Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - November 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/8)-(2/4/8)-(2/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/8)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8)-(6/4)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(5/1/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/3)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(7/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(7/3/4)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(1/5)-(5/1/9/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/1/9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/7)-(5/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/7)-(5/1/9/7)-(5/1/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCY FIELDS Oct25         (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of FIELDS OF GOLD by ACTIVIST)
2  PRINCESS STREET Oct01 Sep10       (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by STREET SENSE out of PRINCESS PEGGY by SCAT DADDY)
3  PHABULOUS PHOEBE Oct25         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of HONEST FEELINGS by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  TIME OF OUR LIVES Aug21 Jul28       (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JOY TO RUN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  ZIFFY BUG Oct09 Sep14       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SUREMEANTTO by CANDY RIDE)
6  CLOUD IN THE WIND Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 Jul17   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WENT WITH THE WIND by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  STORMEY MONDAY         (wolfe j)INIRIO J 121 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ISLAND BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  PAULA'S SURPRISE Oct09         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
 
PEN-2   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD CREATION Oct16 Sep14 Aug23 Jul28 Jul18 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 8.00    
2  SWEET MISCHIEF Oct23 Oct03 Aug21     (pino michae)VASQUEZ WILFRED 117 4.00    
SCR  BETSY IS THE GAL Oct23 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Aug02 (whylie hero)RAMOS C 119 5.00    
4  BERNIE'S DREAMING Aug31         (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 6.00 33% 2.00    
5  BYRD OF EDEN Sep15 Sep04 Aug05 Jul02 Jun16 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 2.50    
6  BOH'S N O'S Oct14 Sep07 Aug02     (pecoraro anthon)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-3   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTANKEROUS CAT Oct03 Sep21 Sep09 Aug26 Aug20 (lucas bonnie)CORA D 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
2  ONEHANDSOMEDUDE Oct27 Sep29 Jul07 Oct05 Sep09 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 7% 12.70    
3  HOLY CITY Oct26 Oct04 Sep18 Jun24 Jun18 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
4  NOTORIOUS REY Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug04 Jul06 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
5  JACKIE'S PRIDE Oct18 Sep25 May01 Apr05 Mar17 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
6  MONEY MAKING KAZ Oct25 Aug23 May05     (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00    
7  RED DEVOLUTION Oct25 Sep30 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
8  COUNTRY CHARLIE Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 12.00    
SCR  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Oct26 Sep06 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
10  WICKED IRISHMAN Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 (cifarelli fra)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00    
2  SANTO Oct26 Oct05 Sep01 Aug09 Jul07 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  REBEL RULER Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 Aug02 Jun15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
4  CERTAIN JUSTICE Oct12 Oct02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug02 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 2.50    
5  CLASSIC UNION Oct17 Sep26 Sep04 Jul04 Jun10 (velazquez dani)MOYA F 119 1.60 26% 2.80    
6  UNCLE YUDI Sep22 Aug02 Jun14 May19 May10 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDAR VALLEY Oct16 Sep25 Sep14 Sep01 Jul20 (linder louis )OCASIO M 120 10.00    
SCR  LA LUISA Nov01 Oct02 Sep20 Sep04 Jul09 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50    
3  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Jun20 May10 Mar23 Jan26 Nov30 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  GOOD SOURCE Oct03 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 May19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Sep21 Sep02 Jun18 May27 Sep11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00    
6  POP THE CLUTCH Sep14 Jun01 May24 May09 Apr25 (geist david)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
7  SWEET BEAUTY Oct27 Sep21 Aug04 Jul15 Jun25 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
PEN-6   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAILY BRIEFING Oct27 Sep20 Aug19 Aug05 Jul13 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  RUN LAURA RUN Sep08 Aug04 May31 May05 Feb24 (king lawren)INIRIO J 124 3.50    
3  HALLIGIRL Sep08 Aug30 Aug04 Jul05 Jun20 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 10.00    
4  FROSTED WILD RIDE Sep14 Aug10 Jul21 May08 Apr26 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00    
5  STORMY SPELL Jul05 Jun22 May25 May04 Mar31 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR Sep14 Aug30 Aug18 Jun28 Jun14 (rideout ronald)CORA D 124 4.00    
 
PEN-7   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPINNING MUSICIAN Oct27 Oct09 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  LARZ Oct26 Oct16 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 119 6.00    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Oct25 Sep22 Aug25 Jul19 Jul06 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
4  AMICALOLA FALLS Oct05 Aug24 Jul13 Jun03 May18 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
5  KAZ MUNNINGS Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 Jul06 Jun21 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  HELLMAN Oct19 Sep21 Aug19 Jul30 Jun23 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
7  PEAKY BLINKERS Oct25 Oct05 Sep22 Aug24 Jul19 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRIPLE TITOS Oct18 Oct05 Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
9  LIONESQUE Oct25 Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 12.00 10% 8.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.