Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(7/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(7/8/5)-(7/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-2   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/5)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(7/4/1)-(2/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-3   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(2/1/7)-(3/12/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-4   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(3/12/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(3/12/2)-(7/1/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-5   WIN (3/12/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/12/2)-(3/12/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/12/2)-(3/12/2)-(3/12/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/12/2)-(7/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/12/2)-(7/1/9)-(15/8/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/9)-(7/1/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/9)-(7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/9)-(15/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9)-(15/8/3/1)-(4/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (15/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (15/8/3/1)-(15/8/3/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (15/8/3/1)-(15/8/3/9/1)-(15/8/3/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (15/8/3/1)-(4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS RANSOM Jun25 May04 Mar15 Feb02 Jan15 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 1.60 32% 2.10    
2  SABER RUN Sep04 Aug05 Jul01 May30 May06 (pedigo randy)NAVAS YOEL 114 6.00 26% 2.90    
3  HALF AGAIN Nov23 Sep12 Aug05 Jun25 May27 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 8.00    
SCR  LAURI'S WISH Aug14 Jul30 Jul13 May20 Apr20 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 121 3.00    
5  COACH KENNY Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 May20 Apr20 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 4.50    
6  HEZA PRIORITY Nov01 Oct18 Sep12 Aug13 Aug05 (husak g)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
 
FG-2   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUTO DIAL Nov24 Aug18 Jul31 Jul12 Jun25 (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80    
2  MALIBU MONEY Jun10 Feb28 Feb11 Jan12 Dec28 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
3  VORTEX (GB) May12 Mar11 Feb10     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
4  MO HAWK MAN Aug27 Aug06 May21 May03 Apr13 (mouton patrick)RIQUELME J 124 6.00    
5  GOD GUNS N GUTS Nov11 Oct21 Sep16 Aug17 Aug06 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
6  SOCIAL APPEAL Aug12 Jun24       (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
7  NERVY         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 46% 1.20    
8  BOLIVER May05 Apr23 Mar10 Feb04   (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
FG-3   12/03/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUETTE WARRIOR Oct21 Sep02       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 10.00 12% 7.40    
2  SAVED BY GRACE Nov17 Aug05 Jul09     (scherer gary)MURRAY M 114 20.00    
SCR  HIDDEN CLASS Oct29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug03   (sharp joe)TORRES A 117 3.50    
4  REGAL RUMOR Sep16 Aug26 Jul31     (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 5.00 20% 4.10    
5  LIVI ME DREAMING Oct10 Sep20 Aug28     (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 117 6.00    
SCR  REAGAN'S FLAME Oct13         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.50    
7  SHOW OFF Oct15 Sep13       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 117 3.00 39% 1.50    
8  JOCASTA Nov02 Sep02       (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 117 12.00    
9  LOVE TO EAT Nov04 Oct08 Sep03 Jul23 Jun30 (maker j)PARKER L 117 8.00    
 
FG-4   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL AFRAID Oct19 Aug31 Jul02 Jan22 Jan04 (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 118 2.50 13% 6.70    
2  CARRY ON Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 Aug11 Jul10 (tracy tanner)PARKER L 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
3  COEXIST Nov11 Oct14 Sep15 Aug19 Jul16 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
4  OURS AND THEIRS Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 Dec18 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 117 8.00    
5  LAST OF THE NILE Oct26 Oct07 Jul08 Jun02 May11 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 118 8.00    
6  MUCHO MACHO GIRL Oct14 Mar01       (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
7  ROCKETS SISTER Nov01 Sep29 Sep02 Aug06 Jul16 (guillor)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 7% 14.00    
 
FG-5   12/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MON DIEU Oct26 Sep15       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  THEROANRUNNER Nov01 Sep09 Aug01 Jul01 Nov26 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  SRI LANKA Sep07 Jun29 May29 Jan29 Dec11 (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 58% 0.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  NOBLE BERNADETTE Nov09 Sep09 Oct14 Sep08   (stall m)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of WINTER CAT by PARADING)
5  LIFFEY Nov03 Oct03       (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of VICTRESS by INCLUDE)
SCR  HECKLED Oct14 Sep02 Aug12 Jul08 Jun15 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 121 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPECKLED by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  MS. LILIBET Nov08 Sep17 Aug29 Jul20 Jun27 (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of LA MALAGUENA by DIABLO)
8  IRISH MOLLY Nov21         (west henry)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 30.00    
  (by RED ROCKS out of ENGLISH CAT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  RUTH OF JUDAH Oct23 Aug13 Jul26     (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 116 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BLESSING THE FLAG Oct14 Sep09 Jul13 May29 May03 (correas i)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 8.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Aug24 Aug03 Jul16 Jun22 Dec03 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
12  HAPPY CHARGER Nov03 Sep22 Aug01     (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of HAPPY WEEK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
FG-6   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT COMMANDER Nov09 Sep18 Jul02 Jun11 May19 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
2  CLASSIC BET Nov09 Oct14 Sep25 Sep03 Aug12 (gonzalez v)RIQUELME J 120 4.00 ★    
3  BOSS' DIALIN IN Jan14 Dec19 Nov25 Feb19 Jan22 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
4  FREDDY J Sep30 Aug27 Jul30 Jun15 May26 (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
5  CAPTIVATED DRAMA Oct20 Sep14 Aug30 Jul14 Jun17 (johnston d)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
6  GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS Oct28 Sep16 Aug20 Jul11 Jun11 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00    
7  CHARCO May08 Apr10 Mar12 Feb17   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 62% 0.60    
8  CAMP DADDY Oct20 Sep22 Aug19 Jul31 Jun25 (hernandez a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50    
9  JAYSKER Nov03 Sep30 Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   12/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Nov02 Sep29 Sep03 Aug16 Jul27 (hernandez javie)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOWAGIAC CHIEF May21 Apr22 Sep14 Jun22 May07 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
3  PLANE TALK Oct15 Jul20 Jun21 Sep14 Aug20 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 12% 7.60    
4  ROBO Jul01 May29 May21 Apr15 Mar16 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
SCR  MISTER MMMMM Sep02 Aug05 Jun23 Jun01 May02 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
SCR  B D VALESKI Oct21 Sep22 Aug11 Jun23 May19 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
7  CORTESE Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 Nov02 Oct02 (hernandez a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
8  FIELD DAY Oct04 Jul21 Jun25 Jul13 May17 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
9  INTO THE SUNRISE Oct14 Aug24 Jul28 Jun15 Apr13 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 ★    
10  SWING SHIFT (GB) Nov11 Oct25 Nov06 Aug17 Jul02 (hamilton sarah)PARKER L 120 30.00    
11  CHISELER Nov09 Oct08 Aug19 Jul08 May20 (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
12  CALL ME MIDNIGHT Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 Jul30 Jul01 (desormeaux kei)MELANCON G 120 20.00    
SCR  MY PAL MATTIE Nov03 Oct26 Jun17 May29 Apr23 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 119 6.00    
SCR  BERTIE'S GALAXY Jun03 May06 Mar25 Dec10 Nov19 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 117 8.00    
15  UPHOLD THE LAW Feb11 Jan16 Aug17 Jan02   (stidham michael)LANERIE J 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
FG-8   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRULY GRATEFUL         (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MUCH OBLIGED by KINGMAMBO)
2  PETTICOAT Oct25 Oct06 Aug14 Jul01   (johnston d)PARKER L 122 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SPINSTRESS by HARD SPUN)
3  NOT TODAY GEEGEE         (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RUN LIKE RACHEL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  FIRST LOVE Apr01         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of R D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  NOTABLE QUEEN Sep03 Jul15 Jun04 May27   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SLICED BREAD by NOONMARK)
6  BANK ON IT Jul21 Jun22 Nov26 Oct22   (terre david)CURTIS BEN 122 12.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of HARLAN'S HONOR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  SUPER CHRISTIE Sep14 Aug08 Jun17 Jun11 May06 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHRISTIE VILLAGE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
8  TOFFEE Nov03 Oct01 Sep02 May27 May13 (cangemi dani)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IZARRA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.