Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (8/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (11/6/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (6/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (10/1/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (2/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (4/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (1/2/6/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (8/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (7/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERSTATEMENT Sep10 Aug10 Jun07 May24   (miller kenny)ROMAN A 118 10.00 11% 8.30    
2  SEASON FIGHTER Aug26 Jul29 Jun18 May21   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
3  ASK ARTHUR Sep14 Aug17 Jul25 Jun15 May19 (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 8% 10.80    
4  FLYING HOUDINI Aug17 Jul20 Jun21 May29 May05 (west henry)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BERNIN HOT Sep12 Jul28 Jul07 Jun12 May10 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 51% 0.90    
6  GATLINBURG Sep11 Aug03 Jul04 May31 Apr30 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00    
7  PARKWAY Sep25 Sep14 Aug07 Jul11 Jun30 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50    
 
KEE-2   10/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORPIUS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
2  SERGEANT CAPPS Aug29 Jul22 Jul02 Jun22 May30 (capps a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
3  TEST SCORE Aug29 Jul19       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 ★    
4  WAR AND MAJESTY Sep07 Aug24       (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
5  COALMOON Sep11 Aug10       (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GAVE PROOF Aug18         (cowans d)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
7  DON'T BACKDOWN Sep08 Jul13 Jun15     (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  WEST BEACH Sep08 Jul27 Jun23     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
9  HELICITY Sep06 Jul20 Jun07     (sisterson jack)VAZQUEZ A 119 5.00 8% 12.00    
10  MODIANO         (brown h)MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00    
11  MAJOR MISCHIEF Aug29         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 20.00    
12  HIGH CEILING         (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00    
SCR  RAG TREE Sep05 Aug10 Jul07 Jun17 May26 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  SAND CAST Sep05 Aug11 Jun22     (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  AUTHENTIC GALLOP Aug31 Jul20       (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  NO REMATCH Sep11 Aug01       (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
 
KEE-3   10/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEYS PARADE Sep11         (meredith ch)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
2  EBHAAJ Aug21         (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
3  FLIGHT TO PARIS Jul27 Feb25 Jan28 Nov25 Sep21 (arnold r)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  PRODIGIEUX         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
5  A DOLLAR A DAY Jun20 May08 Apr17 Mar07 Feb22 (butcher jam)BEALMEAR C 119 12.00    
6  LORD I WONDER Aug14 Jul12       (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 11% 8.00    
7  C'EST CHEESE Jan10 Nov29 Oct29 Oct06   (beckman wh)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
8  TIME FOR MAGIC Aug31 Jul29 Jun28 May18 Apr12 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
9  ISLANDER Aug14 Jun20       (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 8% 11.20    
10  MO ATTITUDE Sep11 Dec20 Nov23     (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  UPON A STAR Feb01         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.80 58% 0.70    
12  THANKSGIVING         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 ★    
 
KEE-4   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING MAGIC (IRE) Aug16 Jul05 Jun23     (campbell michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5% 18.80    
2  RUN CAMILA RUN Sep12 Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 May13 (decker ann)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00    
SCR  IT'S WITCHCRAFT Aug29 Aug02 Jun22     (casse mark)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
4  WAUNEKA Aug26 Jul27       (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 26% 2.80    
5  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF Sep14 Aug03 Jun26     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 ★    
6  ECLATANT Jun21         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
7  TAPIT FIRST Apr24         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00    
8  THUNDER KIN Aug04         (catalano m)ORTIZ L 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  DREAMGIRL Sep08 Jul11 Jun14     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Sep12 Aug24 Aug11 Jul05 Jun06 (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
11  TIZ PURPLE Aug31 Aug07 Jul04     (delgado jorg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
 
KEE-5   10/04/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF MO Sep02 Aug08 Jun28 May30 Apr27 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
2  SCHOOL DANCE Jun02 May03 Apr04 Feb25 Aug12 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00    
3  PAINT ME PERFECT Aug26 Jul28 Jun20 May03 Mar21 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEACH WALKN Aug26 Jan18 Dec21 Nov24 Oct18 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SANCTIFY Sep11 Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 Jun07 (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
6  GOOD AMERICAN (GB) Sep18 Feb25 Dec26 Oct15 Sep10 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00    
7  FOR THE BISCUIT Sep25 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 (sherman jus)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 30.00    
8  SELF CONFIDENT Sep02 Jul05 May18 Apr06 Feb23 (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 9% 9.50    
9  STYLISH SUE Aug29 Jul13 Jun21 May28 May04 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
10  OLIVIA MARALDA (IRE) Sep05 Jul20 May27 Apr20   (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
11  YARBOROUGH Aug26 Jul16 Jun13 May04 Apr04 (reed r)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
12  EXCELLENT QUESTION Aug31 Aug04 Jul07 Jun02 Apr26 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR OF DEFIANCE Oct18 Aug25       (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10% 8.60    
2  MONTALCINO (IRE) Sep01         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
SCR  LINEBACKER Sep14 Aug10 Feb03 Dec31 Nov25 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
4  NOTAH Aug23 Jul27 Jun07 Apr28 Apr05 (terranova )RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
5  GREAT RICHIE M May09 Apr07 Mar20 Feb02 Jan18 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  BORN FLAWLESS Sep13 Aug18 Jul29 Jun26 Apr18 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 30.00    
7  AJAAYB Sep11 Aug18 Jul28 May30 Apr28 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
8  HOLD MY BOURBON Jun30 Jun13 May12 Apr19 Mar23 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  BANNED FOR LIFE Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May04 Apr06 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
10  POLSTER Sep05 Aug19 Jul14 Jun16 May17 (brown h)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEDERAL JUDGE Aug31 Jul20 Jun10 May06 Apr01 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  HERE MI SONG Sep14 Jul21 Jun01 May04 Mar09 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 10% 9.20    
3  MY BUDDY B Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 May27 Mar08 (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 6% 16.70    
4  NAKATOMI Jul27 Feb10 Nov04 Oct06 Jul16 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.40 40% 1.50    
5  COMEDY TOWN Aug24 Jul06 Jun08 Apr19 Mar15 (joseph saffi)VAN DRAYDEN 121 4.00    
SCR  BANJO CHRIS Sep18 Aug15 Jul27 Jun23 Jun05 (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
7  SWIRVIN Jul06 May18 Feb24 Nov11 Aug25 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
8  MANNY WAH Sep14 Aug28 Mar02 Feb03 Dec30 (ennis john)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Jessamine Purse ($350K) 2 F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER Sep08 Jul05 Jun02     (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 20% 4.10    
2  ISLE OF CAPRI Sep11         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
3  SASHAY AWAY Sep08 Jul21       (medina robe)TORRES A 118 20.00    
4  SOMETHINABOUTHER Sep08 Aug04 Jun14     (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
5  MECHAYA Aug29         (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
6  DESTINO D'ORO Aug31         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  BALLERINA D'ORO Sep08 Aug04       (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
8  MAY DAY READY Sep08 Aug04       (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
9  TOTALLY JUSTIFIED Aug28 Jul29 Jun28     (arnold r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
10  ITALIAN SOIREE Sep14 Aug04 Jul04     (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
11  MISS LONELLE Sep07 Aug12       (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CORRETO Sep01         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
13  GIVE LIFE Sep08 Aug15       (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S GOT WILL Sep08 Aug15       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  VIRGIN COLADA Aug28 Jul21       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
SCR  DAISY FLYER Sep05 Jul21       (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Darley Alcibiades Purse ($600K) 2 F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTINUITY Aug16 Jul13       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00    
2  SHERBINI Aug31 Jul11 Jun16     (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 21% 3.90    
3  LIAM IN THE DUST Sep14 Aug11       (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  RICH CITY GIRL Aug29 Aug11 Jul06     (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  THE QUEENS M G Aug31 Aug04 Jul11 Jun06 Apr07 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
6  QUICKICK Sep01 Aug11       (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
7  QUIETSIDE Aug31 Aug04       (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  IMMERSIVE Aug31 Jul21       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
KEE-10   10/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST CUPCAKE Aug21 Jul31 Jul06 Jun04 May03 (lauer michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
2  ETRURIAN Sep13 Aug02 Jul05 Aug05   (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 24% 3.10    
3  MOONLIT LADY Aug12 Jul28 Jul06 Jun09 May16 (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 ★    
4  TAMBO Aug11 Jun09 Apr21 Feb23 Jan07 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
5  SHARE THE BLESSING Aug13 May22 Apr20 Mar20 Mar03 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
6  BARAYE Aug10 May26 Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  CLOUDWALKER Sep13 Jul12 Jun15 May11 Apr20 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.60    
8  NIKI NINE DOORS Aug12 Jul06 Jun15 May11 Apr18 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50    
9  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE Aug04 Jul07 May12 Jan06 Nov29 (delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  ZO LEE Aug05 Jun22 May29 May04 Mar30 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
11  AMIDST WAVES Sep07 Jun16 May12 Nov03 Oct08 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
12  XTREME DIVA Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Mar16 Feb17 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
SCR  DOROTHY CROWFOOT Jul25 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 Oct06 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.