Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $10.10 $10.10 2.10
KEE-2   Win (8/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.74  
KEE-3   Win (11/6/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $70.04  
KEE-4   Win (6/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.06 $3.06  
KEE-5   Win (10/1/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $15.86  
KEE-6   Win (2/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
KEE-7   Win (4/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.48 $5.48  
KEE-8   Win (1/2/6/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 0.80
KEE-9   Win (8/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.34 $5.34  
KEE-10   Win (7/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.10 $10.10 2.10
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BERNIN HOT 5 1 12½ 11½ 11 12 11 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 51% 0.90 4.05 W
1  OVERSTATEMENT 1 4 34 43 33 22 21 (miller kenny)ROMAN A 118 10.00 11% 8.30 4.12 P
2  SEASON FIGHTER 2 7 76¾ 75 75¾ 46 37½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 11.94  
7  PARKWAY 7 5 44 32 21 33½ 48¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 2.98  
6  GATLINBURG 6 3 54¼ 63½ 54 610½ 518¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 3.78  
3  ASK ARTHUR 3 6 22½ 21½ 43 59 618¼ (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 8% 10.80 3.45  
4  FLYING HOUDINI 4 2 65¾ 53½ 65½ 713½ 727½ (west henry)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 26.81  
 
KEE-2   10/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TEST SCORE 3 5 53½ 53 52¼ 41½ 1¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 ★ 2.37  
8  WEST BEACH 8 4 64 63½ 62¾ 52 2¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 64% 0.60 1.65 P
4  WAR AND MAJESTY 4 7 86 74 73¾ 62¼ 32¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 20.00 24.53  
2  SERGEANT CAPPS 2 2 32 31½ 41¾ 31 42¾ (capps a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 57.54  
1  SCORPIUS 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 54¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 6.46  
9  HELICITY 9 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 65 (sisterson jack)VAZQUEZ A 119 5.00 8% 12.00 16.47  
11  MAJOR MISCHIEF 11 9 108 105½ 96¾ 85¾ 76½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 20.00 16.25  
12  HIGH CEILING 12 6 42½ 42 31½ 73¼ 88 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00 45.71  
5  COALMOON 5 8 1111 117½ 118¼ 108¼ 910½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.08  
7  DON'T BACKDOWN 7 10 75 84½ 85¼ 96¼ 1011¼ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.51  
6  GAVE PROOF 6 11 98 95 107¼ 118¼ 1112¾ (cowans d)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 24.60  
10  MODIANO 10 12 1214½ 1211 1214¾ 1218¼ 1235¾ (brown h)MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00 ######  
SCR  AUTHENTIC GALLOP               (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  NO REMATCH               (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  RAG TREE               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  SAND CAST               (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
 
KEE-3   10/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:09     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  C'EST CHEESE 6 5 2½ 2nk   11 13½ (beckman wh)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 34.02  
6  LORD I WONDER 5 2 1½ 1nk   21 23½ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 11% 8.00 6.10 P
9  ISLANDER 8 1 53 52½   46½ 35½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 8% 11.20 12.39 S
11  UPON A STAR 10 3 31 31   36 46¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.80 58% 0.70 0.41  
8  TIME FOR MAGIC 7 4 74 73¾   57½ 511 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00 71.24  
12  THANKSGIVING 11 9 63½ 63½   610½ 611½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 ★ 9.27  
5  A DOLLAR A DAY 4 11 119½ 1113¼   913¾ 712¼ (butcher james)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 12.00 66.98  
3  FLIGHT TO PARIS 3 6 94½ 97¼   710½ 814 (arnold r)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 20.48  
2  EBHAAJ 2 7 42 42   810¾ 917½ (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 63.66  
10  MO ATTITUDE 9 10 84½ 85¾   1016¼ 1025¼ (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00 23.12  
1  JERSEYS PARADE 1 8 105 109¾   1119¾ 1129 (meredith ch)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 ######  
SCR  PRODIGIEUX               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
 
KEE-4   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ECLATANT 5 3 21 22   12½ 11¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.20 45% 1.20 0.53 W
1  DANCING MAGIC (IRE) 1 4 31½ 33½   32½ 21¼ (campbell michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5% 18.80 22.75 P
5  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF 4 2 11 12   22½ 312½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 ★ 16.22 S
8  THUNDER KIN 7 9 96½ 89   69 415 (catalano m)ORTIZ L 122 20.00 5% 19.00 58.84  
2  RUN CAMILA RUN 2 5 52 46   47½ 515¾ (decker ann)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00 89.91  
4  WAUNEKA 3 8 74 67½   58½ 618¼ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 26% 2.80 19.79  
11  TIZ PURPLE 9 7 85 911½   812½ 719¼ (delgado jorg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 3.10  
7  TAPIT FIRST 6 1 42 78   711 819¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 10.36  
9  DREAMGIRL 8 6 62½ 57   914½ 954 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 29.42  
SCR  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY               (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
SCR  IT'S WITCHCRAFT               (casse mark)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/04/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:131 1:373   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  STYLISH SUE 9 1 1½ 11 1½ 12 1¼ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 6.93  
1  DREAMING OF MO 1 3 41½ 42½ 31½ 22 2¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 6.00 15% 5.80 4.71 P
4  BEACH WALKN 4 6 83½ 84¼ 63 55 33¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 18.99 S
6  GOOD AMERICAN (GB) 6 7 73 74 73½ 45 43¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 21.17  
10  OLIVIA MARALDA (IRE) 10 4 2½ 21 2½ 33 54¼ (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 47% 1.10 1.26  
5  SANCTIFY 5 11 117 126¼ 126 77½ 64½ (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 14.94  
8  SELF CONFIDENT 8 8 106 94¾ 115 87¾ 75¼ (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 9% 9.50 12.19  
2  SCHOOL DANCE 2 2 52 52½ 42 66 85¼ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 15.10  
3  PAINT ME PERFECT 3 9 95½ 115¾ 104¾ 98¼ 97¼ (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.93  
12  EXCELLENT QUESTION 12 10 63 63 93¾ 1010¾ 1013½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 11.23  
11  YARBOROUGH 11 12 127½ 105¾ 83¾ 1211¾ 1114¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 ######  
7  FOR THE BISCUIT 7 5 31 31½ 52 1111¼ 1216½ (sherman jus)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 30.00 74.98  
 
KEE-6   10/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:213 :434 1:08     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MONTALCINO (IRE) 2 4 1½ 11½   14 16 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 55% 0.80 1.15 W
9  BANNED FOR LIFE 7 2 31 21½   24 26 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 11% 8.30 2.69 P
8  HOLD MY BOURBON 6 7 75 66   36½ 37½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 11.17 S
4  NOTAH 3 8 86 77½   59 49 (terranova )RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 37.78  
1  AIR OF DEFIANCE 1 3 2½ 33½   46½ 513¼ (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10% 8.60 2.95  
5  GREAT RICHIE M 4 5 43½ 44½   610½ 613¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 18.47  
10  POLSTER 8 1 64 88   714½ 722½ (brown h)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 85.81  
7  AJAAYB 5 6 53½ 56   814¾ 822½ (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 30.35  
SCR  BORN FLAWLESS               (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 30.00    
SCR  LINEBACKER               (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:213 :44 :553     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEDERAL JUDGE 1 4 11 1½   13½ 15½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 22% 3.50 1.74 W
4  NAKATOMI 4 7 64¾ 65   45½ 25½ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.40 40% 1.50 1.07 P
5  COMEDY TOWN 5 3 21 2½   23½ 36 (joseph saffi)VAN DRAYDEN 121 4.00 7.18  
2  HERE MI SONG 2 6 53¾ 43½   55¾ 47¼ (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 10% 9.20 6.73  
3  MY BUDDY B 3 5 43½ 33½   35½ 57¼ (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 6% 16.70 29.15  
8  MANNY WAH 7 2 77¾ 77   69¾ 613½ (ennis john)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 39.21  
7  SWIRVIN 6 1 31 54   79¾ 717½ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00 28.58  
SCR  BANJO CHRIS               (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Jessamine Purse ($350K) 2 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:131 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MAY DAY READY 7 10 85 84 73½ 32 1hd (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00 16% 5.10 4.40 W
9  TOTALLY JUSTIFIED 8 4 21 31½ 31 11½ 2hd (arnold r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★ 5.69 P
6  DESTINO D'ORO 5 9 106½ 95½ 85 73½ 3nk (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 18% 4.50 1.77 S
5  MECHAYA 4 8 42 52½ 63 42 42½ (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 8.67  
10  ITALIAN SOIREE 9 7 74 63 52½ 63 52¾ (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 11.47  
1  SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER 1 1 11 11 11 21½ 63 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 20% 4.10 9.10  
3  SASHAY AWAY 2 2 52½ 73½ 95¼ 52½ 73 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 20.00 30.46  
7  BALLERINA D'ORO 6 11 117 116½ 105¾ 95½ 83 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 12.10  
4  SOMETHINABOUTHER 3 3 96 106 117¾ 106½ 93¾ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 34.43  
11  MISS LONELLE 10 5 63 42 42 84½ 1011¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 26.76  
13  GIVE LIFE 11 6 31½ 21 21 118 1114¾ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 20.00 23.01  
SCR  CORRETO               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
SCR  DAISY FLYER               (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  ISLE OF CAPRI               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  SHE'S GOT WILL               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  VIRGIN COLADA               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
 
KEE-9   10/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Darley Alcibiades Purse ($600K) 2 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:111 1:373   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  IMMERSIVE 7 4 32 31½ 31 11 11¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 29% 2.50 1.67 W
6  QUICKICK 5 6 75½ 63½ 62¾ 21 21¼ (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 3.70  
7  QUIETSIDE 6 5 54 53½ 52½ 33 33¼ (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.95 S
1  CONTINUITY 1 7 42½ 42 41½ 53½ 44½ (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00 23.08  
2  SHERBINI 2 2 65½ 74½ 74¾ 64 54½ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 21% 3.90 10.06  
4  RICH CITY GIRL 4 3 1½ 1½ 11 43½ 615½ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 18.75  
3  LIAM IN THE DUST 3 1 2½ 2½ 21 714 745¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.91  
SCR  THE QUEENS M G               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
 
KEE-10   10/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:212 :434 :561     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CLOUDWALKER 7 9 95¾ 98¼   76½ 1¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.60 4.05 W
3  MOONLIT LADY 3 2 11 11½   11½ 2¼ (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 ★ 8.77 P
1  BEST CUPCAKE 1 7 63½ 66½   54½ 3½ (lauer michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00 50.97  
8  NIKI NINE DOORS 8 1 41½ 42   42 4½ (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 6.14  
10  ZO LEE 10 12 106¾ 119¾   87 51¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 31.41  
12  XTREME DIVA 12 4 117¼ 109¼   107¼ 62¼ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 70.29  
11  AMIDST WAVES 11 6 128¾ 1211¾   128½ 72½ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 5.55  
6  BARAYE 6 3 21 21½   21½ 83 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.50 25% 3.00 3.00  
9  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE 9 5 74 77   97¼ 94¾ (delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.63  
5  SHARE THE BLESSING 5 11 52½ 54½   65½ 105¼ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 30.16  
2  ETRURIAN 2 10 31½ 31½   31½ 116 (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 24% 3.10 9.16  
4  TAMBO 4 8 85½ 88   118¼ 126¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 13.77  
SCR  DOROTHY CROWFOOT               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.