Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Thursday - November 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $9.80  
PEN-2   Win (5/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $9.00  
PEN-3   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
PEN-4   Win (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
PEN-5   Win (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
PEN-6   Win (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
PEN-7   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $9.40  
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOBEER 3 1 11½ 11   11½ 1nk (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 3.00 3.90  
2  REMEMBERING WILBUR 2 2 21½ 21   21½ 2nk (sanchez-sal)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 2.60  
4  TRIBAL NOTION 4 4 33½ 32   33 31¾ (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 4.00 20% 4.00 4.60 S
7  YES IT'S ROO 5 3 44½ 42   44½ 45¾ (rideout )SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00 2.80  
1  YES SIR ROBERT 1 5 54½ 55½   57½ 59 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 38% 1.60 2.30  
SCR  BUSTINUPISHARDTODO               (david carlo)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00    
SCR  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE               (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.50    
 
PEN-2   11/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:131 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  THE METHOD 8 6 68 65¼ 43½ 12½ 16¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 3.50  
4  SUNNY SAINT 3 1 3½ 1nk 22½ 32½ 26¾ (padilla o)RANGEL JOEZER 124 12.00 30.20  
7  GUSHING OIL 6 3 2nk 2nk 12½ 22½ 38½ (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 30.00 90.50  
2  JUST NOD AND SMILE 1 7 710 78¾ 67 57½ 411½ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 8% 11.00 3.30  
5  CARTE BLANCHE 4 4 42½ 51¾ 33½ 45½ 515¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 56% 0.80 3.40  
3  JUPI'S LIGHTNING 2 2 53 4¼ 54 68 617½ (flores-coba f)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 4.50 7% 13.20 1.80  
6  DIGGERS DIAMOND 5 8 816 817¼ 819 719 723 (geist w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 39.70  
8  BAVARIA 7 5 1nk 3.2 713 821 835½ (rozell ron)CORA D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
SCR  MELINA'S DREAM               (diaz jorge)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 4.00    
 
PEN-3   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MORNING THOUGHTS 6 6 63¼ 32½   32 1¼ (sullivan elliott)CHIAPPE R 115 4.00 49% 1.00 3.90 W
3  BAYOU SHACK 3 5 51¾ 21½   22 2¼ (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 1.70  
8  WARRIOR'S CAUSE 7 2 2½ 11½   12 3¼ (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 4.50 ★ 2.80 S
6  ORASHI 5 8 89¾ 87¾   69 45¼ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
9  FREEDOM'S START 8 3 41½ 43   57 58¼ (albright ge)VARGAS L 120 15.00 30.70  
2  DISCO DEVIL 2 4 31½ 53   45 69¾ (diaz jorge)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 5.00 29% 2.40 6.40  
4  DORSODURO 4 7 74¼ 77½   712½ 713¾ (lucas bonnie)CORA D 120 12.00 32.50  
1  GIUSEPPE 1 1 1½ 67   819½ 829¾ (rubley kell)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00 5.20  
SCR  SPENDOLINI               (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 6.00    
 
PEN-4   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GIRVINIZED 7 5 32½ 12½   13½ 13 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 34% 1.90 0.90 W
5  WARRIOR'S MISS 4 2 43 22½   23½ 23 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 5.30  
7  LONDON LADY 6 4 54 33   37 311¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 31.30  
1  KENTUCKY REIGN 1 1 12 43   48 413½ (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.50 6% 14.50 2.60  
4  STEPHANIE MY LOVE 3 7 65 66   511 515½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50 7.20  
6  WAHINE MEANIE 5 3 22 55   612 620 (fields kevin)INIRIO J 121 12.00 32.70  
3  OUT OF AMMO 2 6 77 711   718 726 (mcclellan c)CORA D 121 6.00 33% 2.00 9.50  
SCR  DUST BUNNY               (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00    
 
PEN-5   11/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :464 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THUNDER BOSS 6 4 1½ 11   11½ 11¾ (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 61% 0.60 0.60 W
3  UPTOWN SERAPHINA 2 3 41½ 32½   31½ 21¾ (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 3.50 6.00  
5  MADI'S TUNE 4 5 31½ 21   21½ 32 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 5% 17.70 6.50 S
1  THROWBACK 1 1 2½ 43   44½ 43¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50 2.70  
6  MACRELLETTA 5 6 68½ 610½   611½ 514 (montford leslie)TUNON JORDANO 122 50.00 31.70  
4  SECRET WISPER 3 2 54½ 57   510½ 619 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 4.00 6% 14.60 20.20  
SCR  CHASING ARTEMIS               (sanchez-s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00    
 
PEN-6   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DOCTOR TEE 8 3 41½ 2nk   11½ 12¼ (kreiser c)CORA D 123 1.40 37% 1.70 0.80 W
2  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL 2 9 98¼ 74¾   34½ 22¼ (demario a)BEATO INOEL 123 30.00 5.00  
5  BIONIC KAT 5 2 2½ 1nk   21½ 33¾ (padilla o)RANGEL JOEZER 123 10.00 25.90  
3  PRIDEFUL VILLANO 3 6 66 63¾   45½ 46¾ (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
7  A J'S TOWN 7 7 54 31½   56 512 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 10.00 23.50  
4  WISE CHOICE 4 1 31½ 53¾   67 612 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 22% 3.50 2.70  
9  FIRE EYE 9 8 77 87¾   711 715 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 124 12.00 39.10  
6  CHIMING IN 6 5 87¼ 98¾   812 816¼ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 98.90  
1  TEA WITH SUGAR 1 4 1½ 41¾   9100 9100 (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 17% 4.90 25.20  
 
PEN-7   11/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:142 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DON'T QUESTION ME 3 4 32 32 2½ 11½ 11 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 3.70  
2  DOUBLE O OTTO 1 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 21½ 21 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 18% 4.60 0.70 P
6  I'M NOT A BABY 5 5 55½ 55 43½ 33½ 31¼ (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 55% 0.80 4.00 S
5  DISCREETLY THRIFTY 4 2 44 45 55½ 410½ 414¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 4.80  
3  SPELLED WELL 2 1 1½ 1½ 32½ 513½ 523 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 121 5.00 14.60  
SCR  MAKOTO               (saleem gordo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.