Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
CD-3   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (8/11/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (10/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-9   Win (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-10   Win (10/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   11/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITS AND WAGERS Oct18 Sep03 Aug19 Jul15 Jun16 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
2  OVERINDULGENCE Oct20 Oct01 Aug28 Jul23 Jun11 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 4.50    
3  LADY MERCEDES Oct19 Jun24 Jun02     (forster gran)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
4  MIDNIGHT TANGO Sep13 Apr19 Feb25 Nov24 Nov06 (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  EAST SHORE Oct18 Jul22 Jun11 May25 Apr07 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 1.80 50% 1.00    
6  AZURA Oct02 Sep09 Apr27 Apr03 Feb20 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
CD-2   11/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELITE FORCES Oct13 Aug20 Jun25     (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60    
2  RUGGS Sep07 Aug03 Jun27 May19 Apr28 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 41% 1.50    
3  LARK'S MISCHIEF Sep20 Jul30 Jun23 May28 Apr08 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 1.80    
SCR  ELI'S PROMISE Oct25 Aug20 Jul31 Jun25 May28 (divito p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
5  WAKE SURF Oct06 Sep02 Jun24 May13 Dec15 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00    
SCR  MAJOR BLUE Oct25 Sep20 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
 
CD-3   11/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO'S VINO MESA         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  PRIX Nov01 Oct04       (wojczy)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 12.00    
3  YAREE D TAT Oct06 Aug02       (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 15.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY MISS Sep20 Aug11 Jul16 Jun25   (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
5  LOU ANNA Oct26 Sep08 Aug31 Jul20 May27 (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
6  BETTE DAVIS Sep21         (tomlinson michae)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 11% 7.90    
7  CHOCTAW GRACE Oct08 Sep20 Aug11     (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
8  DANCING PRINCESS Oct29 Sep27 Jun25 Jun10   (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.00 17% 5.00    
9  PARTAKE Oct10 Sep07 Aug10 Jun25 Jun10 (wojczynski ju)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00    
 
CD-4   11/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUN MONEY         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 ★    
2  GRAND EMPEROR         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
3  BRODY         (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
4  MIGHTY MESSAGE         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
SCR  NATIONAL ECLIPSE         (williamson brian)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
6  JOE SHIESTY         (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00    
7  EUSEBIUS         (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MYSTIK DAN Oct22         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
9  HENRO         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
10  EVAN ON EARTH         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 8% 11.90    
11  FLOTATION STATION Sep22 Aug20 Jul23     (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
CD-5   11/12/2023 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ARSINOE Oct07 Aug31 Jul01 May27 Apr26 (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
2  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE Sep10 Aug19 Jun29 May29 Jan22 (molloy thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
3  QUERIDINHA LECA Oct18 Aug18 Jul19 Mar02 Dec28 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  CREATIVE CAIRO Oct15 Sep16 Aug12 Nov12 Oct20 (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50    
5  STIR CRAZY Sep15 Aug02 Jun23 Jun10 Feb25 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  SHE'S GONE Oct15 Sep15 Aug11 Jul01 May18 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 20% 4.10    
7  ANATOLIAN Oct04 Aug25 Jul26 Jul04 Jun01 (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00    
SCR  LILAC GIRL Oct11 Sep09 Apr23 Feb25   (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50    
9  MUSIC STREET Oct18 Sep22 Aug11 May27 May05 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
 
CD-6   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZON BARBIE Aug17         (cunningham )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
2  AREUHAVINGFUNYET Sep27         (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00    
3  SHE'S MAGIC Sep21 Aug26 Jul23 Jun03 Apr29 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  MIKITA Sep28 Aug28 Jun22 Jan28   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
5  EVIE'S ENCORE Sep23 Jul23 Jun10 May13   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 ★    
6  NEWYEARSPRESENT Jul08 Jun18 Jun02 May05 Apr01 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  LADY ROBO Oct22         (holden darragh)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
8  BATTLING BUBBLES Feb18 Feb05 Jan06 Jul19   (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 5% 18.30    
9  PROUD PERFORMER Nov04 Sep28 Aug29 Aug01 Jul08 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00    
10  BIG DIG Sep28 Aug30 Jul15 Nov17 Sep29 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
CD-7   11/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUEVO EMPIRE Oct14 Sep22       (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
2  JUSTIFREAK Oct18         (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
3  BE YOU Oct07 Sep04 Aug05     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60 61% 0.60    
4  NASH Oct07         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 12% 7.40    
5  NYQUIST FREQUENCY Oct18 Sep17       (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
6  DJANGO Oct14 Sep15 Aug05 Jul01   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 18.20    
7  NULLIFY Oct18 Aug12       (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
8  CRUSADING Oct01 Sep03 Aug12     (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 15.00    
9  RESILIENCE Oct01 Sep01       (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 ★    
 
CD-8   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATASHA Sep27 Aug17 Jun25 May26 May19 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40    
SCR  STIRDATPOT Oct23 Jul22 Jul06 Apr29 Jun19 (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 121 12.00    
SCR  LIAM THE BRAVE Sep11 Aug06 Jul19 Jun10 May24 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
4  DOCTOR NASH Sep30 Sep02 Jan29 Dec11 Nov06 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 5.00 13% 6.70    
5  HOODLUM Feb25 Feb15 Jan21 Jan08 Dec17 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
6  RUNGIUS Oct12 Sep14 Aug18 Dec10 Nov13 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.60 54% 0.90    
7  SEVEN FLAT Oct11 Aug19 Jul21 Jun02 May13 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST MIGHT Oct15 Sep05 Aug06 Jul07 May26 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
2  EDGE TO EDGE May06 Apr15 Mar18 Feb17 Jan08 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
SCR  OCEANIC Oct08 Aug06 Jul01 May23 May06 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
4  HEAVEN STREET Oct15 Sep02 Jul04 Jun01 May06 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Oct15 Sep02 Jun25 Apr08 Mar10 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
SCR  FRONT RUN THE FED Sep09 Jul22 Jun10 Apr22 Dec31 (caramori cai)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00    
SCR  ARREST ME RED Sep02 Jul26 Jun10 May06 Apr08 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN Oct07 Sep09 Aug06 May26 May06 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 5.00    
SCR  PURPLE DREAM Sep03 Jun25 Apr26 Mar18 Jan14 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
10  LET MY PEOPLE GO Oct07 Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 May29 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MARK OF THE Z Oct15 Jun21 Apr22 Apr08 Dec03 (rodriguez j)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
12  COPPOLA Oct07 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jun10 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00    
SCR  CLOUDY Oct15 Sep03 Oct23 Sep14 Aug06 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00    
SCR  ZOOMBIE Oct21 Sep18 Jul03 Jun05 Oct04 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER Sep22 Aug24 Jul27 Jun09 Apr20 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  OUTADORE Sep13 Jul22 Feb17 Jan01 Oct28 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
 
CD-10   11/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVETAGE Oct18 Sep22 Sep02     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 9% 10.20    
2  KITTY HAWK (GB) Oct07 Aug27 Jul30     (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHAPERONE Sep15 Aug12       (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
4  WARP NINE Oct26 Sep15 Aug13     (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 4.00    
5  J BIRD TIME Sep22         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
6  MASMAK Sep22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 ★    
7  WORKISLIFE Oct25 Oct07 Sep17     (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
8  COLLINS Sep15 Aug13 Jul08     (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 9% 10.00    
9  HOPE JOE'S RIGHT Sep21         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
10  RAPOPORT Oct07         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.