Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-3   WIN (1/9/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $9.00 $1.00 13%
DED-4   EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $14.60 $2.60 22%
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-5-1 $35.20 $23.20 193%
    SFT (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-5-1-3 $15.63 $13.23 551%
DED-8   WIN (7/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $17.00 $9.00 113%
    EXA (7/3/9/5)-(7/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $17.00 $5.00 42%
DED-9   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $37.60 $29.60 370%
    DD (7/3/9/5)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-3 $138.30 $122.30 764%
DED-10   DD (7/2/1/3)-(9/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $59.30 $47.30 394%
    PK3 (7/3/9/5)-(7/2/1/3)-(9/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-3-7 $153.45 $129.45 539%
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   10/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:133     1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JOLLY TOMMY 5 3 31½ 61½   1½ 16 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00 6.50  
5  FAR BEYOND 4 6 83¼ 73½   63 26 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 117 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80 P
8  GET THEM JUSTIN 7 8 73¼ 2nk   42 36¾ (segura kearney)STOKES A 114 15.00 6.10  
7  CHAPEL BARN 6 1 11 4¼   2½ 47¼ (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00 9.30  
9  PREMIUM 8 4 41½ 3.2   31 57¼ (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 6.00 31% 2.20 10.80  
3  RUNWAY MAGIC 2 2 21 51¼   53 67½ (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 37% 1.70 0.90  
2  HARDCORE FOLKLORE 1 9 95¼ 96½   76 79½ (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 5% 19.00 42.90  
4  WARRIOR'S RUN 3 7 62¾ 86½   86½ 811½ (guillory j)MELANCON G 117 6.00 13.00  
10  MACHINEGUNPREACHER 9 5 51¾ 1nk   98½ 920¼ (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 15.00 34.80  
SCR  BALLINONABUDJET               (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 114 12.00    
SCR  MUNQAD               (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50    
SCR  SAMMY DANSEUR JR.               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 3.50    
 
DED-2   10/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:223 :464       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DEBBIES PASSAGE 8 5 21 1½   13 15¼ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.50 22% 3.60 2.70 W
5  STELLA'S SURPRISE 5 2 31½ 41   23 25¼ (richard russell )STOKES A 114 15.00 39.90  
9  BIND ON EARTH 9 3 42½ 31   33½ 36½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 8.00 6.30  
10  SASSY EMMA 10 4 84¼ 63½   66 48¼ (chatters benard)NEGRON LUIS 117 5.00 12% 7.20 6.00  
6  BUILDING HOME 6 1 74 53   55½ 59 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 8.00 7% 13.50 5.80  
4  APRETTYLULABY 4 9 95¾ 85¼   87½ 69½ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 6.00 7.10  
3  SWEET BAY 3 6 53 73¾   77 710½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 29% 2.50 6.80  
2  CUSTOM GUITAR 2 10 106¼ 106¾   99½ 811 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 20.00 57.60  
1  MADAME JANE 1 8 11 2½   44½ 911½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 20.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
7  ITSNOTMYJOB 7 7 64 95¾   1010½ 1014¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 114 12.00 6.30  
SCR  DERBY DAY LASSIE               (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
SCR  HURRICANE TIZWAY               (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00    
 
DED-3   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:16     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOBBY BOY 9 3 55 45½   2nk 15½ (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 4.00 18% 4.70 3.50 W
9  CAJUN CYCLONE 8 7 44½ 32½   4¾ 25½ (courville ricky)MELANCON G 120 5.00 26% 2.90 2.60 P
3  AUTUMN ROB 3 2 1nk 2nk   3.2 36½ (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 10.40  
4  NOT LIKELY 4 5 65¼ 56½   53¾ 46½ (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 51.50  
1  JOSEPH H 1 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 57¼ (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 34% 1.90 1.30  
7  EMILY'S BOY 6 4 78¼ 710   77¾ 69 (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
2  CHAOTIC JACK 2 8 810¼ 812   65¾ 79¼ (klanfer alan)POMPELL L 120 8.00 11.80  
8  FRUIT CUP 7 9 910¾ 913   89¾ 812¾ (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 50.30  
6  MIGHTY MADDOX 5 6 34 67   916¾ 929½ (pomier de)ROSIER R 120 10.00 21.60  
SCR  SKINNY BOBBY               (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 6.00    
 
DED-4   10/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:224 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY 7 2 52¼ 21   2½ 1¾ (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 24% 3.10 1.70 W
5  CHICAGO CHROME 5 1 2nk 11   1½ 2¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 20% 4.00 6.70 P
1  FEROCITY 1 8 42 42   43 31¼ (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 6.00 9% 10.30 6.40 S
3  BAYOU BEAUX 3 7 31 31   31 44 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 8.00 18% 4.60 2.70  
2  KNIGHTS SWORD 2 3 1nk 52½   54 55½ (toups brent)POMPELL L 111 12.00 28.00  
4  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE 4 5 63¼ 64½   75 66¾ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 5.00 4.10  
6  TARGET PRACTICE 6 6 74¼ 75   64½ 76¾ (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 15.00 25.50  
8  MAD GOLD 8 4 84¼ 85¼   87 811¼ (courville r)MELANCON JANSEN 114 15.00 23.30  
SCR  ROYAL CONSORT               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.00    
 
DED-5   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:14 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  JAMAICAN ME 8 3 83¾ 77 31 1½ 11 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 27% 2.70 2.00 W
4  SARAH'S VISION 4 4 52 42½ 41½ 2½ 21 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 117 6.00 26% 2.90 2.40 P
7  SWIFT N TRAFFIC 6 6 42 53 52 53½ 34 (mouton chadwic)THORNTON G 114 5.00 11.70  
1  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 1 5 1½ 1nk 1nk 31½ 46¾ (terre david)ROSIER R 117 4.00 23% 3.30 2.70  
5  NOCOMET 5 8 31 31 2nk 42½ 58 (senegal dalt)MAGNON H 117 20.00 52.10  
10  DOUBLE PRIORITY 9 2 62½ 66 75¼ 78½ 613 (beavin judy)VARGAS P 117 15.00 31.00  
8  PERFECT TOM 7 9 95¾ 911 86¼ 89 713¼ (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 117 20.00 16.50  
3  BYATHREAD 3 1 2½ 2nk 62¼ 65½ 813¼ (landry jac)ALBERT S 114 20.00 56.30  
2  FORGED IN STEEL 2 7 73½ 88 912¼ 915 920¼ (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
SCR  PLAY MASTER               (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00    
SCR  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN               (richard russell )STOKES A 123 8.00    
SCR  SABER STORM               (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 6.00    
 
DED-6   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SENSE OF FLURRY 5 2 32 2nk   11 13½ (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 ★ 5.20  
3  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL 3 1 11 1nk   21 23½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.60 63% 0.60 1.10 P
8  CAYMAN QUEEN 8 7 47 45½   45½ 38 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.00 4.00  
6  STOP SHOP N DROP 6 8 79½ 57   55½ 49 (castille r)MARQUEZ L 114 10.00 23.30  
4  ZERO POINT ZERO 4 3 21 31½   35 512 (morrell cyn)MORALES ALLYSSA 117 10.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
2  THE GREY BEAUTY 2 4 57 711   712½ 616½ (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 114 20.00 22.00  
7  MARILYN'S MAGIC 7 6 67½ 69   69½ 716¾ (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 117 20.00 59.60  
1  HAVE I EVER 1 5 89¾ 815   815½ 820½ (martin kevin)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 6.00 8% 12.10 3.10  
 
DED-7   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:15 1:282   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RAIN 6 2 21 1½ 2nk 1nk 11¼ (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 1.60  
8  GLANCE 7 4 33 31½ 31 31 21¼ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 10.00 7% 14.40 15.20 P
3  IZEONPOINT 3 9 84½ 75½ 52¼ 41¼ 31½ (borel renay)BOREL H 117 8.00 8.50  
6  WESTERN DREAM 5 1 11 2½ 1nk 2nk 42¼ (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00 15.30  
5  ROYAL BONUS 4 7 74¼ 87½ 74¼ 64¼ 54¼ (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 10.00 20.10  
2  KISS RIDE GOODBYE 2 8 53¼ 41½ 41¼ 52¼ 66¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 3.50 43% 1.30 1.70  
1  BOWS N LACE 1 3 43 53½ 64¼ 86¼ 77¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 4.50 25% 3.00 6.00  
9  START WELL 8 5 64¼ 64½ 86¼ 76¼ 87½ (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 117 20.00 36.40  
10  J Z'S FIRST 9 6 98½ 913½ 98¼ 96¾ 98¾ (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 117 15.00 5% 19.00 34.90  
SCR  WEST SIDE GIRL               (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
 
DED-8   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:153     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TENSAS BERTIE 3 1 2½ 1nk   11 1½ (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 114 20.00 7% 13.40 7.50 W
7  CRYSTAL D'ORO 5 6 52½ 51¼   32 2½ (landry r)THORNTON G 114 4.00 45% 1.20 0.30 P
1  ZEEROCK 1 2 41½ 41¼   21 32½ (tillis jerry)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 17.80  
6  WORLD OF HURT 4 5 63½ 63¼   52½ 43¼ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 12.00 5.40  
3  FITTS N STARTS 2 3 1½ 2nk   42½ 55¼ (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00 10% 8.80 11.90  
8  SCARLET STORM 6 4 31½ 3.2   64½ 67¼ (courville )MARQUEZ L 117 6.00 14.80  
SCR  ARMS APRIORITY               (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  BANDIT'S PRIDE               (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FAITH               (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 20.00    
SCR  UNIFIED LOVE               (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 117 6.00    
 
DED-9   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sweet Home Alabama Special Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:161     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HEZA ROYAL CAT 3 3 1½ 11   12 11 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.80 W
  (by SABERCAT out of COMALA'S SONATA by POLISHED BRASS)
8  UNAFFILIATED 8 6 52 52½   43½ 21 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 118 6.00 7.70  
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  STRIKE A BARGAIN 6 8 3½ 21   22 33½ (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 115 8.00 67.90  
  (by CHAMOIS out of POWER'S BLONDIE by POWER OF MIND)
7  KELLYS THE BOSS 7 7 62¼ 41½   32½ 43½ (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 2.50 43% 1.30 0.30  
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
2  PINTLALA 2 2 73¾ 65½   55½ 55¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 115 3.00 28% 2.50 6.30  
  (by HE'S SO CHIC out of ROYAL'S PRIDE (GB) by DUBAWI)
5  KOSTROMA'S DANCER 5 1 2½ 31   67½ 615 (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00 75.80  
  (by CHAMOIS out of INDIAN MAIDEN by ROYAL EMPIRE)
4  CHAMOIS' EMPIRE 4 5 41½ 76   713½ 728½ (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 115 4.00 7.30  
  (by CHAMOIS out of JOYFUL EMPIRE by ROYAL EMPIRE)
1  BOONE LAND EXPRESS 1 4 87¾ 810   817½ 831½ (holland mervin)LEBLANC C 115 15.00 7% 14.20 32.00  
  (by BOONE LAND out of EXPRESS YOURSELF by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
 
DED-10   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-10:27
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MEGANS MILLIONS 7 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 11 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 3.00 25% 3.00 1.00 W
1  OUR HALLIE 1 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 21 (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 123 6.00 5.30  
9  PINTORA 9 6 51½ 32   31½ 31 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50 48% 1.10 3.20 S
10  SHORT STACK 10 10 1012¼ 910¾   57 46¾ (player fletche)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 8.00 20.10  
6  ILIMITADA 6 7 75½ 66½   46½ 59½ (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 4.50 ★ 7.30  
5  BEAT THE DOUBLE 5 1 63½ 76¾   78½ 612¼ (zeno b)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00 75.20  
3  LYRICAL MUSIC 3 5 31 43   67½ 713¾ (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 6.00 ★ 11.20  
8  SLIM CAUSEWAY 8 3 41½ 56   89½ 817½ (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 63.90  
2  DREAMED I AM FAST 2 9 86 89¾   912½ 924 (jackson dwayne)MELANCON G 117 15.00 5% 19.00 33.90  
4  PLEADING GUILTY 4 8 96¼ 1014¾   1018½ 1037¼ (castille ricke)THORNTON G 117 20.00 37.20  
SCR  BOLD EXAGGERATION               (tillis e)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
SCR  STOLEN ART               (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.