIGGY MON Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul15 (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Oct21 Oct13 Sep29 Jun28 May31 (pessanha ne)VARGAS L 124 15.00    
DROSSELMOON Jun09 May12 Apr28 Mar29 Mar09 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
MANAHAWKIN Oct26 Sep26 Sep11 Aug23 Jul19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
NAUTICAL NATURE Oct26 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jul05 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00    
JIMMY THE KID Oct26 Oct11 Sep15 Aug16 Jul20 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 5.00    
REFUND RIGLER Oct25 Oct09 Sep25 Sep07 Aug16 (guerrero mele)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00    
 
PEN-7   11/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE A SPLASH Oct26 Sep06 Aug23 Mar10   (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
DUSTED Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep15 Aug18 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 2.50    
SCR  DIXIE MUSIC Sep13         (arnold pamela)CORA D 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
FAIRVIEW Oct27 Sep22 May24 May11 Apr26 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00    
NANASQUAN Oct26 Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 May28 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
MISS MIA LIA Oct26 Sep22 Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
MADISON COUNTY Oct27 Oct04 Sep22 Sep06 Jul13 (harigeorgiou konsta)BAKER J 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.