The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-3   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (2/4/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CONSEQUENCES Mar15 Dec24 Sep02     (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
DEFAULT Mar30 Mar06 Feb18 Feb01 Dec31 (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
JOIA RARA Mar20 Feb29 Feb14 Jun10 May10 (caramori eduardo)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Mar22 Mar06 Feb14 Jan27 Dec23 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 11% 7.90    
INSPECTOR PENNY Apr11 Mar10 Nov20 Oct22   (pessin l)LANERIE J 125 5.00    
LA PICASITA Apr14 Mar01 Feb03 Dec28 Nov12 (antonucci jen)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
GIFT GORGEOUS Apr20 Apr10 Mar13     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-2   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM THE BRAVE Apr11 Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 Jan04 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
AMERICAN HERO May02 Apr11 Apr13 Mar11 Feb11 (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 124 10.00    
MY ROMEO LIMA May02 Mar06 Jan04 Dec07 Oct25 (camejo m)NAVAS YOEL 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
BARNABY Apr27 Feb09 Dec14 Nov18   (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
STIRDATPOT Apr11 Feb03 Dec20 Oct23 Jul22 (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 124 3.00    
JAY VEE BEE Jun22 May12 Apr22 Mar25 Feb11 (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.50    
 
CD-3   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTLIER Apr26 Apr12 Mar28 Mar17 Feb25 (cash norman)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 6% 15.20    
DOCTOR NASH Mar30 Feb01 Dec09 Nov12 Sep30 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 3.00    
YONO Apr11 Feb03 Dec20 Nov19 Oct23 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
BIRD KING Apr20 Mar30 Feb17 Dec09 Nov10 (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
HE'S GOT THIS Apr10 Mar10 Feb15 Jan13 Dec22 (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
THE REDS Apr12 Feb17 Nov18 Oct22 Sep14 (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
CD-4   05/12/2024 5280ft TURF Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLING Apr13 Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Sep02 (oliver vict)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
BALI BELLE Feb24 Jan13 Dec09 Oct21 Mar25 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00    
RO TOWN Apr11 Mar03 Jan26 Jan07 Nov10 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
HURRY UP HANNAH Mar23 Feb01 Dec20 Nov04 Sep26 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
IMPLICATED Feb03 Dec23 Nov11 Oct19 Oct28 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
BREEZE EASY (GB) Apr13 Feb13 Jan06 Dec08 Aug11 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROVE ST. Mar13 Feb24 Jun17 May15   (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  HURRICANE LASSIE Apr23 Mar21 Mar01 Feb03 Jan07 (heitzman er)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
MARKSWOMAN Nov17 Sep27 May19 Mar05 Nov24 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
SMART WITH HEART Apr25 Jan19 Dec31 Dec15 Oct13 (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
TAMARA'S WAY Sep20 Sep03 Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  R QUEEN CANDY Feb21 Feb03 Jan03     (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00    
SHES A SECRET Oct20 Sep20 Aug04 Jun24 Jun02 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
 
CD-6   05/12/2024 4950ft DIRT Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOURMET Apr20 Mar14 Feb17     (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  WHAT'S HER NUMBER Mar24 Feb16 Jan12 Dec09   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  ILLUSION Apr20 Mar28       (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
CHARM OF THE SONG Apr10 Feb11 Dec31 Nov18 Oct19 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
CLASSIC MYSTERY Nov16 Oct03       (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 26% 2.90    
AMY Z Apr20 Mar09 Feb02 Dec31 Dec08 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  SONGMAKER Apr12         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 3.50    
YES TO CHAMPAGNE Jan28 Dec24 Nov16 Oct25 Sep27 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   05/12/2024 5940ft DIRT Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAWKS CREEK Apr26 Feb17 Feb03 Jan07 Nov23 (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
WESLAN Apr06 Nov04 Sep23 Sep04 Aug20 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
B SUDD Apr12 Feb23 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 (von do)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
GAME WARDEN Apr19 Feb18 Jan19 Dec07 Oct06 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00    
ROUTE RUNNER Mar23 Sep23 Sep03 Aug02 Jun30 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00    
BALANTYNE Mar23 Jan06 Apr22 Feb21 Jun04 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00    
GAME KEEPER Apr28 Apr13 Mar29 Mar07 Feb16 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
RUNNINGFORJOY Mar01 Dec22 Nov24 Nov01 Oct06 (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 124 4.00    
 
CD-8   05/12/2024 4290ft DIRT Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNDBERG Mar08 Feb04 Dec30 Nov09 Oct12 (hernandez ar)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
SCR  SUPREMELY Apr07 Feb23 Dec29 Nov22 Nov02 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00    
J J'S JOKER Mar10 Feb19 Jan06 Dec17 Nov17 (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 6.00    
CHANCE Apr26 Mar08 Jan26 Dec29 Nov22 (drury jr)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
G T FIVE HUNDRED Mar29 Feb23 Jan13 Dec07 Nov22 (blair jorda)TORRES A 123 6.00    
FUNNY UNCLE Apr21 Mar23 Mar08 Feb04 Nov03 (vance d)LANERIE J 123 12.00    
CHRYSO ALOGO Apr27 Apr12 Sep22 Aug27   (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
GOLD LUCK Apr07 Mar22 Feb23 Jan26 Dec29 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
JUNIOR BUG Mar07 Feb16 Jan05 Dec02 Nov04 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
CD-9   05/12/2024 5940ft TURF Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL AHIJADO Apr17 Feb28 Jan10 Dec08 Nov08 (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 124 50.00    
SCR  ATHENS MOON Mar23 Mar03 Feb22 Jan05 Nov22 (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
CAROOM Apr17 Feb25 Feb02 May21 Apr27 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00    
APOLLO RISING Mar29 Mar02 Jan12 Dec07 Oct13 (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Nov24 Nov05 Sep28 Sep10 Aug18 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50    
DISSOLVED Apr10 Feb17 Oct21 Aug26 Jul30 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00    
TAPIT SHOES Aug13 Jun10 Apr22 Feb18 Jan21 (cox h)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
BERRETTINI Aug04 Jun22 May28 Apr20 Sep03 (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY Apr19 Feb08 Jan15 Nov10 Oct19 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
 
CD-10   05/12/2024 3630ft DIRT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINTS MONEY Apr20         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SEND CASH         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
MONDOGETSBUCKETS         (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SAHALAT Aug19         (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.50 33% 2.10    
MISTER LINCOLN Mar23 Feb17       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
GLACIAL POWER Mar06 Jul08       (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
CAPITAL CONNECTION Apr14 Mar15 Jan27     (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 5% 17.30    
REAGAN Nov19 Sep29       (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOLD MY BOURBON Apr19 Mar23       (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.