Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $34.00 $28.00 467%
AQU-7   WIN (9/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    EXA (9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $23.00 $11.00 92%
    TRI (9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-3-8 $62.50 $50.50 421%
AQU-8   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    DD (9/3/4/8)-(4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $31.75 $19.75 165%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING LUCKY 4 2 1 13   1 1 (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 112 6.00 3.40  
MAD BANKER 6 4 2 34   3 2 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.50 2.85  
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 8 1 3 23   2 3 (donk david)RIVERA R 114 4.50 3.55  
BRACA 2 6 7 6   514½ 415¼ (giglio gina)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 17% 5.00 16.60  
THE DELAWARE BOYZ 5 8 6 45   411 515¼ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 18% 4.50 5.30  
CHARLIE TOUGH 3 5 5 715   719½ 620¼ (chichakly ami)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
SWEPT 1 3 4 5   618½ 720¾ (chapma)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 7.10  
STAR SEQUENCE 7 7 8 819   820½ 821¾ (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00 43% 1.30 8.30  
 
AQU-2   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUT FEELING 2 2 4 4 3 21 1½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 13% 6.70 5.10 W
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 4 5 3 3 1nk 11 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90 P
STRONG LIGHT 6 7 7 7 7 6 32 (youngh)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 32.50  
IRON WORKS 1 1 2½ 21 43 4 4 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 0.50 59% 0.70 0.50  
DEVIL'S CAY 7 4 1½ 11 2nk 31 5 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5.10  
ROCK THE WEEKEND 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 (shivmangal loli)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 59.50  
ACHILLES HEEL 5 6 6 65 66 75 76 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 15.10  
SCR  PRINCE OF JOY               (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 50.00    
 
AQU-3   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCALATION CLAUSE 4 3 5 62 41 2½ 12 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 3.40  
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of GENAU by INTO MISCHIEF)
LUCENCY 2 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 22 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 121 2.50 20% 4.00 1.40 P
  (by TAPWRIT out of CROWNING AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
AUTHORIZE 5 7 6 41 5 4 3 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 26% 2.90 3.65 S
  (by CURLIN out of SIGN by OLYMPIO)
BURTON WAY 1 6 4 5 2nk 31 4 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 7.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
MODERN ERA (AUS) 7 5 7 77 6 5 512¼ (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00 35.25  
  (by HONOR CODE out of TOP PERFORMANCE by STATE PERFORMER)
RINGSIDE 6 2 1nk 3½ 3½ 615 656¼ (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 20% 4.00 5.50  
  (by CURLIN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BILLY PRICE 3 1 3.2 2nk 727¼ 720 7100 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 24.25  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of CATCHY TUNE by BERNSTEIN)
 
AQU-4   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F F ROCKET 9 7 8 6   5 1½ (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 5.00  
STRIKING SPEED 6 4 32 1nk   1 2½ (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 17.40  
PRINCE JAMES 2 2 4 4   2 3 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 1.55 S
RALLY SQUIRREL 7 5 6 5   4 4 (goberdhan chand)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.25  
WINNING DRIVE 5 9 910½ 912¼   910¾ 5 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 34.75  
GANDY DANCING 8 6 7 8   810¾ 67 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 12.00 21.80  
HANDSOME CAT 1 8 5 7   7 77 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 8.00  
NEVER EARLY 4 1 2½ 2nk   3 8 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 58% 0.70 4.30  
LOHENGRIN TWO 3 3 1½ 3.2   6 910¾ (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00 16% 5.30 4.40  
 
AQU-5   11/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:14 1:371   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUGINO 7 8 64 5 53 2nk 1hd (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 6.00  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ADORABLE MISS by KITTEN'S JOY)
ENLIGHTEN 2 3 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 9% 10.10 7.30 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LEGAL TENDER by JUDGE T C)
11  TRIPLE ESPRESSO 10 7 4 4 31 32 3 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 2.00 69% 0.50 0.80 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of NATURAL RUSH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
HAMILTON'S WAY 5 1 3 3 42 44 4 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 20.20  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GO NONI GO by GET STORMY)
10  THORNBURY (IRE) 9 9 9 9 9 7 5 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FLAMING ROSE by GRAND SLAM)
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 3 5 74 6 6 6 69 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 17.90  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAIL by TAPIT)
UNIQUE INSIGHT 6 2 21 2½ 2½ 5 7 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 9.20  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FOUR TOP 4 6 85 7 86 8 812 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 9.00  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SUCAT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
URGE TO MERGE (IRE) 8 10 10 10 7 9 914¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 23.60  
  (by MEHMAS out of CAPOTE WEST by CAPOTE)
WON TEAM 1 4 5 8 1012½ 1017¾ 1034¾ (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 48.75  
  (by MUNNINGS out of COOL JAZZ by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  BOLD AMBITION               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SILVER DOLLAR DIVA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  DANGEROUS DRIVER               (jimenez jose )SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GIGAHERTZ by SOCIETY ROAD)
SCR  GET READY TO ROCK               (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AFTER THE GLORY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  OTELLO               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ISABELLA SINGS by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  PET MAT               (d'angelo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  THE HERO CODE               (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PHOTOGRAPH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
AQU-6   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pebbles Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:122 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLICATED 1 4 31 4 32 1nk 1½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 10.80  
  (by CONNECT out of WYSTERIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
SACRED WISH 6 6 7 64 6 5 2½ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 3.25 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INDIAN WISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) 7 8 85 8 86 7 3¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 3.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FINE TIME by DANSILI (GB))
SILVER SKILLET 5 2 2½ 2 2 2nk 4¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 29% 2.50 4.70  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CATCHA RISING STAR by RED GIANT)
RHIANNON 8 7 42 32 4 4 5 (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 42% 1.40 1.45  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AUNTIE JOY by UNCLE MO)
ON THE SHORTLIST 3 5 63 7 54 6 6 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 58.25  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
PLENTITUDE 2 3 5 53 7 83 73 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YELLOW AGATE by GEMOLOGIST)
PRECIOUS AVARY 4 1 1½ 1 1 3.2 8 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 15.00 53.50  
  (by DIVINING ROD out of ALYTANIA by MUTAKDDIM)
STEPHANIE'S CHARM 9 9 9 98 9 96 9 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00 78.75  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of VOYELLE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  JUST KATHERINE               (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of REVE ENCHANTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
AQU-7   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:114 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM 4 3 1 12 1 1 1 (jacob)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 5.00 14% 6.00 5.30 W
SOUTH STREET 3 8 4 22 2 2 2 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 18% 4.50 3.15 P
UNCLE WATER FLOW 8 5 8 8 511½ 312½ 310¼ (dutrow w)USKE S 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
BREAK THE ICE 5 6 5 44 410½ 514 416½ (hennig m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 25.50  
HAPPY BOB 9 2 3 32 38 414 517 (schettino do)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00 43% 1.30 2.00  
MAMA BANNED ME 7 4 7 77 716 720 622¼ (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 59.00  
INSPECTOR 1 7 6 6 614 619½ 722¾ (giangi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 9.10  
SCOTTO 2 9 9 9 816½ 820¼ 822¾ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 20.00 51.25  
UTAMARO 6 1 2 55 921½ 928¼ 952¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 3.70  
 
AQU-8   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE ARMOR 1 3 66 6   5 1½ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 12% 7.10 4.10 W
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 2 1 42 42   4 2½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 9.70  
VICTORIOUS WAVE 6 4 31 3½   1½ 31 (englehart chri)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 12% 7.20 1.75 S
AMERICAN MONARCH 4 5 2½ 1½   2½ 42 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 46% 1.20 2.20  
JEMOGRAPHY 3 2 1½ 2½   31 5 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 4.80  
SEVEN NATION ARMY 5 6 5 5   63 67 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 14.70  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
 
AQU-9   11/11/2023 7260ft TURF RC13 FIRM Red Smith Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:13 1:374 2:023 2:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MASTER PIECE (CHI) 10 4 6 5 55 42 1¼ (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 10.80  
  (by MASTERCRAFTSMAN out of TORRE LAGUNA by PROUD CITIZEN)
SOLDIER RISING (GB) 7 1114½ 1115¾ 1115¼ 10 6 2¼ (clement christ)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 30% 2.40 1.80 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAHRAWI by PIVOTAL (GB))
10  VERSTAPPEN 8 35 37 36 3 11 3¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 126 8.00 10% 8.80 8.90 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of ANDROMEDA GALAXY by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
CROSS BORDER 3 57 5 6 6 5 41 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 13.80  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
NINEELEVENTURBO 5 68 48 47 4 21 52 (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 9% 9.80 9.10  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROSALIE ROAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
LIMITED LIABILITY 4 1012½ 1013¼ 1013¼ 8 7 6 (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 11% 7.90 4.70  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
15  DAUNT 11 912 912¼ 913¼ 9 9 7 (ribaudo )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 40.50  
  (by NYQUIST out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SO HIGH (GB) 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 1½ 32 85 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 45.25  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FUGITIVE ANGEL by ALPHABET SOUP)
MARWAD (GB) 6 7 710¾ 710¾ 7 8 9 (moubarak nad)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 11% 7.80 4.40  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MURAHANA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
11  TIDE OF THE SEA 9 2½ 2nk 1nk 2½ 1012¾ 1014 (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 50.00 86.25  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROUTINE by EMPIRE MAKER)
LOST ARK 1 810 811¾ 812¼ 1113¾ 1120¾ 1118¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00 13.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
SCR  CLASSIC CATCH               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MOON CATCHER by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  COSTA TERRA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TEARDROP by TAPIT)
SCR  MAIN EVENT               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TOTAL KNOCKOUT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  RED RUN               (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RED HOUSE by RED RYDER)
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
 
AQU-10   11/11/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:232 :461 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DREAMPOINT 10 6 53 5   2nk 1 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 12.00 16.80  
ICY FLAVOR 7 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 45% 1.20 1.50 P
RUSSI 6 5 74 7   6 3 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 5.80 S
HE'S GOT IT 1 7 10 9   94 4 (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 115 20.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
VETERANS BEACH 9 4 3 3½   3.2 5 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 28% 2.60 4.20  
KREESA 2 1 63 8   83 6 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 8.20  
BLAME IT ON DADDY 5 8 98 10   10 7 (albertrani thom)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 8.10  
IMAGE OF QUALITY 8 9 85 6   73 8 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
THE COBBLER 4 10 42 4   4 95 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00 66.25  
THANK YOU JON 3 3 1½ 1nk   5 106 (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 11.10  
SCR  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY               (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00    
SCR  ORTUS               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
SCR  RED D G P               (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
SCR  SHORTSINTHEWINTER               (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.