The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $21.62 $21.62 13.62
CD-2   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $9.92 $9.92 5.92
CD-3   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $20.86 $20.86 14.86
CD-4   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.02 -6.00
CD-5   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.12 $6.12 0.12
CD-6   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.50 $5.50 -0.50
CD-7   Win (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $11.42 -8.00
CD-8   Win (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $12.84 $12.84 6.84
CD-9   Win (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 0.10
CD-10   Win (2/4/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $6.18 -10.00
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111 1:241   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GIFT GORGEOUS 7 2 31½ 2½ 21½ 1½ 1nk (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.81 W
2  DEFAULT 2 5 21½ 31 31½ 2½ 2nk (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 34% 1.90 0.82 P
1  NO CONSEQUENCES 1 6 63¾ 53 55½ 43½ 34¼ (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 31% 2.20 3.26 S
4  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE 4 3 53¾ 63½ 77¼ 55 47¼ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 11% 7.90 16.34  
6  LA PICASITA 6 1 11½ 1½ 11½ 31½ 59¾ (antonucci jen)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 9.99  
5  INSPECTOR PENNY 5 7 77¼ 77½ 67 66 614¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 125 5.00 6.47  
3  JOIA RARA 3 4 41¾ 42 44 76½ 714¾ (caramori eduardo)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 17.36  
 
CD-2   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:12 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BARNABY 4 1 21½ 31 33 31½ 11 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 3.50 31% 2.20 3.96 W
6  JAY VEE BEE 6 2 32½ 21 21½ 11½ 21 (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.50 3.44  
3  MY ROMEO LIMA 3 4 44 42 43 21½ 31 (camejo m)NAVAS YOEL 119 2.50 17% 4.90 3.06 S
5  STIRDATPOT 5 3 11½ 11 11½ 42 45½ (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 124 3.00 5.62  
1  LIAM THE BRAVE 1 5 55½ 53 55½ 55 57½ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 ★ 2.67  
2  AMERICAN HERO 2 6 68½ 66½ 67½ 611 646¾ (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 7.61  
 
CD-3   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HE'S GOT THIS 5 4 45½ 43½ 51¾ 1nk 11 (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.10 9.43 W
3  YONO 3 3 33½ 32½ 2nk 2nk 21 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 3.75  
4  BIRD KING 4 6 611½ 66 63¾ 53½ 33½ (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 10.26  
2  DOCTOR NASH 2 2 22 21½ 1nk 3½ 44¼ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 3.00 1.62  
1  OUTLIER 1 1 12 11½ 3½ 42½ 58¾ (cash norman)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 6% 15.20 6.49  
6  THE REDS 6 5 55½ 54 41½ 619½ 6100 (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 2.50 38% 1.60 2.29  
 
CD-4   05/12/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:112 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IMPLICATED 5 3 33 33 11½ 13½ 13¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 3.01  
4  HURRY UP HANNAH 4 5 55 54½ 42 23½ 23¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 12.60  
3  RO TOWN 3 2 22 22 21½ 34 37½ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.76 S
2  BALI BELLE 2 6 65 66½ 66¾ 68½ 49¼ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 30.87  
6  BREEZE EASY (GB) 6 4 12 12 31½ 56 510 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.08  
1  BLING 1 1 43½ 44 52¼ 46 615 (oliver vict)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.80 39% 1.50 1.32  
 
CD-5   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:213 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARKSWOMAN 2 2 42½ 52   31½ 11 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 16% 5.30 2.06 W
4  SMART WITH HEART 3 5 21 1nk   2½ 21 (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 2.62  
1  GROVE ST. 1 3 53 3½   1½ 31¾ (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 37% 1.70 5.17 S
5  TAMARA'S WAY 4 4 31 41½   54 46½ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00 5.21  
7  SHES A SECRET 5 1 11 2nk   43 59½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 2.49  
SCR  HURRICANE LASSIE               (heitzman er)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
SCR  R QUEEN CANDY               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/12/2024 4950ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:103 1:221   1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  YES TO CHAMPAGNE 5 1 11 11   15 16½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 1.75 W
6  AMY Z 4 3 31 41½   25 26½ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 3.61  
5  CLASSIC MYSTERY 3 4 52½ 53   37 38 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 26% 2.90 8.80 S
4  CHARM OF THE SONG 2 2 21 31½   49½ 416½ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 7.21  
1  GOURMET 1 5 41½ 21   511½ 521¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.00 51% 1.00 1.44  
SCR  ILLUSION               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  SONGMAKER               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 3.50    
SCR  WHAT'S HER NUMBER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
 
CD-7   05/12/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:364   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GAME WARDEN 4 8 53 53½ 53 31 11¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 4.71  
5  ROUTE RUNNER 5 3 21½ 21½ 31½ 1nk 21¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00 9.65  
7  GAME KEEPER 7 2 74¼ 74 11 2nk 31½ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 124 2.50 12% 7.40 4.15 S
8  RUNNINGFORJOY 8 5 84¾ 84½ 43 41½ 43¼ (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 1.56  
1  HAWKS CREEK 1 7 64 64 75 66 57½ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 5% 19.00 20.73  
3  B SUDD 3 1 11½ 11½ 21 54½ 612½ (von do)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 54% 0.90 6.80  
2  WESLAN 2 6 42½ 42½ 64½ 78 715¼ (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.75  
6  BALANTYNE 6 4 32½ 32 89 812 821½ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 5.93  
 
CD-8   05/12/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:083     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GOLD LUCK 7 1 54 31½   11 13¼ (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 5.42 W
1  LUNDBERG 1 2 1½ 1½   21 23¼ (hernandez ar)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 5.09  
4  CHANCE 3 8 77 74½   43½ 33½ (drury jr)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.73 S
6  FUNNY UNCLE 5 7 88½ 87   74¾ 45 (vance d)LANERIE J 123 12.00 14.12  
5  G T FIVE HUNDRED 4 6 32 41½   54 55¾ (blair jorda)TORRES A 123 6.00 ★ 7.74  
9  JUNIOR BUG 8 4 65½ 63½   85¼ 65¾ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50 31% 2.20 4.18  
3  J J'S JOKER 2 3 43 52½   64½ 76 (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 6.00 7.88  
7  CHRYSO ALOGO 6 5 2½ 2½   33½ 87¼ (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 23.18  
SCR  SUPREMELY               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/12/2024 5940ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:141 1:381   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TAPIT SHOES 5 5 32 34½ 3½ 11 11¼ (cox h)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 30% 2.40 2.05 W
4  APOLLO RISING 3 4 45 47 51¾ 21 21¼ (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 5.00 29% 2.50 4.90 P
3  CAROOM 2 6 66¾ 68½ 41½ 31 31½ (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00 4.76  
8  BERRETTINI 6 3 1nk 12½ 1nk 54 47¼ (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.77  
6  DISSOLVED 4 2 2nk 22½ 2nk 41½ 58 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 2.00  
1  EL AHIJADO 1 1 56½ 57½ 61¾ 68 613½ (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 124 50.00 26.72  
SCR  ATHENS MOON               (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
SCR  IDRATHERBEBLESSED               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50    
 
CD-10   05/12/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HOLD MY BOURBON 9 9 76¼ 54   21½ 11¼ (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 2.09  
4  SAHALAT 4 5 87¾ 77½   53 21¼ (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.50 33% 2.10 6.03 P
2  SEND CASH 2 1 1½ 1½   11½ 32 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 33% 2.00 4.08 S
7  CAPITAL CONNECTION 7 2 33 42½   31½ 42 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 5% 17.30 4.63  
6  GLACIAL POWER 6 3 2½ 2½   42 54½ (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 27.19  
3  MONDOGETSBUCKETS 3 8 911¼ 911   86¾ 65¾ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 11.39  
5  MISTER LINCOLN 5 6 43 32½   63¼ 78¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 9.53  
8  REAGAN 8 7 66¼ 66½   76¾ 89¾ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.73  
1  PRINTS MONEY 1 4 56 88   98¾ 915¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.97  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.