Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-2   TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-5-6 $15.35 $6.35 71%
FG-3   EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-6 $13.70 $4.70 52%
FG-4   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-4 $16.40 $7.40 82%
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-4-6 $37.20 $28.20 313%
    SFT (7/4/6)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-4-6-3 $22.13 $20.33 1129%
    DD (4/1/3)-(7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-7 $10.00 $1.00 11%
FG-5   TRI (7/8/10/1/5)-(7/8/10/1/5)-(7/8/10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-10-7 $31.40 $1.40 5%
    DD (7/4/6)-(7/8/10/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00  7-1 $23.50 $8.50 57%
FG-7   WIN (11/2/3/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $89.80 $79.80 798%
    DD (4/6/3)-(11/2/3/10/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-10 $94.60 $79.60 531%
    PK3 (7/8/10/1/5)-(4/6/3)-(11/2/3/10/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50  1-6-10 $153.20 $115.70 309%
FG-8   DD (11/2/3/10/5)-(5/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-5 $126.10 $106.10 531%
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(11/2/3/10/5)-(5/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-10-5 $69.90 $39.90 133%
    PK4 (7/8/10/1/5)-(4/6/3)-(11/2/3/10/5)-(5/8/3/4) 300 $0.50 $150  1-6-10-5 $265.45 $115.45 77%
    PK5 (7/4/6)-(7/8/10/1/5)-(4/6/3)-(11/2/3/10/5)-(5/8/3/4) 900 $0.50 $450  7-1-6-10-5 $948.95 $498.95 111%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:212 :444 :572     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACKTECA 7 1 1 1   11 1½ (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 117 4.00 5.00  
TWO B 5 3 2 2   21 2½ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 30% 2.30 2.70 P
ANGELIC KNIGHT 3 6 56 4   33 3¾ (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 3.50 35% 1.80 1.20 S
COURTMAN 4 4 4 3   4 4 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 7% 12.90 9.70  
BOULDERING 2 7 710½ 6   69 511 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 7.90  
HARPES HILL 6 5 6 713½   713½ 611 (patt rolan)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 20.00 32.30  
HALF MAGIC 1 2 3 5   5 712¾ (west pa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50 11.10  
 
FG-2   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:212 :452 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART WITH HEART 1 4 2 2   1nk 17 (camejo jose)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 15% 5.60 1.90 W
BIKINI BOTTOM 5 2 48 37   3 27 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 1.80 58% 0.70 2.30 P
MISS PEARL HART 6 1 1 1   2nk 37 (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.50 4.00 S
TAP THE KEG 7 6 5 58   5 413 (handal raymo)TORRES A 118 6.00 8.50  
QUART HIGH 4 3 37 47   4 520¼ (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 6% 15.60 4.90  
CARPE OSTENTO (GB) 3 7 713½ 615   617½ 628¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 13.60  
BIG STAR BABY 2 5 611½ 716½   723½ 741½ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 12.00 34.30  
 
FG-3   12/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:15 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARD TRICK 4 1 11 1 12 13 15 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 117 1.80 34% 1.90 0.40 W
MASTEROFHISCRAFT 6 6 21 2 32 23 25 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 10.00 21.20 P
TIZZY INDY 5 7 7 7 5 46 3 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 117 5.00 9.30  
LOU THE BODY 3 2 6 5 22 3 4 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.00 22% 3.60 4.10  
BOURBON LIFE 1 4 54 6 7 69 5 (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 4.50 23% 3.40 6.40  
RED MOSCATO 7 5 32 4 6 79 613 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 117 10.00 66.90  
ELEVATED GAME 2 3 42 3 4 57 714¾ (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 6.00 19.80  
 
FG-4   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUYV 7 1 1 11   1 1 (goins garl)ALBERT S 122 2.50 33% 2.10 3.20 W
CERTIFIED GEM 4 3 32 32   3 2 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.50 P
BITSY PERFECTMATCH 6 2 2 21   2 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 21% 3.80 5.40 S
ENTITLEMENT 3 6 78 78   5 4 (david b)MURRAY M 119 5.00 10.20  
VISIONISTA 1 4 43 4   45 5 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 1.00  
MY ROYAL PRINCESS 2 7 67 66   68 6 (zenon c)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 32.80  
SHEWASN'TEASY 5 5 53 54   711 719¾ (player fletcher)RIQUELME J 121 12.00 48.10  
 
FG-5   12/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:26 :511 1:17 1:29   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED CRAKEN 1 1 11 1½ 11 1½ 1¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 8% 10.80 2.50 W
10  SOLOMON VANDY 10 7 3 4 5 2½ 2¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 121 3.00 8% 10.80 1.70 P
MONOLITH 7 4 4 3 21 3 3 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 8.00 44% 1.30 11.40 S
Z Z'S PRINCE 9 6 6 6 3 4 46 (zeringue j)MELANCON G 121 12.00 7.60  
JOINT VENTURE 3 3 21 2½ 42 55 56 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 8.00 11.70  
BIG TAP BABY 5 9 7 75 6 65 6 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00 6% 17.20 18.20  
GRAND ENCORE 6 5 53 5 7 79 714¼ (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 30.00 84.40  
BENISSIMO 4 8 9 810 8 810½ 814½ (arey anthony)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 37.50  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 8 10 1013½ 1019 921½ 922½ 924 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 124 4.50 11% 7.70 4.40  
SOCIAL APPEAL 2 2 8 918 1022 1025½ 1029 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 30.00 89.40  
SCR  GOD OF WINE               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
SCR  LISA'S GUY               (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 30.00    
 
FG-6   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:134 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PYRENEES 6 3 3 33 31 12 1 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 28% 2.60 0.90 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of OUR KHRYSTY by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
EARL OF DASSEL 1 5 6 54 4 22 2 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 8.90  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DR. MELFI by FREUD)
BEAUMONT RED 2 4 5 4 5 5 3 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 4.80  
  (by TEXAS RED out of SWANKY JAS by FLAT OUT)
CAFE RACER 5 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 33 410½ (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 3.40  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
ONE TRUE GENTLEMAN 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 4 511½ (flint steve)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 47% 1.10 10.00  
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of WILD STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
GREAT RUNNER 3 6 4 6 6 6 616¾ (ladner herman)RIQUELME J 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET SHIRLEY MAE by BROKEN VOW)
 
FG-7   12/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:16 1:412   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MCAVOY 10 2 2½ 21 2nk 1nk 1nk (casse mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 43.90 W
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ARAMINTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
CAMARO Z 7 3 5 53 5 5 2nk (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 9.10  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JAYLAN by SCAT DADDY)
11  SUMMER IN ADRIANE 11 4 3 4 3.2 2nk 3.15 (morley thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 56% 0.80 0.70 S
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
HOPE JOE'S RIGHT 6 11 107 10 7 6 4¾ (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 23.70  
  (by KLIMT out of TIZJET by TIZNOW)
HAMILTON'S WAY 1 5 4 3 4 4 5¾ (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 5.10  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GO NONI GO by GET STORMY)
CURLIN GUNNER 4 8 8 9 107 7 63 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 23.50  
  (by CURLIN out of SCATTER GUN by SCAT DADDY)
POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 5 6 7 7 85 86 7 (casse mark)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
BRIE'S MISSION 8 9 9 8 97 10 8 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 19.70  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BRIE'S LUCKY CHARM by MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE))
BENZODINI 9 7 6 6 6 96 9 (asmussen steven)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 48.30  
  (by BERNARDINI out of KARAKORUM ELEKTRA by FREUD)
PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB) 3 1 1½ 11 1nk 32 10 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 6.00 9% 9.90 13.90  
  (by ACLAIM out of PEARL OF MANAMA by SCAT DADDY)
ROUSSETTE 2 10 11 1116¼ 1119 1121½ 1123¾ (stall albert)TORRES A 120 6.00 9% 9.90 18.80  
  (by BLAME out of ALTESSE by A.P. INDY)
SCR  EMPIRE'S CLASSIC               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PRINCESS ROI by ROI CHARMANT)
SCR  INTERLUDE               (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of INTERRUPTED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  LAST ATTACK               (gelner j)PARKER L 120 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EXPECT A KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MAX IS G MONEY               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of CHEETAH by FRANKEL)
SCR  SIR EXTON               (stidham michael)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SOMETHINABOUTBETTY by FORESTRY)
 
FG-8   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:214 :452 :581     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRINGTOTHEFRONT 5 1 2½ 1   1 1½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 24% 3.10 0.90 W
ISOLATION 1 6 7 5   2 2½ (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00 9.10  
MARY JACK 3 4 32 33   3 3 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 21% 3.70 2.40 S
SUPORB 6 7 5 45   57 4 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 5.00 21.70  
SHE'S A BIG STAR 2 8 8 710   6 510 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 31.30  
TAYLOR'S SECRET 4 2 1½ 2   44 610 (gelner jayd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 11% 8.10 7.70  
SWEET BAY 7 3 6 810½   814½ 719¾ (broberg karl)LANERIE J 121 10.00 21.60  
G'S SQUEEZE 8 5 42 68   712½ 820 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00 21% 3.70 12.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.