Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - November 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/2/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/2/3/8)-(7/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/8)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/8)-(7/2/6)-(8/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(8/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(8/3/1)-(7/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/1)-(8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/1)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1)-(7/4/5)-(8/4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(8/4/1/3)-(6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/3)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES SIR ROBERT Nov03 Sep20 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  REMEMBERING WILBUR Nov03 Oct26 Oct14 Sep09 Aug11 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00    
3  MOBEER Oct25 Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 May06 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 3.00    
4  TRIBAL NOTION Oct25 May31 May18 Dec28 Nov23 (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  BUSTINUPISHARDTODO Oct21 Oct09 Sep20 Aug26 Jul29 (david car)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00    
SCR  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Oct18 Oct07 Sep16 Sep06 Aug03 (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.50    
7  YES IT'S ROO Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 (rideou)SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00    
 
PEN-2   11/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MELINA'S DREAM Oct25 Oct13 Sep30 Sep08 Aug26 (diaz jorge)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 4.00    
2  JUST NOD AND SMILE Nov02 Oct12 May17 May02 Mar29 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 8% 11.00    
3  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Nov01 Sep26 Sep12 Sep02 Aug05 (flores-coba)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 4.50 7% 13.20    
4  SUNNY SAINT Oct10 Sep30 Sep06 Aug28 Aug16 (padilla hugo )RANGEL JOEZER 124 12.00    
5  CARTE BLANCHE Nov02 Sep21 Sep07 Jun24 Jun03 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  DIGGERS DIAMOND Nov02 Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 Jul13 (geist w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
7  GUSHING OIL Aug16 Jul13 Jun20 May26 Mar29 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 30.00    
8  BAVARIA Nov02 Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 (rozell ron)CORA D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  THE METHOD Nov02 Sep30 Sep13 Jul28 Jul16 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00    
 
PEN-3   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIUSEPPE Oct05 Aug26 Aug03 Jun16 May19 (rubley ke)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
2  DISCO DEVIL Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 Aug26 (diaz jorge)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  BAYOU SHACK Oct07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 Jun17 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
4  DORSODURO Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 Aug18 Jul02 (lucas bonnie)CORA D 120 12.00    
SCR  SPENDOLINI Nov01 Oct02 Sep21 Jul24 Oct25 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 6.00    
6  ORASHI Sep13 May31 May10 Apr19 Mar23 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORNING THOUGHTS Sep25 Sep04 Aug25 Aug13 Jul24 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 49% 1.00    
8  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Oct17 Oct02 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 4.50 ★    
9  FREEDOM'S START Jun09 May18 Apr28 Mar22 Feb23 (albright )VARGAS L 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY REIGN Oct05 Sep04 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.50 6% 14.50    
SCR  DUST BUNNY Nov02 Sep14 Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00    
3  OUT OF AMMO Oct25 Sep15 May11 Apr20 Mar10 (mcclellan c)CORA D 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
4  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Oct18 Oct09 Sep21 Sep04 Aug12 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50    
5  WARRIOR'S MISS Oct24 Oct09 Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00    
6  WAHINE MEANIE Oct25 Sep22 Sep14 May19 May06 (fields kevi)INIRIO J 121 12.00    
7  LONDON LADY Nov01 Oct08 Sep21 Sep10 Aug20 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
8  GIRVINIZED Oct25 Oct09 Sep08 Aug18 Jun30 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-5   11/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THROWBACK Nov03 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50    
SCR  CHASING ARTEMIS Nov11 Nov01 Oct21 Sep14 Sep01 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00    
3  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Nov03 Sep21 Aug31 Aug08 Jul07 (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 3.50    
4  SECRET WISPER Oct25 Oct06 Sep13 Aug24   (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 4.00 6% 14.60    
5  MADI'S TUNE Nov03 Sep21 Sep08 Aug31 Jul21 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 5% 17.70    
6  MACRELLETTA Sep22 Sep14 Aug25 Aug16 May29 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 50.00    
7  THUNDER BOSS Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 Sep04 Aug25 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
 
PEN-6   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEA WITH SUGAR         (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
2  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Oct29 Oct08 Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 123 30.00    
3  PRIDEFUL VILLANO Oct27 Jul19       (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WISE CHOICE Oct27 Sep14 Aug25 Jul19 Jun16 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  BIONIC KAT Nov02 Oct11 Sep22 Aug28 Jul05 (padilla hugo )RANGEL JOEZER 123 10.00    
6  CHIMING IN Oct26 Sep22 Aug23 Jul21   (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00    
7  A J'S TOWN Oct27 Sep22       (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 10.00    
8  DOCTOR TEE Oct27 Sep22 Sep14     (kreiser c)CORA D 123 1.40 37% 1.70    
9  FIRE EYE Oct27 Sep13       (carpio erin)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
 
PEN-7   11/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAKOTO Nov01 Sep16 Aug30 Aug19 Aug02 (saleem gor)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00    
2  DOUBLE O OTTO Oct25 Oct04 Sep09 Aug30 Aug10 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  SPELLED WELL Aug24 Jul14 Jun30 May06 Apr19 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 121 5.00    
4  DON'T QUESTION ME Sep13 Jun21 Jun14 May26 May05 (jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50    
5  DISCREETLY THRIFTY Oct25 Oct04 Sep07 Feb01 Dec22 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50    
6  I'M NOT A BABY Oct25 Sep06 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.