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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			WIN	(5/6/4)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$35.52			$29.52				492%
			EXA	(5/6/4)-(5/6/4)						6	$2.00	$12.00	4-5		$85.26			$73.26				611%
CD-4			TRI	(8/11/10/7)-(8/11/10/1/7)-(8/11/10/1/7)						48	$0.50	$24.00	8-7-10		$32.59			$8.59				36%
			SFT	(8/11/10/7)-(8/11/10/1/7)-(8/11/10/1/7)-(8/11/10/1/7)						96	$0.10	$9.60	8-7-10-1		$53.96			$44.36				462%
CD-6			WIN	(10/3/8/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$9.60			$1.60				20%
CD-7			DD	(10/3/8/6)-(3/4/6)						12	$1.00	$12.00	3-4		$18.03			$6.03				50%
CD-8			WIN	(6/4)						2	$2.00	$4.00	4		$8.00			$4.00				100%
			DD	(3/4/6)-(6/4)						6	$1.00	$6.00	4-4		$13.00			$7.00				117%
			PK3	(10/3/8/6)-(3/4/6)-(6/4)						24	$0.50	$12.00	3-4-4		$47.66			$35.66				297%
CD-10			WIN	(10/8/1/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	2		$25.86			$17.86				223%
			EXA	(10/8/1/2)-(10/8/1/6/2)						16	$2.00	$32.00	2-10		$105.96			$73.96				231%
			TRI	(10/8/1/2)-(10/8/1/6/2)-(10/8/1/6/2)						48	$0.50	$24.00	2-10-1		$146.29			$122.29				510%
			SFT	(10/8/1/2)-(10/8/1/6/2)-(10/8/1/6/2)-(10/8/1/6/2)						96	$0.10	$9.60	2-10-1-6		$144.65			$135.05				1407%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/12/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($66K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	MIDNIGHT TANGO									(pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 121						12.00		5%		19.00		16.76	W
5	EAST SHORE									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118						1.80		50%		1.00		1.27	P
1	WITS AND WAGERS									(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118						3.00						3.06
3	LADY MERCEDES									(forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 121						8.00						6.31
2	OVERINDULGENCE									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118						4.50						7.74
6	AZURA									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						2.50		21%		3.70		3.58

CD-2			11/12/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($80K)					Purse ($73K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LARK'S MISCHIEF									(asmussen )TORRES A 118						1.80						0.38
5	WAKE SURF									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 120						12.00						3.65
2	RUGGS									(moquett )SANTANA JR 120						6.00		41%		1.50		2.61	S
SCR	ELI'S PROMISE									(divito p)SAEZ LUIS 118						6.00
SCR	ELITE FORCES									(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						1.60
SCR	MAJOR BLUE									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						5.00

CD-3			11/12/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	LOU ANNA									(tomlinson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						8.00						7.65
		(by FAST ANNA out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
6	BETTE DAVIS									(tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 119						6.00		11%		7.90		4.18	P
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of POST SCRIPT by QUALITY ROAD)
8	DANCING PRINCESS									(spicer james )LEBRON VICTOR 119						4.00		17%		5.00		3.46	S
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of CASTINETTE DANCER by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
1	MO'S VINO MESA									(thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.50		49%		1.10		1.23
		(by VINO ROSSO out of SNOW MESA by SKY MESA)
7	CHOCTAW GRACE									(humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 119						5.00						7.70
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SARAH HER HIGHNESS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
9	PARTAKE									(wojczynski )PETERSON FERRIN 119						6.00						9.07
		(by FIRST SAMURAI out of MINCE by WAR FRONT)
3	YAREE D TAT									(gilliam james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119						15.00						54.71
		(by RAISON D'ETAT out of TRUE LOVE IS YARE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR	NAUGHTY MISS									(roberson )HERNANDEZ J 119						5.00
		(by FREE DROP BILLY out of INCLUDING by INCLUDE)
SCR	PRIX									(wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119						12.00
		(by DIALED IN out of TAHFEEZ by ALJABR)

CD-4			11/12/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	MYSTIK DAN									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						2.00		58%		0.70		0.82	W
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of MA'AM by COLONEL JOHN)
7	EUSEBIUS									(mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00		5%		19.00		6.43	P
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of AWESOME ASHLEY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10	EVAN ON EARTH									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.50		8%		11.90		9.95	S
		(by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
1	CHUN MONEY									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						8.00		★				11.40
		(by MITOLE out of MY LADY LAUREN by HARD SPUN)
2	GRAND EMPEROR									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						10.00						26.43
		(by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OFF MY STAGE by MORE THAN READY)
9	HENRO									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						10.00						15.59
		(by COLLECTED out of STREET MINSTREL by STREET CRY (IRE))
11	FLOTATION STATION									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119						3.50		13%		6.50		7.67
		(by EXAGGERATOR out of CHRISTINA'S COMET by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6	JOE SHIESTY									(foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119						15.00						27.67
		(by AIR FORCE BLUE out of READY TO UNLEASH by MORE THAN READY)
4	MIGHTY MESSAGE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						8.00						9.31
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of GIANT REVIEW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3	BRODY									(pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119						20.00						65.73
		(by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CINNIE by MARTE)
SCR	NATIONAL ECLIPSE									(williamson bri)ASHTON GAVIN 119						20.00
		(by ALTERNATION out of MIDNIGHT ECLIPSE by MALIBU MOON)

CD-5			11/12/2023		7260ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	ANATOLIAN									(maker michael )CHUAN MARTIN 121						6.00						3.25
9	MUSIC STREET									(beckman d)LEPAROUX R 121						3.00						2.18
1	LADY ARSINOE									(mott i)GRAHAM J 121						8.00						9.43
2	PRETTY PROVOCATIVE									(molloy thoma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						12.00						18.34
6	SHE'S GONE									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121						5.00		20%		4.10		3.51
3	QUERIDINHA LECA									(lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121						20.00		7%		13.90		11.36
5	STIR CRAZY									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.00		44%		1.30		3.70
SCR	CREATIVE CAIRO									(schultz l)LEPAROUX R 121						2.50
SCR	LILAC GIRL									(thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 121						3.50

CD-6			11/12/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	SHE'S MAGIC									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121						2.50		25%		3.00		3.80	W
2	AREUHAVINGFUNYET									(sims p)ACHARD ALEX 121						15.00						10.26
5	EVIE'S ENCORE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						3.50		★				2.61	S
4	MIKITA									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						4.00						7.21
8	BATTLING BUBBLES									(hiles je)SANTANA JR 121						8.00		5%		18.30		7.63
10	BIG DIG									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121						3.00		47%		1.10		2.37
1	AMAZON BARBIE									(cunningha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						20.00						21.34
7	LADY ROBO									(holden darragh)ELLIOTT JANE 121						15.00						56.70
6	NEWYEARSPRESENT									(o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 124						20.00		5%		19.00		48.38
9	PROUD PERFORMER									(king l)CANNON DECLAN 121						30.00						43.74

CD-7			11/12/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	NASH									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						2.00		12%		7.40		1.91	W
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SARA LOUISE by MALIBU MOON)
2	JUSTIFREAK									(kenneally )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						10.00						29.55
		(by JUSTIFY out of THE SCHVAGEN by MATTY G)
9	RESILIENCE									(mott i)GRAHAM J 119						6.00		★				4.64	S
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEADOWSWEET by SMART STRIKE)
5	NYQUIST FREQUENCY									(blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						10.00						30.38
		(by NYQUIST out of IS IT GOLD by INDYGO SHINER)
3	BE YOU									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119						1.60		61%		0.60		1.43
		(by CURLIN out of JACARANDA by CONGRATS)
6	DJANGO									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						8.00		5%		18.20		5.86
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DAY OF VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
1	NUEVO EMPIRE									(medina ro)LEPAROUX R 119						15.00						25.85
		(by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CLEVERLY by TAPIT)
8	CRUSADING									(asmussen )TORRES A 119						15.00						49.98
		(by CURLIN out of BELLAVAIS by TAPIT)
7	NULLIFY									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						30.00						70.32
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLAME IT ON ALPHIE by BLAME)

CD-8			11/12/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	DOCTOR NASH									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121						5.00		13%		6.70		3.00	W
1	WATASHA									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						1.40						1.10
6	RUNGIUS									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						1.60		54%		0.90		2.27	S
7	SEVEN FLAT									(moquett e)BEJARANO R 121						10.00						6.35
5	HOODLUM									(stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						12.00						20.78
SCR	LIAM THE BRAVE									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121						12.00
SCR	STIRDATPOT									(londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 121						12.00

CD-9			11/12/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($148K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
12	COPPOLA									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122						12.00						4.62
2	EDGE TO EDGE									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						20.00						1.50
1	JUST MIGHT									(lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120						20.00						2.36
10	LET MY PEOPLE GO									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120						6.00		22%		3.60		5.79
4	HEAVEN STREET									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						4.50		55%		0.80		4.22
SCR	MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE									(cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122						6.00
SCR	OCEANIC									(blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						12.00
SCR	OUTADORE									(ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120						4.00
SCR	PURPLE DREAM									(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120						8.00
SCR	SOSUA SUMMER									(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122						12.00
SCR	MARK OF THE Z									(rodriguez)LEPAROUX R 120						15.00
SCR	FRONT RUN THE FED									(caramori c)CORRALES GERARDO 124						8.00
SCR	ZOOMBIE									(walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 120						20.00
SCR	BAD BEAT BRIAN									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 120						5.00
SCR	ARREST ME RED									(ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120						5.00
SCR	CLOUDY									(mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120						12.00

CD-10			11/12/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	KITTY HAWK (GB)									(oliver )DE CRUZ 119						12.00		5%		19.00		11.93	W
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of KOMBAT KITTY by WILDCAT HEIR)
10	RAPOPORT									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.00		57%		0.80		1.48	P
		(by CONSTITUTION out of TIZ BREATHTAKING by TIZNOW)
1	RIVETAGE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						10.00		9%		10.20		5.92	S
		(by FROSTED out of POSSE NEEDED by CALEB'S POSSE)
6	MASMAK									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.50		★				4.39
		(by VINO ROSSO out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8	COLLINS									(walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119						10.00		9%		10.00		17.70
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY LAVERY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7	WORKISLIFE									(o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 119						12.00						13.50
		(by SPEIGHTSTER out of NODOUBTABOUTHER by BERNARDINI)
3	CHAPERONE									(moquett )SANTANA JR 119						8.00						7.77
		(by CURLIN out of IT TIZ WELL by ARCH)
4	WARP NINE									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119						4.00						10.17
		(by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
9	HOPE JOE'S RIGHT									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00						31.70
		(by KLIMT out of TIZJET by TIZNOW)
5	J BIRD TIME									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00						20.71
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of RUNAWAY RENEE by MUNNINGS)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.