Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-4   TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-3 $4.65 $1.65 55%
EMD-5   TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-5-1 $21.95 $9.95 83%
    SFT (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-5-1-7 $8.01 $5.61 234%
EMD-8   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $25.80 $19.80 330%
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-3 $15.50 $6.50 72%
EMD-9   DD (5/3/1)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-2 $16.80 $7.80 87%
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(5/3/1)-(5/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50  4-3-2 $16.65 $3.15 23%
EMD-11   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $20.00 $12.00 150%
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5 $84.60 $72.60 605%
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-5-6 $92.65 $80.65 672%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-3   08/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS RIDE GOODBYE 5 1 42 2nk   1nk 13 (wenzel tom)VALDES ALEXIS 125 1.00 43% 1.30 0.50 W
KERRALIA 2 4 3½ 1nk   2nk 23 (wisdom anne)RADKE K 122 8.00 16% 5.30 6.40 P
WILLING TO BURN 4 3 1nk 44   3 3 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 4.50 18% 4.50 2.80 S
BLOWING BAYOU 1 2 2nk 3   46 412½ (abrahamson m)OROZCO E 122 20.00 9.80  
AMERICAN ROYALTY 3 5 57 57   58 516¾ (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 15.00 12.50  
SCR  DANCE LADY               (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50    
SCR  DONTFORGETHESUGAR               (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 125 10.00    
 
EMD-4   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:214 :442 :563     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY FOUL 3 2 11 13   14 1 (soranno jill)RADKE K 125 1.40 48% 1.10 0.80 W
QUIET CHARM 1 5 21 33   24 2 (perez hilario)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.00 10% 9.10 2.70 P
UPPER ROOM 2 3 3 23   35 3 (toye joe)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 22% 3.60 4.50 S
PICK YOUR BID 5 1 43 4   4 4 (chattong vichie)CRUZ M 123 10.00 14.90  
BETITO 4 4 53 5   511½ 518¾ (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 8.00 5.60  
SCR  OUR EMPIRE               (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 6.00    
 
EMD-5   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:23
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT TO REMEMBER 3 5 1½ 1   1 1½ (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 13% 6.60 1.70 W
PIRATE RED 5 3 5 3   2 2½ (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00 8% 10.80 4.20 P
STREET MOGUL 1 6 6 6   5 3 (soranno jil)ORTIZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
SEVENTH HOUSE 7 2 4 2   32 4 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 2.50 47% 1.10 2.70  
FED GRANT 2 4 2½ 4   4 5 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 5.10  
TIME WEAVE SHARED 6 1 3½ 5   6 615½ (cornier c)MONTALVO C 121 12.00 14.30  
T. J. HOUSE 4 7 7 7   716½ 724½ (balcom cliff)RADKE K 121 15.00 26.70  
 
EMD-6   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:214 :443 :564     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZEN GRAZEN 3 3 32 3   2 1¾ (markle dan)CRUZ M 125 1.20 46% 1.20 0.10 W
PETER FLIES 1 2 11 1   1 2¾ (lawrence)AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00 5% 19.00 31.40 P
TIGER TOO 7 1 21 2   33 34 (essex charles)RADKE K 121 10.00 30.80  
A SKIP IN THE PARK 4 5 6 4   46 44 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 28% 2.60 6.10  
FIRST ENDEAVOR 5 4 45 5   512 518¾ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 6.00 6% 16.50 30.60  
MR ZED 2 6 5 610¾   615 622½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 12.00 48.50  
WHISKEY BLUFF 6 7 7 714¾   718 727 (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 20.00 15.50  
SCR  RAFIKKI               (patino faust)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
 
EMD-7   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:114 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 3 1 3 4 3 32 1¼ (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 1.80 42% 1.40 0.70 W
GOLD COAST GIRL 5 3 4 21 2nk 1½ 2¼ (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00 7.10  
SHERILINDA 4 2 21 11 1nk 2½ 3 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 123 2.50 17% 4.70 2.30 S
AKASI 1 4 11 31 4 44 4 (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 123 4.00 8.10  
HEART RIVER 2 5 5 5 5 56 510¼ (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 123 8.00 13% 6.60 8.90  
SCR  WESTERN DREAM               (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 123 10.00    
 
EMD-8   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANTASTIC DAY 3 6 6 6   42 1 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 123 3.50 7% 12.60 6.10 W
GABBY HAYES 1 4 5 5   5 2 (markle dan)CRUZ M 125 5.00 5% 17.70 4.30 P
COASTAL JAZZ 6 2 4 2nk   11 32 (bullock steve)RADKE K 125 4.50 4.00  
GOLD CRUSHER 5 5 1nk 3.2   31 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 61% 0.60 2.00  
FIREWALKER 2 3 3 4   63 5 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 10.00 15.80  
MR. FIREBALL 4 1 2nk 1nk   21 6 (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 2.50  
 
EMD-9   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:19
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAX CODE 2 1 4 31   21 11 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 125 1.80 33% 2.00 1.10 W
PRAYER OF JABEZ 4 2 1½ 11   11 21 (kereluk edward)CRUZ M 125 6.00 4.90  
EL ALTO HOMBRE 3 3 2½ 21   32 3 (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 123 12.00 35.50  
JIN TONG 6 6 66 4   4 44 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 8.00 19.20  
COASTAL KID 1 5 54 6   5 5 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 13% 6.80 2.10  
DIRT ROAD RED 5 4 3 5   6 612¼ (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 34% 1.90 4.70  
 
EMD-10   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNG LIFE LAURA 7 1 2 1nk   1 1 (perez hilario)MONTALVO C 121 12.00 5.70  
GOAT ROCKS 5 2 1 2nk   2 2 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.30 P
UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR 1 5 3 3½   33 3 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 125 4.50 42% 1.40 3.70 S
MS FLASHY HARBOR 3 6 6 6   54 4 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 3.50  
SHELBY GOLD 2 4 5 5   6 5 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 8% 11.30 7.70  
NANA'S ANGELS 6 3 44 42   44 6 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 28% 2.60 1.60  
ANNETTE MARIE 4 7 710½ 7   7 712½ (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 119 6.00 20.70  
 
EMD-11   08/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY ABOUT YOU 3 1 3½ 42   4 11 (raudal)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 12.00 5% 19.00 9.00 W
V BUCKS 5 4 4 2nk   1nk 21 (kereluk edwar)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.00 21% 3.70 3.70 P
SEVEN SISTERS 6 2 2½ 1nk   31 32 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.20 46% 1.20 1.00 S
FIRE ESCAPE 4 3 1½ 3½   2nk 4 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 5.30  
HEAT SEEKING LETA 1 6 710 7   6 56 (dronen sam)RADKE K 125 4.50 7% 13.50 6.90  
DODROPIN 2 5 53 54   5 68 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 8.00 21.90  
FOR YOU ONLY 7 7 66 68   7 711 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 10.00 13.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.