Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/1/4)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/1/3)-(7/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(7/4/6)-(7/8/10/1/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-4   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(7/8/10/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(7/8/10/1/5)-(4/6/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-5   WIN (7/8/10/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/1/5)-(7/8/10/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/1/5)-(7/8/10/1/5)-(7/8/10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/10/1/5)-(4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/8/10/1/5)-(4/6/3)-(11/2/3/10/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(11/2/3/10/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(11/2/3/10/5)-(5/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (11/2/3/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/3/10/5)-(11/2/3/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/3/10/5)-(11/2/3/10/5)-(11/2/3/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/3/10/5)-(5/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF MAGIC Jun22 May11 Mar09 Jan27 Dec11 (west pa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
2  BOULDERING Nov18 Sep10 Aug12 Jul13 Jun18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
3  ANGELIC KNIGHT Nov23 Jul15 Jun24     (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
4  COURTMAN Nov23 Apr07 Mar02 Jan26 Jan07 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 7% 12.90    
5  TWO B Nov30 Jul31 Jun26 May08 Mar01 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  HARPES HILL Nov09 Oct11 Aug10 Jul15 May12 (patt rolan)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 20.00    
7  BLACKTECA Nov23 Jun17 Jun03 Apr13 Feb04 (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 117 4.00 ★    
 
FG-2   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART WITH HEART Oct13 Sep07       (camejo jose)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
2  BIG STAR BABY Oct27 Sep10       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 12.00    
3  CARPE OSTENTO (GB) Oct21         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
4  QUART HIGH         (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
5  BIKINI BOTTOM Nov25 Sep23 Aug01     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 1.80 58% 0.70    
6  MISS PEARL HART Sep28 Aug28 Aug04     (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.50 ★    
7  TAP THE KEG Nov12 Sep16 Aug09 Jul13   (handal raymo)TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
FG-3   12/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON LIFE Nov25 Sep05       (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  ELEVATED GAME Nov25 Sep30 Aug27     (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 6.00    
3  LOU THE BODY Nov30 Sep20       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  CARD TRICK Nov25 Sep06 Jul21 Jun01   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 117 1.80 34% 1.90    
5  TIZZY INDY Nov23 Nov08 Oct04 Aug10 Jul23 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 117 5.00    
6  MASTEROFHISCRAFT Nov25 Oct28 Sep22 Sep01 Aug03 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 10.00 ★    
7  RED MOSCATO Nov07 Oct24 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 117 10.00    
 
FG-4   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISIONISTA Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun07 Apr27 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
2  MY ROYAL PRINCESS Jul02 May28 Mar08 Feb04 Jan14 (zenon c)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
3  ENTITLEMENT Jul06 Apr26 Mar12 Jan27 Jan05 (david b)MURRAY M 119 5.00 ★    
4  CERTIFIED GEM Aug14 Jul02 Jun19 May14 Mar25 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  SHEWASN'TEASY Nov01 Aug14 Jul09 Oct27 Oct12 (player fletcher)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
6  BITSY PERFECTMATCH May28 May14 Apr15 Mar18 Feb26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  LUYV Dec01 Nov01 Oct19 Jul09 Jun23 (goins garl)ALBERT S 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
FG-5   12/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDED CRAKEN Nov09 Sep22 Aug28 Jul30 May14 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 8% 10.80    
2  SOCIAL APPEAL Dec03 Aug12 Jun24     (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 30.00    
3  JOINT VENTURE Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep18 Sep08 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 8.00    
4  BENISSIMO Nov24 Aug21 Jun25 Jun02 Apr15 (arey anthony)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
5  BIG TAP BABY Nov11 Oct18 Sep13 Aug11   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00 6% 17.20    
6  GRAND ENCORE Nov09 Sep11 Aug20 Jun12   (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
7  MONOLITH Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 Sep11 Aug06 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 8.00 44% 1.30    
8  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Nov22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 Aug05 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 124 4.50 11% 7.70    
9  Z Z'S PRINCE Dec01 Jan19 Dec26 Dec03 Oct07 (zeringue j)MELANCON G 121 12.00    
10  SOLOMON VANDY Nov24 Oct25 Sep09 Mar01 Oct15 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 121 3.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  GOD OF WINE Nov24 Oct21 Jan21 Oct03   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
SCR  LISA'S GUY Dec01 Nov04       (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 30.00    
 
FG-6   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARL OF DASSEL Nov08 Sep09 Jul02 May14 Apr14 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DR. MELFI by FREUD)
2  BEAUMONT RED Nov22 Nov01       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of SWANKY JAS by FLAT OUT)
3  GREAT RUNNER Dec01 Aug31 Jul22     (ladner herma)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET SHIRLEY MAE by BROKEN VOW)
4  ONE TRUE GENTLEMAN Nov05 Sep08 Jun24 May28 Oct16 (flint steve)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of WILD STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
5  CAFE RACER Oct06 Jun10 Jan06 Nov27   (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
6  PYRENEES Dec26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug28   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of OUR KHRYSTY by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
 
FG-7   12/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAMILTON'S WAY Nov11 Oct06 Sep01 Aug05   (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GO NONI GO by GET STORMY)
2  ROUSSETTE         (stall albert)TORRES A 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
  (by BLAME out of ALTESSE by A.P. INDY)
3  PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB)         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
  (by ACLAIM out of PEARL OF MANAMA by SCAT DADDY)
4  CURLIN GUNNER Oct29         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SCATTER GUN by SCAT DADDY)
5  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Nov04 Sep24 Jul15     (casse mark)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
6  HOPE JOE'S RIGHT Nov12 Sep21       (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of TIZJET by TIZNOW)
7  CAMARO Z Nov10 Oct07       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JAYLAN by SCAT DADDY)
8  BRIE'S MISSION Jul31         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BRIE'S LUCKY CHARM by MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE))
9  BENZODINI Sep17 Aug23       (asmussen steven)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KARAKORUM ELEKTRA by FREUD)
10  MCAVOY         (casse mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ARAMINTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
11  SUMMER IN ADRIANE Nov09         (morley thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  LAST ATTACK Nov18 Sep13       (gelner j)PARKER L 120 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EXPECT A KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  EMPIRE'S CLASSIC Nov25 Oct29       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PRINCESS ROI by ROI CHARMANT)
SCR  SIR EXTON Nov25 Oct26       (stidham michael)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SOMETHINABOUTBETTY by FORESTRY)
SCR  INTERLUDE Nov25 Sep08 Aug03     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of INTERRUPTED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  MAX IS G MONEY Nov25 Oct21 Sep12 Aug12 Jul28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of CHEETAH by FRANKEL)
 
FG-8   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISOLATION Oct14 Aug26 Jun16 Jun01 Apr28 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
2  SHE'S A BIG STAR Aug19 Jul31 Jun18 May28 Mar16 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00    
3  MARY JACK Nov25 Nov17 Sep11 Aug12 Jul27 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  TAYLOR'S SECRET Nov25 Aug12 Jul06 Jun11 Mar12 (gelner jayd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 11% 8.10    
5  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Aug26 Jul21 Jun01 Mar12 Sep24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  SUPORB Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 Aug15 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 5.00    
7  SWEET BAY Oct28 Oct14 Aug12 Jul27 Jun24 (broberg karl)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
8  G'S SQUEEZE Aug29 Jun17 May28 Mar26 Mar01 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.