Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - November 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.00 $1.00 17%
PEN-3   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $15.20 $7.20 90%
    PK3 (2/4/8)-(6/4)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-3/6-2 $24.05 $12.05 100%
PEN-4   EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $13.40 $1.40 12%
    DD (5/1/2/3)-(5/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-5 $25.80 $1.80 8%
    PK4 (2/4/8)-(6/4)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/2/3) 72 $0.50 $36.00  8-3/6-2-5 $41.60 $5.60 16%
PEN-5   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    DD (5/2/3)-(7/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-4 $20.80 $2.80 16%
    PK3 (5/1/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(7/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-5-4 $27.60 $9.60 53%
PEN-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $6.00 $2.00 50%
    DD (7/3/4)-(1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $29.80 $17.80 148%
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(7/3/4)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-4-5 $12.10 $3.10 34%
    PK5 (6/4)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(7/3/4)-(1/5) 144 $1.00 $144  3/6-2-5-4-5 $260.90 $116.90 81%
PEN-7   DD (1/5)-(5/1/9/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00  5-1 $21.20 $5.20 33%
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(1/5)-(5/1/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-5-1 $28.40 $16.40 137%
    PK4 (5/2/3)-(7/3/4)-(1/5)-(5/1/9/7) 72 $0.50 $36.00  5-4-5-1 $47.15 $11.15 31%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAULA'S SURPRISE 6 1 11 1   1 1 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50 20% 4.00 2.50 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
CLOUD IN THE WIND 5 3 21 2   2 2 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 2.00  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WENT WITH THE WIND by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
PHABULOUS PHOEBE 2 5 4 36   3 3 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 4.30  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of HONEST FEELINGS by YES IT'S TRUE)
ZIFFY BUG 4 4 54 4   48 411½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 38.20  
  (by WEST COAST out of SUREMEANTTO by CANDY RIDE)
TIME OF OUR LIVES 3 6 6 57   5 515 (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 5.00 21% 3.80 7.20  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JOY TO RUN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
PRINCESS STREET 1 2 31 69   614 624¾ (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 30% 2.30 2.80  
  (by STREET SENSE out of PRINCESS PEGGY by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  LUCY FIELDS               (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of FIELDS OF GOLD by ACTIVIST)
SCR  STORMEY MONDAY               (wolfe j)INIRIO J 121 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ISLAND BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
PEN-2   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOH'S N O'S 5 3 43 21   11 1 (pecoraro anthon)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.00 37% 1.70 0.40 W
BYRD OF EDEN 4 4 54 3   34 2 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 2.50 3.60  
SWEET MISCHIEF 2 5 2nk 11   21 34 (pino michae)VASQUEZ WILFRED 117 4.00 5.30  
WILD CREATION 1 1 1nk 47   4 414¼ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 8.00 11.70  
BERNIE'S DREAMING 3 2 3 5   511 527 (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 6.00 33% 2.00 13.90  
SCR  BETSY IS THE GAL               (whylie hero)RAMOS C 119 5.00    
 
PEN-3   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEHANDSOMEDUDE 2 8 8 53   2½ 1 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 7% 12.70 6.60 W
10  WICKED IRISHMAN 9 2 31 11   1½ 2 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 122 10.00 14.40  
MONEY MAKING KAZ 6 7 6 21   31 3 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00 4.10  
HOLY CITY 3 4 4 6   4 4 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 7% 12.90 7.10  
CANTANKEROUS CAT 1 5 5 86   69 5 (lucas bonnie)CORA D 122 8.00 12% 7.40 1.20  
NOTORIOUS REY 4 6 7 75   58 6 (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 122 15.00 76.10  
COUNTRY CHARLIE 8 9 9 9   910 712 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 12.00 47.80  
RED DEVOLUTION 7 1 1nk 3   79 812¼ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 28.70  
JACKIE'S PRIDE 5 3 2nk 4   8 913¼ (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 3.00 51% 1.00 4.30  
SCR  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY               (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
 
PEN-4   11/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:13 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC UNION 5 2 21 2½ 1½ 25 1 (velazquez dani)MOYA F 119 1.60 26% 2.80 0.80 W
REBEL RULER 3 1 11 1½ 2½ 15 2 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 23% 3.30 3.90 P
UNCLE YUDI 6 4 5 5 5 5 310¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 10.80  
SANTO 2 3 43 4 47 39 413½ (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 24% 3.10 3.80  
CERTAIN JUSTICE 4 6 3 31 3 4 513¾ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 2.50 5.90  
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 1 5 66 69 615½ 619½ 627 (cifare)SMITH DANIEL 114 15.00 46.20  
 
PEN-5   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SOURCE 3 1 1 1   1 1¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 14% 6.20 2.90 W
BUSTIN DOWN DOORS 4 3 2 2   2 2¼ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 4.50  
SWEET BEAUTY 6 4 4 33   32 3 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.10 S
CEDAR VALLEY 1 6 57 4   46 4 (linder louis )OCASIO M 120 10.00 25.20  
POP THE CLUTCH 5 5 615 611½   512 5 (geist david)INIRIO J 120 20.00 78.70  
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 2 2 32 5   616 621¾ (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 32% 2.10 2.70  
SCR  LA LUISA               (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50    
 
PEN-6   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY SPELL 5 2 2 1   1 1 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 27% 2.80 2.00 W
RUN LAURA RUN 2 3 34 33   2 2 (king lawren)INIRIO J 124 3.50 6.20  
DAILY BRIEFING 1 4 46 44   35 3 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 31% 2.20 1.20 S
HALLIGIRL 3 5 5 56   58 412 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 10.00 46.20  
FROSTED WILD RIDE 4 1 1 2   4 516¼ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 2.70  
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR               (rideout ronald)CORA D 124 4.00    
 
PEN-7   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING MUSICIAN 1 4 54 3   3.2 1 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 28% 2.60 2.40 W
HELLMAN 4 6 65 6   5 2 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 1.80  
KAZ MUNNINGS 3 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 33% 2.00 3.60 S
AMICALOLA FALLS 2 1 2nk 4   4 4 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 10.10  
LIONESQUE 6 5 3½ 1nk   1nk 5 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 12.00 10% 8.60 4.40  
PEAKY BLINKERS 5 3 4 5   6 6 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
SCR  ECLIPTICALS BEAR               (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  LARZ               (bobadilla)VARGAS L 119 6.00    
SCR  TRIPLE TITOS               (bobadilla)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.