The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $5.60 -4.00
FG-2   Win (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $4.80 -6.00
FG-3   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
FG-4   Win (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.40 -6.00
FG-5   Win (3/12/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
FG-6   Win (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.80 -6.00
FG-7   Win (15/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $16.80 $16.80 8.80
FG-8   Win (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:232 :471 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF AGAIN 3 1 2½ 3   21hd (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 8.00 1.80  
HEZA PRIORITY 5 2 1½ 11   12hd (husak gar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 10.50  
COACH KENNY 4 5 4 5   33 3(ducoing j)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 3.10  
RECKLESS RANSOM 1 4 53 43   43 45 (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 1.60 32% 2.10 1.10  
SABER RUN 2 3 31 21   56 523¾ (pedigo randy)NAVAS YOEL 114 6.00 26% 2.90 15.70  
SCR  LAURI'S WISH               (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 121 3.00    
 
FG-2   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VORTEX (GB) 2 2 2½ 11   1½ 1(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 1.40  
GOD GUNS N GUTS 4 6 68 6   42(rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00 13% 6.70 6.90 P
BOLIVER 7 5 5 55   31 3(duhon o)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 16% 5.40 2.80 S
NERVY 6 4 3 21   2½ 413 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 46% 1.20 4.30  
MO HAWK MAN 3 3 1½ 3   5518 (mouton patrick)RIQUELME J 124 6.00 4.30  
SOCIAL APPEAL 5 7 710 712½   7618½ (hatcher nath)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00 44.30  
MALIBU MONEY 1 1 44 4   65 720½ (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 42.80  
SCR  AUTO DIAL               (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80    
 
FG-3   12/03/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14 1:27   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW OFF 5 2 45 33 34 22 1(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 117 3.00 39% 1.50 1.10 W
LOVE TO EAT 7 1 12 13 1 12 2(maker j)PARKER L 117 8.00 6.10  
REGAL RUMOR 3 6 6 6 4 34 3(catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 5.00 20% 4.10 1.30 S
LIVI ME DREAMING 4 7 710½ 711½ 710½ 611 411¾ (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 117 6.00 13.60  
MARQUETTE WARRIOR 1 4 33 23 2 4514 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 10.00 12% 7.40 14.50  
JOCASTA 6 5 57 5 6 5614¾ (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 117 12.00 35.50  
SAVED BY GRACE 2 3 22 45 58 712 716 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 114 20.00 54.70  
SCR  HIDDEN CLASS               (sharp joe)TORRES A 117 3.50    
SCR  REAGAN'S FLAME               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.50    
 
FG-4   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:224 :463 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO MACHO GIRL 6 3 1½ 11   13 1(stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 1.20  
COEXIST 3 6 78 4   45 2(forster t)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 5.40  
GIRL AFRAID 1 2 3 32   339 (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 118 2.50 13% 6.70 1.50 S
ROCKETS SISTER 7 1 2½ 21   23 411½ (guillory )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 7% 14.00 10.50  
CARRY ON 2 5 66 55   57 511½ (tracy tanner)PARKER L 120 3.50 50% 1.00 11.30  
OURS AND THEIRS 4 4 4 7   710½ 617 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 117 8.00 36.20  
LAST OF THE NILE 5 7 55 6   610 717¼ (castille carrol)MELANCON G 118 8.00 51.40  
 
FG-5   12/03/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEROANRUNNER 1 3 12 1 1 12 15 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.40 W
SRI LANKA 2 4 22 2 2 22 25 (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 58% 0.70 1.00 P
12  HAPPY CHARGER 6 2 6 5 45 34 3(pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 14% 6.00 4.30 S
LIFFEY 3 6 3 34 33 45 413½ (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5.10  
IRISH MOLLY 5 5 44 6 69 610 520½ (west henry)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 30.00 59.90  
MS. LILIBET 4 1 5 46 55 58 621 (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 20.50  
SCR  BLESSING THE FLAG               (correas ign)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 8.00    
SCR  HECKLED               (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 121 3.00    
SCR  MON DIEU               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
SCR  NOBLE BERNADETTE               (stall m)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
SCR  RUTH OF JUDAH               (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 116 12.00    
SCR  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE               (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
 
FG-6   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS' DIALIN IN 3 4 22 22   2½ 11 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 2.90  
CAMP DADDY 8 8 7 34   32 21 (hernandez arm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 1.90  
CAPTIVATED DRAMA 5 1 12 12   1½ 3(johnston d)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 11.60  
FREDDY J 4 9 88 6   44 4(tracy tanne)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 13.60  
CLASSIC BET 2 3 3 46   558 (gonzalez v)RIQUELME J 120 4.00 5.60  
JAYSKER 9 6 45 8   76(birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
KNIGHT COMMANDER 1 5 6 7   67(birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 11% 7.80 8.60  
CHARCO 7 2 5 56   89 815½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 62% 0.60 4.60  
GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS 6 7 911 9   914 923¾ (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00 79.50  
 
FG-7   12/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:222 :461 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 1 2 32 3   3½ 1¾ (hernandez javier)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.40 W
INTO THE SUNRISE 6 6 5 5   41 2¾ (morley thoma)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 7.20 P
FIELD DAY 5 5 7 7   83(devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 20% 4.00 5.40 S
11  CHISELER 8 8 8 65   2nk 4(foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 9.00  
15  UPHOLD THE LAW 10 7 4 43   75(stidham michael)LANERIE J 120 3.50 47% 1.10 1.90  
10  SWING SHIFT (GB) 7 4 22 1nk   562 (hamilton sarah)PARKER L 120 30.00 68.30  
PLANE TALK 2 1 12 2nk   1nk 7(robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 12% 7.60 3.80  
12  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 9 10 1012¼ 88   63 8(desormeaux keith)MELANCON G 120 20.00 18.60  
CORTESE 4 9 9 9   912½ 910¾ (hernandez arm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 10.60  
ROBO 3 3 6 1011   1019½ 1029¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 65.70  
SCR  B D VALESKI               (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
SCR  BERTIE'S GALAXY               (terre david)CURTIS BEN 117 8.00    
SCR  DOWAGIAC CHIEF               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
SCR  MISTER MMMMM               (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
SCR  MY PAL MATTIE               (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 119 6.00    
 
FG-8   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOFFEE 7 1 5 43   31¾ (cangemi daniel)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 15% 5.70 2.20 W
NOTABLE QUEEN 4 3 22 2½   1½ 2¾ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 7.90  
FIRST LOVE 3 5 12 1½   2½ 3(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 25% 3.00 1.30 S
NOT TODAY GEEGEE 2 2 32 5   44(tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 17% 5.00 4.90  
BANK ON IT 5 4 4 3   5519¼ (terre david)CURTIS BEN 122 12.00 32.40  
SUPER CHRISTIE 6 7 7 66   6622 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 124 6.00 8.60  
PETTICOAT 1 6 6 78   711½ 736¼ (johnston d)PARKER L 122 8.00 16.10  
SCR  TRULY GRATEFUL               (stidham micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.