Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-3   WIN (1/3/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $13.80 $3.80 38%
PEN-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $14.00 $10.00 250%
    EXA (3/1)-(3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1-6 $98.80 $90.80 1135%
    DD (1/3/2/8/5)-(3/1) 10 $2.00 $20.00  3-1 $98.20 $78.20 391%
PEN-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.20 $2.20 37%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACE IT ALONE 1 1 11½ 11   16 19¾ (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.60 W
4  NOW I'M HERE 4 2 52½ 32½   36½ 29¾ (brooks e)BEATO INOEL 121 2.00 5.50  
6  ROBBERY 6 3 21½ 21   26 310 (doran carl)CORA D 121 5.00 9.00  
2  CONTEMPTUOUS MISS 2 6 66½ 65¼   69½ 411½ (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 116 6.00 8.60  
5  LINOSSILVERGAL 5 4 32 42½   46½ 511¾ (krebs steven)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00 16% 5.40 5.50  
3  TOUGH AS NAILS 3 5 42½ 52¾   58½ 620 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 10% 9.50 2.10  
 
PEN-2   11/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PREDOMINATE 3 5 54 53½ 53½ 31½ 11½ (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50 1.10  
2  RUNYONESQUE 2 1 21½ 21½ 2nk 1nk 21½ (graham edward)CORA D 120 3.50 4.70  
6  STORMING CHROME 5 2 11½ 11½ 1nk 2nk 32 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00 45% 1.20 1.60 S
1  SKIMBLE SHANKS 1 3 32 32½ 32 41¾ 42½ (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 12.60  
5  ROAN FOR THE ROSE 4 4 43½ 43 43 519¾ 524¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 17% 5.00 8.70  
SCR  GALILEE               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  LA PAZ               (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00    
 
PEN-3   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:133 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DEVOTED KITTEN 3 7 78 75½ 32½ 31 12½ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 4.50 26% 2.90 5.90 W
11  JUST NOD AND SMILE 10 9 912 911 77½ 45 22½ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 28.10  
2  CARTE BLANCHE 2 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 11 32¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 13% 6.60 4.60 S
10  THE METHOD 9 8 88½ 87½ 56½ 56 44 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 3.60  
7  BAVARIA 6 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 21 55 (rozell ron)CORA D 124 8.00 7.40  
8  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE 7 4 52¾ 62½ 67 76¾ 67 (romero alex)DE KEMICH 117 15.00 7% 14.40 38.10  
4  DIGGERS DIAMOND 4 3 63 42¼ 46 66¼ 77¼ (geist w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00 48.90  
5  VISHNU 5 10 1016 1014 1013 814¾ 810¼ (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00 55.80  
9  PECOS BILL 8 5 32½ 52¼ 88 915¾ 914¾ (bartoni way)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00 54.10  
1  KASIM 1 6 42¾ 32 910 1035¾ 1048¼ (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 34% 2.00 1.30  
SCR  WENTZ               (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
 
PEN-4   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORST BEHAVIOUR 1 6 64½ 66   44 1½ (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 6.00 7% 13.40 6.00 W
6  SIX O'CLOCK SARAH 6 2 21½ 22   21½ 2½ (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 ★ 5.20 P
2  ORGANIZED CHAOS 2 1 11½ 12   11½ 3¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 5.20  
4  MELODIOUS SINGER 4 4 42½ 55   33½ 44¼ (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 6.30  
3  MUNDLE OF JOY 3 3 32 34   56 58 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 55% 0.80 1.10  
5  SALVAJE 5 5 52½ 45   69½ 613¾ (synnefias d)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 5.80  
 
PEN-5   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BEST DEFENSE 3 1 12 11   11½ 1½ (arnold pa)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00 4.90  
2  MAGIC SPIN 2 2 22 21   21½ 2½ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 64% 0.60 0.10 P
1  MEAN MACHINE 1 3 49 49   37½ 35¾ (dimitriou harr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 8% 10.80 10.10 S
5  LILTONYTWOPHONES 4 4 36½ 35½   48½ 419 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 20.60  
SCR  LANSDOWNE (GB)               (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.40    
SCR  MR. ANTONELLI               (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 8.00    
 
PEN-6   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUST BUNNY 3 4 42 2nk   11 14¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 16% 5.40 3.10 W
  (by RED VINE out of SOPHIA'S SO SASSY by THREE WONDERS)
5  MOONSHINE WARRIOR 5 5 3½ 1nk   21 24¾ (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 2.60  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
4  BACK ON STAGE 4 6 64½ 43½   34½ 35½ (graham edward)CORA D 123 4.00 3.70  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENCORE SARITTA by CONSOLIDATOR)
6  HAPPYINITIATIVE 6 2 53½ 54   47 411¼ (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00 9.00  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of OUR GAL EL by TAPIT)
2  LUCKY STROKE 2 1 2nk 31   58 514¼ (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 38% 1.60 2.90  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MY LUCKY STAR by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
1  B B QUEEN 1 3 1nk 66   610½ 615¼ (wolfe j)INIRIO J 124 10.00 16% 5.40 7.10  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of BIG SHOT BABY by LIL'S LAD)
 
PEN-7   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:221 :452       1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEYOND THE BEND 5 7 64½ 54½   31 11½ (george a)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5.20  
8  KEEPING IT COUNTRY 8 1 32½ 32   21 21½ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 5.70  
3  I SEE THE STARS 3 2 42½ 43½   42½ 33¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 18% 4.50 10.20 S
2  NICE WEATHER 2 3 1½ 11   11 44 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 3.00 36% 1.80 1.70  
4  ACT OF VALOR 4 5 53½ 66½   66½ 56¼ (murtough step)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 24.80  
1  BRIT'S CANDYMAN 1 4 2½ 21   53½ 67¼ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 19% 4.20 3.20  
6  MINE TO HOLD 6 6 75½ 78½   710½ 711¼ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 36.20  
7  COFFEE WITH ALEX 7 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 5.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.