Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (9/1/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/10)-(9/1/6/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/10)-(9/1/6/2/10)-(9/1/6/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/6/10)-(3/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/10)-(3/5/2/7)-(6/9/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/7)-(6/9/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/7)-(6/9/8/7)-(3/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/8/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/7)-(3/4/6)-(3/9/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/9/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/9/5/6)-(4/5/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/6)-(3/9/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/6)-(3/9/5/6)-(3/9/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/5/6)-(4/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/6)-(4/5/8/3)-(6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (4/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/3)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/3)-(6/4/3)-(3/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3/4/2)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-8   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY PAYNTER Oct18 Sep05 Aug24 Jul20 Jul12 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00 29% 2.50    
2  CHEATIN CHARLIE Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 Apr22 Feb10 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 116 4.00 ★    
3  HEARTTHROB HALO Oct20 Jul20 Jun22 May26 Apr28 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 116 6.00    
4  NOW NOW MAN Oct18 Jul31 Jul01 Dec09 Sep11 (nelson r)STOKES A 116 20.00    
5  MORE LIKE IT Oct19 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 Jun09 (cormier houston)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
6  OVERTAXED Aug04 Jul21 Jun04 Apr07 Oct26 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
7  SPECIAL OPERATOR Oct25 Aug12 Jun23 May20 Mar11 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
8  WEDINGTON Oct06 Aug21 Jul31 Jun03 May13 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
9  CHARMING CHARLIE Oct21 Sep03 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
10  SWEET RACHEL Oct20 Jul09 Feb28 Feb03 Jan05 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEAN CRUISER Oct25 Jul06 Jun01 May12 Apr14 (segura kearney)NEGRON LUIS 116 10.00    
SCR  FEROCITY Oct28 Sep15 Aug27 Aug12 Jun26 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
 
DED-2   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR REAL ALICE Oct12 Aug12 Jul15 Jun01 Apr21 (pitzer floy)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00    
2  HARRIET'S DREAM Oct14 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 May29 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 12% 7.50    
3  MYFRIENDSAWINNER Oct21 Aug06 Jul04 May05 Mar04 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  DEBBIES PASSAGE Oct28 Oct11 Aug06 Jul20 Jun29 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
5  TRACK SMART Oct14 Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 May28 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 29% 2.50    
6  SERAPE Oct12 Jul27 Jul15 May25 Apr22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 10.00    
7  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Oct25 Oct11 Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DOLLY'S GUITAR Oct26 Oct12 Aug12 Jul20 Jun29 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
 
DED-3   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Oct14 Sep10 Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 121 15.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
2  IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR Oct14         (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 20.00    
  (by PUCK out of THE THINGS YOU DO by PARTNER'S HERO)
3  TAKE HER AWAY Oct27 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 3.50    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of WALK AWAY RULER by ROMAN RULER)
SCR  FIST CITY         (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 121 4.50    
  (by IRON FIST out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
5  MY IDEA Oct27 Aug04       (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 121 10.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of SILLY IDEA by BERNSTEIN)
6  ONE LINE RULER Oct14 Aug04 Jun16     (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by ONE LINER out of SHEZA ROMAN RULER by ROMAN RULER)
7  REBECCA'S DREAM Oct20         (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
8  WITH A SONG         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of WITH HONORANDGRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9  SOUTHEASTER         (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 116 15.00 9% 9.90    
  (by WHENCE out of JOVE JOVE DIVE by BRIGHTON RIDGE)
 
DED-4   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAY IDE SING Aug11 Jul20 Jun24 Jun01 May12 (zenon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
SCR  FAREWELL TIME Oct18 Sep02 Aug13 Jun30 May12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50    
3  DAAHERS BULLY Oct27 Oct07 Sep29 Aug13 Jun24 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  WONDER RUN Nov01 Sep04 Jun18 May14 Feb25 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  DONNA'S COURT Oct06 Sep10 Aug21 Jun25 Jun12 (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
6  LION HEART LEGEND Oct07 Jun16 Apr29 Mar11 Feb25 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 12% 7.40    
7  MOVE IT Jun24 Jun10 Apr21 Feb09 Jan21 (arey anthon)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
8  CAJUN BERTI Oct05 Aug29 Jul24 Jun08 May06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
 
DED-5   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANET'S DEVIL Oct18 Jul28 Jun29 Jun10 May20 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 10.00    
2  MORO MAFIA Oct18 Sep10 Jul03 May13 Feb03 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 113 6.00    
3  MAJESTIC MANDATE Oct13 Jun08 Apr14 Mar11 Jan07 (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 119 10.00 26% 2.80    
4  VALIANT DEFENDER Jul15 Jun17 May22 Apr26 Mar26 (flugence he)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
5  KURT'S CHOICE Oct26 Sep03 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 (berndt joel)ROSIER R 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
6  OXXON Oct19 Sep10 Jun11 May08 Feb25 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00 8% 12.20    
7  MICHAEL'S BAD BOY Oct18 Jul28 Jun29 Jun01 May19 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
8  MAJOR DEAL Aug29 Aug12 Jul31 Jul08 May20 (tillis jerry)SALAZAR TERESA 113 20.00    
9  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Oct06 Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (richard russell )STOKES A 118 6.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  BELLA'S GATSBY Oct18 Aug06 Jun26 May21 Jan19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
SCR  BIG BROTHER Oct27 Aug05 Jul08 Jun30 May19 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 119 8.00    
 
DED-6   11/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT DADDY Aug14 Jul01       (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 20.00    
  (by THE DADDY out of OUR SAINT by ZARBYEV)
2  CLASSIC WARRIOR Sep11 Aug06 Jul03     (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of CLASSY BECK by SKY CLASSIC)
3  BIG TAP BABY Oct18 Sep13 Aug11     (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BIG GAME BABY by GOLD TRIBUTE)
4  APRIORITY AVENGER Oct18 Sep03 Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by APRIORITY out of IRISH AVENGER by IRISH OPEN)
5  NATIVE STAR Oct18         (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LUZZIANN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  BEAUDEAN Oct21 Aug10 Jul06 Jun01 May18 (granger randall)STOKES A 122 8.00    
  (by MO TOM out of ZARLA by RUN PRODUCTION)
7  PRINCE PERFECTA Jan22 Jan13 Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 2.50    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
8  BAILEYS BRO Oct26         (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MISTER DANCE out of BAILEYS LOVER by SILENT PLEASURE)
 
DED-7   11/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITWASTHISBIG Oct20 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul08 (arnett g)VARGAS P 118 6.00    
2  LITTLE JONY Sep04 Jul31 Jun19 Mar17 Jan28 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
3  PAPIRINGO Jul10 Jul01 May15 Feb28 Jan21 (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOTAL SURPRISE Aug26 Aug13 Jul19 Jul01 Jun17 (berndt joel)THORNTON G 120 5.00 34% 2.00    
5  BUD WON Oct25 Oct11 Sep02 Aug03 Jul21 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50 ★    
6  NAPOLEONIC CODE Jul03 Jun25 Apr17 Mar29 Mar18 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.50 38% 1.70    
7  CIRCLE THE MOON Sep16 Aug10 Jul03 Jun04 Jan06 (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50    
8  LOST GOLD Oct18 Aug10 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00    
 
DED-8   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL'S MELODY Sep30 Sep10 Sep03 Jul21 Jun23 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
2  SUGAR SHACK QUEEN Sep29 Aug25 Aug05 Jun28 Jun03 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUMPIN JUDY Nov01 Oct18 Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Oct12 Jun24 May11 Apr12 Feb24 (bourgeois kei)VARGAS P 116 4.50 30% 2.30    
5  SPANISH DELIGHT Sep29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00    
SCR  BROKE FINANCING Aug12 Jul21 Jun22 May11 Apr27 (jackson dway)MAGNON H 119 12.00    
7  IZATIZ Oct21 Aug27 Jul23 Mar25 Feb18 (gomez david)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00    
 
DED-9   11/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TENSAS LU LU         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.00 66% 0.50    
2  DAT DARES RIGHT Oct06 Jul21       (schwandt emile)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 ★    
3  E R'S MIREYA Oct19 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul09 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 5.00 6% 16.00    
4  SHESTHEBIGGAME Oct06 Sep10 Sep02 Jul20 Jun11 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIL PARTY CRASHER Oct19 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 (garza joaqui)EDISON JOCELYN 117 15.00    
6  CHACHA TO CATALINA Sep02 Aug05       (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 6% 15.10    
7  TALKABOUT Sep05 Jul23       (woodley car)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 10.00    
8  SHE'S THE SHERIFF Jun29 Jun02       (garcia miguel)TORRES HUGO 123 20.00    
9  SHE'SAGAMECHANGER Dec22 Dec08       (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
10  FLYING I Oct19 Oct20 Aug12 Jul14 May20 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 8.00    
SCR  JENNYSBIGBABY Oct19 Sep02 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  GRACE'S VISION Oct19 Feb20 Jan14 Dec21 Dec08 (daigle walte)SALAZAR TERESA 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.