Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.24 $3.24 54%
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-7 $31.90 $13.90 77%
TP-6   WIN (2/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $13.82 $5.82 73%
    DD (5/8/9/4)-(2/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-8 $23.65 $7.65 48%
TP-7   DD (2/5/8/7)-(6/1/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-10 $36.54 $16.54 83%
    PK3 (5/8/9/4)-(2/5/8/7)-(6/1/10/5/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00  8-8-10 $63.48 $23.48 59%
TP-8   WIN (5/12/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $14.00 $4.00 40%
    EXA (5/12/2/9/7)-(5/12/2/9/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-7 $100.82 $60.82 152%
    DD (6/1/10/5/7)-(5/12/2/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00  10-5 $39.02 $14.02 56%
    PK3 (2/5/8/7)-(6/1/10/5/7)-(5/12/2/9/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00  8-10-5 $143.14 $93.14 186%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGURI (ARG) 1 2 1½ 1nk   1 1 (cline r)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 66% 0.50 3.62 W
WRITTEN CONSENT 6 4 42 4   33 2 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00 12% 7.60 2.00 P
CLOVERTOWNE 3 5 64 5   45 3 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 3.50 3.53  
CABIN ABBY 7 1 2½ 2nk   2 4 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 124 15.00 25.38  
ELEGANT MOVES 5 6 32 3   5 516½ (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 8.00 4.17  
I GOT RITHM 4 3 53 6   610 618¾ (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 8.06  
REDNECK AGENDA 2 7 720 7100   7100 7100 (cline robert)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00 8.89  
SCR  CASINO ANNIE               (parker r)MCKEE J 122 12.00    
SCR  JANIE LEE               (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00    
 
TP-2   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL JOKES ASIDE 9 1 1 1   1 1 (meah m)CONNER TYLER 117 8.00 7.99  
12  INDEFATIGABLE 12 8 7 75   45 2 (allen a )RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 5% 17.40 3.86 P
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 2 5 4 2   2 3 (brooks )DE CRUZ 119 4.00 4.69  
BUZZER 4 9 9 9   8 4 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00 35.06  
TREASURY 6 10 6 5   5 510¼ (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00 37% 1.70 3.64  
RAF 7 6 8 8   97 611¼ (jarvis kathy)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 24.47  
11  CIELO AZUL 11 2 2 33   6 711¾ (duran antonio)CEDILLO ABEL 119 4.00 3.82  
10  MUNI MUNI SLEW 10 3 3 43   35 811¾ (cannon steve)OUZTS W 119 10.00 11% 7.80 8.75  
VIOLIN MAKER 3 12 11 1110¼   10 912¼ (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00 24% 3.20 29.98  
ROCKET DOCKET 1 11 12 1212¾   1210½ 1012½ (elliott mich)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00 13.41  
AGADOR SPARTACUS 8 7 10 10   11 1113 (adams l)HESS SARA 112 20.00 5% 19.00 82.28  
HINK'S PALADIN 5 4 5 64   7 1219 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00 71.22  
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE               (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 117 15.00    
 
TP-3   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:132 1:263   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZEN ASH 9 9 9 7 5 21 1hd (garcia ge)CORREA L 121 6.00 9.47  
START SINGING 8 10 5 4 2nk 11 2hd (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 5% 19.00 1.96 P
DASH OF SIMPLICITY 4 7 4 6 7 5 3 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 121 12.00 37.34  
TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL 2 3 2½ 31 3 4 4 (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 4.28  
10  ON A TOUR 10 6 10 10 10 8 5 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 13.26  
ELLIE DELI 3 2 1½ 11 1nk 31 6 (watkins j)ULLOA JOAN 118 20.00 28.55  
HOPE OVER FEAR 1 8 7 8 8 6 76 (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.50 68% 0.50 2.19  
DANCE THE DAY AWAY 6 5 6 5 6 7 87 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 37.66  
HASHTAG WINNER 5 4 8 9 9 9 9 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.00 10.07  
MISS LUV SHACK 7 1 31 21 4 10 1015¾ (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 31.32  
 
TP-4   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:143 1:28   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLAND 7 7 9 6 5 2nk 1¾ (thomas jona)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 2.50 54% 0.90 1.27 W
VINO FROM ERNIES 1 5 4 4 3 4¾ 2¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 3.71 P
MYDIXIELANDDELIGHT 6 6 108 127 8 5 3 (kenneally eddie)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 20.09  
SERENE WATERS 4 10 6 54 4 1nk 4 (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 11.51  
OLD FASHIONED GIRL 3 2 32 3 2nk 3½ 5 (mcentee paul)CONNER TYLER 119 12.00 7.78  
12  SPRAT 12 8 8 9 11 8 611¼ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 25.59  
11  DASH OF LEMON 11 9 7 8 7 9 715¾ (catalano m)MOJICA O 119 5.00 10.61  
TAPWRIT WARRIOR 5 3 5 7 6 7 815¾ (vasquez germ)TERRAZA GERMAN 109 30.00 83.87  
LADLE 9 4 1nk 1½ 1nk 6 916 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 10% 8.90 27.01  
10  SHE'S A SAINT 10 12 11 10 10 10 1021½ (dunn steph)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 29.12  
CALLE REINA 8 11 129 11 9 1110¼ 1123½ (beckman wh)CARROLL DECLAN 119 4.50 13% 6.70 8.58  
WHAT YOU WISHED 2 1 2nk 2½ 1217¼ 1230¼ 12100 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 30.00 91.40  
SCR  FROSTY TALE               (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 12.00    
SCR  QUEEN LEXI               (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
 
TP-5   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:133 1:263   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE CAT 8 8 7 8 7 4 1¾ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 3.50 12% 7.00 2.96 W
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
QUEEN RHAENYRA 7 4 85 7 6 3 2¾ (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00 12.74  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
BEAUTIFUL BOLT 4 1 2 2nk 1 1 3 (ruis mi)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.58 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BEAUTIFUL BECCA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SHERBET FOUNTAIN 5 3 3 31 2 2 4 (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00 58% 0.70 2.17  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CHURCH CAMP by FOREST CAMP)
10  CRIMALDI 10 5 5 52 3 6 55 (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 31.43  
  (by OUTWORK out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
MILAN MISCHIEF 1 7 4 4 5 5 6 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 16.02  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAY ATTENTION by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
A DOLLAR A DAY 3 12 1210¾ 128 10 8 7 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 124 15.00 30.77  
  (by BLAME out of MILLION DOLLAR DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
OGEMA BAY 9 9 10 10 9 10 8 (drury thomas)RAMOS D 121 12.00 8% 11.70 14.90  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MADAME DU LAC by LEMON DROP KID)
12  CUSHEE 12 11 11 11 8 9 97 (stidham michae)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 13.13  
  (by CURLIN out of LIFE WELL LIVED by TIZNOW)
11  BETTER JUSTICE 11 10 9 6 4 7 109 (leitch danie)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00 21.28  
  (by JUSTIFY out of BETTER NOT CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
RIVER OAKS 6 6 64 9 1212¼ 1111½ 1115¾ (medina robert)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00 22.23  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
PEEPING 2 2 1 1nk 1111¼ 1214½ 1225½ (holden j)FUENTES ERICK 111 20.00 81.93  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TAPITAI by TAPIT)
SCR  CHELSEA PIER               (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of KIND OF MAGIC by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  FROTHY               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ROOMS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
TP-6   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTARES 4 3 1 1½   11 1¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 24% 3.10 1.03 DQ↓4
RETAINED 7 1 2 2½   21 2¼ (morey w)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 19% 4.30 5.91 W
NIFTY 3 5 6 4   43 3¼ (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 16.73  
COUNTERSTRIKE 1 4 3 3   31 41 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 9.10 S
10  GREYS THE BOY 9 8 9 7   5 5 (foley greg)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 18.77  
STONEVICIOUS 5 2 4 53   6 6 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 17.81  
BLESS THE KITTEN 8 6 7 85   9 7 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00 28.05  
GAGETOWN 6 7 8 9   8 8 (englehart jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 18.65  
DETROIT CITY 2 9 5 63   7 910¾ (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 30% 2.30 3.31  
SCR  THE QUEENS JULES               (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
 
TP-7   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Holiday Cheer Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:212 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NIGHT TIME 10 6 5 3   1½ 1¼ (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 7% 14.10 3.95 W
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of SILENT JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
LET MY PEOPLE GO 8 9 8 4   3½ 2¼ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 9.57  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
FORTIN HILL 9 5 7 9   4 3 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 4.48  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DUSTY ROSE by SWING TILL DAWN)
MANNY WAH 3 11 11 11   84 43 (walden william)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 14.60  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BATTLEFIELD ANGEL by PROUD CITIZEN)
CONDEMN 7 7 10 8   5 5 (drury thomas)RAMOS D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.47  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SENTENCE by BLAME)
11  OLAZABAL 11 1 1½ 11   2½ 6 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 38.67  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DERBY EVE by TIZNOW)
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM 4 3 32 21   6 7 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 28.06  
  (by KANTHAROS out of FEMALE DRAMA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
MY BUDDY B 5 4 6 6   9 8 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 10.73  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
DHABAB (IRE) 2 10 4 7   73 910¼ (vaughan edward)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 8.78  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of HABBAT REEH by MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE))
TRUE TEMPER 6 8 9 10   107 1012¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 46% 1.20 4.54  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BINGO by NICHOLAS)
HEAVEN STREET 1 2 2½ 5   119 1117¾ (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 20% 4.00 15.81  
  (by STREET SENSE out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
 
TP-8   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:133 1:263   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTROSTATIC 5 7 52 4 31 1nk 11 (delacour arnau)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 46% 1.20 6.00 W
SAILOR'S CHANCE 6 8 8 9 9 4 21 (miller kenny)RAMOS D 118 10.00 6% 16.30 5.61 P
11  BREAKOUT STAR 10 11 1112 10 5 3½ 32 (paquett)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 21.37  
12  BROKEN JUSTICE 11 9 97 8 72 2nk 4 (short rick)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 9% 9.80 4.23  
MIDNIGHT CHANNEL 8 6 74 7 6 53 5 (meah m)MOJICA JR 121 12.00 8% 11.20 13.22  
LIEUTENANT JACK 7 5 6 6 8 7 610 (miller kenny)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 9.52  
OUT OF ALCATRAZ 3 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 6 710½ (fosdick stev)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 20.00 28.48  
GOLDEN REIGN 1 1 31 31 10 8 814¼ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 4.79  
DEUS EX MACHINA 2 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 9 916½ (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 9% 10.00 2.89  
GHOST BIKE 4 4 41 5 4 10 1019¾ (pasley iii)MOJICA O 118 6.00 21.39  
10  COMMANDER COMPTON 9 10 1011½ 1113 1110½ 1115¼ 1126½ (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 20.00 ######  
SCR  OBOY               (gamber e)HESS SARA 114 20.00    
 
TP-9   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:22 :452 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLERYGAL 5 11 98 66   4 1½ (o'donne)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 40.07  
  (by KANTHAROS out of ARMOIRE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
HEAVENLY DREAM 1 5 1 12   1 2½ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 6.00 30% 2.30 10.06 P
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HEAVENLY GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
STIRRED UP 4 3 2 22   2 3 (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 44% 1.30 2.04 S
  (by TAPWRIT out of STIRRED by SHAKIN IT UP)
VINO FRIZZANTE 9 10 1110½ 1010¾   5 43 (howey quinn)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 7.31  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FABULOUS BABE by TOUCH GOLD)
GOLD DEL MAR 6 4 32 33   3 5 (bahena is)CORREA L 120 3.50 5% 19.00 2.01  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DEL MAR BABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
11  EVOCATION 11 2 8 8   6 6 (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 6.00 16.47  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MY SUGAR by CONGRATS)
SANCTIFY 2 12 1211 1112¾   8 7 (holsapple hutc)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00 44.36  
  (by AUDIBLE out of LIQUORICE MARILYN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
12  FLOWERY PATH 12 1 54 5   7 8 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 17.38  
  (by GET STORMY out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
10  BANSHEE MOON 10 9 109 1214¼   1212¾ 911 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 37.99  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BELIEVE IN ME by BODEMEISTER)
LANDY 8 7 7 77   1110¾ 1011¼ (ewing michael )CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 18.89  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MALIBU STELLA by MALIBU MOON)
BRIGHT LADY DAY 3 6 4 4   910¼ 1111½ (jackson chr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 37.28  
  (by RACE DAY out of LADY RELAUNCH by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
CATALINA NINA 7 8 65 9   1010¼ 1211½ (wilkes r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.27  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of BERT'S ALTARCATION by BERTRANDO)
SCR  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER)               (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  OONDIRI               (upton m)MOJICA JR 120 10.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of QUEEN ANNE'S LACE by LONHRO (AUS))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.