Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - November 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (4/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/3/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (1/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (7/9/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TETSU Oct28 Oct18 Aug18 Jul22 Jun23 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
1A  GOT THUNDER Oct26 Aug05 Jun18 Apr30 Mar17 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00    
COOL QUARTET Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 Jul08 Jun24 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEDDY Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
HIGHER QUALITY Oct22 Sep21 Sep08 Jul22 Jun24 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
BUSTIN SHOUT Nov03 Sep16 Aug23 Jul14 Jun13 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 116 10.00 8% 11.70    
MISTER J T Oct22 Sep28 Sep13 Aug20 Jul29 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Oct28 Oct09 Sep03 Jul14 Apr15 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 8% 10.80    
 
AQU-2   11/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PLA         (jimenez jo)DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
MEL'S ANGEL Oct20 Oct10 Jul26     (giddings)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
LA PICASITA Sep16 Jul08       (antonucci jen)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
YOU'RE FOREVER         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
UNION BELLE Oct14         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 16% 5.20    
TAP THE KEG Sep16 Aug09 Jul13     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
TO BE LOVED BY YOU Oct01         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 8% 11.40    
PROGENY Oct21 Sep16 Sep03     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60    
 
AQU-3   11/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SKATE Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 Jul01 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
COSTA TERRA Oct13 Oct01 Aug18 Aug09 Jul21 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 23% 3.30    
GUNTOWN Oct21 Oct01 Sep02 Aug13 Aug03 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 20% 4.00    
SIGNATOR Oct21 Oct06 Aug30 Aug05 Oct14 (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00    
LITTLE DEMON Sep30 Sep06 Aug22 Jul23 Jun25 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
PORTOS Nov02 Oct13 Sep21 Sep10 Aug18 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00    
 
AQU-4   11/12/2023 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Long Island Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Sep22 Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 May26 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 8% 11.40    
VERGARA Oct22 Sep09 Aug03 Jun17 May20 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 125 1.20 52% 0.90    
ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) Oct08 Sep09 Jul15 Jun16 May05 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00    
R CALLI KIM Oct15 Aug31 Jul23 Jul03 May26 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 16% 5.30    
RHOMBIQUE Sep22 Sep01 Jul26 Jul04 Nov27 (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
EMBRACE ME Sep22 Aug25 Jul26 Jun29 May29 (albertrani th)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 50.00    
UNRULY JULIE Oct19 Sep02 Aug02 Jul01 Jun17 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Oct29 Sep04 Aug27 Jul26 Jul02 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 1.80    
 
AQU-5   11/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREIGN INFLUENCE Oct13 Aug17 Jul30 May29 May06 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
1A  XCELLENT MEN Oct28 Aug03       (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00    
SCR  VENGE Oct13 Jul01 May21 Apr21 Jan14 (ribaudo robe)RIVERA R 117 20.00    
SAVINGS RATE         (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
WAR STRIDE Sep17 Aug11       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
LOGIN REQUIRED Oct15 Feb11 Dec16 Nov06 Aug22 (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  RESPIRATOR Oct25 Sep26 Sep11 Aug29 Aug22 (jones c)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
PARTY WITH SMARTY Sep17 Aug26 Aug04 Jul15   (gutierrez james)MARTIN MATTIE 115 30.00    
GOLDEN SOMBRERO May06 Apr07 Mar05     (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 54% 0.80    
 
AQU-6   11/12/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Apr14 Nov27 Oct01 Sep13 Aug04 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE) Oct05 Jul02 Jun03 May07 Mar04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50    
WESTERN LANE Aug18 Jul19 Jun22 May28 Feb10 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 20.00    
NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) Oct12 Aug17       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
SWOOP TO FINISH Sep01 Jul04 Jun16 Oct29 Sep11 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00    
UNION DOLLY Jun01 May26 Apr21 Jan25 Dec23 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 20% 3.90    
VIENNA CODE Aug09 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May18 (williams o)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
DREAMAWAYSEVEN Sep24 Jul04 Apr28 Mar30 Mar17 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S MO BUBBLY Sep22 Aug30 Jul29 Jun03 Apr08 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
IN TIME (FR)         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  ZIPADOO Oct14 Aug25 Dec26 Oct27   (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
AQU-7   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO THIRTY FIVE Oct14 Oct05 Sep21 Aug10 Jul13 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  STYNER Oct17 Sep06 Aug25 Jul24 Jun26 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50    
KLICKITAT Oct06 Sep15 Jul27 Jun17 May14 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  INVISIBLE WAR Sep21 Sep03 Aug03 Jul14 Jun17 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS Oct27 Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 Jun17 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 116 30.00    
SCR  SIX PERCENT Oct22 Sep21 Jun11 Apr14 Mar11 (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
MARKET ALERT Oct04 Jul23 May27 May14 Apr16 (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
ALFIO Sep14 Aug13 Aug05 Jul14 Jul02 (walder r)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
DURKIN'S CALL Oct21 Oct05 Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 (sells rachel)RUIZ ELISEO 116 8.00    
SCR  BEACHWALKER Oct14 Oct04 Aug05 Jul05 May15 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 121 12.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE May04 Apr01 Feb25 Feb10 Dec15 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
 
AQU-8   11/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Artie Schiller Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIONEERING SPIRIT Oct20 Oct07 Sep04 Aug26 Jul27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  BRING ME A CHECK Sep22 Sep04 Aug23 Jul26 Jul07 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
JAMES ALOYSIUS Oct19 Aug26 Jul20 May27 Apr15 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIG EVEREST (GB) Aug13 Jul15 May27 Apr15 Nov13 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
JERRY THE NIPPER Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul30 Jul03 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
EXACT ESTIMATE Sep21 Jul20 Jun17 Apr26 Mar17 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00    
WICKED FINN Sep04 Aug11 Jul14 May24 Apr22 (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 30.00    
MASEN (GB) Oct08 Oct08 Aug13 Jun18 May22 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
ST ANTHONY Sep04 Jul28 Jul04 May11 Dec03 (drysdale neil)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00    
SCR  OFFALY COOL Oct17 Sep04 Jul28 Jun26 Jun07 (solis jacinto)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Oct29 Oct01 Sep21 Sep15 Aug11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 2.00    
SCR  KINETIC SKY Sep21 Sep15 Jun15 Apr30 Mar04 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 121 4.00    
 
AQU-9   11/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKIE R.         (coffey marialice)USKE S 119 30.00    
TEMPESTA CREMISI         (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 20.00    
DIANNESRETIRING Sep04         (baker charlton)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00 11% 7.90    
GOD LAUGHS Oct05         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
MAMA'S DREAM Sep21         (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
OUTTAWATERBURY         (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
BEACH CRUISER Oct21         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 116 2.50 39% 1.60    
THE BIG TORPEDO         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
LOTSA TROUBLE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
10  TIZ THE PRINCE         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAHANATIEN         (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
SCR  BALLYHEIGUE         (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
SCR  MAZZEI         (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  LONCHURA Jul09 May28 May11     (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 116 10.00    
SCR  ELYSIAN MEADOWS         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
SCR  IN A MINUTE Oct13 Sep14       (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.