The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - November 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
PEN-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -1.20
PEN-3   Win (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $15.20 $15.20 7.20
PEN-4   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
PEN-5   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
PEN-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 2.00
PEN-7   Win (5/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 -1.20

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
:222 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAULA'S SURPRISE 6 1 11 1   11(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50 20% 4.00 2.50 W
CLOUD IN THE WIND 5 3 21 2   22(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 2.00  
PHABULOUS PHOEBE 2 5 4 36   33(kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 4.30  
ZIFFY BUG 4 4 54 4   48 411½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 38.20  
TIME OF OUR LIVES 3 6 6 57   5515 (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 5.00 21% 3.80 7.20  
PRINCESS STREET 1 2 31 69   614 624¾ (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 30% 2.30 2.80  
SCR  LUCY FIELDS               (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
SCR  STORMEY MONDAY               (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 121 15.00    
 
PEN-2   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 6:29
:23 :472 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOH'S N O'S 5 3 43 21   11 1(pecoraro anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.00 37% 1.70 0.40 W
BYRD OF EDEN 4 4 54 3   34 2(spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 2.50 3.60  
SWEET MISCHIEF 2 5 2nk 11   21 34 (pino michael )VASQUEZ WILFRED 117 4.00 5.30  
WILD CREATION 1 1 1nk 47   4414¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 8.00 11.70  
BERNIE'S DREAMING 3 2 3 5   511 527 (bailes w )ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 6.00 33% 2.00 13.90  
SCR  BETSY IS THE GAL               (whylie herold)RAMOS C 119 5.00    
 
PEN-3   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:223 :464 :593     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEHANDSOMEDUDE 2 8 8 53   2½ 1(simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 7% 12.70 6.60 W
10  WICKED IRISHMAN 9 2 31 11   1½ 2(wolfe jr)INIRIO J 122 10.00 14.40  
MONEY MAKING KAZ 6 7 6 21   31 3(synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00 4.10  
HOLY CITY 3 4 4 6   44(o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 7% 12.90 7.10  
CANTANKEROUS CAT 1 5 5 86   69 5(lucas bonnie)CORA D 122 8.00 12% 7.40 1.20  
NOTORIOUS REY 4 6 7 75   58 6(ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 122 15.00 76.10  
COUNTRY CHARLIE 8 9 9 9   910 712 (deiter kelly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 12.00 47.80  
RED DEVOLUTION 7 1 1nk 3   79 812¼ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 28.70  
JACKIE'S PRIDE 5 3 2nk 4   8913¼ (linder jr)OCASIO M 122 3.00 51% 1.00 4.30  
SCR  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY               (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
 
PEN-4   11/09/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:242 :481 1:13 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC UNION 5 2 21 2½ 1½ 25 1(velazquez daniel)MOYA F 119 1.60 26% 2.80 0.80 W
REBEL RULER 3 1 11 1½ 2½ 15 2(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 23% 3.30 3.90 P
UNCLE YUDI 6 4 5 5 5 5310¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 10.80  
SANTO 2 3 43 4 47 39 413½ (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 24% 3.10 3.80  
CERTAIN JUSTICE 4 6 3 31 3 4513¾ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 2.50 5.90  
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 1 5 66 69 615½ 619½ 627 (cifarell)SMITH DANIEL 114 15.00 46.20  
 
PEN-5   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:222 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SOURCE 3 1 1 1   11¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 14% 6.20 2.90 W
BUSTIN DOWN DOORS 4 3 2 2   22¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 4.50  
SWEET BEAUTY 6 4 4 33   32 3(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.10 S
CEDAR VALLEY 1 6 57 4   46 4(linder jr)OCASIO M 120 10.00 25.20  
POP THE CLUTCH 5 5 615 611½   512 5(geist w)INIRIO J 120 20.00 78.70  
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 2 2 32 5   616 621¾ (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 32% 2.10 2.70  
SCR  LA LUISA               (penaloza migue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50    
 
PEN-6   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:224 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY SPELL 5 2 2 1   11(zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 27% 2.80 2.00 W
RUN LAURA RUN 2 3 34 33   22(king lawrence)INIRIO J 124 3.50 6.20  
DAILY BRIEFING 1 4 46 44   35 3(maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 31% 2.20 1.20 S
HALLIGIRL 3 5 5 56   58 412 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 10.00 46.20  
FROSTED WILD RIDE 4 1 1 2   4516¼ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 2.70  
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR               (rideout ronald)CORA D 124 4.00    
 
PEN-7   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:23 :47 :594     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING MUSICIAN 1 4 54 3   3.2 1(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 28% 2.60 2.40 W
HELLMAN 4 6 65 6   52(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 1.80  
KAZ MUNNINGS 3 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 3(synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 33% 2.00 3.60 S
AMICALOLA FALLS 2 1 2nk 4   44(patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 10.10  
LIONESQUE 6 5 3½ 1nk   1nk 5(cooper stacey)CORA D 120 12.00 10% 8.60 4.40  
PEAKY BLINKERS 5 3 4 5   66(kravets )SMITH DANIEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
SCR  ECLIPTICALS BEAR               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  LARZ               (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 119 6.00    
SCR  TRIPLE TITOS               (bobadilla j)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.