The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (9/1/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $22.80 -8.00
DED-2   Win (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
DED-3   Win (6/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20
DED-4   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
DED-5   Win (3/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $3.40 -8.00
DED-6   Win (4/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
DED-7   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.40 -6.00
DED-8   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
DED-9   Win (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $10.00 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:233 :48 1:143     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTTHROB HALO 3 4 3½ 2nk   1nk 1(breaux samuel)VARGAS P 116 6.00 10.40  
CHEATIN CHARLIE 2 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 2(mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 116 4.00 8.50 P
SPECIAL OPERATOR 7 9 75 43   32 34 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 6.00 8.30  
OVERTAXED 6 8 4 31   44(gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 16% 5.40 1.20  
MORE LIKE IT 5 5 53 5   55(cormier houston)POMPELL L 119 15.00 28.20  
10  SWEET RACHEL 10 6 9 6   66(ramirez rosa)RAMIREZ JR 111 15.00 5% 19.00 34.10  
CHARMING CHARLIE 9 7 8 8   7712½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 33% 2.00 4.40  
NOW NOW MAN 4 10 10 10   811½ 814 (nelson r)STOKES A 116 20.00 80.10  
WEDINGTON 8 3 6 96   913½ 918 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00 46.20  
FANCY PAYNTER 1 1 1nk 7   1017½ 1029 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00 29% 2.50 4.40  
SCR  FEROCITY               (arnett g)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
SCR  MEAN CRUISER               (segura kearney)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00    
 
DED-2   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
:222 :47       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACK SMART 5 1 1nk 12   13 1(gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 29% 2.50 2.00 W
SERAPE 6 3 6 33   32(brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 10.00 7.70  
FOR REAL ALICE 1 8 8 7   53(pitzer floyd )DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 4.50  
MYFRIENDSAWINNER 3 5 4 5   44(gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 34% 1.90 2.50  
HARRIET'S DREAM 2 6 3.2 22   23 5(arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 12% 7.50 16.80  
DOLLY'S GUITAR 8 7 5 43   67 610¼ (breaux samuel)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 5.90  
SUMMERTIME BANDIT 7 2 7 8   711 714¼ (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 66.50  
DEBBIES PASSAGE 4 4 2nk 6   811 818 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 8.00 10.50  
 
DED-3   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 7:11
:231 :482 1:162     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LINE RULER 5 1 22 2nk   1nk 1(castille carr)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.50 61% 0.60 0.40 W
TAKE HER AWAY 3 4 33 4   2nk 2(ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 3.50 2.70  
BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY 1 5 56 5   46 3(alberto antoni)MAGNON H 121 15.00 30.50  
REBECCA'S DREAM 6 3 43 31   34 411 (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
MY IDEA 4 6 7 7   512 521¼ (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 121 10.00 36.40  
WITH A SONG 7 8 89 8   717 634 (averett ronni)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00 8% 11.30 14.10  
IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR 2 2 12 1nk   613 738¼ (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 20.00 50.10  
SOUTHEASTER 8 7 6 6   817½ 843¾ (averett ronnie)DELCID MARLON 116 15.00 9% 9.90 57.10  
SCR  FIST CITY               (calhoun william )THORNTON G 121 4.50    
 
DED-4   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
:224 :472       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAAHERS BULLY 2 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 1(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.80 38% 1.60 2.00 W
WONDER RUN 3 3 3½ 2nk   2nk 2(turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.50 19% 4.30 2.00 P
DONNA'S COURT 4 5 53 4   43(kanhai joseph)MAGNON H 120 15.00 45.50  
MOVE IT 6 6 76 7   64(arey anthony)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00 13.60  
PRAY IDE SING 1 4 2½ 3½   33 5(zenon sh)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 13.50  
LION HEART LEGEND 5 7 64 5   54 610¾ (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 12% 7.40 4.20  
CAJUN BERTI 7 2 41 6   7723½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 3.80  
SCR  FAREWELL TIME               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50    
 
DED-5   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
:224 :47 1:142 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO MAFIA 2 5 34 33 1½ 12 12 (ramirez juli)RAMIREZ JR 113 6.00 0.70  
MAJESTIC MANDATE 3 6 46 44 2½ 22 22 (gelner j)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 26% 2.80 11.40 P
OXXON 6 2 5 5 3½ 34 34 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00 8% 12.20 9.70 S
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN 9 3 69 6 6 48 413 (richard c)STOKES A 118 6.00 21% 3.90 10.70  
VALIANT DEFENDER 4 7 7 7 5 58 513¼ (flugence henr)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 18.20  
MAJOR DEAL 8 9 920¼ 916¾ 811¾ 613 614½ (tillis e)SALAZAR TERESA 113 20.00 58.80  
JANET'S DEVIL 1 4 1nk 2nk 41 713½ 731 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 10.00 3.20  
KURT'S CHOICE 5 1 2nk 1nk 7 818½ 844 (berndt joel)ROSIER R 118 4.50 16% 5.40 17.30  
MICHAEL'S BAD BOY 7 8 817¼ 816¾ 919¾ 926½ 965¼ (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 67.30  
SCR  BELLA'S GATSBY               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
SCR  BIG BROTHER               (gonzalez)RUIZ GARCIA 119 8.00    
 
DED-6   11/11/2023 4950ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
:232 :483 1:153     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE STAR 5 7 8 66   1nk 1¼ (gelner jayde )DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00 22% 3.60 3.90 W
BAILEYS BRO 8 8 7 31   2nk 2¼ (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 17% 4.90 1.10 P
PRINCE PERFECTA 7 6 6 42   32 3(johnson b)POMPELL L 123 2.50 8.80  
BEAUDEAN 6 4 3.2 11   4411½ (granger randall)STOKES A 122 8.00 18.60  
BIG TAP BABY 3 3 5 54   5512¼ (calhoun willi)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 12% 7.30 6.70  
CLASSIC WARRIOR 2 2 2nk 21   611¼ 634 (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00 51.70  
APRIORITY AVENGER 4 5 4 7   714¼ 737¼ (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 122 3.00 24% 3.10 3.50  
SAINT DADDY 1 1 1nk 810½   8100 8100 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 20.00 33.40  
 
DED-7   11/11/2023 4950ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
:233 :483 1:15     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITWASTHISBIG 1 1 6 7   23 1(arnett g)VARGAS P 118 6.00 4.20  
CIRCLE THE MOON 7 4 4¼ 3½   13 2(sanchez amado)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 4.20  
TOTAL SURPRISE 4 6 2nk 4   33(berndt joel)THORNTON G 120 5.00 34% 2.00 8.40 S
NAPOLEONIC CODE 6 7 5 63   4413¾ (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.50 38% 1.70 3.20  
PAPIRINGO 3 5 1nk 1nk   58 519¼ (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 116 12.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
LOST GOLD 8 8 7 5   710½ 620¼ (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 26.00  
BUD WON 5 3 3.2 2nk   6722½ (degeyter rand)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50 1.60  
LITTLE JONY 2 2 8 8   813½ 823¾ (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 42.70  
 
DED-8   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
:222 :46       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPIN JUDY 3 1 1nk 1   14 1(broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 1.80 42% 1.40 1.80 W
ANGEL'S MELODY 1 5 3.2 42   24 2(arnett g)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 4.90  
SPANISH DELIGHT 5 2 4¼ 3   33(arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 3.30  
IZATIZ 6 4 6 68   59 46 (gomez c)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00 10.30  
SWEET TEMPERAMENT 4 3 2nk 2   45 5(bourgeois keith)VARGAS P 116 4.50 30% 2.30 2.80  
SUGAR SHACK QUEEN 2 6 5 57   69 610¼ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SCR  BROKE FINANCING               (jackson dwayne)MAGNON H 119 12.00    
 
DED-9   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:59
:224 :473       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAT DARES RIGHT 1 7 2nk 1½   12 1(schwandt emile)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 4.00  
CHACHA TO CATALINA 5 3 4 3   32 2(thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 6% 15.10 1.10 P
10  FLYING I 9 1 1nk 2½   22 3(west henry)STOKES A 123 8.00 6.70  
TALKABOUT 6 6 6 55   45 4(woodley carl )CARMONA SERAFIN 114 10.00 8.70  
LIL PARTY CRASHER 4 4 8 8   7513 (garza joaquin )EDISON JOCELYN 117 15.00 67.10  
SHE'S THE SHERIFF 7 9 911¼ 912¼   912¼ 616 (garcia miguel)TORRES HUGO 123 20.00 67.20  
SHE'SAGAMECHANGER 8 8 7 78   811¼ 717 (kanhai joseph)MAGNON H 120 6.00 14.10  
SHESTHEBIGGAME 3 5 5 65   6817¼ (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
E R'S MIREYA 2 2 3.2 43   58 918 (ramirez juli)RAMIREZ JR 115 5.00 6% 16.00 4.80  
SCR  GRACE'S VISION               (daigle walter)SALAZAR TERESA 115 15.00    
SCR  JENNYSBIGBABY               (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  TENSAS LU LU               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.00 66% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.