Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $21.62 $13.62 170%
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-2 $64.28 $40.28 168%
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-2-1 $48.53 $36.53 304%
    SFT (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-2-1-4 $49.56 $47.16 1965%
CD-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $9.92 $5.92 148%
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-4 $53.40 $45.40 568%
CD-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $20.86 $14.86 248%
    DD (4/3)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $57.25 $51.25 854%
    PK3 (2/1/4/7)-(4/3)-(6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-4-5 $210.89 $198.89 1657%
CD-8   WIN (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $12.84 $6.84 114%
CD-9   EXA (7/4/8)-(7/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-4 $31.50 $19.50 163%
    DD (4/9/8)-(7/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  8-7 $19.20 $10.20 113%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111 1:241   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GIFT GORGEOUS 7 2 31½ 2½ 21½ 1½ 1nk (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.81 W
2  DEFAULT 2 5 21½ 31 31½ 2½ 2nk (vaccarezza car)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 34% 1.90 0.82 P
1  NO CONSEQUENCES 1 6 63¾ 53 55½ 43½ 34¼ (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 31% 2.20 3.26 S
4  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE 4 3 53¾ 63½ 77¼ 55 47¼ (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 11% 7.90 16.34  
6  LA PICASITA 6 1 11½ 1½ 11½ 31½ 59¾ (antonucci j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 9.99  
5  INSPECTOR PENNY 5 7 77¼ 77½ 67 66 614¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 125 5.00 6.47  
3  JOIA RARA 3 4 41¾ 42 44 76½ 714¾ (caramori eduar)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 17.36  
 
CD-2   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:12 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BARNABY 4 1 21½ 31 33 31½ 11 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 3.50 31% 2.20 3.96 W
6  JAY VEE BEE 6 2 32½ 21 21½ 11½ 21 (van tho)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.50 3.44  
3  MY ROMEO LIMA 3 4 44 42 43 21½ 31 (camejo m)NAVAS YOEL 119 2.50 17% 4.90 3.06 S
5  STIRDATPOT 5 3 11½ 11 11½ 42 45½ (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 3.00 5.62  
1  LIAM THE BRAVE 1 5 55½ 53 55½ 55 57½ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 ★ 2.67  
2  AMERICAN HERO 2 6 68½ 66½ 67½ 611 646¾ (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 7.61  
 
CD-3   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HE'S GOT THIS 5 4 45½ 43½ 51¾ 1nk 11 (troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.10 9.43 W
3  YONO 3 3 33½ 32½ 2nk 2nk 21 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 3.75  
4  BIRD KING 4 6 611½ 66 63¾ 53½ 33½ (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 10.26  
2  DOCTOR NASH 2 2 22 21½ 1nk 3½ 44¼ (amoss tho)TORRES A 118 3.00 1.62  
1  OUTLIER 1 1 12 11½ 3½ 42½ 58¾ (cash norm)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 6% 15.20 6.49  
6  THE REDS 6 5 55½ 54 41½ 619½ 6100 (amoss thomas)MONCADA IRVING 108 2.50 38% 1.60 2.29  
 
CD-4   05/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:112 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IMPLICATED 5 3 33 33 11½ 13½ 13¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 3.01  
4  HURRY UP HANNAH 4 5 55 54½ 42 23½ 23¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 12.60  
3  RO TOWN 3 2 22 22 21½ 34 37½ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.76 S
2  BALI BELLE 2 6 65 66½ 66¾ 68½ 49¼ (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 30.87  
6  BREEZE EASY (GB) 6 4 12 12 31½ 56 510 (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.08  
1  BLING 1 1 43½ 44 52¼ 46 615 (oliver vi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.80 39% 1.50 1.32  
 
CD-5   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:213 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARKSWOMAN 2 2 42½ 52   31½ 11 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 16% 5.30 2.06 W
4  SMART WITH HEART 3 5 21 1nk   2½ 21 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 2.62  
1  GROVE ST. 1 3 53 3½   1½ 31¾ (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 37% 1.70 5.17 S
5  TAMARA'S WAY 4 4 31 41½   54 46½ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00 5.21  
7  SHES A SECRET 5 1 11 2nk   43 59½ (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 2.49  
SCR  HURRICANE LASSIE               (heitzman )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
SCR  R QUEEN CANDY               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:103 1:221   1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  YES TO CHAMPAGNE 5 1 11 11   15 16½ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 1.75 W
6  AMY Z 4 3 31 41½   25 26½ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 3.61  
5  CLASSIC MYSTERY 3 4 52½ 53   37 38 (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 26% 2.90 8.80 S
4  CHARM OF THE SONG 2 2 21 31½   49½ 416½ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 7.21  
1  GOURMET 1 5 41½ 21   511½ 521¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 3.00 51% 1.00 1.44  
SCR  ILLUSION               (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  SONGMAKER               (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 3.50    
SCR  WHAT'S HER NUMBER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
 
CD-7   05/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:364   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GAME WARDEN 4 8 53 53½ 53 31 11¼ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 4.71  
5  ROUTE RUNNER 5 3 21½ 21½ 31½ 1nk 21¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00 9.65  
7  GAME KEEPER 7 2 74¼ 74 11 2nk 31½ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 124 2.50 12% 7.40 4.15 S
8  RUNNINGFORJOY 8 5 84¾ 84½ 43 41½ 43¼ (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 1.56  
1  HAWKS CREEK 1 7 64 64 75 66 57½ (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 5% 19.00 20.73  
3  B SUDD 3 1 11½ 11½ 21 54½ 612½ (von hemel )HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 54% 0.90 6.80  
2  WESLAN 2 6 42½ 42½ 64½ 78 715¼ (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.75  
6  BALANTYNE 6 4 32½ 32 89 812 821½ (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 5.93  
 
CD-8   05/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:083     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GOLD LUCK 7 1 54 31½   11 13¼ (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 5.42 W
1  LUNDBERG 1 2 1½ 1½   21 23¼ (hernandez )HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 5.09  
4  CHANCE 3 8 77 74½   43½ 33½ (drury j)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.73 S
6  FUNNY UNCLE 5 7 88½ 87   74¾ 45 (vance d)LANERIE J 123 12.00 14.12  
5  G T FIVE HUNDRED 4 6 32 41½   54 55¾ (blair jor)TORRES A 123 6.00 ★ 7.74  
9  JUNIOR BUG 8 4 65½ 63½   85¼ 65¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50 31% 2.20 4.18  
3  J J'S JOKER 2 3 43 52½   64½ 76 (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 6.00 7.88  
7  CHRYSO ALOGO 6 5 2½ 2½   33½ 87¼ (vasquez s)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 23.18  
SCR  SUPREMELY               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/12/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:141 1:381   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TAPIT SHOES 5 5 32 34½ 3½ 11 11¼ (cox brad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 30% 2.40 2.05 W
4  APOLLO RISING 3 4 45 47 51¾ 21 21¼ (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 5.00 29% 2.50 4.90 P
3  CAROOM 2 6 66¾ 68½ 41½ 31 31½ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00 4.76  
8  BERRETTINI 6 3 1nk 12½ 1nk 54 47¼ (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.77  
6  DISSOLVED 4 2 2nk 22½ 2nk 41½ 58 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 2.00  
1  EL AHIJADO 1 1 56½ 57½ 61¾ 68 613½ (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 124 50.00 26.72  
SCR  ATHENS MOON               (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
SCR  IDRATHERBEBLESSED               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50    
 
CD-10   05/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HOLD MY BOURBON 9 9 76¼ 54   21½ 11¼ (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 2.09  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of TIZ MAY WEST by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  SAHALAT 4 5 87¾ 77½   53 21¼ (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.50 33% 2.10 6.03 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  SEND CASH 2 1 1½ 1½   11½ 32 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 33% 2.00 4.08 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CASH IN by TAPIT)
7  CAPITAL CONNECTION 7 2 33 42½   31½ 42 (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 5% 17.30 4.63  
  (by CONNECT out of KARAOKE QUEEN by FLATTER)
6  GLACIAL POWER 6 3 2½ 2½   42 54½ (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 27.19  
  (by ASTERN out of KODIAC GAL by KODIAC)
3  MONDOGETSBUCKETS 3 8 911¼ 911   86¾ 65¾ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 11.39  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MY MISS CHIFF by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  MISTER LINCOLN 5 6 43 32½   63¼ 78¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 9.53  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HOT DIXIE CHICK by DIXIE UNION)
8  REAGAN 8 7 66¼ 66½   76¾ 89¾ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.73  
  (by ACCELERATE out of HISTORY SUPREME by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  PRINTS MONEY 1 4 56 88   98¾ 915¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.97  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPERNATURAL by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.