The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (3/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $15.00 -8.00
DED-2   Win (3/8/10/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -2.60
DED-3   Win (1/9/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
DED-4   Win (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
DED-5   Win (9/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
DED-6   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $12.40 -6.00
DED-7   Win (2/1/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $5.20 -8.00
DED-8   Win (7/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $17.00 $17.00 9.00
DED-9   Win (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $37.60 $37.60 29.60
DED-10   Win (9/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/28/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:241 :49 1:133     1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLLY TOMMY 5 3 3 6   1½ 16 (knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00 6.50  
FAR BEYOND 4 6 8 7   63 26 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 117 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80 P
GET THEM JUSTIN 7 8 7 2nk   42 3(segura kearney)STOKES A 114 15.00 6.10  
CHAPEL BARN 6 1 11 4¼   2½ 4(altamira)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00 9.30  
PREMIUM 8 4 4 3.2   31 5(hargrave kenneth)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 6.00 31% 2.20 10.80  
RUNWAY MAGIC 2 2 21 5   53 6(amoss thomas )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 37% 1.70 0.90  
HARDCORE FOLKLORE 1 9 9 9   76 7(turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 5% 19.00 42.90  
WARRIOR'S RUN 3 7 6 8   8811½ (guillory jr)MELANCON G 117 6.00 13.00  
10  MACHINEGUNPREACHER 9 5 5 1nk   9920¼ (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 15.00 34.80  
SCR  BALLINONABUDJET               (reeves jeffery)MAGNON H 114 12.00    
SCR  MUNQAD               (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50    
SCR  SAMMY DANSEUR JR.               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 3.50    
 
DED-2   10/28/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
:223 :464       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBBIES PASSAGE 8 5 21 1½   13 1(larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.50 22% 3.60 2.70 W
STELLA'S SURPRISE 5 2 3 41   23 2(richard c)STOKES A 114 15.00 39.90  
BIND ON EARTH 9 3 4 31   33(west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 8.00 6.30  
10  SASSY EMMA 10 4 8 6   66 4(chatters benard)NEGRON LUIS 117 5.00 12% 7.20 6.00  
BUILDING HOME 6 1 74 53   559 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 114 8.00 7% 13.50 5.80  
APRETTYLULABY 4 9 9 8   86(birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 6.00 7.10  
SWEET BAY 3 6 53 7   77 710½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 29% 2.50 6.80  
CUSTOM GUITAR 2 10 10 10   9811 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 20.00 57.60  
MADAME JANE 1 8 11 2½   4911½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 20.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
ITSNOTMYJOB 7 7 64 9   1010½ 1014¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 114 12.00 6.30  
SCR  DERBY DAY LASSIE               (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
SCR  HURRICANE TIZWAY               (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00    
 
DED-3   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
:234 :484 1:16     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOBBY BOY 9 3 55 4   2nk 1(noel dane)VARGAS P 120 4.00 18% 4.70 3.50 W
CAJUN CYCLONE 8 7 4 3   4¾ 2(courville ricky)MELANCON G 120 5.00 26% 2.90 2.60 P
AUTUMN ROB 3 2 1nk 2nk   3.2 3(delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 10.40  
NOT LIKELY 4 5 6 5   54(zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 51.50  
JOSEPH H 1 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 5(breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 34% 1.90 1.30  
EMILY'S BOY 6 4 7 710   769 (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
CHAOTIC JACK 2 8 810¼ 812   67(klanfer alan)POMPELL L 120 8.00 11.80  
FRUIT CUP 7 9 910¾ 913   8812¾ (garza e)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 50.30  
MIGHTY MADDOX 5 6 34 67   916¾ 929½ (pomier devi)ROSIER R 120 10.00 21.60  
SCR  SKINNY BOBBY               (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 6.00    
 
DED-4   10/28/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
:224 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. WIMBLEDON BAY 7 2 5 21   2½ 1¾ (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 24% 3.10 1.70 W
CHICAGO CHROME 5 1 2nk 11   1½ 2¾ (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 20% 4.00 6.70 P
FEROCITY 1 8 42 42   43 3(arnett g)BIRZER E 117 6.00 9% 10.30 6.40 S
BAYOU BEAUX 3 7 31 31   31 44 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 8.00 18% 4.60 2.70  
KNIGHTS SWORD 2 3 1nk 5   54 5(toups brent)POMPELL L 111 12.00 28.00  
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE 4 5 6 6   75 6(broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 5.00 4.10  
TARGET PRACTICE 6 6 7 75   67(turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 15.00 25.50  
MAD GOLD 8 4 8 8   87 811¼ (courville ric)MELANCON JANSEN 114 15.00 23.30  
SCR  ROYAL CONSORT               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.00    
 
DED-5   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
:231 :48 1:14 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICAN ME 8 3 8 77 31 1½ 11 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 27% 2.70 2.00 W
SARAH'S VISION 4 4 52 4 4 2½ 21 (klanfer alan)MARQUEZ L 117 6.00 26% 2.90 2.40 P
SWIFT N TRAFFIC 6 6 42 53 52 534 (mouton chadwick )THORNTON G 114 5.00 11.70  
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 1 5 1½ 1nk 1nk 34(terre david)ROSIER R 117 4.00 23% 3.30 2.70  
NOCOMET 5 8 31 31 2nk 458 (senegal dalton)MAGNON H 117 20.00 52.10  
10  DOUBLE PRIORITY 9 2 6 66 7 7613 (beavin judy)VARGAS P 117 15.00 31.00  
PERFECT TOM 7 9 9 911 8 89 713¼ (villafranco marti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 20.00 16.50  
BYATHREAD 3 1 2½ 2nk 6 6813¼ (landry jacob)ALBERT S 114 20.00 56.30  
FORGED IN STEEL 2 7 7 88 912¼ 915 920¼ (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
SCR  PLAY MASTER               (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00    
SCR  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN               (richard c)STOKES A 123 8.00    
SCR  SABER STORM               (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 6.00    
 
DED-6   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
:24 :481 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSE OF FLURRY 5 2 32 2nk   11 1(berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 5.20  
MIDNIGHT'S GIRL 3 1 11 1nk   21 2(broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.60 63% 0.60 1.10 P
CAYMAN QUEEN 8 7 47 4   438 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.00 4.00  
STOP SHOP N DROP 6 8 7 57   549 (castille ric)MARQUEZ L 114 10.00 23.30  
ZERO POINT ZERO 4 3 21 3   35 512 (morrell cynth)MORALES ALLYSSA 117 10.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
THE GREY BEAUTY 2 4 57 711   712½ 616½ (gonzalez)RUIZ GARCIA 114 20.00 22.00  
MARILYN'S MAGIC 7 6 6 69   6716¾ (ramirez e)VARGAS P 117 20.00 59.60  
HAVE I EVER 1 5 8 815   815½ 820½ (martin kevin)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 6.00 8% 12.10 3.10  
 
DED-7   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
:241 :494 1:15 1:282   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAIN 6 2 21 1½ 2nk 1nk 1(sanchez amado)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 1.60  
GLANCE 7 4 33 3 31 31 2(magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 10.00 7% 14.40 15.20 P
IZEONPOINT 3 9 8 7 5 43(borel renay)BOREL H 117 8.00 8.50  
WESTERN DREAM 5 1 11 2½ 1nk 2nk 4(evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00 15.30  
ROYAL BONUS 4 7 7 8 7 65(espinoza ed)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 10.00 20.10  
KISS RIDE GOODBYE 2 8 5 4 4 56(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 3.50 43% 1.30 1.70  
BOWS N LACE 1 3 43 5 6 87(broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 4.50 25% 3.00 6.00  
START WELL 8 5 6 6 8 78(larrosa juan )MELANCON JANSEN 117 20.00 36.40  
10  J Z'S FIRST 9 6 9 913½ 9 99(schwandt emile)MELANCON G 117 15.00 5% 19.00 34.90  
SCR  WEST SIDE GIRL               (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
 
DED-8   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
:244 :494 1:153     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENSAS BERTIE 3 1 2½ 1nk   11 1½ (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 114 20.00 7% 13.40 7.50 W
CRYSTAL D'ORO 5 6 5 5   32 2½ (landry ray)THORNTON G 114 4.00 45% 1.20 0.30 P
ZEEROCK 1 2 4 4   21 3(tillis e)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 17.80  
WORLD OF HURT 4 5 6 6   54(brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 12.00 5.40  
FITTS N STARTS 2 3 1½ 2nk   45(calhoun willi)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00 10% 8.80 11.90  
SCARLET STORM 6 4 3 3.2   66(courville ri)MARQUEZ L 117 6.00 14.80  
SCR  ARMS APRIORITY               (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  BANDIT'S PRIDE               (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FAITH               (briley lonnie)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 20.00    
SCR  UNIFIED LOVE               (ali ancil)GREEN AUBRIE 117 6.00    
 
DED-9   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Sweet Home Alabama Special Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
:243 :492 1:161     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEZA ROYAL CAT 3 3 1½ 11   12 11 (ward ron)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.80 W
UNAFFILIATED 8 6 52 5   421 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 118 6.00 7.70  
STRIKE A BARGAIN 6 8 3½ 21   22 3(ward ronnie)ROSIER R 115 8.00 67.90  
KELLYS THE BOSS 7 7 6 4   34(ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 2.50 43% 1.30 0.30  
PINTLALA 2 2 7 6   55(ward ronnie)VARGAS P 115 3.00 28% 2.50 6.30  
KOSTROMA'S DANCER 5 1 2½ 31   6615 (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00 75.80  
CHAMOIS' EMPIRE 4 5 4 76   713½ 728½ (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 115 4.00 7.30  
BOONE LAND EXPRESS 1 4 8 810   817½ 831½ (holland mervin)LEBLANC C 115 15.00 7% 14.20 32.00  
 
DED-10   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-10:27
:242 :484 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGANS MILLIONS 7 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 11 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 3.00 25% 3.00 1.00 W
OUR HALLIE 1 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 21 (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 123 6.00 5.30  
PINTORA 9 6 5 32   331 (knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50 48% 1.10 3.20 S
10  SHORT STACK 10 10 1012¼ 910¾   57 4(player fletcher)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 8.00 20.10  
ILIMITADA 6 7 7 6   45(escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 120 4.50 7.30  
BEAT THE DOUBLE 5 1 6 7   7612¼ (zeno ben)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00 75.20  
LYRICAL MUSIC 3 5 31 43   6713¾ (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 6.00 11.20  
SLIM CAUSEWAY 8 3 4 56   8817½ (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 63.90  
DREAMED I AM FAST 2 9 86 8   912½ 924 (jackson dwayne)MELANCON G 117 15.00 5% 19.00 33.90  
PLEADING GUILTY 4 8 9 1014¾   1018½ 1037¼ (castille rickey )THORNTON G 117 20.00 37.20  
SCR  BOLD EXAGGERATION               (tillis e)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
SCR  STOLEN ART               (espinoza ed)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.