Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-2   EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $21.70 $9.70 81%
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-6-4 $37.90 $25.90 216%
FG-5   EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $15.60 $3.60 30%
FG-9   WIN (2/3/11/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $20.80 $10.80 108%
    EXA (2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-12 $47.90 $27.90 140%
    TRI (2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-12-3 $115.25 $85.25 284%
    SFT (2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12) 120 $0.10 $12.00  11-12-3-5 $221.17 $209.17 1743%
    DD (8/4/10)-(2/3/11/5/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-11 $32.50 $17.50 117%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :473 :60     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLING 3 3 2nk 1nk   1 1 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 54% 0.90 1.40 W
NICELY UNIFIED 6 2 3.2 2nk   2 2 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.50 11% 8.30 2.10 P
STRUMMIN MARY 2 4 5 5   3 3 (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 15.00 19.90  
KASENS TRIBE 4 6 4 42   4 4 (daigle)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00 36.00  
EASY ACES 1 5 6 6   68 5 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 124 4.00 2.70  
SAINT MARY 5 1 1nk 3½   56 612¾ (brinkman bre)TORRES A 122 6.00 9% 10.00 6.20  
SCR  ASPEN LINK               (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
SCR  HALF HOUR TO GLORY               (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
 
FG-2   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAICI 3 1 2½ 2nk 12 12 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 18% 4.40 1.50 W
FABLED RULER 6 8 6 6 3 22 2 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 118 6.00 37% 1.70 15.40 P
CHILI RED 4 4 57 5 4 4 3 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 18% 4.60 4.80 S
TIME TO MEDDLE 1 2 1½ 1nk 22 3 412¾ (forster g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 1.30  
SWIFT N TRAFFIC 8 5 4 44 58 6 517½ (mouton chadwick)MCMAHON J 115 5.00 11.40  
CLASSIC RUNNER 5 3 34 3 7 7 617¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 28.10  
I DONT KNOW EITHER 7 7 814½ 811¾ 811 57 717¾ (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 110 15.00 60.80  
COME ON COME ON 2 6 7 7 68 8 820¾ (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
 
FG-3   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTTHROB HALO 5 5 5 32   33 1½ (breaux samu)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 12% 7.10 1.60 W
CHEATIN CHARLIE 8 1 2½ 1½   1½ 2½ (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.50 3.70  
GALLANT BUCK 2 2 1½ 2½   2½ 3 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.50 2.00  
OVER CALENDARED 7 3 3 4   712 4 (hernandez javie)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 27.10  
KEESAWAH 3 6 6 6   610½ 5 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 5.00 5% 18.60 11.00  
VETERAN'S HOLIDAY 1 8 89 89   46 610½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
CREME DE BALI 4 4 42 53   58 711½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 52% 0.90 8.50  
PREFERITO DA BARBI 6 7 7 77   813½ 815½ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 27.40  
SCR  UNCLE NICK               (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
 
FG-4   11/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:244 :502 1:153 1:393   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROFESSOR HIGGINS 5 3 3 3 31 2½ 1hd (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 1.30  
SOLOMON VANDY 3 4 4 4 4 32 2hd (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 121 4.50 19% 4.20 3.20 P
GOD OF WINE 7 1 11 1nk 1nk 1½ 3½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 7.20  
FOE 2 6 6 56 53 54 4 (rubley kelly)PARKER L 121 8.00 12.30  
BENISSIMO 6 2 21 2nk 2nk 4 5 (arey anthony)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 6.00 15% 5.50 17.20  
WHISKEY AND EASY 4 5 5 6 64 68 6 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 6.00 39% 1.60 6.40  
MOESAHANDFUL 1 7 713½ 710¾ 7 716 726½ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 5.10  
SCR  REGIMENTAL               (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00    
 
FG-5   11/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:123 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYVESTAR 2 1 2 2 12 12 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 12% 7.00 2.60 W
COMMANDER SCOTT 1 4 34 3 3 22 2 (ducoing sturges)LANERIE J 121 4.00 20% 4.10 4.50 P
GO BROTHER GO 8 5 67 45 5 45 37 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00 17.00  
JOEY'S GAME 4 6 57 5 4 5 4 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.50 11% 8.20 3.60  
CAJUN CRAZY 6 2 1 1 22 34 5 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 34% 1.90 1.40  
JIMMIE'S HALO 5 7 7 77 78 612½ 614 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 121 10.00 35.30  
TSURIS 7 3 46 6 67 714½ 717 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 36.50  
SNAKEBIT 3 8 813½ 815 817 829½ 874 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00 61.10  
 
FG-6   11/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEMORETIMEAROUND 8 10 55 4   3.2 1½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 6.30  
SAINT CHARLES 3 2 4 3.2   2nk 2½ (biehler michael )PARKER L 121 8.00 11.20  
AFLEET ASCENT 4 7 8 6   5 3 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 5% 17.20 14.40 S
BABY BOOMER 1 4 6 5   4 4 (ward dan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 12.00 11.70  
SMOKIN RICHIE 6 6 21 2nk   1nk 5 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
10  SEVEN SCENTS 10 11 1113½ 9   8 6 (asmussen ste)TORRES A 121 4.00 4.40  
SILVER WINGS 7 1 3 7   6 7 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 24.80  
THE GREEN MO'STER 9 5 77 8   7 8 (singh s)SINGH R 121 8.00 11% 8.50 35.60  
11  LYRICAL POET 11 3 11 1nk   9 97 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 59% 0.70 6.70  
SIGN OF WAR 5 9 910 10   1013¾ 10 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00 7.90  
SAMURAI MIKE 2 8 1012 1112¾   1117¾ 1117¼ (litfin neva)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 7.40  
SCR  GOOD HEART               (diodoro rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00    
 
FG-7   11/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BA DEE YAH 5 5 55 5 44 32 1 (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 3.50 1.10  
  (by UNCLE MO out of PEARL TURN by BERNARDINI)
UNION MIST 1 1 1½ 1nk 12 11 2 (walsh brenda)TORRES A 120 3.00 11% 8.30 3.80 P
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISTY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
THORNY 4 3 3 3½ 33 43 3 (mcpeek kenn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 7.30  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BOULE by EXCHANGE RATE)
COLONIAL ROSE 2 4 4 41 22 21 4 (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 54% 0.80 2.40  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COLBY CAKES by SCAT DADDY)
STARINA 3 6 6 6 5 56 514 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 12.40  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REBRIDLED DREAMS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
FLEET FROST 6 2 2½ 2nk 6 611 626¾ (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 8% 11.80 20.30  
  (by FROSTED out of MISS FROST by CURLIN)
 
FG-8   11/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:134 1:254   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL CITY SPEED 3 8 77 87 6 2½ 1 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 120 3.50 38% 1.60 0.90 W
DEER CROSSING 7 5 55 5 53 6 2 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 41% 1.40 3.80 P
HUDSON'S TURN 6 7 8 7 75 77 3 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 22.10  
COFFEE COUNTY 1 4 12 1 1½ 1½ 4 (cuccia j)MELANCON G 120 6.00 13.10  
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT 2 3 3 32 31 5 5 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00 70.60  
PEPPER JACK 8 2 4 43 4 4 66 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 18.70  
RANCH WATER 5 1 22 2 2½ 3 76 (landry )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00 10.40  
10  CHARLIE G 9 9 910½ 9 8 812 810 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
BRITTS A CLOSER 4 6 6 65 911½ 9100 9100 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 5.80  
SCR  HOME VISIT               (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
SCR  MANGELSEN               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00    
SCR  SUNDAY BREEZE               (devaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
 
FG-9   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GOOGOL JOKE 10 2 34 2   1nk 1hd (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 18% 4.60 9.40 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  PHANTOM SPEED 11 7 8 65   2nk 2hd (stidham michael)LANERIE J 120 4.50 5% 19.00 3.20 P
  (by ARROGATE out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
HERO WORSHIP 3 9 5 4   42 3 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 18% 4.50 4.20 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of ADORE YOU by TACTICAL CAT)
GAVEL 4 1 12 1   3½ 43 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 18% 4.70 10.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
B FIFTY TWO 6 6 7 7   6 56 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 14.40  
  (by FLATTER out of STORMY B by CHEROKEE RUN)
COOKN WIT CATMAN 5 5 66 910   7 6 (catalan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 4.30  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MINDFULLY by BERTRANDO)
KINGSCOTE 1 8 1012½ 1011½   8 7 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 81.20  
  (by AUDIBLE out of UP AT DAWN by UNCLE MO)
10  GOOD LORD 9 3 22 32   55 8 (amoss thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 3.40  
  (by LORD NELSON out of MALIBU PARTY by HARD SPUN)
GIANNO 8 10 910½ 8   910 912¼ (rivelli larry)PARKER L 120 12.00 36.60  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SETHNA by DISCREET CAT)
FASTENED 2 4 44 5   1011½ 1021 (asmussen ste)TORRES A 120 4.00 22% 3.50 14.30  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MEMPHIS MELISSA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
CARRY THE FLAG 7 11 1118½ 1123½   1127½ 1138¾ (courville )ALBERT S 120 20.00 ######  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FLAGSTAFF by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  ROYAL MINT               (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of REGALLY BRED by A.P. INDY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.