Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (3/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-2   Win (3/8/10/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
DED-3   Win (1/9/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-4   Win (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-5   Win (9/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-6   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-7   Win (2/1/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-8   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-9   Win (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-10   Win (9/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   10/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Oct06 Aug05 May19 Apr19 Feb25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 3.50    
HARDCORE FOLKLORE Jul22 Jun19 May22 Feb25 Feb10 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUNWAY MAGIC Jan22 Dec11 Nov23 Oct23 Oct01 (amoss thomas )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 37% 1.70    
WARRIOR'S RUN Sep25 Sep04 Aug07 Jul22 Jun30 (guillory jr)MELANCON G 117 6.00    
FAR BEYOND Oct12 Aug28 Jun17 May22 May07 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOLLY TOMMY Aug12 Jul27 Jul07 May05 Mar31 (knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00    
CHAPEL BARN Oct12 Jun30 Jun19 Jun05 May27 (altamira)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
GET THEM JUSTIN Jul14 Jun15 May19 May03 Feb25 (segura kearney)STOKES A 114 15.00    
PREMIUM Sep10 Jul31 Jun26 Jun04 May14 (hargrave kenneth)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 6.00 31% 2.20    
10  MACHINEGUNPREACHER Sep03 Aug21 Oct22 Oct07 Aug27 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 15.00    
SCR  MUNQAD Oct13 Aug14 Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50    
SCR  BALLINONABUDJET Oct13 Aug11 Jul22 May19 Apr13 (reeves jeffery)MAGNON H 114 12.00    
 
DED-2   10/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADAME JANE Jul27 Feb17 Feb04 Dec28 Dec03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
CUSTOM GUITAR Sep04 Aug21 Jul27 Jun30 Jun12 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 20.00    
SWEET BAY Oct14 Aug12 Jul27 Jun24 Jun11 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 29% 2.50    
APRETTYLULABY Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 6.00    
STELLA'S SURPRISE Feb02 Dec17 Dec03 Jun23 May28 (richard c)STOKES A 114 15.00    
BUILDING HOME Oct12 Jul20 Jun17 Jun01 May10 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 114 8.00 7% 13.50    
ITSNOTMYJOB Oct14 Aug12 Jul27 Jul04 Feb04 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 114 12.00    
DEBBIES PASSAGE Oct11 Aug06 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.50 22% 3.60    
BIND ON EARTH Aug12 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May10 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 8.00    
10  SASSY EMMA Jul27 Jun29 May27 Apr20 Feb28 (chatters benard)NEGRON LUIS 117 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  HURRICANE TIZWAY Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul03 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00    
SCR  DERBY DAY LASSIE Sep09 Jul03 Jun12 May21 Apr30 (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
 
DED-3   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSEPH H         (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
CHAOTIC JACK         (klanfer alan)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
AUTUMN ROB Aug29 Jul20       (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
NOT LIKELY Sep12 Aug29 Aug19     (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
SCR  SKINNY BOBBY Oct06 Aug13 Jul23     (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 6.00    
MIGHTY MADDOX Jun05         (pomier devi)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
EMILY'S BOY         (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
FRUIT CUP Oct12 Aug29 Aug19     (garza e)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
CAJUN CYCLONE Oct13 Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 Jun03 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
10  BOBBY BOY Oct13 Jul28 Jul08 Jun03   (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
DED-4   10/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEROCITY Sep15 Aug27 Aug12 Jun26 Jun18 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 6.00 9% 10.30    
KNIGHTS SWORD Aug05 Jun08 Apr15 Jan18 Dec27 (toups brent)POMPELL L 111 12.00    
BAYOU BEAUX Oct07 Sep04 Aug13 Jul29 Jul04 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 8.00 18% 4.60    
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Oct07 Aug29 Jul29 Jul17 Jun26 (broberg kar)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 5.00    
CHICAGO CHROME Sep24 Sep16 Sep03 Aug21 Jul15 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 20% 4.00    
TARGET PRACTICE Oct18 Jul29 Jun25 May30 Feb10 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 15.00    
MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Jul13 May20 Apr22 Feb25 Jan20 (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
MAD GOLD Sep05 Aug04 Jul08 Jun15 May11 (courville ric)MELANCON JANSEN 114 15.00    
SCR  ROYAL CONSORT Aug03 Apr18 Feb28 Jan27 Jan05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.00    
 
DED-5   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Sep10 Aug14 Jul13 Jun09 May10 (terre david)ROSIER R 117 4.00 23% 3.30    
FORGED IN STEEL Sep10 Jul28 Jun15 May19 Apr26 (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
BYATHREAD Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May20 May04 (landry jacob)ALBERT S 114 20.00    
SARAH'S VISION Jul23 Jun10 May20 Apr21 Feb23 (klanfer alan)MARQUEZ L 117 6.00 26% 2.90    
NOCOMET Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 May26 Mar02 (senegal dalton)MAGNON H 117 20.00    
SCR  PLAY MASTER Jul13 Jun09 May21 May06 Apr21 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00    
SWIFT N TRAFFIC Aug29 Jul29 Jun24 Jun02 Apr27 (mouton chadwick )THORNTON G 114 5.00    
PERFECT TOM Sep10 Aug29 Aug13 Jul22 Jul03 (villafranco marti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 20.00    
JAMAICAN ME Sep10 Aug10 Jul07 Jun10 May10 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 27% 2.70    
10  DOUBLE PRIORITY Sep10 Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 May22 (beavin judy)VARGAS P 117 15.00    
SCR  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Oct06 Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (richard c)STOKES A 123 8.00    
SCR  SABER STORM Oct11 Jul22 Jun15 May10 Apr27 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 6.00    
 
DED-6   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAVE I EVER Sep09 Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 May04 (martin kevin)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 6.00 8% 12.10    
THE GREY BEAUTY Aug20 Jul15 Jun17 May26 May11 (gonzalez)RUIZ GARCIA 114 20.00    
MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Jun03 May20 Mar10 Feb24 Feb05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.60 63% 0.60    
ZERO POINT ZERO Oct12 Jul21 May12 Apr07 Feb17 (morrell cynth)MORALES ALLYSSA 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SENSE OF FLURRY Oct14 Aug13 Jul26 Jul01 Jun07 (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 3.00    
STOP SHOP N DROP Oct14 Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 May11 (castille ric)MARQUEZ L 114 10.00    
MARILYN'S MAGIC Feb01 Jan12 Dec27 Oct26 Oct15 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
CAYMAN QUEEN Oct12 Sep22 Aug13 Jul14 Jun25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.00    
 
DED-7   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOWS N LACE Oct20 Apr19 Apr08 Mar17 Feb24 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 4.50 25% 3.00    
KISS RIDE GOODBYE Oct14 Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 Feb10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 3.50 43% 1.30    
IZEONPOINT Oct14 Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 Apr29 (borel renay)BOREL H 117 8.00    
SCR  WEST SIDE GIRL Sep18 Aug05 Jun11 May04 Mar26 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
ROYAL BONUS Oct11 Sep13 Sep04 Aug03 Jul19 (espinoza ed)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 10.00    
WESTERN DREAM Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jun11 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00    
RAIN Aug27 Jul15 Jun09 May26 May14 (sanchez amado)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50    
GLANCE Oct13 Aug03 Jun16 May13 Apr28 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 10.00 7% 14.40    
START WELL Sep09 Jul22 Jul06 May27 May04 (larrosa juan )MELANCON JANSEN 117 20.00    
10  J Z'S FIRST Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 Nov18 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-8   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEEROCK Sep05 Aug07 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 (tillis e)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
SCR  BANDIT'S PRIDE Aug12 Aug03 Jun17 Jun02 May05 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.00    
FITTS N STARTS Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 Dec18   (calhoun willi)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  UNIFIED LOVE May12 Feb11 Jan19 Dec29 Dec17 (ali ancil)GREEN AUBRIE 117 6.00    
TENSAS BERTIE Jun03 May19 Apr15 Mar24 Feb24 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 114 20.00 7% 13.40    
WORLD OF HURT Aug03 Jul06 Jun03 May12 Apr26 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 12.00    
CRYSTAL D'ORO Oct07 Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 May05 (landry ray)THORNTON G 114 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCARLET STORM Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 Jun03 Apr29 (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 117 6.00    
SCR  ARMS APRIORITY Aug10 Apr26 Apr07 Feb18 Jan21 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FAITH Oct06 Aug05 Jul20 Jun04 Apr15 (briley lonnie)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 20.00    
 
DED-9   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sweet Home Alabama Special Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOONE LAND EXPRESS         (holland mervin)LEBLANC C 115 15.00 7% 14.20    
PINTLALA Aug21 Aug08 Jul05 Jun25 Jun07 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 115 3.00 28% 2.50    
HEZA ROYAL CAT Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May14   (ward ron)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHAMOIS' EMPIRE Aug19 Jun24 Jun10     (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 115 4.00    
KOSTROMA'S DANCER Oct06         (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00    
STRIKE A BARGAIN Oct07 Sep02 Jul24 Jun24   (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 115 8.00    
KELLYS THE BOSS Aug19 Jan26 Dec30 Dec09 Nov23 (ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 2.50 43% 1.30    
UNAFFILIATED Sep11 Aug19 Aug06 Jun24 May15 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 118 6.00    
 
DED-10   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-10:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR HALLIE Sep03 Jul17 Jul09     (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 123 6.00    
DREAMED I AM FAST Oct06 Aug05 Jul01 Jun09 Apr26 (jackson dwayne)MELANCON G 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
LYRICAL MUSIC Oct06 Feb22 Feb09 Jan25 Dec30 (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 6.00    
PLEADING GUILTY Aug12 Jul01 May03     (castille rickey )THORNTON G 117 20.00    
BEAT THE DOUBLE May11 Apr26 Apr15 Feb15   (zeno ben)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00    
ILIMITADA Sep03 Jul23 Jul02     (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 120 4.50    
MEGANS MILLIONS Jul31 Feb10 Jan19 Dec22 Dec02 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
SLIM CAUSEWAY May06 Apr07 Mar19     (west henry)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00    
PINTORA Oct06 Aug12 Jul08 Jun16 Jun01 (knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
10  SHORT STACK Sep10         (player fletcher)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 8.00    
SCR  STOLEN ART Oct06 Sep02       (espinoza ed)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 2.50    
SCR  BOLD EXAGGERATION Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 May29 (tillis e)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.