Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
PEN-2   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $4.20  
PEN-3   Win (1/3/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 3.80
PEN-4   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 10.00
PEN-5   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $11.80  
PEN-6   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
PEN-7   Win (2/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $12.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACE IT ALONE 1 1 1 11   16 1 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.60 W
NOW I'M HERE 4 2 5 3   3 2 (brooks e)BEATO INOEL 121 2.00 5.50  
ROBBERY 6 3 2 21   26 310 (doran carl)CORA D 121 5.00 9.00  
CONTEMPTUOUS MISS 2 6 6 6   6 411½ (albright)SMITH DANIEL 116 6.00 8.60  
LINOSSILVERGAL 5 4 32 4   4 511¾ (krebs steven)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00 16% 5.40 5.50  
TOUGH AS NAILS 3 5 4 5   5 620 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 10% 9.50 2.10  
 
PEN-2   11/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREDOMINATE 3 5 54 5 5 3 1 (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50 1.10  
RUNYONESQUE 2 1 2 2 2nk 1nk 2 (graham edward)CORA D 120 3.50 4.70  
STORMING CHROME 5 2 1 1 1nk 2nk 32 (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00 45% 1.20 1.60 S
SKIMBLE SHANKS 1 3 32 3 32 4 4 (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 12.60  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 4 4 4 43 43 519¾ 524¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 17% 5.00 8.70  
SCR  GALILEE               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  LA PAZ               (smith th)SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00    
 
PEN-3   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:133 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVOTED KITTEN 3 7 78 7 3 31 1 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 124 4.50 26% 2.90 5.90 W
11  JUST NOD AND SMILE 10 9 912 911 7 45 2 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 28.10  
CARTE BLANCHE 2 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 11 3 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 13% 6.60 4.60 S
10  THE METHOD 9 8 8 8 5 56 44 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 3.60  
BAVARIA 6 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 21 55 (rozell ron)CORA D 124 8.00 7.40  
MUCHO MACHO EDDIE 7 4 5 6 67 7 67 (romero alexis)DE KEMICH 117 15.00 7% 14.40 38.10  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 4 3 63 4 46 6 7 (geist w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00 48.90  
VISHNU 5 10 1016 1014 1013 814¾ 810¼ (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00 55.80  
PECOS BILL 8 5 3 5 88 915¾ 914¾ (bartoni wayne)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00 54.10  
KASIM 1 6 4 32 910 1035¾ 1048¼ (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 34% 2.00 1.30  
SCR  WENTZ               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
 
PEN-4   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORST BEHAVIOUR 1 6 6 66   44 1½ (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 6.00 7% 13.40 6.00 W
SIX O'CLOCK SARAH 6 2 2 22   2 2½ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 5.20 P
ORGANIZED CHAOS 2 1 1 12   1 3¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 5.20  
MELODIOUS SINGER 4 4 4 55   3 4 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 6.30  
MUNDLE OF JOY 3 3 32 34   56 58 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 55% 0.80 1.10  
SALVAJE 5 5 5 45   6 613¾ (synnefias dim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 5.80  
 
PEN-5   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST DEFENSE 3 1 12 11   1 1½ (arnold pame)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00 4.90  
MAGIC SPIN 2 2 22 21   2 2½ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 64% 0.60 0.10 P
MEAN MACHINE 1 3 49 49   3 3 (dimitriou harry )CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 8% 10.80 10.10 S
LILTONYTWOPHONES 4 4 3 3   4 419 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 20.60  
SCR  LANSDOWNE (GB)               (crook-dema)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.40    
SCR  MR. ANTONELLI               (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 121 8.00    
 
PEN-6   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUST BUNNY 3 4 42 2nk   11 1 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 16% 5.40 3.10 W
MOONSHINE WARRIOR 5 5 3½ 1nk   21 2 (murillo ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 2.60  
BACK ON STAGE 4 6 6 4   3 3 (graham edward)CORA D 123 4.00 3.70  
HAPPYINITIATIVE 6 2 5 54   47 411¼ (meister william)ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00 9.00  
LUCKY STROKE 2 1 2nk 31   58 514¼ (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 38% 1.60 2.90  
B B QUEEN 1 3 1nk 66   610½ 615¼ (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 124 10.00 16% 5.40 7.10  
 
PEN-7   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:221 :452       1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND THE BEND 5 7 6 5   31 1 (george a)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5.20  
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 8 1 3 32   21 2 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 5.70  
I SEE THE STARS 3 2 4 4   4 3 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 18% 4.50 10.20 S
NICE WEATHER 2 3 1½ 11   11 44 (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 120 3.00 36% 1.80 1.70  
ACT OF VALOR 4 5 5 6   6 5 (murtough stephe)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 24.80  
BRIT'S CANDYMAN 1 4 2½ 21   5 6 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 19% 4.20 3.20  
MINE TO HOLD 6 6 7 7   710½ 711¼ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 36.20  
COFFEE WITH ALEX 7 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 5.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.