The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - November 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
AQU-2   Win (4/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $4.40 -8.00
AQU-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.90 -6.00
AQU-4   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
AQU-5   Win (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.60 -6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/3/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $19.00 $19.00 9.00
AQU-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.10 $3.10 -2.90
AQU-8   Win (1/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
AQU-9   Win (7/9/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 0.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 8 4 2nk 11 11 2nk 1½ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 8% 10.80 1.60 W
TETSU 4 6 52 42 21 1nk 2½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 58% 0.70 2.10  
HIGHER QUALITY 3 7 75 7 77 535 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 6.60  
COOL QUARTET 1 5 6 6 6 64(noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
1A  GOT THUNDER 7 3 3½ 21 42 34 57 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00 2.10  
BUSTIN SHOUT 5 1 4 5 5 46(rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 116 10.00 8% 11.70 9.30  
LEDDY 2 8 8 8 8 8714½ (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 26.25  
MISTER J T 6 2 1nk 31 32 7818¼ (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 4.80  
 
AQU-2   11/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROGENY 8 2 21 11   11(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 1.20  
YOU'RE FOREVER 4 1 31 3   22(mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 45% 1.20 6.10 P
LA PICASITA 3 6 7 66   58 3(antonucci jen)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 24.00  
UNION BELLE 5 3 5 5   48 4(rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 16% 5.20 2.00  
TO BE LOVED BY YOU 7 8 4 4   35(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 8% 11.40 11.50  
MEL'S ANGEL 2 4 65 79   711¼ 615 (giddings)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 12.20  
TAP THE KEG 6 5 11 21   6716 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 17.10  
MISS PLA 1 7 810 819   823¼ 825¼ (jimenez jo)DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 50.50  
 
AQU-3   11/12/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:143 1:382   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGNATOR 4 6 5 5 3 12 1(mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 2.45  
COSTA TERRA 2 3 32 4 42 32(rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 23% 3.30 1.50 P
LITTLE DEMON 5 1 11 11 1½ 22 3(ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 31% 2.20 3.90 S
PORTOS 6 4 42 33 2½ 44(potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 29.50  
GUNTOWN 3 5 64 67 6 5512½ (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 20% 4.00 14.40  
GOOD SKATE 1 2 21 21 5 633½ 690¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 3.75  
 
AQU-4   11/12/2023 7260ft TURF FIRM Long Island Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:143 1:391 2:03 2:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R CALLI KIM 4 66 53 5 3½ 1(walsh p)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 16% 5.30 1.20 W
RHOMBIQUE 5 55 63 42 41 2(ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00 41.25  
VERGARA 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 11 2nk 3(motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 125 1.20 52% 0.90 2.25 S
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 21 1nk 4(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 8% 11.40 5.40  
EMBRACE ME 6 77 75 6 56 5(albertrani th)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 50.00 56.75  
UNRULY JULIE 7 33 31 31 610 613 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 17.60  
ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) 3 42 42 42 7 735 7100 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 4.20  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 1.80    
 
AQU-5   11/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVINGS RATE 3 1 31 5   3½ 1(brown c)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 2.80  
LOGIN REQUIRED 5 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 2(nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 5% 17.60 9.10 P
1A  XCELLENT MEN 2 6 5 2nk   2nk 3(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 4.40  
WAR STRIDE 4 2 41 3½   44 46 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 12% 7.60 6.20  
GOLDEN SOMBRERO 7 3 2½ 4¾   5510¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 54% 0.80 1.00  
PARTY WITH SMARTY 6 5 77 6   610½ 613½ (gutierrez james)MARTIN MATTIE 115 30.00 67.75  
FOREIGN INFLUENCE 1 7 66 7100   7100 7100 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 4.40  
SCR  RESPIRATOR               (jones c)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
SCR  VENGE               (ribaudo robe)RIVERA R 117 20.00    
 
AQU-6   11/12/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:223 :474 1:124 1:363   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURING ANGEL (GB) 4 2 44 3 4 2nk 1nk (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 28% 2.60 8.50 W
NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) 2 3 57 55 53 1nk 2nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 25% 3.10 2.05 P
10  ZIPADOO 10 9 89 87 8 3.2 3¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 6.60  
SWOOP TO FINISH 3 8 7 7 7 54(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00 5.80  
IN TIME (FR) 9 4 1 11 1½ 4¾ 5(clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 5% 19.00 3.10  
DREAMAWAYSEVEN 7 1 2 21 2½ 76(englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 68.00  
UNION DOLLY 5 10 1012 1010 10 97(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 20% 3.90 12.30  
VIENNA CODE 6 5 34 4 63 887 (williams o)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00 94.75  
WESTERN LANE 1 7 910 98 9 1098 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 20.00 32.50  
SHE'S MO BUBBLY 8 6 68 6 31 61012¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 7.60  
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50    
 
AQU-7   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:111 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO THIRTY FIVE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1 11(noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 26% 2.90 0.55 W
ALFIO 4 5 5 42 34 35 2(walder r)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 9.80  
MARKET ALERT 3 2 2½ 2½ 2 234 (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 118 4.50 21% 3.80 2.85 S
DURKIN'S CALL 5 3 32 52 44 44(sells rachel)RUIZ ELISEO 116 8.00 6.00  
KLICKITAT 1 4 4 3 5 511½ 513 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00 17% 4.80 14.50  
SCR  SIX PERCENT               (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS               (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 116 30.00    
SCR  INVISIBLE WAR               (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
SCR  STYNER               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50    
SCR  BEACHWALKER               (persaud randi)LUZZI J 121 12.00    
 
AQU-8   11/12/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Artie Schiller Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:111 1:224   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG EVEREST (GB) 3 5 21 32 32 31 1¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 16% 5.20 5.90 W
EXACT ESTIMATE 5 3 32 2 21 21 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 6.10  
MASEN (GB) 7 1 11 1 11 11 3(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 28% 2.50 3.90 S
PIONEERING SPIRIT 1 7 53 5 53 54(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 29% 2.40 2.80  
JERRY THE NIPPER 4 2 64 75 7 652 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 3.80  
JAMES ALOYSIUS 2 6 7 6 6 46(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
WICKED FINN 6 8 8 8 8 87(kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 30.00 35.25  
ST ANTHONY 8 4 43 4 42 78(drysdale neil)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00 7.10  
SCR  BRING ME A CHECK               (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  KINETIC SKY               (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 121 4.00    
SCR  OFFALY COOL               (solis jacinto)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 2.00    
 
AQU-9   11/12/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:232 :462 :573     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH CRUISER 7 2 1½ 1½   112 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 116 2.50 39% 1.60 3.00 W
THE BIG TORPEDO 8 4 42 31   222 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 4.80 P
LOTSA TROUBLE 9 1 2½ 2½   333 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 26% 2.80 1.95 S
GOD LAUGHS 4 6 3 4   44(baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 31.50  
OUTTAWATERBURY 6 3 8 79   610½ 510 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 19.90  
TEMPESTA CREMISI 2 7 64 5   5610½ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 20.00 50.25  
DIANNESRETIRING 3 8 1010½ 912½   715 714¾ (baker charlton)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00 11% 7.90 6.20  
FRANKIE R. 1 10 910½ 1013   815¼ 815¼ (coffey marialice)USKE S 119 30.00 54.00  
10  TIZ THE PRINCE 10 9 76 812½   915¾ 916¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
MAMA'S DREAM 5 5 5 68   1020¾ 1035¼ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 6.50  
SCR  BALLYHEIGUE               (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
SCR  ELYSIAN MEADOWS               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
SCR  IN A MINUTE               (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
SCR  LONCHURA               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 116 10.00    
SCR  MAZZEI               (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  SAHANATIEN               (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.