Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (6/7/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-3   Win (11/6/10/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (7/5/12/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (5/1/4/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (13/3/1/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (10/1/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (3/1/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT QUICK Sep29         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00    
MY FAVORITE GIRL Apr06 Mar22 Feb24 Feb02 Jan12 (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MO FOR US Sep29 Jun16 May25 Apr27 Mar24 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.00 61% 0.60    
POUR A LITTLE MORE         (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
VINO FRIZZANTE Oct24 Sep14 Aug31 Dec30   (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 3.50 7% 13.40    
ROSELEE MAY Jan18 Dec27 Nov26 Oct29 Sep09 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50    
QUEENOFTHEUNIVERSE         (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
DANCING PRINCESS Sep21 Aug05 Jul06 Nov12 Oct29 (spicer t)JURADO EDDIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-2   11/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROSIE'S HALO Sep21 Aug17 Jun23 May16 Mar17 (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
FOREVER HOME Oct09 Sep20 Sep03 Aug07 Jul17 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
RUVIES IN TIME Oct19 Jun08 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00    
ALTERED SHOT Sep21 Aug31 Jul22 Jun23 May23 (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
SEQUIN LADY Oct09 Sep20 Aug04 Jun07 Apr24 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Sep20 Jun14 May25 May03 Apr06 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
AWESOME ANNMARIE Oct19 Sep29 Aug29 Aug14 Jul07 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
TIFFANY TWIST Sep21 Aug04 Jun23 May05 Apr15 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 6.00 7% 14.30    
ROSE PALACE Sep15 Jun26 Jun06 May17 Apr30 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00    
10  ABITIBI Sep15 Aug10 Jul04 Jun06 May17 (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
 
CD-3   11/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLO DE FUEGO Oct05 Sep05 Aug05 Jul14   (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
OTTER MISCHIEF Oct09 Sep12       (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 30.00    
LURED AWAY Oct18         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VINO DOMINUS Sep18 Aug07       (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
SCR  SERKETAS Oct25 Sep28       (demeritte l)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00    
SIR GALLIVANT Oct06         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
CAPO LUCA Sep22 Aug31       (joseph a)SMITH E 119 6.00    
KNOCK KNOCK JOKE Sep21 Aug24 Jul13     (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
MINTASTIC Sep27         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00    
10  AUTHENTIC STYLE Oct12 Sep10 Aug20 Jul20   (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 11% 8.50    
11  INSTANT REPLAY Sep27 Aug12       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
CD-4   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEEN IDOL Oct19 Jul05 Apr13 Feb24   (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
GENO'S MYTH Mar23 Jan05 Dec17 Nov15   (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00    
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE Oct19 Apr13 Feb25 Jan27 Mar04 (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
ADDED MISCHIEF Nov17 Oct25       (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00    
SHORTSTOP Oct19 Sep22 Jul07 Sep23 Jan06 (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 22% 3.70    
HANGIN IN THERE Oct17 Sep20 Aug10 Jun22 Apr27 (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
LOU'S LEGACY Oct10 Sep07 Jul28 Jul05 Jun13 (andrad)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   11/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMLIN Oct12 Aug29       (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
DON'T BACKDOWN Oct04 Sep08 Jul13 Jun15   (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 10.00    
MAJOR MISCHIEF Oct04 Aug29       (mott william )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
LEBOWSKI May16         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 10.00    
FINAL GAMBIT         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
CAPTAIN FANCY Oct18 Sep11 Aug24     (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
PLENSA Oct12         (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 45% 1.20    
GRIM REAPER Sep28 Jul13       (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
ZAP D'ETAT Oct12 Sep19 Aug19 Jul28   (house gary)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
10  KYE Sep26         (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
11  STIGLETS Sep21 Aug26 Jul20 Jun23   (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  MAUI STRONG Oct12 Aug30       (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.50 7% 13.80    
SCR  ORNATO Oct19 Jun05       (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00    
SCR  LEMON SOHN         (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 15.00    
SCR  UNLOCK YOUR HEART Oct19         (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  HALTER BOY Oct26         (butcher james)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYES OF GOLD Sep20 Aug24 Jul22 Apr13 Mar23 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
VINOBELLO Jun29 Apr28 Feb24     (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  CARARRA Aug08 Jun22 Jun01 Nov11 Oct13 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
YES TO CHAMPAGNE Oct24 Sep20 Jul27 Jun29 May12 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 10% 9.40    
COLORMECAIRO Oct01 Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun08 (morey william )TORRES A 118 8.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  CANDY DOLL Aug22 Jul20 Jun28 May26 Aug31 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
MEET IN SECRET Oct17 Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 (brafford michell)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
SCR  LEAMETATRAINER Oct10 Sep13 Jun28 Jun06   (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
MUSTANG LADY Oct10 Sep13 Aug10 Jul15 Jun19 (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
10  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED Oct24 Aug10 Jul25 Jun20 May26 (ramirez ric)TORRES A 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARCHMENT PARTY Oct12 Nov09 Sep15     (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
GAME WARDEN Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 Jun27 May12 (casse w)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00    
SINGLE DOT YAHT Sep15 Aug12 Jun30 Jun09 May10 (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
BATON ROUGE (IRE) Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 Jul21 Jun07 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 8% 11.60    
KINETIC Sep19 Aug03 Jun21     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  RECKER POINT Sep12 Jul22 Jun09 May05 Apr13 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00    
HAYES STRIKE Oct20 Sep19 Jun08 May11 Apr13 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00    
TAPIT SHOES Jul29 Jun07 May12 Aug13 Jun10 (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 30.00    
CREATIVE MINISTER Oct12 Sep15 Jan13 Dec29 Nov11 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MACKMAN Oct12 Sep15 Jun26 Apr28 Apr13 (shirer matt)TORRES A 121 5.00 5% 17.90    
11  BOURBON RESOLVE Sep15 Jul29 Jun27 Feb18 Jan19 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
12  SAN SIRO Sep26 Aug24 Mar09 Jan20 Dec23 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
13  DAI VERNON Sep21 Jul05 May01 Apr14 Feb17 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dream Supreme Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND Sep25 Aug17 Jul20 May20 Jun16 (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
UPPER CASE Oct13 Sep13 Aug04 Jul07 May29 (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 4.00    
SPIRIT WIND Oct05 Aug23 Jul24 May27 May04 (joseph a)SMITH E 124 1.80 19% 4.30    
SCR  LURE'EM IN Oct13 Sep13 Aug13 Jun27 Jun07 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 120 20.00    
MYSTIC PLEASURE Oct13 Sep22 Aug11 Jul07 Jun09 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL Oct13 Aug29 Jun29 May27 May04 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
AWESOME TREAT Oct13 Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun01 (wojczynski j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
INTO LOVE Jun26 May18 Apr01 Mar11 Feb11 (littlefield derm)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON May24 Apr18 Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
CD-9   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL SCREEN Sep26 Aug24 Jul20 Jun08 Apr20 (casse mark)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 8% 12.00    
ROCKET CAN Sep26 Aug23 Jul11 Mar16 May06 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50    
HORACE MANN Sep29 Aug12 Jul04 Apr17 Oct28 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Oct12 Aug25 Aug01 Jun08 May16 (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00    
SCR  GILCREASE Sep28 May02 Mar16 Jan28 Nov23 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
SCR  OSBOURNE Sep28 Mar16 Feb09 Dec09 Sep29 (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
BROMLEY Oct12 Sep12 Feb22 Jan06 Nov26 (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRACK PHANTOM May04 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Dec23 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.00    
SCR  WORLD RECORD Oct10 Aug24 Jul26 Jun30 May27 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00    
10  ARRO SMASH Sep12 Aug24 Jul20 May16 Nov26 (bauer a)TORRES A 120 12.00    
11  CONDEMN Sep22 Jun14 May24 Apr25 Mar22 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
12  GULFSTREAM WAY Sep12 Jul21 Oct06 Sep16 Aug04 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  ACCRETIVE Aug31 Jul26 Jun08 May03 Apr07 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE Oct16 Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 May19 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 122 30.00    
SCR  MACHINE GUN MAN Sep04 Aug11 Jul06 Jun07 May10 (sanchez jua)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
16  BLUE DEVIL Dec30 Nov24 Sep30 Aug18 Jul14 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00    
 
CD-10   11/09/2024 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM River City Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMMANUEL Sep28 Sep07 Jul20 Jun01 Apr12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
HADES Sep21 Aug11 Jul06 Jun15 Apr13 (orseno joseph )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
SCR  HARLAN ESTATE Nov07 Oct10 Aug29 Jul20 May02 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
RECKONING FORCE Oct13 Sep07 Aug17 Jun19 May18 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS Oct10 Jul06 Nov04 Oct01 Jul30 (damato philip)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 8% 11.20    
PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) Jul27 Jul19 Jun15 Mar30 Mar15 (joseph saffie )TORRES A 121 15.00    
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) Oct19 Sep28 May17 Apr19 Mar16 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
BATTLE OF NORMANDY Sep20 Jul14 Jun16 Apr30 Sep03 (mcgaughey claude)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 12% 7.10    
GIGANTE Oct10 Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Nov26 (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 7% 12.80    
10  CASH EQUITY (FR) Oct05 Sep07 Sep01 Jul20 Jun28 (joseph a)SMITH E 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
CD-11   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THESTRAL Jun05 Apr27 Mar30 Feb04 Jan25 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU Oct16 Sep11 Jun25 May16 Apr27 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 5.00    
LIL GIN N CLASS Oct17 Sep25 Jul31 Jul06 Jun12 (eggleston tim)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
BOURBON BREEZE Sep13 Aug20 Jul23 Jun08 May16 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BELLA CRUELLA Oct05 Sep26 Sep13 Aug19 Jul13 (bahena ismael)MEZA JJ 118 30.00    
IDALOU Oct17 Sep18 Aug17 Jun21 Jun02 (schultz lindsa)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00    
MISS PEABODY Oct17 Sep19 Jul22 Jun15 Sep13 (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
ANTIQUE SILVER Oct31 Sep02 Aug11 Jul27 Jun15 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 5.00    
LITTLE SISTER SUE Oct16 Sep25 Aug19 Jul17 Jul05 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MILA JUNES Oct23 Sep25 Jun21 May30 May09 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  JACKIE'S LOVE Aug21 May09 Apr11 Feb01 Dec21 (butcher james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
12  BIRDIE ROSE Oct17 Sep29 Sep08 Jul31 Jul22 (salas marcelin)MONCADA IRVING 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.