Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-2   WIN (10/4/5/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $14.00 $4.00 40%
    EXA (10/4/5/9/1)-(10/4/5/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-10 $20.50 $0.50 3%
    TRI (10/4/5/9/1)-(10/4/5/9/1)-(10/4/5/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-10-1 $86.65 $56.65 189%
DED-3   DD (10/4/5/9/1)-(4/3/6/9/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00  4-9 $54.10 $29.10 116%
DED-5   TRI (5/8/2/10)-(5/8/2/9/10)-(5/8/2/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-8-10 $63.10 $39.10 163%
DED-7   WIN (1/10/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.80 $1.80 23%
DED-8   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.40 $3.40 43%
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $27.30 $15.30 128%
    DD (1/10/6/3)-(1/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-3 $33.50 $17.50 109%
    PK3 (8/1/10/9)-(1/10/6/3)-(1/7/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00  8-1-3 $41.85 $9.85 31%
DED-9   WIN (7/2/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $21.20 $11.20 112%
    EXA (7/2/5/6/4)-(7/2/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-2 $64.10 $44.10 221%
    DD (1/7/3/2)-(7/2/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-6 $91.60 $71.60 358%
    PK3 (1/10/6/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(7/2/5/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-3-6 $180.05 $140.05 350%
    PK4 (8/1/10/9)-(1/10/6/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(7/2/5/6/4) 320 $0.50 $160  8/11/12-1-3-6 $494.25 $334.25 209%
    PK5 (5/8/2/10)-(8/1/10/9)-(1/10/6/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(7/2/5/6/4) 1280 $0.50 $640  5/11/12-8/11/12-1-3-6 $1153.95 $513.95 80%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:162 1:424   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA'S GATSBY 5 4 3½ 31 21 1 1 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 4.50 18% 4.40 1.20 W
LOST GOLD 2 7 72 4 3 3 2 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00 15.00  
QUIET AS MIDNIGHT 4 3 6 6 5 55 35 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 120 3.00 15% 5.50 2.80 S
GHOST COWBOY 7 5 82 8 74 43 45 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 13% 6.90 3.50  
WINGS OF GOLD 3 2 2½ 2½ 4 6 5 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 120 8.00 19.60  
PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 2 6 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 26% 2.90 9.40  
WILDCARD GOLD 6 8 5 73 86 712½ 726¼ (mojica a)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00 69.80  
10  PRINCE SIMBA 8 6 4 5 63 814½ 828½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 14.20  
SCR  DEPUTY KNIGHT               (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
SCR  FABLED RULER               (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 6.00    
 
DED-2   10/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:223 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISKTAKER 4 3 3 2   12 1 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 117 4.00 11% 8.00 6.00 W
10  MOR BIG LEE 10 6 5 32   22 2 (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 3.00 46% 1.20 1.20 P
GILDERSLEEVE 1 9 8 8   5 3 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 117 6.00 5% 19.00 19.00 S
CUSTOM PRAYER 3 7 6 63   4 4 (ladner ra)THORNTON G 117 6.00 8.30  
KAHAAL 5 4 11 1   3 5 (roberts k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 8.00 8% 12.20 4.80  
CLASSIC RED RACER 8 2 4 4   6 6 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 20.00 41.00  
MIZSPELT 9 1 7 74   77 710¼ (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 7% 14.40 5.10  
KINLEE'S SONG 6 8 9 9   9 811½ (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 117 12.00 43.90  
EASY CHANCE 2 5 21 53   88 916 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00 20.50  
CARLOS' BLAST 7 10 10 1010½   1010½ 1019¾ (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 117 10.00 33.00  
SCR  BYATHREAD               (landry jac)ALBERT S 109 20.00    
SCR  HUFFS TAZ A BOO               (sam thomas)ALBERT S 112 6.00    
 
DED-3   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEZA SEXY ZONG 9 2 2½ 2nk   11 1 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 12.00 6% 14.60 2.90 W
  (by ZONG out of SHEZA SEXY A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
10  APRIORITY AVENGER 10 8 4 4   3 2 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 6.00 5.00  
  (by APRIORITY out of IRISH AVENGER by IRISH OPEN)
SASSI D 6 3 1½ 1nk   21 32 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 120 2.50 9% 10.50 5.20 S
  (by SASSICAIA out of DIANE C by MUTAKDDIM)
BIG TAP BABY 4 7 5 31   4 4 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 34% 1.90 12.90  
  (by TAPWRIT out of BIG GAME BABY by GOLD TRIBUTE)
NATIVE STAR 3 1 3 6   6 5 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 28% 2.50 2.10  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LUZZIANN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
RACY BILLE 7 5 7 8   76 6 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00 10.10  
  (by GORMLEY out of LUTE SONG by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SONYA KNOWS BETTER 5 4 8 5   5 75 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 8.00 19.20  
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GRAY DANE 8 6 6 7   87 8 (senegal da)ALBERT S 118 12.00 19.20  
  (by JAY GATSBY out of WHISPERDOWNTHELANE by REAL QUIET)
SAUCER EYES 1 9 9 9   99 910 (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 ######  
  (by COURT VISION out of HAVIN A GOOD TIME by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
TINCAN CAT 2 10 1010¼ 10   1011 1015¼ (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
  (by MISTER DANCE out of TINCAN TOO by BARKERVILLE)
SCR  POPPA MAGIC               (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
SCR  WEILAREE               (breaux samuel)ROSIER R 123 8.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SOLO BUENA by HALF OURS)
 
DED-4   10/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:231 :482         :482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S EXTRA 5 2 11     12 1hd (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 2.50  
GOOD BY FAITH 4 3 33     22 2hd (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 4.50 5.50  
READY FOR THUNDER 6 7 54     44 33 (pomier de)ROSIER R 120 6.00 17% 4.80 10.80 S
PARIS GARTERS 1 5 710     7 4 (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 17% 4.80 4.70  
SHEZA HOT STORM 7 6 4     57 5 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 117 10.00 17% 4.80 4.40  
LONG LEGGED LADY 3 1 21     32 610¼ (pomier chas)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00 12.10  
WHY TEXAS WHY 2 4 65     68 713½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 2.90  
SCR  GRITTY TORNADO               (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00    
 
DED-5   10/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:223 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPIN JUDY 5 2 1nk 11   15 18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.50 53% 0.90 1.20 W
ALLOTROPE 8 1 2nk 21   25 28 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 3.50 16% 5.30 7.80 P
10  FIRE VISION 10 5 42 32   37 311¾ (giangrosso russ)MCMAHON J 114 10.00 5% 19.00 22.00 S
SHE'S MY LOUIE V. 1 10 10 77   412 412¾ (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 114 8.00 21.60  
MAGIC GLASS 2 9 85 88   714 513½ (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 9% 10.40 2.20  
CHICKIETOWN STAR 3 8 74 56   513 616¾ (cormier wins)EDISON JOCELYN 109 20.00 45.40  
OOCHIE 4 6 53 6   613½ 717½ (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 117 12.00 25.30  
ACELA EXPRESS 9 4 9 9   917 819¾ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 6.00 6.30  
LUNCH LADY 6 7 3 44   815 924½ (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00 28.30  
APRIORITY GIRL 7 3 6 10   1021 1031 (west henry)STOKES A 114 15.00 68.50  
SCR  BOARDWALK QUEEN               (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 4.50    
SCR  CHERRY STAR               (latour nichol)VARGAS P 114 12.00    
 
DED-6   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRILL RIDE 8 8 3 32   34 1nk (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 2.50 51% 1.00 1.40 W
FANCY PAYNTER 5 1 1 11   12 2nk (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 13.80  
TIME TO MOVE 6 2 2 21   22 3.2 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 120 8.00 16.60  
TEXAS TITAN 2 5 6 64   6 43 (payne w)MELANCON G 117 12.00 4.10  
GOTTATAKEHIMTO 3 6 8 8   5 5 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 6.00 10.00  
HERZEN 9 7 54 5   7 6 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 12.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
TARGET PRACTICE 4 3 4 42   45 77 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 114 15.00 16.40  
NOW NOW MAN 7 10 9 9   8 810¾ (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 114 20.00 82.30  
10  CLEVER UNION 10 4 7 7   911¾ 912¾ (morrell cynt)EDISON JOCELYN 112 4.00 10% 8.70 17.50  
TAPALIST 1 9 10 1011¼   1013¾ 1016¼ (ladner bil)ALBERT S 112 5.00 16% 5.40 13.40  
SCR  OVERTAXED               (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50    
SCR  REVENIR               (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
 
DED-7   10/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:133 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONUS APPRECIATION 1 6 65 5 3 22 1nk (bourgeois )ALBERT S 112 6.00 28% 2.60 3.90 W
MORO MAFIA 2 4 32 3 21 12 2nk (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 109 8.00 2.70  
10  JOEY'S LIGHTENING 9 9 9 913 5 4 3 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00 15% 5.90 7.20 S
JANET'S DEVIL 4 5 11 1 11 32 4 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 15.00 6.50  
MR ELVIN 7 2 76 812 8 5 5 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 117 10.00 13.40  
HULK 6 7 53 4 6 6 616¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 10% 9.50 2.50  
WINGS FOR ENO 3 3 43 610½ 7 814 721¼ (payne w)MELANCON G 117 10.00 9% 10.30 13.30  
PAYOFF CYCLE 5 1 21 2 4 712½ 821½ (demouchet ricky)POMPELL L 114 8.00 23.80  
MICHAEL'S BAD BOY 8 8 88 711½ 911¾ 920 939¾ (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 112 20.00 59.20  
SCR  CHICKEN TRUCK               (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 4.00    
SCR  NOCOMET               (senegal dalt)MAGNON H 114 20.00    
SCR  RUSH THE COLORS               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 10.00    
 
DED-8   10/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:221 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEAUX SUGAR 3 3 1½ 1½   13 1 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 114 5.00 13% 6.50 4.70 W
MARKS PROMISE 1 8 5 54   45 2 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.00 28% 2.50 2.40 P
BIND FAITH 8 2 4 3   34 3 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00 6.10  
HOLY BAYOU 7 1 2½ 2½   23 4 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 114 6.00 25% 3.00 3.80  
HALF FULL 2 4 3 4   55 5 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.00 10% 9.40 3.00  
HEZA PRIORITY 5 6 7 7   67 6 (husak j)MAGNON H 117 12.00 31.20  
SONO 4 7 8 87   79 710¼ (calhoun willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 6.00 12.30  
FAREWELL TIME 6 5 6 66   812 812¾ (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 15.00 22.30  
 
DED-9   10/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R T'S MIDNIGHT 6 9 65 31   1½ 1 (sam thomas)ALBERT S 115 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60 W
TRUVY'S BANDIT 2 8 5 5   3 2 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 25% 3.00 5.80 P
CRAFTY ONE 3 4 11 11   2½ 34 (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 6.00 6.80  
HOLIDAY RUN 7 6 8 8   53 44 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.20  
WILDCATS'S MEOW 8 10 1013¼ 9   7 5 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 6.00  
10  CHELSEA'S GLORY 10 3 7 6   6 6 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 12.00 20.50  
MR. NUMERO UNO 4 5 4 4   4 7 (roberts roy)ROSIER R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
HOLLY'S TRIP 5 1 3 21   8 810½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 10.00 22% 3.60 20.80  
BLONDIE FIX IT 1 7 21 7   9 916¼ (gonzalez jai)EDISON JOCELYN 113 20.00 76.80  
TYLER'S SENSATION 9 2 9 10   1012½ 1021 (delahoussaye to)TORRES HUGO 120 20.00 55.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.