Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (2/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/9)-(2/6/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/9)-(2/6/5/9)-(2/6/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/9)-(10/4/5/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/9)-(10/4/5/9/1)-(4/3/6/9/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-2   WIN (10/4/5/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/9/1)-(10/4/5/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/9/1)-(10/4/5/9/1)-(10/4/5/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/5/9/1)-(4/3/6/9/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/4/5/9/1)-(4/3/6/9/2)-(1/6/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/3/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/9/2)-(4/3/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/9/2)-(4/3/6/9/2)-(4/3/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/6/9/2)-(1/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/9/2)-(1/6/7)-(5/8/2/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(5/8/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(5/8/2/10)-(8/1/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/8/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/10)-(5/8/2/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/10)-(5/8/2/9/10)-(5/8/2/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/2/10)-(8/1/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/10)-(8/1/10/9)-(1/10/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (8/1/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/10/9)-(8/1/10/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/10/9)-(8/1/10/9/4)-(8/1/10/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/10/9)-(1/10/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/10/9)-(1/10/6/3)-(1/7/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/10/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/3)-(1/10/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/6/3)-(1/10/6/3)-(1/10/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/10/6/3)-(1/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/10/6/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(7/2/5/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2)-(7/2/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (7/2/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6/4)-(7/2/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6/4)-(7/2/5/6/4)-(7/2/5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEPUTY KNIGHT Sep12 Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER May10 Apr19 Feb02 Jan19 Dec02 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 26% 2.90    
LOST GOLD Aug10 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 May07 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00    
WINGS OF GOLD Sep03 Aug20 Jun04 Mar19 Jan21 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
QUIET AS MIDNIGHT Aug05 Jul08 May25 Apr22 Feb18 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
BELLA'S GATSBY Aug06 Jun26 May21 Jan19 Dec19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 4.50 18% 4.40    
WILDCARD GOLD Aug04 Jun15 Apr26 Apr13 Feb28 (mojica a)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  FABLED RULER Sep12 Sep04 Jul31 Jun10 May06 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 6.00    
GHOST COWBOY Aug05 Jul01 Jan27 Nov10 Oct19 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
10  PRINCE SIMBA Aug05 Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 Mar31 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
 
DED-2   10/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDERSLEEVE Aug29 May21 Apr29 Mar08 Jan27 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
EASY CHANCE Jul07 Jun02 Apr29 Apr08 Feb03 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00    
CUSTOM PRAYER Aug11 Jun15 May18 Mar11 Feb16 (ladner ra)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
RISKTAKER Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 Jun26 May22 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 117 4.00 11% 8.00    
KAHAAL Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 Feb11 Dec22 (roberts k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 8.00 8% 12.20    
KINLEE'S SONG Jun21 Jun05 Mar11 Feb12 Feb02 (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
CARLOS' BLAST Aug14 Jun09 May25 Apr29 Feb18 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 117 10.00    
CLASSIC RED RACER Aug10 Jul21 May26 Apr29 Apr15 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 20.00    
MIZSPELT Aug14 Jul28 Jun10 May11 Apr08 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 7% 14.40    
10  MOR BIG LEE Aug04 Jul14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb22 (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BYATHREAD Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May20 May04 (landry jac)ALBERT S 109 20.00    
SCR  HUFFS TAZ A BOO Jun16 Apr15 Feb11 Dec28 Mar02 (sam thomas)ALBERT S 112 6.00    
 
DED-3   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAUCER EYES Sep03 Aug20 Aug05     (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of HAVIN A GOOD TIME by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
TINCAN CAT         (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISTER DANCE out of TINCAN TOO by BARKERVILLE)
NATIVE STAR         (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LUZZIANN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
BIG TAP BABY Sep13 Aug11       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BIG GAME BABY by GOLD TRIBUTE)
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Jun12 May27 Apr27 Apr07 Mar11 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 8.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SASSI D Sep11 Aug12       (thomas lee)MAGNON H 120 2.50 9% 10.50    
  (by SASSICAIA out of DIANE C by MUTAKDDIM)
RACY BILLE Jul06 Jun03 Apr21 Mar02 Jan27 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of LUTE SONG by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
GRAY DANE Sep03 Aug20 Aug10 May04 Apr08 (senegal da)ALBERT S 118 12.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of WHISPERDOWNTHELANE by REAL QUIET)
HEZA SEXY ZONG Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 Jun08 May18 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 12.00 6% 14.60    
  (by ZONG out of SHEZA SEXY A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
10  APRIORITY AVENGER Sep03 Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 May26 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of IRISH AVENGER by IRISH OPEN)
SCR  POPPA MAGIC Aug10 Jul15       (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
SCR  WEILAREE         (breaux samuel)ROSIER R 123 8.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SOLO BUENA by HALF OURS)
 
DED-4   10/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARIS GARTERS         (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 17% 4.80    
WHY TEXAS WHY Sep30 Sep13       (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50    
LONG LEGGED LADY Jun16 Jun03 May13     (pomier chas)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00    
GOOD BY FAITH Aug28 Aug14 Jun11     (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 4.50    
SHE'S EXTRA Sep02 Jul24 Jul02 Jun03   (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00    
READY FOR THUNDER         (pomier de)ROSIER R 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
SHEZA HOT STORM         (woodley j)MCMAHON J 117 10.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  GRITTY TORNADO         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00    
 
DED-5   10/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S MY LOUIE V. Jul08 Jun16 Jun01 May05 Mar24 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 114 8.00    
MAGIC GLASS Aug30 Aug02 Jun28 Sep17 Jul30 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 9% 10.40    
CHICKIETOWN STAR Aug10 Jul06 May10 Jan11 Dec08 (cormier wins)EDISON JOCELYN 109 20.00    
OOCHIE Sep02 Apr21 Apr01 Feb20 Sep18 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 117 12.00    
JUMPIN JUDY Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 Jun12 May28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.50 53% 0.90    
LUNCH LADY Sep02 Aug13 Jun12 May27 May04 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00    
APRIORITY GIRL Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun01 May12 (west henry)STOKES A 114 15.00    
ALLOTROPE Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul08 Jun18 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 3.50 16% 5.30    
ACELA EXPRESS Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun03 May13 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 6.00    
10  FIRE VISION Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 May27 May06 (giangrosso russ)MCMAHON J 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHERRY STAR Aug10 Jul08 May27 Feb02 Jan14 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 114 12.00    
SCR  BOARDWALK QUEEN Sep02 Jul27 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 4.50    
 
DED-6   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPALIST         (ladner bil)ALBERT S 112 5.00 16% 5.40    
TEXAS TITAN Sep03 Aug07 Jun10 May07 Apr14 (payne w)MELANCON G 117 12.00    
GOTTATAKEHIMTO Jul20 Jun09 May10 Apr12 Feb11 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 6.00    
TARGET PRACTICE Jul29 Jun25 May30 Feb10 Jan27 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 114 15.00    
FANCY PAYNTER Sep05 Aug24 Jul20 Jul12 May17 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00    
TIME TO MOVE Aug29 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 Apr13 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
NOW NOW MAN Jul31 Jul01 Dec09 Sep11 Aug30 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 114 20.00    
THRILL RIDE Aug20 Jul26 Jun17 May31 May07 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 2.50 51% 1.00    
HERZEN Sep23 Sep04 Jul28 Jul08 Jun02 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CLEVER UNION         (morrell cynt)EDISON JOCELYN 112 4.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  OVERTAXED Aug04 Jul21 Jun04 Apr07 Oct26 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50    
SCR  REVENIR Sep23 Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
 
DED-7   10/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONUS APPRECIATION Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 May06 Apr14 (bourgeois )ALBERT S 112 6.00 28% 2.60    
MORO MAFIA Sep10 Jul03 May13 Feb03 Dec16 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 109 8.00    
WINGS FOR ENO Sep05 Aug26 Jul31 Jul02 Jun17 (payne w)MELANCON G 117 10.00 9% 10.30    
JANET'S DEVIL Jul28 Jun29 Jun10 May20 Feb16 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 15.00    
PAYOFF CYCLE Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 May11 Apr13 (demouchet ricky)POMPELL L 114 8.00    
HULK Sep10 Aug05 Jun09 Mar17 Jul29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 10% 9.50    
MR ELVIN Jul28 Jun29 Jun09 May10 Apr14 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 117 10.00    
MICHAEL'S BAD BOY Jul28 Jun29 Jun01 May19 Feb18 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 112 20.00    
SCR  CHICKEN TRUCK Aug29 Aug04 Jul08 May19 Apr29 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 4.00    
10  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Jul28 Jul13 Jun09 May26 Apr12 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  RUSH THE COLORS Jul21 Jul02 May12 Apr29 Jan22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 10.00    
SCR  NOCOMET Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 May26 Mar02 (senegal dalt)MAGNON H 114 20.00    
 
DED-8   10/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKS PROMISE Mar10 Feb24 Feb04 Jan12 Dec30 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.00 28% 2.50    
HALF FULL Jun30 May12 Mar10 Feb04 Jan12 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.00 10% 9.40    
GEAUX SUGAR Jul27 Jun30 May18 Apr12 Feb24 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 114 5.00 13% 6.50    
SONO Aug27 Jul14 May22 Apr28 Mar23 (calhoun willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 6.00    
HEZA PRIORITY Sep12 Aug13 Aug05 Jun18 Jul20 (husak j)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
FAREWELL TIME Sep02 Aug13 Jun30 May12 Apr21 (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 15.00    
HOLY BAYOU Jul28 Jun15 May11 Apr12 Mar11 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 114 6.00 25% 3.00    
BIND FAITH Aug12 Jul07 May19 Apr21 Mar16 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
 
DED-9   10/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLONDIE FIX IT Feb09 Jan04 Apr30     (gonzalez jai)EDISON JOCELYN 113 20.00    
TRUVY'S BANDIT Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23   (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 25% 3.00    
CRAFTY ONE Jun01         (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 6.00    
MR. NUMERO UNO Dec28 Dec08 Nov04 May27 Apr22 (roberts roy)ROSIER R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOLLY'S TRIP         (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 10.00 22% 3.60    
R T'S MIDNIGHT         (sam thomas)ALBERT S 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOLIDAY RUN Aug11 Jul27 Jul08 Jun04 May18 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
WILDCATS'S MEOW Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
TYLER'S SENSATION Aug05 Jul07 Jun01 Feb16 Dec27 (delaho)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
10  CHELSEA'S GLORY Aug11 Jul28 Apr20 Feb21 Feb02 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.