Handicappers' Racing Form

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Kentucky Downs
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KD-1   Win (7/11/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-2   Win (9/7/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-3   Win (1/12/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KD-4   Win (6/7/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-5   Win (6/12/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-6   Win (10/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-7   Win (1/11/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-8   Win (7/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-9   Win (12/7/6/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-10   Win (9/10/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KD-1   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLY HIGH BIRDIE         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
SCR  FUN AS ALL GIT OUT         (short thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
TURF ROCKET Jul29 May13       (o'dwyer jeremi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  OCEAN MERMAID (GB) Aug12 May13       (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50    
SATIN BLUE         (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
KOHARA (IRE)         (meah m)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
MOVIN' ON UP Aug20         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
TAYLORS MAGIC         (briley lonnie)COURT K 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
DR. RAY D. Aug13 Jul07       (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
10  STAR PERFORMANCE Aug20 Jul16       (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 9% 10.60    
11  ASTERNIA Aug04         (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  ALMOND FUDGE Jul19         (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 20.00    
13  TURINO         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
14  SUCRE CECILE Aug20 Aug04       (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
15  MAUI MISTRESS Aug04         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
SCR  YAREE D TAT Aug02         (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
 
KD-2   09/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST WORLD WAR         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
LAST ATTACK         (gelner jayd)TORRES A 119 20.00    
JACKED         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
TENNESSEE LAMB Jul21         (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
NOBLE GENTLEMAN Aug18 Jul14 Jun10 May11   (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SHOTGUN RUNNER         (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
COASTAL BRINK Aug27 Aug05 Jun18 Jun08   (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
TIRELESS         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
AMERICAN DECISION         (thomas jonathan)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
10  SHERIFF JOE Aug25 Jul15       (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
11  VERACRUZIN Aug25         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
12  DIVINE EMPIRE Aug19 Jul29       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
SCR  WITHOUT EQUAL         (lund valorie)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
SCR  HOLD MY BOURBON         (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
SCR  ELM STREET         (nihei michelle)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
SCR  LUCERITO BLANCO Jul29         (salas feli)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
 
KD-3   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTADORE Jul22 Feb17 Jan01 Oct28 Sep13 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 1.80 65% 0.50    
TILTED TOWERS Jul21 Jun10 May25 Apr20 Mar16 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 3.50    
SEVEN SCENTS Aug02 Jun15 May04 Nov12 Oct27 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 30.00    
CASANOVA KITTEN Sep01 Aug16 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 (ginter raymo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
SCR  EPIMYTHIUM Sep03 Aug11 Jul21 Dec14 Oct26 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 30.00    
PURE PANIC Aug06 Jul15 May16 Apr16 Mar18 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAILMAN MONEY Aug06 Jun30 Jun04 May05 Mar24 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
SPYCRAFT Aug19 Jul09 May23 May03 Nov12 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
SCR  LINCOLN CITY Feb18 Jan28 Dec21 Oct22 Sep10 (lyster s)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
SCR  EMERALD EXPRESS Jun30 May26 May04 Feb10 Jan08 (ramirez luis )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
11  BRAZILLIONAIRE Aug02 Jul01 May30 Dec04 Oct26 (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 121 20.00    
12  VOODOO ZIP Jul04 Jun04 May06 Apr13 Nov25 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 6% 15.90    
 
KD-4   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANEUVER Aug20 Jul27 Jul06     (perez manny)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
MENDEL'S SECRET Feb11 Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 Oct29 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
CHIRINGO Aug20 Jul23 May13 Apr16 Mar11 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
EDDIE M Aug04 Jun25 May28 May03 Nov19 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
ARABIAN PRINCE Jul23 Jun23 May19 Apr26 Feb03 (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
ZAMBEZI Jul30 Jun25 May28 May05 Apr01 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 52% 0.90    
IMPLEMENTATION Aug03 Apr15 Oct27 Oct08 Aug23 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 15% 5.90    
FOXTROTANNA Aug11 Jul13       (wojczynski ju)PETERSON FERRIN 121 12.00    
JUDGE DAVIS Aug20 Jun25 Jun02 Apr13 Feb25 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00    
10  WESTERN COMMAND Aug11 Jun18 May20 Mar16 Feb02 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 12% 7.30    
11  ZARTOWNIS Aug11 Jul15 May23 Jul22 Mar26 (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 10.00    
12  MUMAYAZ Aug11 Apr16 Feb25 Jan06 Nov16 (peitz c)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING ME Jul22 Jun18 Sep30     (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON Jul14 May27 Sep07 Aug17   (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  VOCALIZE Aug19 Jul27 Jun25 Oct13 Sep18 (de hor)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
SCR  GILDED RULER Jul15 May19 Mar10 Dec31 Feb05 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
 
KD-5   09/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER MAJESTY Jul30         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
CLEOPATRA'S NILE Aug20         (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
CHRISTINABARCELONA         (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
FLORIBUNDA         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
ADELLEGATOR Aug18         (davis christoph)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SISTINA CHAPEL Aug18         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
PRAY FOR CHAMPAGNE Aug01         (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
NORTHERN ROAD         (o'dwyer jerem)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TONALITE Aug18         (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
10  SHOW OFF         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
11  CAIRO STREET Aug13 Jul07       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
12  BUSINESS AS USUAL         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  REALISTIC GOAL Aug10 Jul23       (perez manny)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  BEETS         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Aug31 Jul19 Jul06 Jun08   (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00    
 
KD-6   09/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR VISION Jul07 May27 Sep03 Aug04 Jul15 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
FENWICK STATION Aug20 May11 Apr20 Mar24 Apr22 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00    
KENTUCKY GHOST Sep03 Jul08 Jun03 May04 Apr07 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
DOMINICAN PIONEER Jul30 Jun04 Apr20 Oct21 Sep03 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 6% 15.70    
EVER SMART Aug05 Jun18 May20 Apr29 Dec03 (drysdale nei)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  WIN FOR THE MONEY Aug12 Jul20 Apr29 Mar15 Apr02 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
ELUSIVE TARGET Jul11 Jun20 May08 Mar31 Mar04 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 30.00    
MAX K. O. Sep02 Aug05 Jun21 May14 Apr02 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  MAIN EVENT Aug24 Jul30 Aug06 Jul02 May07 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
10  BIG BLUE LINE Aug13 Jun30 Mar24 Feb18 Jan14 (mcgee paul)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 44% 1.30    
 
KD-7   09/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAHLABIYA Aug27 Aug05 Jun24 Apr28 Mar12 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 34% 1.90    
SONADOR Aug16 Jun17 May20 May02 Apr13 (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 30.00    
MISS PEABODY Aug05 Jun24 Jun02 Apr27 Mar04 (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
PURE COUNTRY Jul21 Jun23 Apr28 Mar12 Jun22 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 19% 4.30    
JENNY LIND Jul15 Jun08 May12 Feb23 Feb01 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
BEL ARIA Aug28 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Apr16 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
BUTTONS Jun01 Oct28 Sep08 Jun28   (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
PRIVATE CREDIT Aug05 Nov27 Sep02 Aug04   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  THE CLUB Jul22 May20 Apr22 Mar26 Jan18 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00    
10  TITUBA Jun29 Apr28 Mar12 Jan29 Nov24 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
11  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 May07 Apr09 (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MISS SHIPMAN Feb18 Dec26 Nov19 Oct12 Sep10 (briley lonnie)COURT K 118 30.00    
SCR  QUEEN OLLY (IRE) Aug12         (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
SCR  LAMASCO Aug19 Aug01 Jun17 Mar26 Mar08 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 121 4.50    
SCR  CANDLE Jul01 Jun16 Apr08 Feb12 Nov04 (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00    
SCR  SEDUCE Aug05 Sep15 Aug13 Jun15 May26 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 30.00    
 
KD-8   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pepsi Juvenile Sprint Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEASE ADVISE Aug20 Jul30 Jun22     (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 9% 9.60    
JIMMYTHETOOTH Jul27 Jul07 Jun16     (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
VOTE NO Aug23         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL Aug30 Aug18 Jul19 Jul07 Jun15 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 115 30.00    
SCR  GOOD LORD LORRIE Aug12         (weaver george)ORTIZ L 120 2.00    
GO OTTO GO Aug18 Jul02 May25     (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
HEDWIG Aug19         (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
DARKROOM Aug31 Jul30       (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
BLEDSOE Apr07         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
10  UNTROUBLED Aug18 Jun06 May15     (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00    
 
KD-9   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pepsi Untapable Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDI GIRL Aug28 Jul11       (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
MYA'S HALO Aug20 Jul16       (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  DETERMINED DRIVER Sep02 Aug11       (schoenthal ph)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
HONEY DIJON Aug10 Jul13       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
SCR  DETERMINED SAIL Sep09 Aug19 Jul13     (schoenthal )LEPAROUX R 120 30.00    
HIDDEN CLASS Aug31 Aug03       (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
SONG OF NORWAY Aug01         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
ZO LEE Aug19 Jul20       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 13% 6.60    
TESTAMENT (ARG) Aug11         (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00    
10  BUTTERCREAM BABE Aug31         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
11  COPPER EM Aug06 Jun30       (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  CROWN IMPERIAL Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 May31   (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
13  SWEETCATHERINEROSE Aug20         (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 15.00    
14  JUDY ELAINE Aug19 Jul20 Jul06 Jun16   (brown paul)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 30.00    
SCR  FAIRHOPECURLY Aug19         (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
 
KD-10   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARKET PROFILE Jun27 Nov26 Oct30 Sep23   (heath destin )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
LAST GLIMMER May20 Apr30       (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 121 20.00    
TAKE SHAPE Jul08 Jun11 May18 Sep30   (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00    
WARWOMAN Oct15 Sep17 Aug06 Jul02 Jun05 (torres concepci)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SNOW PRINCESS Aug06 Jul09 Jun03 Apr23 Mar16 (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 10% 9.50    
SCR  KID'S LAST LAUGH May05 Apr12 Jan21 Dec31 Nov18 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
TIDAL TACTICS Sep02         (lauer micha)TORRES A 121 6.00    
PONTRESINA         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
KARA AND COLLEEN Aug04 May27 Apr30 Mar26   (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 49% 1.00    
10  FANCY CABER NEIGH Aug06 Jun27 Jun02 Apr19 Mar25 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 13% 6.40    
11  WORDS OF PRAISE Aug28 Aug01 Jun23 May20 Nov06 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 121 12.00    
12  AGENT Jul20 Jun29 May24 Apr23   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00    
SCR  SKIP TO THE BEAT (IRE)         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA COPA         (macias adolfo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
SCR  WHISKEY DIAMOND Aug31 Aug03 Jul05 Oct29 Oct10 (bush s)MURGIA A 121 30.00    
SCR  REINA DEL BALI Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 Jul09 Jun08 (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.