Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-2   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-3   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-4   Win (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-5   Win (7/8/10/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-6   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-7   Win (11/2/3/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-8   Win (5/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF MAGIC Jun22 May11 Mar09 Jan27 Dec11 (west patr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
BOULDERING Nov18 Sep10 Aug12 Jul13 Jun18 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
ANGELIC KNIGHT Nov23 Jul15 Jun24     (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
COURTMAN Nov23 Apr07 Mar02 Jan26 Jan07 (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 7% 12.90    
TWO B Nov30 Jul31 Jun26 May08 Mar01 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
HARPES HILL Nov09 Oct11 Aug10 Jul15 May12 (patt roland )WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 20.00    
BLACKTECA Nov23 Jun17 Jun03 Apr13 Feb04 (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 117 4.00    
 
FG-2   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART WITH HEART Oct13 Sep07       (camejo m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
BIG STAR BABY Oct27 Sep10       (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 115 12.00    
CARPE OSTENTO (GB) Oct21         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
QUART HIGH         (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
BIKINI BOTTOM Nov25 Sep23 Aug01     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 1.80 58% 0.70    
MISS PEARL HART Sep28 Aug28 Aug04     (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.50    
TAP THE KEG Nov12 Sep16 Aug09 Jul13   (handal raymond)TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
FG-3   12/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON LIFE Nov25 Sep05       (walsh brendan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
ELEVATED GAME Nov25 Sep30 Aug27     (lopez elias)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 6.00    
LOU THE BODY Nov30 Sep20       (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
CARD TRICK Nov25 Sep06 Jul21 Jun01   (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 117 1.80 34% 1.90    
TIZZY INDY Nov23 Nov08 Oct04 Aug10 Jul23 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 117 5.00    
MASTEROFHISCRAFT Nov25 Oct28 Sep22 Sep01 Aug03 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 10.00    
RED MOSCATO Nov07 Oct24 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 117 10.00    
 
FG-4   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISIONISTA Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun07 Apr27 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
MY ROYAL PRINCESS Jul02 May28 Mar08 Feb04 Jan14 (zenon cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
ENTITLEMENT Jul06 Apr26 Mar12 Jan27 Jan05 (david b)MURRAY M 119 5.00    
CERTIFIED GEM Aug14 Jul02 Jun19 May14 Mar25 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
SHEWASN'TEASY Nov01 Aug14 Jul09 Oct27 Oct12 (player fletcher)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
BITSY PERFECTMATCH May28 May14 Apr15 Mar18 Feb26 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
LUYV Dec01 Nov01 Oct19 Jul09 Jun23 (goins garlan)ALBERT S 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
FG-5   12/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED CRAKEN Nov09 Sep22 Aug28 Jul30 May14 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 8% 10.80    
SOCIAL APPEAL Dec03 Aug12 Jun24     (hatcher nath)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 30.00    
JOINT VENTURE Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep18 Sep08 (leonard iii)PARKER L 121 8.00    
BENISSIMO Nov24 Aug21 Jun25 Jun02 Apr15 (arey anthony)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
BIG TAP BABY Nov11 Oct18 Sep13 Aug11   (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00 6% 17.20    
GRAND ENCORE Nov09 Sep11 Aug20 Jun12   (gomez davi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
MONOLITH Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 Sep11 Aug06 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 8.00 44% 1.30    
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Nov22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 Aug05 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 124 4.50 11% 7.70    
Z Z'S PRINCE Dec01 Jan19 Dec26 Dec03 Oct07 (zeringue j)MELANCON G 121 12.00    
10  SOLOMON VANDY Nov24 Oct25 Sep09 Mar01 Oct15 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 121 3.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  GOD OF WINE Nov24 Oct21 Jan21 Oct03   (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
SCR  LISA'S GUY Dec01 Nov04       (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 30.00    
 
FG-6   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARL OF DASSEL Nov08 Sep09 Jul02 May14 Apr14 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
BEAUMONT RED Nov22 Nov01       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
GREAT RUNNER Dec01 Aug31 Jul22     (ladner herman)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
ONE TRUE GENTLEMAN Nov05 Sep08 Jun24 May28 Oct16 (flint steve)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
CAFE RACER Oct06 Jun10 Jan06 Nov27   (stall alber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50    
PYRENEES Dec26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug28   (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
FG-7   12/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMILTON'S WAY Nov11 Oct06 Sep01 Aug05   (handal raymon)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
ROUSSETTE         (stall m)TORRES A 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB)         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
CURLIN GUNNER Oct29         (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Nov04 Sep24 Jul15     (casse mark)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOPE JOE'S RIGHT Nov12 Sep21       (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
CAMARO Z Nov10 Oct07       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
BRIE'S MISSION Jul31         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
BENZODINI Sep17 Aug23       (asmussen m)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00    
10  MCAVOY         (casse mark)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  SUMMER IN ADRIANE Nov09         (morley thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  LAST ATTACK Nov18 Sep13       (gelner j)PARKER L 120 10.00    
SCR  EMPIRE'S CLASSIC Nov25 Oct29       (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
SCR  SIR EXTON Nov25 Oct26       (stidham michael)PARKER L 120 8.00    
SCR  INTERLUDE Nov25 Sep08 Aug03     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
SCR  MAX IS G MONEY Nov25 Oct21 Sep12 Aug12 Jul28 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISOLATION Oct14 Aug26 Jun16 Jun01 Apr28 (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SHE'S A BIG STAR Aug19 Jul31 Jun18 May28 Mar16 (tracy tanner)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00    
MARY JACK Nov25 Nov17 Sep11 Aug12 Jul27 (jeansonne ju)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
TAYLOR'S SECRET Nov25 Aug12 Jul06 Jun11 Mar12 (gelner jayde )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 11% 8.10    
FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Aug26 Jul21 Jun01 Mar12 Sep24 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
SUPORB Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 Aug15 (alba-hernandez ir)COHEN DAVID 121 5.00    
SWEET BAY Oct28 Oct14 Aug12 Jul27 Jun24 (broberg karl)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
G'S SQUEEZE Aug29 Jun17 May28 Mar26 Mar01 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.