Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-6   WIN (4/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-8 $13.80 $1.80 15%
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:143     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HEARTTHROB HALO 3 4 3½ 2nk   1nk 11¼ (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 116 6.00 10.40  
2  CHEATIN CHARLIE 2 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 21¼ (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 116 4.00 ★ 8.50 P
7  SPECIAL OPERATOR 7 9 75 43   32 34 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 6.00 8.30  
6  OVERTAXED 6 8 42½ 31   42½ 46¼ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 16% 5.40 1.20  
5  MORE LIKE IT 5 5 53 53¼   53½ 57¼ (cormier houston)POMPELL L 119 15.00 28.20  
10  SWEET RACHEL 10 6 95¼ 64¾   65½ 68¾ (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 111 15.00 5% 19.00 34.10  
9  CHARMING CHARLIE 9 7 85¼ 85¾   79½ 712½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 33% 2.00 4.40  
4  NOW NOW MAN 4 10 106¼ 106½   811½ 814 (nelson r)STOKES A 116 20.00 80.10  
8  WEDINGTON 8 3 63½ 96   913½ 918 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00 46.20  
1  FANCY PAYNTER 1 1 1nk 75¾   1017½ 1029 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00 29% 2.50 4.40  
SCR  FEROCITY               (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
SCR  MEAN CRUISER               (segura kearney)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00    
 
DED-2   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:222 :47       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TRACK SMART 5 1 1nk 12   13 11¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 29% 2.50 2.00 W
6  SERAPE 6 3 61¾ 33   33½ 21¾ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 10.00 7.70  
1  FOR REAL ALICE 1 8 85¾ 76¼   56½ 31¾ (pitzer floy)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 4.50  
3  MYFRIENDSAWINNER 3 5 41¼ 53¼   44½ 44½ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 34% 1.90 2.50  
2  HARRIET'S DREAM 2 6 3.2 22   23 56½ (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 12% 7.50 16.80  
8  DOLLY'S GUITAR 8 7 51¾ 43   67 610¼ (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 5.90  
7  SUMMERTIME BANDIT 7 2 73¾ 86¾   711 714¼ (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 66.50  
4  DEBBIES PASSAGE 4 4 2nk 63¼   811 818 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 8.00 10.50  
 
DED-3   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:162     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ONE LINE RULER 5 1 22 2nk   1nk 14½ (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.50 61% 0.60 0.40 W
  (by ONE LINER out of SHEZA ROMAN RULER by ROMAN RULER)
3  TAKE HER AWAY 3 4 33 41¼   2nk 24½ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 3.50 2.70  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of WALK AWAY RULER by ROMAN RULER)
1  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY 1 5 56 54¼   46 39½ (alberto anto)MAGNON H 121 15.00 30.50  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
7  REBECCA'S DREAM 6 3 43 31   34 411 (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
5  MY IDEA 4 6 78½ 77¾   512 521¼ (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 121 10.00 36.40  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of SILLY IDEA by BERNSTEIN)
8  WITH A SONG 7 8 89 88¼   717 634 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00 8% 11.30 14.10  
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of WITH HONORANDGRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR 2 2 12 1nk   613 738¼ (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 20.00 50.10  
  (by PUCK out of THE THINGS YOU DO by PARTNER'S HERO)
9  SOUTHEASTER 8 7 66½ 65¾   817½ 843¾ (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 116 15.00 9% 9.90 57.10  
  (by WHENCE out of JOVE JOVE DIVE by BRIGHTON RIDGE)
SCR  FIST CITY               (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 121 4.50    
  (by IRON FIST out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
 
DED-4   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DAAHERS BULLY 2 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 11½ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.80 38% 1.60 2.00 W
4  WONDER RUN 3 3 3½ 2nk   2nk 21½ (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.50 19% 4.30 2.00 P
5  DONNA'S COURT 4 5 53 42½   43½ 35½ (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 120 15.00 45.50  
7  MOVE IT 6 6 76 75¾   64½ 46¾ (arey anthon)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00 13.60  
1  PRAY IDE SING 1 4 2½ 3½   33 57¼ (zenon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 13.50  
6  LION HEART LEGEND 5 7 64 52¾   54 610¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 12% 7.40 4.20  
8  CAJUN BERTI 7 2 41 64¾   78½ 723½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 3.80  
SCR  FAREWELL TIME               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50    
 
DED-5   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:142 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MORO MAFIA 2 5 34 33 1½ 12 12 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 113 6.00 0.70  
3  MAJESTIC MANDATE 3 6 46 44 2½ 22 22 (gelner j)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 26% 2.80 11.40 P
6  OXXON 6 2 57½ 55½ 3½ 34 34 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00 8% 12.20 9.70 S
9  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN 9 3 69 68½ 62¾ 48 413 (richard russell )STOKES A 118 6.00 21% 3.90 10.70  
4  VALIANT DEFENDER 4 7 79¼ 78¾ 52½ 58 513¼ (flugence he)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 18.20  
8  MAJOR DEAL 8 9 920¼ 916¾ 811¾ 613 614½ (tillis jerry)SALAZAR TERESA 113 20.00 58.80  
1  JANET'S DEVIL 1 4 1nk 2nk 41 713½ 731 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 10.00 3.20  
5  KURT'S CHOICE 5 1 2nk 1nk 74¾ 818½ 844 (berndt joel)ROSIER R 118 4.50 16% 5.40 17.30  
7  MICHAEL'S BAD BOY 7 8 817¼ 816¾ 919¾ 926½ 965¼ (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 67.30  
SCR  BELLA'S GATSBY               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
SCR  BIG BROTHER               (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 119 8.00    
 
DED-6   11/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:153     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NATIVE STAR 5 7 84½ 66   1nk 1¼ (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00 22% 3.60 3.90 W
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LUZZIANN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  BAILEYS BRO 8 8 72½ 31   2nk 2¼ (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 17% 4.90 1.10 P
  (by MISTER DANCE out of BAILEYS LOVER by SILENT PLEASURE)
7  PRINCE PERFECTA 7 6 62½ 42   32 36½ (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 2.50 8.80  
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
6  BEAUDEAN 6 4 3.2 11   42¼ 411½ (granger randall)STOKES A 122 8.00 18.60  
  (by MO TOM out of ZARLA by RUN PRODUCTION)
3  BIG TAP BABY 3 3 52¼ 54   56¼ 512¼ (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 12% 7.30 6.70  
  (by TAPWRIT out of BIG GAME BABY by GOLD TRIBUTE)
2  CLASSIC WARRIOR 2 2 2nk 21   611¼ 634 (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00 51.70  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of CLASSY BECK by SKY CLASSIC)
4  APRIORITY AVENGER 4 5 42¼ 76½   714¼ 737¼ (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 122 3.00 24% 3.10 3.50  
  (by APRIORITY out of IRISH AVENGER by IRISH OPEN)
1  SAINT DADDY 1 1 1nk 810½   8100 8100 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 20.00 33.40  
  (by THE DADDY out of OUR SAINT by ZARBYEV)
 
DED-7   11/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:15     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITWASTHISBIG 1 1 62½ 73½   23 11½ (arnett g)VARGAS P 118 6.00 4.20  
7  CIRCLE THE MOON 7 4 4¼ 3½   13 21½ (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 4.20  
4  TOTAL SURPRISE 4 6 2nk 41½   33½ 31½ (berndt joel)THORNTON G 120 5.00 34% 2.00 8.40 S
6  NAPOLEONIC CODE 6 7 52¼ 63   47½ 413¾ (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.50 38% 1.70 3.20  
3  PAPIRINGO 3 5 1nk 1nk   58 519¼ (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 116 12.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
8  LOST GOLD 8 8 72½ 52½   710½ 620¼ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 26.00  
5  BUD WON 5 3 3.2 2nk   68½ 722½ (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50 ★ 1.60  
2  LITTLE JONY 2 2 83½ 86½   813½ 823¾ (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 42.70  
 
DED-8   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:222 :46       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUMPIN JUDY 3 1 1nk 11½   14 12¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 1.80 42% 1.40 1.80 W
1  ANGEL'S MELODY 1 5 3.2 42   24 22¼ (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 4.90  
5  SPANISH DELIGHT 5 2 4¼ 31½   34½ 34¼ (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 3.30  
7  IZATIZ 6 4 65¾ 68   59 46 (gomez david)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00 10.30  
4  SWEET TEMPERAMENT 4 3 2nk 21½   45 57¾ (bourgeois kei)VARGAS P 116 4.50 30% 2.30 2.80  
2  SUGAR SHACK QUEEN 2 6 55¼ 57   69 610¼ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SCR  BROKE FINANCING               (jackson dway)MAGNON H 119 12.00    
 
DED-9   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DAT DARES RIGHT 1 7 2nk 1½   12 11½ (schwandt emile)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 ★ 4.00  
6  CHACHA TO CATALINA 5 3 41¾ 31½   32 21½ (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 6% 15.10 1.10 P
10  FLYING I 9 1 1nk 2½   22 34½ (west henry)STOKES A 123 8.00 6.70  
7  TALKABOUT 6 6 64¼ 55   45 46¼ (woodley car)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 10.00 8.70  
5  LIL PARTY CRASHER 4 4 86¼ 88¼   79¾ 513 (garza joaqui)EDISON JOCELYN 117 15.00 67.10  
8  SHE'S THE SHERIFF 7 9 911¼ 912¼   912¼ 616 (garcia miguel)TORRES HUGO 123 20.00 67.20  
9  SHE'SAGAMECHANGER 8 8 74¾ 78   811¼ 717 (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 120 6.00 14.10  
4  SHESTHEBIGGAME 3 5 52¼ 65   68¼ 817¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
3  E R'S MIREYA 2 2 3.2 43   58 918 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 5.00 6% 16.00 4.80  
SCR  GRACE'S VISION               (daigle walte)SALAZAR TERESA 115 15.00    
SCR  JENNYSBIGBABY               (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  TENSAS LU LU               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.00 66% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.