Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (11/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (9/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (8/7/5/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-10   Win (7/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEPT Oct22 May28       (chapman )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00    
BRACA         (giglio gina)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 17% 5.00    
CHARLIE TOUGH Oct19 Jul27 Jul09     (chichakly amira)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNING LUCKY Oct19 Aug25 Aug04 Jul16   (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 112 6.00    
THE DELAWARE BOYZ         (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
MAD BANKER Oct04 Aug11       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.50    
STAR SEQUENCE         (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Oct19 Sep17 Aug18 Aug03 Jul16 (donk david)RIVERA R 114 4.50    
 
AQU-2   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCE OF JOY Oct15 Sep22 Jul16 Jun18 May21 (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 50.00    
IRON WORKS Oct13 Sep17 Jun09 Apr30 Mar12 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 0.50 59% 0.70    
GUT FEELING Oct07 Sep14 Aug12 Apr01 Jan28 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 13% 6.70    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Oct21 Sep22 Aug10 Jul19 Jun10 (shivmangal lolita)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Aug31 Jul22 Jul04 Apr02 Mar11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ACHILLES HEEL Oct07 Aug16 Jul22 Jul03 May11 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00    
STRONG LIGHT Oct15 Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 (younghan)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
DEVIL'S CAY Oct21 Oct08 Jul28 Jul07 May18 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
 
AQU-3   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURTON WAY Oct15 Aug17 Jul30 Jun23 Sep25 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
LUCENCY Jul21         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
BILLY PRICE Aug20         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00    
ESCALATION CLAUSE         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
AUTHORIZE         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
RINGSIDE Oct13 Jul16 Mar11 Jan21   (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
MODERN ERA (AUS) Sep23 Sep03 Jul22 Jun21 May24 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
 
AQU-4   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME CAT Nov03 Sep21 Aug26 Aug19 Apr01 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
PRINCE JAMES Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 May26 Mar30 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
LOHENGRIN TWO Sep24 Aug23 Jul10 Jun03 May13 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00 16% 5.30    
NEVER EARLY Sep28 Jul10 Jun19 May22 Aug24 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 58% 0.70    
WINNING DRIVE Sep28 Aug30 Aug05 Jun24 May26 (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
STRIKING SPEED Nov03 Oct22 Sep28 Aug04 Jul14 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00    
RALLY SQUIRREL Oct21 Sep03 Aug18 Jun15 May24 (goberdhan chandra)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GANDY DANCING Oct14 Sep28 Jul14 Jun11 May07 (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 12.00    
F F ROCKET Nov03 Oct14 Mar26 Feb12 Jan19 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00    
 
AQU-5   11/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WON TEAM Oct15         (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
ENLIGHTEN Oct06 Sep02       (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 9% 10.10    
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Oct27 Sep16       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
FOUR TOP         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
HAMILTON'S WAY Oct06 Sep01 Aug05     (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
UNIQUE INSIGHT Oct06         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  PET MAT Oct15         (d'angelo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
CUGINO         (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
URGE TO MERGE (IRE)         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
10  THORNBURY (IRE)         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  TRIPLE ESPRESSO Oct04 Sep09       (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 69% 0.50    
SCR  GET READY TO ROCK Sep22 Sep02 Aug19     (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS DRIVER Oct27 Sep22 Sep02 Aug19 Jul09 (jimenez l)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
SCR  BOLD AMBITION         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  OTELLO         (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  THE HERO CODE         (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pebbles Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLICATED Oct19 Oct28 Sep23 Aug17   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
PLENTITUDE Jul15 Jun16 Apr28     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ON THE SHORTLIST Oct01 Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 Nov30 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00    
PRECIOUS AVARY Oct14 Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 (shaw j)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 15.00    
SILVER SKILLET Oct29 Sep15 Aug16 Jul15 Jun10 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
SACRED WISH Oct27 Sep15 Aug19 Jul22 Jun16 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50    
STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) Jul22         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
RHIANNON Sep16 Aug18       (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
STEPHANIE'S CHARM Sep16 Sep01 Jul14 Jun22 May13 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
SCR  JUST KATHERINE Sep23 Sep04 Jul14 Jun16 Apr01 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50    
 
AQU-7   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPECTOR Sep14 Sep01 Jul22 Jun03 Apr21 (giangiul)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
SCOTTO Oct15 Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 121 20.00    
SOUTH STREET Nov02 Oct07 Aug16 Aug10 Jul01 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
KINGDOM Oct24 May24 Apr15 Mar11 Jan21 (jacobso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
BREAK THE ICE Oct04 Aug16 Jul22 May19 Apr29 (hennig mar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
UTAMARO Oct21 Sep21 Aug30 Jul21 May29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
MAMA BANNED ME Nov02 Oct06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul20 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
UNCLE WATER FLOW Oct15 May11 Dec09 Dec02 Oct21 (dutrow w)USKE S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY BOB Sep14 Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 May27 (schettino domi)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-8   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE ARMOR Sep03 Jul30 Jun18 May27 May07 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Nov03 Sep29 Aug11 Jul23 May27 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Sep16 Aug13 Jul08 Jun15 May19 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
JEMOGRAPHY Oct14 Sep04 Aug13 Feb26 Feb10 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
AMERICAN MONARCH Apr30 Mar27 Feb12 Jan08   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
SEVEN NATION ARMY Oct14 Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 Jun15 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug17 Jul29 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
VICTORIOUS WAVE Sep16 Aug05 Jun27 Apr20 Mar26 (englehart chris)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 12% 7.20    
 
AQU-9   11/11/2023 7260ft TURF RC13 FIRM Red Smith Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST ARK Oct07 Sep01 Jul21 Jun09 Nov04 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00    
SO HIGH (GB) Oct07 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
SCR  MAIN EVENT Nov03 Sep21 Aug24 Jul30 Aug06 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
CROSS BORDER Sep16 Aug26 Jun09 Mar25 Nov13 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
LIMITED LIABILITY Oct13 Jul22 May20 Apr23 Oct22 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
NINEELEVENTURBO Oct14 Sep02 Jul28 Jun10 May20 (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
MARWAD (GB) Oct14 Mar04 Jan28 Dec04 Oct09 (moubarak nader)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 11% 7.80    
SOLDIER RISING (GB) Oct07 Aug26 Jul30 Jun10 May13 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  RED RUN Oct13 Sep14 Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
10  VERSTAPPEN Sep09 Jul30 Jul08 May13 Apr22 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 126 8.00 10% 8.80    
11  TIDE OF THE SEA Sep21 Aug23 Jun09 May06 Nov10 (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 50.00    
12  MASTER PIECE (CHI) Aug12 Jul04 Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CATCH Oct07 Aug09 Jun17 May13 Apr08 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Oct13 Mar04 Jan28 Nov26 Oct14 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
15  DAUNT Oct19 Sep21 Aug26 Jul30 Jul01 (ribaudo ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
SCR  COSTA TERRA Oct13 Oct01 Aug18 Aug09 Jul21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
 
AQU-10   11/11/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S GOT IT Nov02 Sep14 Aug26 Jun02 Jan04 (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
KREESA Oct20 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 May29 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
THANK YOU JON Oct20 Sep04 Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
THE COBBLER Oct20 Aug17 Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
BLAME IT ON DADDY Oct20 Aug03 Jul02 Jun09 Oct30 (albertrani thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
RUSSI Sep04 Aug17 Jul14 Apr27 Mar04 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
ICY FLAVOR Oct20 Sep01 Nov20 Oct15 Aug19 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
IMAGE OF QUALITY Aug17 Jul22       (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
VETERANS BEACH Oct20 Aug26 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
10  DREAMPOINT Oct20 Aug26 Jun01 May06 Jan12 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
SCR  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Oct16 Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY Oct19 Sep04 Aug19 Aug09 Jul08 (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00    
SCR  ORTUS Oct27 Jul04 Jun09 May06 Mar17 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
SCR  RED D G P Jul15 Jul03 Jun04 May11 Apr23 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
SCR  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Oct15 Aug31 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.