Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-2   WIN (2/6/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $13.00 $3.00 30%
DED-7   WIN (3/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    EXA (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3 $33.30 $21.30 178%
DED-8   EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $19.60 $13.60 227%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   11/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GRAND PRADO 10 1 11 1   1 1½ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 15.00 10.50  
OVERDELIVER 9 2 4 2   2 2½ (clark p)STOKES A 117 5.00 24% 3.20 6.00 P
WONDER RUN 1 6 6 5   3 3 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 10.00 9% 10.20 13.60 S
WAR RON 5 9 9 9   67 4 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00 20% 3.90 2.80  
SCRUTINIZER 3 5 5 6   56 5 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 117 3.50 21% 3.70 2.40  
DIABLO CAT 6 3 21 43   7 6 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 5.00 3.40  
BUNKIE'S SONG 8 7 8 8   810½ 7 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 109 20.00 5% 19.00 25.70  
WAR SONG 7 4 31 32   45 8 (roberts kenneth)ROSIER R 114 8.00 15.10  
EXPECT ROYAL 2 10 10 1011½   912½ 913¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 117 10.00 54.60  
MIDNIGHT BAYOU 4 8 7 7   1015½ 1026¾ (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 15.00 49.70  
SCR  HONOR MY SPEED               (landry r)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
SCR  PRAY IDE SING               (zenon )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 12.00    
 
DED-2   11/01/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:152     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESABI 6 2 2 2½   15 1 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 20% 4.10 5.50 W
CHIEF KIMOSABI 7 9 9 78   3 2 (castille rickey )MELANCON G 120 8.00 13.60  
R T'S D'ORO 8 10 64 5   46 3 (chevis a)STOKES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60 S
TREASURE COAST 4 5 4 3   25 4 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 12.00 15.80  
ADMIRAL AFLEET 3 7 10 1012   69 5 (perron gerard)VARGAS P 118 12.00 16.40  
OUT MAKING TREBLE 5 8 8 88   58 69 (mason gary )CARMONA SERAFIN 118 6.00 11.10  
10  LITTLE STAR TARGET 10 4 3 4   811 715¼ (segura k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00 61.50  
RED CENTS 9 3 1 1½   710 819½ (berndt joel)ROSIER R 121 12.00 15% 5.50 4.80  
MAKE YOUR DESTINY 1 1 54 910   918 924 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50 16% 5.20 7.00  
NOBLE CONNECTION 2 6 7 6   1018½ 1025¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.50 24% 3.20 1.50  
SCR  GHOST COWBOY               (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.00    
SCR  PLENTY OF CENTS               (melancon d)ALBERT S 123 10.00    
 
DED-3   11/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAN SHE 4 7 1nk 1nk   1½ 11 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 6.00 9.60  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of JUKE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
LUYV 2 4 3.2 2nk   2½ 21 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 3.00 33% 2.10 0.80 P
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SOUTHPINE by LAABITY)
HIGHLANDER'S EDGE 6 3 4¾ 31   3 3 (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 4.00 S
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of GATEWAY TO GOLD by ARCH)
SECRET GUITAR 5 9 7 6   4 4 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 121 5.00 45% 1.20 12.60  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BROOK'S SECRET by HENNY HUGHES)
TIME TO CLOSE 9 5 9 9   5 511½ (celestine c)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 15.00 57.80  
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
HALF HOUR TO GLORY 7 1 6 45   69 617½ (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 4.50  
  (by HALF OURS out of BARBARA ORR by TALE OF THE CAT)
MYWARRIORSPRINCESS 1 8 2nk 7   79 718½ (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00 5% 19.00 45.40  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of UNBRIDLED SUNSHINE by UNTUTTABLE)
10  NIGHT TIZZY 10 6 10 1011¾   910¼ 818½ (beene lind)ALBERT S 121 15.00 ######  
  (by LUCKY TIZ out of NIGHT PARADE by PARADING)
ROXIE'S IMAGE 8 2 5 5   8 918¾ (dison m)POMPELL L 121 12.00 30.30  
  (by ZONG out of GLITTER ROX by GLITTERMAN)
ASPEN LINK 3 10 8 8   1010¾ 1022 (thomas lee)ROSIER R 121 8.00 23.90  
  (by SASSICAIA out of DINNER AT ARLENE'S by FORESTRY)
 
DED-4   11/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:154     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDENLUTE 3 2 2nk 1nk   11 1 (noel dane)VARGAS P 115 2.50 40% 1.50 1.40 W
ZIPPY TOGA 5 9 98 6   3 2 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 13.30  
MY PAL SWEET 7 5 3½ 3.2   21 3 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 115 8.00 5% 19.00 16.90 S
10  NINEJUANJUAN CALL 9 7 87 5   5 44 (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00 3.20  
KIT KAT KIDD 2 1 1nk 2nk   4 5 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00 10% 8.70 5.10  
SASSI ASPEN 8 6 5 4   6 611½ (arey anthony)POMPELL L 117 20.00 ######  
DEAL WITH HIM 4 8 7 7   811 717 (landry ray)STOKES A 117 3.50 23% 3.30 3.50  
HAIL THE CAT 6 4 6 910¾   710½ 819¼ (gomez a)NEGRON LUIS 117 10.00 34.20  
YOU YOUR DADDY SON 1 3 4 8   916 935¾ (elias )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 20.00 71.20  
SCR  COCAL               (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
SCR  PEANUT N IKE               (rosier charles)ROSIER R 117 8.00    
SCR  SPARKIN               (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
 
DED-5   11/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:244 :501 1:153 1:29   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERZEN 2 9 8 7 2nk 13 1 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 12.00 4.70  
MR B QUIET 1 3 9 9 6 5 2 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 123 8.00 15% 5.70 4.80 P
DRINK 8 5 3½ 2nk 1nk 23 34 (clay pat)ALBERT S 123 2.50 22% 3.50 6.90 S
BIG ROJO 6 7 4 3 4¾ 4 4 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 3.60  
GETCHA 7 4 1½ 1nk 3.2 3 56 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 4.50 12% 7.10 5.00  
TEMPRANO 4 1 7 8 8 66 6 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 120 15.00 17.30  
TAPPIN FORA DANCE 3 8 52 53 5 77 77 (romero alvin)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 8.00 5.30  
TAPALIST 9 6 6 6 9 811 812¾ (ladner j)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00 16% 5.30 34.50  
QUANA DUDE 5 2 2½ 42 7 911¼ 913¾ (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00 7.60  
 
DED-6   11/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP JAMBALAYA 7 6 2½ 2½   14 16 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 4.00  
THE CALLING STONE 5 7 6 3   34 26 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 117 5.00 10.50  
MOLLI WAY 4 5 7 52   46 310½ (romero j)STOKES A 117 10.00 45.60  
NEW DESTINY 3 4 5 4   5 410¾ (gelner j)POMPELL L 115 2.00 38% 1.70 0.90  
STORMY VALENTINE 6 1 1½ 1½   24 514¼ (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00 33% 2.00 3.10  
EVERLYN'S ANGEL 1 2 42 77   718¼ 629¾ (landry r)THORNTON G 115 4.00 7.50  
SHEWASN'TEASY 2 3 31 65   614¼ 733¾ (player fletche)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00 5% 19.00 58.70  
 
DED-7   11/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:142     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FRIEND AMY 5 4 6 31   1½ 11 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 11% 7.90 5.10 W
ALLIACEOUS 3 3 7 6   4¾ 21 (broberg karl)ROMAN KEVIN 114 5.00 48% 1.10 6.60 P
FABS 8 5 2½ 1nk   3½ 3 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00 17.10  
KELA'S TURN 2 2 1½ 2nk   2½ 4 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00 8% 10.90 8.40  
TWO MINUTE DRILL 4 7 3 52   5 58 (arnett g)BIRZER E 121 4.50 8% 10.90 0.60  
MO CLASSY 9 6 5 4   6 6 (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 20.00 87.30  
TAYLORS TAP 7 8 8 7   7 7 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 115 3.50 13.00  
SHE A HOT MESS 6 9 9 9   8 812¾ (brinkman brett)THORNTON G 117 6.00 21.10  
BAR TAP 1 1 4 85   910¼ 916¼ (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 12.00 99.50  
 
DED-8   11/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:222 :461       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPIN JUDY 3 2 21 11   13 11 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 3.00 37% 1.70 1.30 W
ROCKETS SISTER 4 3 3 21   23 21 (guillory henry )ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 15% 5.50 13.60 P
GRACIE DIAMOND 2 6 5 4   35 33 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 4.00 2.20  
GIRLS IN CHARGE 1 5 6 6   5 4 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 2.00 16% 5.30 6.20  
MISS TARGET 5 4 4 5   48 5 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 114 8.00 6.10  
LIGHTNING HART 6 1 11 32   610½ 615½ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 7.30  
SCR  COMMERCIAL FLASH               (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 10.00    
 
DED-9   11/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S LIGHT 6 3 5 4¼   2nk 11 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 8.00 6.60  
GOLDEN QUALITY 3 2 4 5   5 21 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 12.00 4.20  
DRIVE FOR FUN 8 5 3½ 3.2   1nk 3 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 117 3.50 38% 1.60 2.40 S
HEZA PRIORITY 5 6 6 62   4¾ 4 (husak j)MAGNON H 114 8.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
WOKE UP IN LOVE 1 8 812¾ 87   7 52 (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 117 5.00 7.40  
MARK THE MOOSE 2 7 7 75   6 6 (litfin nevada)MELANCON G 117 10.00 7.10  
HUNKA BURNING LOVE 7 4 2nk 2nk   3.2 7 (arnett g)THORNTON G 117 4.50 18% 4.50 7.60  
ALYANAABI 4 1 1nk 1nk   8 815¾ (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 2.50 17% 4.90 5.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.