Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/5)-(1/3/2/8/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/3/2/8/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(1/3/2/8/5)-(3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/3/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8/5)-(1/3/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8/5)-(1/3/2/8/5)-(1/3/2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/2/8/5)-(3/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/8/5)-(3/1)-(2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/1)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/1/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACE IT ALONE Sep29 Sep01 Aug23     (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  CONTEMPTUOUS MISS Oct02 Sep14 Aug31 Aug23   (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 116 6.00    
3  TOUGH AS NAILS         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 10% 9.50    
4  NOW I'M HERE Oct18 Sep28 Sep10 Sep03 Aug23 (brooks geral)BATISTA A 121 2.00    
5  LINOSSILVERGAL Oct03         (krebs steven)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
6  ROBBERY Oct05 Sep05 Aug11     (doran carl)CORA D 121 5.00    
 
PEN-2   11/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIMBLE SHANKS Oct26 Sep21 Aug18 Jul27 Jul20 (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
2  RUNYONESQUE Feb09 Jan06 Dec10 Nov04 Sep28 (graham edward)CORA D 120 3.50    
SCR  GALILEE Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
4  PREDOMINATE Oct24 Oct04 Sep04 Aug18 Jul19 (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50    
5  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jun16 May03 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  STORMING CHROME Sep10 Jul23 Jul13 Jun16 Apr29 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  LA PAZ Sep21 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 May26 (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00    
 
PEN-3   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KASIM Sep22 Sep01 Aug23 Jul05 Mar11 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  CARTE BLANCHE Sep21 Sep07 Jun24 Jun03 Mar17 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
3  DEVOTED KITTEN Sep21 Aug24 Aug02 Jul07 Jun22 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  DIGGERS DIAMOND Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 Jul13 Jun16 (geist w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00    
5  VISHNU Sep21 Sep01 Aug08 Jul14 Jun21 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WENTZ Sep15 Dec21 Nov22 Sep19 Aug24 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
7  BAVARIA Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Aug04 (rozell ron)CORA D 124 8.00    
8  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Jun12 May23 May08 Apr19 Mar29 (romero alex)DE KEMICH 117 15.00 7% 14.40    
9  PECOS BILL Sep22 Jul13 Jun02 May06 Apr20 (bartoni way)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00    
10  THE METHOD Sep30 Sep13 Jul28 Jul16 Jun16 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00    
11  JUST NOD AND SMILE Oct12 May17 May02 Mar29 Mar15 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORST BEHAVIOUR Sep22 Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 Jun12 (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 6.00 7% 13.40    
2  ORGANIZED CHAOS Sep04 Aug19 Jul21 Jul13 Jun02 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50    
3  MUNDLE OF JOY Oct12 Sep15 Jul21 Jun28 May26 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
4  MELODIOUS SINGER Oct06 Sep06 Jul28 Mar09 Feb09 (kulp l)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
5  SALVAJE Oct14 May05 Mar26 Apr22 Feb24 (synnefias d)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50    
6  SIX O'CLOCK SARAH Oct13 Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 Oct26 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN MACHINE Jul07 Jun09 May04 Mar15 Mar03 (dimitriou harr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 8% 10.80    
2  MAGIC SPIN Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  MR. ANTONELLI Sep22 Aug19       (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 8.00    
4  BEST DEFENSE Sep01 Aug19 Jul14 Jun16 Apr16 (arnold pa)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00    
5  LILTONYTWOPHONES May26 May04 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  LANSDOWNE (GB) Oct15 Sep20 Aug24 Aug02 Jul27 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.40    
 
PEN-6   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B B QUEEN         (wolfe j)INIRIO J 124 10.00 16% 5.40    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of BIG SHOT BABY by LIL'S LAD)
2  LUCKY STROKE Jan20 Dec14 Nov22     (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MY LUCKY STAR by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  DUST BUNNY Sep14 Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by RED VINE out of SOPHIA'S SO SASSY by THREE WONDERS)
4  BACK ON STAGE Sep13         (graham edward)CORA D 123 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENCORE SARITTA by CONSOLIDATOR)
5  MOONSHINE WARRIOR Sep06 Jan27       (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
6  HAPPYINITIATIVE Sep30 Aug20       (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of OUR GAL EL by TAPIT)
 
PEN-7   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  NICE WEATHER Oct25 Sep20 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  I SEE THE STARS Sep20 Jul20 Jun30 May17 Apr28 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  ACT OF VALOR Oct11 Sep07 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 (murtough step)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
5  BEYOND THE BEND Sep20 Aug25 Aug08 Jul20 Jun30 (george a)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
6  MINE TO HOLD Oct19 Sep13 Sep01 Aug02 Jul07 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  COFFEE WITH ALEX Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 May01 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50    
8  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Sep07 Aug02 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.